Opinion Poll by Respons Analyse for Bergens Tidende and VG, 3–8 September 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
![Voting Intentions Graph with voting intentions not yet produced](2021-09-08-ResponsAnalyse.png)
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet |
27.4% |
26.6% |
24.9–28.5% |
24.4–29.0% |
23.9–29.4% |
23.1–30.3% |
Høyre |
25.0% |
18.0% |
16.5–19.6% |
16.1–20.1% |
15.7–20.5% |
15.0–21.3% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
15.2% |
12.4% |
11.1–13.8% |
10.8–14.2% |
10.5–14.6% |
9.9–15.3% |
Senterpartiet |
10.3% |
11.1% |
9.9–12.5% |
9.6–12.9% |
9.3–13.2% |
8.7–13.9% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
6.0% |
9.4% |
8.3–10.7% |
8.0–11.1% |
7.7–11.4% |
7.2–12.0% |
Rødt |
2.4% |
6.0% |
5.1–7.1% |
4.9–7.4% |
4.7–7.7% |
4.3–8.2% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
4.2% |
4.5% |
3.8–5.5% |
3.6–5.7% |
3.4–6.0% |
3.0–6.5% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.2% |
4.2% |
3.5–5.1% |
3.3–5.4% |
3.1–5.6% |
2.8–6.1% |
Venstre |
4.4% |
3.9% |
3.2–4.8% |
3.0–5.1% |
2.9–5.3% |
2.6–5.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
![Seats Graph with seats not yet produced](2021-09-08-ResponsAnalyse-seats.png)
![Seating Plan Graph with seating plan not yet produced](2021-09-08-ResponsAnalyse-seating-plan.png)
Confidence Intervals
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-09-08-ResponsAnalyse-seats-pmf-arbeiderpartiet.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
42 |
1.3% |
99.7% |
|
43 |
7% |
98% |
|
44 |
7% |
92% |
|
45 |
5% |
85% |
|
46 |
12% |
80% |
|
47 |
16% |
68% |
|
48 |
5% |
53% |
Median |
49 |
10% |
48% |
Last Result |
50 |
13% |
38% |
|
51 |
8% |
24% |
|
52 |
8% |
17% |
|
53 |
3% |
9% |
|
54 |
2% |
6% |
|
55 |
2% |
4% |
|
56 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
57 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-09-08-ResponsAnalyse-seats-pmf-høyre.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
25 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
26 |
0.5% |
99.2% |
|
27 |
1.1% |
98.8% |
|
28 |
3% |
98% |
|
29 |
5% |
94% |
|
30 |
14% |
89% |
|
31 |
15% |
75% |
|
32 |
13% |
59% |
Median |
33 |
12% |
46% |
|
34 |
11% |
34% |
|
35 |
11% |
23% |
|
36 |
6% |
12% |
|
37 |
4% |
7% |
|
38 |
2% |
3% |
|
39 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-09-08-ResponsAnalyse-seats-pmf-fremskrittspartiet.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
16 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
17 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
18 |
7% |
97% |
|
19 |
10% |
91% |
|
20 |
7% |
81% |
|
21 |
15% |
74% |
|
22 |
11% |
59% |
Median |
23 |
13% |
48% |
|
24 |
17% |
35% |
|
25 |
11% |
18% |
|
26 |
4% |
7% |
|
27 |
1.4% |
3% |
Last Result |
28 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
29 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-09-08-ResponsAnalyse-seats-pmf-senterpartiet.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
15 |
1.4% |
99.8% |
|
16 |
2% |
98% |
|
17 |
5% |
96% |
|
18 |
8% |
91% |
|
19 |
13% |
83% |
Last Result |
20 |
45% |
70% |
Median |
21 |
13% |
25% |
|
22 |
4% |
12% |
|
23 |
3% |
8% |
|
24 |
4% |
5% |
|
25 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
26 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
27 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
28 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-09-08-ResponsAnalyse-seats-pmf-sosialistiskvenstreparti.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
11 |
2% |
99.7% |
Last Result |
12 |
3% |
98% |
|
13 |
16% |
95% |
|
14 |
11% |
79% |
|
15 |
19% |
68% |
Median |
16 |
15% |
49% |
|
17 |
15% |
34% |
|
18 |
9% |
19% |
|
19 |
6% |
10% |
|
20 |
3% |
4% |
|
21 |
0.7% |
1.3% |
|
22 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
23 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-09-08-ResponsAnalyse-seats-pmf-rødt.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
6 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
7 |
3% |
99.7% |
|
8 |
17% |
97% |
|
9 |
16% |
80% |
|
10 |
21% |
64% |
Median |
11 |
31% |
43% |
|
12 |
7% |
12% |
|
13 |
3% |
5% |
|
14 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
15 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-09-08-ResponsAnalyse-seats-pmf-kristeligfolkeparti.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
2 |
1.2% |
99.6% |
|
3 |
17% |
98% |
|
4 |
0% |
81% |
|
5 |
0% |
81% |
|
6 |
5% |
81% |
|
7 |
28% |
76% |
Median |
8 |
29% |
48% |
Last Result |
9 |
12% |
19% |
|
10 |
5% |
6% |
|
11 |
1.2% |
1.4% |
|
12 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-09-08-ResponsAnalyse-seats-pmf-miljøpartietdegrønne.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
2% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
23% |
98% |
|
3 |
4% |
75% |
|
4 |
0% |
71% |
|
5 |
0% |
71% |
|
6 |
10% |
71% |
|
7 |
31% |
61% |
Median |
8 |
18% |
30% |
|
9 |
10% |
12% |
|
10 |
2% |
2% |
|
11 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-09-08-ResponsAnalyse-seats-pmf-venstre.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
2 |
53% |
99.9% |
Median |
3 |
0.4% |
47% |
|
4 |
0% |
46% |
|
5 |
0% |
46% |
|
6 |
10% |
46% |
|
7 |
23% |
36% |
|
8 |
9% |
13% |
Last Result |
9 |
3% |
4% |
|
10 |
0.8% |
1.0% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
![Coalitions Seats Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced](2021-09-08-ResponsAnalyse-coalitions-seats.png)
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
81 |
100 |
100% |
93–105 |
92–107 |
90–108 |
88–111 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
88 |
97 |
99.6% |
91–101 |
89–104 |
88–105 |
85–107 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt |
80 |
93 |
98.5% |
88–99 |
86–101 |
85–103 |
82–106 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
80 |
90 |
88% |
84–95 |
82–96 |
81–97 |
79–101 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
107 |
86 |
65% |
81–90 |
79–92 |
78–93 |
75–95 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
79 |
84 |
39% |
79–89 |
77–90 |
76–92 |
74–94 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
77 |
81 |
17% |
75–86 |
74–87 |
72–90 |
70–92 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
62 |
80 |
10% |
74–85 |
73–87 |
71–88 |
69–91 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
76 |
75 |
0.4% |
70–80 |
69–81 |
67–83 |
64–84 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre |
89 |
72 |
0% |
66–77 |
64–79 |
63–80 |
60–83 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
68 |
68 |
0% |
63–72 |
62–74 |
61–75 |
60–76 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
88 |
65 |
0% |
61–71 |
59–73 |
57–74 |
55–76 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
60 |
63 |
0% |
59–69 |
58–70 |
57–71 |
56–74 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
80 |
59 |
0% |
55–64 |
52–65 |
51–67 |
48–69 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
72 |
54 |
0% |
50–59 |
49–60 |
48–61 |
46–63 |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
61 |
44 |
0% |
39–48 |
38–50 |
36–51 |
34–53 |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
35 |
31 |
0% |
27–35 |
26–37 |
24–38 |
22–40 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-09-08-ResponsAnalyse-coalitions-seats-pmf-ap–sp–sv–r–mdg.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
81 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
87 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
88 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
89 |
0.2% |
99.0% |
|
90 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
91 |
1.0% |
97% |
|
92 |
3% |
96% |
|
93 |
3% |
92% |
|
94 |
2% |
89% |
|
95 |
4% |
87% |
|
96 |
5% |
84% |
|
97 |
5% |
79% |
|
98 |
9% |
74% |
|
99 |
10% |
65% |
|
100 |
16% |
54% |
Median |
101 |
8% |
38% |
|
102 |
5% |
30% |
|
103 |
4% |
25% |
|
104 |
8% |
22% |
|
105 |
6% |
14% |
|
106 |
1.4% |
8% |
|
107 |
2% |
6% |
|
108 |
3% |
4% |
|
109 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
110 |
0.6% |
1.3% |
|
111 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
112 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
113 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
114 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-09-08-ResponsAnalyse-coalitions-seats-pmf-ap–sp–sv–krf–mdg.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
82 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
85 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
Majority |
86 |
0.7% |
99.5% |
|
87 |
1.2% |
98.8% |
|
88 |
2% |
98% |
Last Result |
89 |
2% |
96% |
|
90 |
3% |
94% |
|
91 |
3% |
91% |
|
92 |
5% |
88% |
|
93 |
5% |
84% |
|
94 |
7% |
78% |
|
95 |
8% |
71% |
|
96 |
4% |
63% |
|
97 |
20% |
59% |
Median |
98 |
11% |
39% |
|
99 |
6% |
28% |
|
100 |
5% |
22% |
|
101 |
7% |
17% |
|
102 |
4% |
10% |
|
103 |
1.1% |
6% |
|
104 |
2% |
5% |
|
105 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
106 |
2% |
2% |
|
107 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
108 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
109 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
110 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
111 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-09-08-ResponsAnalyse-coalitions-seats-pmf-ap–sp–sv–r.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
81 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
84 |
0.7% |
99.2% |
|
85 |
2% |
98.5% |
Majority |
86 |
1.4% |
96% |
|
87 |
3% |
95% |
|
88 |
4% |
92% |
|
89 |
4% |
88% |
|
90 |
2% |
84% |
|
91 |
10% |
81% |
|
92 |
4% |
72% |
|
93 |
21% |
68% |
Median |
94 |
8% |
47% |
|
95 |
7% |
39% |
|
96 |
7% |
32% |
|
97 |
7% |
25% |
|
98 |
4% |
18% |
|
99 |
5% |
13% |
|
100 |
4% |
9% |
|
101 |
1.2% |
5% |
|
102 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
103 |
2% |
3% |
|
104 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
105 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
106 |
1.1% |
1.3% |
|
107 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
108 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
109 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-09-08-ResponsAnalyse-coalitions-seats-pmf-ap–sp–sv–mdg.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
76 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
78 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
79 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
80 |
1.3% |
99.2% |
Last Result |
81 |
2% |
98% |
|
82 |
3% |
96% |
|
83 |
2% |
94% |
|
84 |
3% |
91% |
|
85 |
4% |
88% |
Majority |
86 |
4% |
85% |
|
87 |
8% |
81% |
|
88 |
6% |
73% |
|
89 |
16% |
67% |
|
90 |
9% |
51% |
Median |
91 |
14% |
42% |
|
92 |
3% |
28% |
|
93 |
9% |
24% |
|
94 |
3% |
15% |
|
95 |
4% |
13% |
|
96 |
4% |
8% |
|
97 |
2% |
4% |
|
98 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
99 |
0.5% |
1.3% |
|
100 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
101 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
102 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
103 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-09-08-ResponsAnalyse-coalitions-seats-pmf-h–frp–sp–krf–v.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
75 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
76 |
0.8% |
99.3% |
|
77 |
0.6% |
98.6% |
|
78 |
2% |
98% |
|
79 |
3% |
96% |
|
80 |
2% |
94% |
|
81 |
6% |
92% |
|
82 |
7% |
86% |
|
83 |
5% |
79% |
Median |
84 |
9% |
74% |
|
85 |
13% |
65% |
Majority |
86 |
8% |
51% |
|
87 |
9% |
44% |
|
88 |
6% |
35% |
|
89 |
17% |
29% |
|
90 |
4% |
12% |
|
91 |
3% |
9% |
|
92 |
1.0% |
5% |
|
93 |
2% |
4% |
|
94 |
2% |
2% |
|
95 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
96 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
97 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
98 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
99 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
|
101 |
0% |
0% |
|
102 |
0% |
0% |
|
103 |
0% |
0% |
|
104 |
0% |
0% |
|
105 |
0% |
0% |
|
106 |
0% |
0% |
|
107 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-09-08-ResponsAnalyse-coalitions-seats-pmf-ap–sp–sv.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
74 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
75 |
0.5% |
99.1% |
|
76 |
1.2% |
98.6% |
|
77 |
3% |
97% |
|
78 |
4% |
94% |
|
79 |
5% |
90% |
Last Result |
80 |
5% |
85% |
|
81 |
4% |
80% |
|
82 |
13% |
76% |
|
83 |
10% |
63% |
Median |
84 |
14% |
53% |
|
85 |
10% |
39% |
Majority |
86 |
6% |
29% |
|
87 |
7% |
23% |
|
88 |
6% |
16% |
|
89 |
4% |
10% |
|
90 |
2% |
6% |
|
91 |
1.0% |
4% |
|
92 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
93 |
2% |
2% |
|
94 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
95 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
96 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-09-08-ResponsAnalyse-coalitions-seats-pmf-ap–sp–krf–mdg.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
66 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
70 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
|
71 |
0.6% |
98.9% |
|
72 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
73 |
1.1% |
97% |
|
74 |
4% |
96% |
|
75 |
4% |
93% |
|
76 |
5% |
88% |
|
77 |
3% |
83% |
Last Result |
78 |
5% |
79% |
|
79 |
6% |
75% |
|
80 |
8% |
69% |
|
81 |
13% |
61% |
|
82 |
13% |
49% |
Median |
83 |
7% |
36% |
|
84 |
12% |
29% |
|
85 |
7% |
17% |
Majority |
86 |
4% |
10% |
|
87 |
2% |
6% |
|
88 |
1.1% |
4% |
|
89 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
90 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
91 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
92 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
93 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-09-08-ResponsAnalyse-coalitions-seats-pmf-ap–sv–r–mdg.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
69 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
70 |
0.7% |
99.4% |
|
71 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
72 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
73 |
3% |
96% |
|
74 |
5% |
94% |
|
75 |
7% |
89% |
|
76 |
3% |
82% |
|
77 |
4% |
79% |
|
78 |
8% |
75% |
|
79 |
10% |
67% |
|
80 |
20% |
57% |
Median |
81 |
7% |
37% |
|
82 |
6% |
30% |
|
83 |
7% |
25% |
|
84 |
7% |
17% |
|
85 |
3% |
10% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
7% |
|
87 |
2% |
5% |
|
88 |
2% |
3% |
|
89 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
90 |
0.8% |
1.4% |
|
91 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-09-08-ResponsAnalyse-coalitions-seats-pmf-ap–sp–krf.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
66 |
0.7% |
99.2% |
|
67 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
68 |
2% |
97% |
|
69 |
4% |
95% |
|
70 |
3% |
91% |
|
71 |
7% |
88% |
|
72 |
5% |
82% |
|
73 |
8% |
77% |
|
74 |
8% |
69% |
|
75 |
19% |
61% |
Median |
76 |
7% |
42% |
Last Result |
77 |
9% |
35% |
|
78 |
7% |
26% |
|
79 |
8% |
18% |
|
80 |
3% |
10% |
|
81 |
2% |
7% |
|
82 |
2% |
5% |
|
83 |
2% |
3% |
|
84 |
1.0% |
1.4% |
|
85 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
87 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-09-08-ResponsAnalyse-coalitions-seats-pmf-h–frp–krf–mdg–v.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
61 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
|
62 |
0.8% |
99.1% |
|
63 |
1.5% |
98% |
|
64 |
3% |
97% |
|
65 |
2% |
94% |
|
66 |
4% |
91% |
|
67 |
2% |
87% |
|
68 |
6% |
85% |
|
69 |
9% |
79% |
|
70 |
11% |
70% |
Median |
71 |
6% |
59% |
|
72 |
10% |
54% |
|
73 |
7% |
44% |
|
74 |
8% |
37% |
|
75 |
5% |
29% |
|
76 |
13% |
23% |
|
77 |
3% |
10% |
|
78 |
2% |
7% |
|
79 |
1.2% |
5% |
|
80 |
2% |
4% |
|
81 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
82 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
83 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
84 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-09-08-ResponsAnalyse-coalitions-seats-pmf-ap–sp.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
60 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
61 |
3% |
99.2% |
|
62 |
2% |
96% |
|
63 |
6% |
94% |
|
64 |
6% |
88% |
|
65 |
4% |
82% |
|
66 |
6% |
78% |
|
67 |
18% |
72% |
|
68 |
6% |
53% |
Last Result, Median |
69 |
6% |
47% |
|
70 |
16% |
40% |
|
71 |
8% |
24% |
|
72 |
7% |
17% |
|
73 |
3% |
10% |
|
74 |
2% |
6% |
|
75 |
3% |
5% |
|
76 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
77 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
80 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-09-08-ResponsAnalyse-coalitions-seats-pmf-h–frp–krf–v.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
56 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
57 |
1.2% |
98.7% |
|
58 |
1.1% |
97% |
|
59 |
2% |
96% |
|
60 |
2% |
94% |
|
61 |
6% |
92% |
|
62 |
6% |
86% |
|
63 |
5% |
80% |
Median |
64 |
12% |
75% |
|
65 |
15% |
63% |
|
66 |
5% |
47% |
|
67 |
6% |
42% |
|
68 |
6% |
36% |
|
69 |
14% |
30% |
|
70 |
4% |
16% |
|
71 |
4% |
12% |
|
72 |
2% |
8% |
|
73 |
2% |
5% |
|
74 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
75 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
76 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
77 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-09-08-ResponsAnalyse-coalitions-seats-pmf-ap–sv.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
56 |
1.0% |
99.8% |
|
57 |
1.5% |
98.9% |
|
58 |
3% |
97% |
|
59 |
6% |
94% |
|
60 |
4% |
88% |
Last Result |
61 |
7% |
85% |
|
62 |
14% |
77% |
|
63 |
15% |
64% |
Median |
64 |
10% |
48% |
|
65 |
11% |
39% |
|
66 |
5% |
28% |
|
67 |
8% |
23% |
|
68 |
4% |
14% |
|
69 |
6% |
11% |
|
70 |
2% |
5% |
|
71 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
72 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
73 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
74 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-09-08-ResponsAnalyse-coalitions-seats-pmf-h–frp–v.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
48 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
49 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
|
50 |
0.8% |
98.8% |
|
51 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
52 |
2% |
97% |
|
53 |
3% |
95% |
|
54 |
1.3% |
92% |
|
55 |
6% |
91% |
|
56 |
7% |
85% |
Median |
57 |
13% |
78% |
|
58 |
13% |
65% |
|
59 |
9% |
52% |
|
60 |
7% |
42% |
|
61 |
18% |
35% |
|
62 |
2% |
17% |
|
63 |
3% |
15% |
|
64 |
5% |
12% |
|
65 |
3% |
7% |
|
66 |
1.3% |
4% |
|
67 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
68 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
69 |
0.8% |
1.0% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-09-08-ResponsAnalyse-coalitions-seats-pmf-h–frp.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
45 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
47 |
0.9% |
98.9% |
|
48 |
2% |
98% |
|
49 |
3% |
96% |
|
50 |
5% |
94% |
|
51 |
4% |
89% |
|
52 |
7% |
84% |
|
53 |
14% |
77% |
|
54 |
16% |
63% |
Median |
55 |
12% |
47% |
|
56 |
9% |
35% |
|
57 |
8% |
26% |
|
58 |
5% |
18% |
|
59 |
6% |
12% |
|
60 |
2% |
6% |
|
61 |
2% |
4% |
|
62 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
63 |
1.0% |
1.3% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-09-08-ResponsAnalyse-coalitions-seats-pmf-h–krf–v.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
33 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
34 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
35 |
0.9% |
99.4% |
|
36 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
37 |
2% |
97% |
|
38 |
3% |
96% |
|
39 |
5% |
93% |
|
40 |
8% |
88% |
|
41 |
11% |
80% |
Median |
42 |
7% |
69% |
|
43 |
8% |
63% |
|
44 |
9% |
55% |
|
45 |
15% |
45% |
|
46 |
11% |
30% |
|
47 |
5% |
19% |
|
48 |
4% |
14% |
|
49 |
3% |
10% |
|
50 |
3% |
6% |
|
51 |
1.5% |
4% |
|
52 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
53 |
0.9% |
1.1% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
56 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-09-08-ResponsAnalyse-coalitions-seats-pmf-sp–krf–v.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
20 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
22 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
23 |
0.8% |
99.3% |
|
24 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
25 |
2% |
97% |
|
26 |
5% |
95% |
|
27 |
3% |
91% |
|
28 |
9% |
88% |
|
29 |
14% |
79% |
Median |
30 |
8% |
65% |
|
31 |
13% |
57% |
|
32 |
7% |
43% |
|
33 |
10% |
37% |
|
34 |
5% |
27% |
|
35 |
13% |
22% |
Last Result |
36 |
3% |
10% |
|
37 |
2% |
7% |
|
38 |
3% |
5% |
|
39 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
40 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
41 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Respons Analyse
- Commissioner(s): Bergens Tidende and VG
- Fieldwork period: 3–8 September 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.99%