Opinion Poll by Kantar TNS for TV2, 8–10 September 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 27.4% | 24.4% | 23.2–25.7% | 22.9–26.1% | 22.6–26.4% | 22.0–27.0% |
| Høyre | 25.0% | 19.3% | 18.2–20.5% | 17.9–20.9% | 17.7–21.1% | 17.1–21.7% |
| Senterpartiet | 10.3% | 13.2% | 12.2–14.2% | 12.0–14.5% | 11.8–14.7% | 11.3–15.2% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 15.2% | 11.3% | 10.4–12.2% | 10.2–12.5% | 10.0–12.7% | 9.6–13.2% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 6.0% | 9.1% | 8.3–10.0% | 8.1–10.2% | 7.9–10.4% | 7.5–10.9% |
| Rødt | 2.4% | 5.9% | 5.3–6.6% | 5.1–6.9% | 5.0–7.0% | 4.7–7.4% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.3–5.6% | 4.2–5.8% | 4.0–6.0% | 3.8–6.3% |
| Venstre | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.9–5.1% | 3.7–5.2% | 3.6–5.4% | 3.3–5.7% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.7–4.8% | 3.5–5.0% | 3.4–5.2% | 3.2–5.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 49 | 44 | 42–46 | 41–47 | 41–48 | 41–50 |
| Høyre | 45 | 35 | 32–36 | 31–37 | 30–38 | 29–38 |
| Senterpartiet | 19 | 24 | 21–26 | 20–27 | 20–27 | 20–29 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 27 | 19 | 18–22 | 17–22 | 17–23 | 16–24 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 11 | 15 | 14–17 | 13–18 | 12–18 | 11–19 |
| Rødt | 1 | 10 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 8–12 | 8–13 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 1 | 8 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 6–10 | 2–11 |
| Venstre | 8 | 7 | 2–9 | 2–9 | 2–9 | 2–10 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 8 | 7 | 3–8 | 3–9 | 2–9 | 2–9 |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 41 | 7% | 99.7% | |
| 42 | 9% | 93% | |
| 43 | 14% | 84% | |
| 44 | 26% | 69% | Median |
| 45 | 22% | 43% | |
| 46 | 12% | 21% | |
| 47 | 4% | 9% | |
| 48 | 3% | 5% | |
| 49 | 0.9% | 2% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 31 | 5% | 97% | |
| 32 | 7% | 91% | |
| 33 | 9% | 85% | |
| 34 | 11% | 76% | |
| 35 | 28% | 65% | Median |
| 36 | 31% | 37% | |
| 37 | 3% | 6% | |
| 38 | 2% | 3% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 20 | 5% | 99.7% | |
| 21 | 11% | 94% | |
| 22 | 15% | 84% | |
| 23 | 14% | 69% | |
| 24 | 18% | 54% | Median |
| 25 | 23% | 37% | |
| 26 | 9% | 14% | |
| 27 | 3% | 5% | |
| 28 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 29 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 16 | 1.3% | 99.8% | |
| 17 | 8% | 98% | |
| 18 | 20% | 91% | |
| 19 | 23% | 71% | Median |
| 20 | 21% | 47% | |
| 21 | 15% | 26% | |
| 22 | 8% | 11% | |
| 23 | 2% | 3% | |
| 24 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.5% | 100% | Last Result |
| 12 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 13 | 5% | 97% | |
| 14 | 15% | 92% | |
| 15 | 30% | 77% | Median |
| 16 | 24% | 47% | |
| 17 | 15% | 23% | |
| 18 | 7% | 8% | |
| 19 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 8 | 4% | 99.5% | |
| 9 | 26% | 95% | |
| 10 | 28% | 70% | Median |
| 11 | 31% | 41% | |
| 12 | 9% | 11% | |
| 13 | 2% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98% | |
| 6 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 7 | 15% | 97% | |
| 8 | 38% | 82% | Median |
| 9 | 32% | 44% | |
| 10 | 10% | 12% | |
| 11 | 2% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 22% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 78% | |
| 4 | 0% | 78% | |
| 5 | 0% | 78% | |
| 6 | 2% | 78% | |
| 7 | 33% | 75% | Median |
| 8 | 28% | 42% | Last Result |
| 9 | 12% | 14% | |
| 10 | 2% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 25% | 97% | |
| 4 | 0% | 72% | |
| 5 | 0% | 72% | |
| 6 | 2% | 72% | |
| 7 | 36% | 70% | Median |
| 8 | 26% | 34% | Last Result |
| 9 | 8% | 8% | |
| 10 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 81 | 102 | 100% | 98–106 | 96–108 | 95–109 | 93–110 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 88 | 98 | 100% | 94–102 | 93–103 | 92–104 | 90–105 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt | 80 | 94 | 100% | 90–97 | 89–99 | 88–100 | 86–101 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 80 | 91 | 99.3% | 88–96 | 87–97 | 86–97 | 84–99 |
| Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 107 | 91 | 97% | 86–94 | 85–94 | 84–95 | 83–97 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 79 | 83 | 32% | 80–87 | 79–88 | 79–89 | 77–90 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 77 | 82 | 25% | 78–87 | 77–87 | 76–88 | 74–90 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 62 | 78 | 3% | 75–82 | 74–83 | 73–85 | 71–86 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 89 | 75 | 0% | 71–79 | 70–79 | 69–80 | 67–82 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 76 | 74 | 0% | 70–78 | 69–79 | 68–80 | 66–82 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 68 | 68 | 0% | 65–71 | 63–72 | 63–73 | 62–75 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 88 | 67 | 0% | 63–71 | 61–71 | 60–73 | 59–74 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 80 | 60 | 0% | 57–64 | 55–65 | 54–67 | 54–67 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 60 | 60 | 0% | 57–62 | 57–63 | 56–64 | 55–66 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 72 | 54 | 0% | 51–57 | 50–58 | 49–58 | 48–60 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 61 | 47 | 0% | 43–51 | 41–52 | 40–52 | 39–53 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 35 | 36 | 0% | 32–40 | 30–42 | 29–42 | 28–45 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 94 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 95 | 1.4% | 98.8% | |
| 96 | 3% | 97% | |
| 97 | 3% | 95% | |
| 98 | 9% | 92% | |
| 99 | 12% | 84% | |
| 100 | 8% | 72% | |
| 101 | 9% | 64% | Median |
| 102 | 15% | 55% | |
| 103 | 11% | 40% | |
| 104 | 8% | 29% | |
| 105 | 6% | 21% | |
| 106 | 7% | 15% | |
| 107 | 2% | 8% | |
| 108 | 2% | 6% | |
| 109 | 3% | 4% | |
| 110 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 112 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 89 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 91 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 92 | 2% | 98% | |
| 93 | 3% | 96% | |
| 94 | 8% | 93% | |
| 95 | 10% | 85% | |
| 96 | 7% | 75% | |
| 97 | 11% | 68% | |
| 98 | 17% | 57% | Median |
| 99 | 10% | 39% | |
| 100 | 9% | 30% | |
| 101 | 9% | 21% | |
| 102 | 5% | 12% | |
| 103 | 3% | 7% | |
| 104 | 4% | 5% | |
| 105 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 106 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 87 | 1.3% | 99.1% | |
| 88 | 2% | 98% | |
| 89 | 4% | 95% | |
| 90 | 8% | 92% | |
| 91 | 15% | 84% | |
| 92 | 6% | 69% | |
| 93 | 12% | 63% | Median |
| 94 | 16% | 51% | |
| 95 | 8% | 35% | |
| 96 | 9% | 27% | |
| 97 | 9% | 18% | |
| 98 | 3% | 9% | |
| 99 | 3% | 6% | |
| 100 | 2% | 3% | |
| 101 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 102 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0.9% | 99.3% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 87 | 6% | 97% | |
| 88 | 8% | 92% | |
| 89 | 7% | 83% | |
| 90 | 11% | 77% | |
| 91 | 19% | 66% | Median |
| 92 | 10% | 47% | |
| 93 | 11% | 37% | |
| 94 | 8% | 26% | |
| 95 | 8% | 18% | |
| 96 | 4% | 10% | |
| 97 | 4% | 6% | |
| 98 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 99 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 101 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 84 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 85 | 2% | 97% | Majority |
| 86 | 5% | 94% | |
| 87 | 6% | 90% | |
| 88 | 8% | 84% | |
| 89 | 11% | 76% | |
| 90 | 10% | 65% | |
| 91 | 24% | 55% | |
| 92 | 8% | 31% | Median |
| 93 | 9% | 23% | |
| 94 | 9% | 14% | |
| 95 | 3% | 5% | |
| 96 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 97 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 1.2% | 99.0% | |
| 79 | 6% | 98% | Last Result |
| 80 | 6% | 92% | |
| 81 | 11% | 86% | |
| 82 | 14% | 75% | |
| 83 | 16% | 61% | Median |
| 84 | 13% | 45% | |
| 85 | 9% | 32% | Majority |
| 86 | 12% | 23% | |
| 87 | 5% | 11% | |
| 88 | 3% | 6% | |
| 89 | 2% | 3% | |
| 90 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 75 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 76 | 1.4% | 98.8% | |
| 77 | 5% | 97% | Last Result |
| 78 | 5% | 93% | |
| 79 | 7% | 88% | |
| 80 | 10% | 81% | |
| 81 | 10% | 71% | |
| 82 | 12% | 61% | |
| 83 | 10% | 49% | Median |
| 84 | 14% | 39% | |
| 85 | 8% | 25% | Majority |
| 86 | 5% | 17% | |
| 87 | 8% | 12% | |
| 88 | 3% | 4% | |
| 89 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 90 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 72 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 73 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 74 | 3% | 96% | |
| 75 | 11% | 93% | |
| 76 | 10% | 82% | |
| 77 | 9% | 72% | Median |
| 78 | 23% | 63% | |
| 79 | 10% | 40% | |
| 80 | 11% | 30% | |
| 81 | 7% | 19% | |
| 82 | 4% | 12% | |
| 83 | 4% | 8% | |
| 84 | 2% | 4% | |
| 85 | 2% | 3% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 87 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 69 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 70 | 4% | 97% | |
| 71 | 3% | 93% | |
| 72 | 11% | 90% | |
| 73 | 11% | 79% | |
| 74 | 8% | 68% | |
| 75 | 16% | 60% | |
| 76 | 12% | 44% | Median |
| 77 | 6% | 31% | |
| 78 | 13% | 26% | |
| 79 | 7% | 12% | |
| 80 | 3% | 5% | |
| 81 | 2% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 1.3% | 99.3% | |
| 68 | 3% | 98% | |
| 69 | 3% | 95% | |
| 70 | 4% | 92% | |
| 71 | 10% | 88% | |
| 72 | 11% | 78% | |
| 73 | 10% | 67% | |
| 74 | 10% | 57% | |
| 75 | 10% | 46% | Median |
| 76 | 14% | 37% | Last Result |
| 77 | 8% | 23% | |
| 78 | 6% | 15% | |
| 79 | 7% | 10% | |
| 80 | 2% | 3% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 82 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 4% | 99.1% | |
| 64 | 4% | 95% | |
| 65 | 12% | 90% | |
| 66 | 10% | 79% | |
| 67 | 12% | 68% | |
| 68 | 11% | 57% | Last Result, Median |
| 69 | 22% | 45% | |
| 70 | 8% | 24% | |
| 71 | 8% | 16% | |
| 72 | 4% | 8% | |
| 73 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 74 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 60 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 61 | 2% | 96% | |
| 62 | 3% | 94% | |
| 63 | 7% | 91% | |
| 64 | 7% | 84% | |
| 65 | 9% | 77% | |
| 66 | 12% | 67% | |
| 67 | 15% | 55% | |
| 68 | 9% | 40% | Median |
| 69 | 8% | 31% | |
| 70 | 11% | 23% | |
| 71 | 7% | 11% | |
| 72 | 2% | 4% | |
| 73 | 2% | 3% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 55 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 56 | 4% | 95% | |
| 57 | 9% | 90% | |
| 58 | 9% | 81% | |
| 59 | 10% | 72% | |
| 60 | 13% | 62% | |
| 61 | 9% | 49% | Median |
| 62 | 9% | 41% | |
| 63 | 13% | 31% | |
| 64 | 8% | 18% | |
| 65 | 5% | 10% | |
| 66 | 2% | 5% | |
| 67 | 2% | 3% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 57 | 11% | 97% | |
| 58 | 11% | 87% | |
| 59 | 25% | 75% | Median |
| 60 | 20% | 50% | Last Result |
| 61 | 14% | 30% | |
| 62 | 8% | 17% | |
| 63 | 4% | 9% | |
| 64 | 3% | 5% | |
| 65 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 49 | 4% | 99.2% | |
| 50 | 3% | 95% | |
| 51 | 6% | 92% | |
| 52 | 12% | 86% | |
| 53 | 14% | 75% | |
| 54 | 15% | 61% | Median |
| 55 | 16% | 46% | |
| 56 | 15% | 30% | |
| 57 | 9% | 15% | |
| 58 | 4% | 6% | |
| 59 | 2% | 2% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 40 | 2% | 98% | |
| 41 | 2% | 96% | |
| 42 | 2% | 94% | |
| 43 | 4% | 92% | |
| 44 | 10% | 89% | |
| 45 | 7% | 79% | |
| 46 | 10% | 72% | |
| 47 | 14% | 63% | |
| 48 | 8% | 49% | |
| 49 | 16% | 41% | Median |
| 50 | 7% | 26% | |
| 51 | 13% | 19% | |
| 52 | 4% | 6% | |
| 53 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 1.2% | 99.7% | |
| 29 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 30 | 4% | 97% | |
| 31 | 2% | 93% | |
| 32 | 2% | 91% | |
| 33 | 10% | 89% | |
| 34 | 8% | 79% | |
| 35 | 9% | 71% | Last Result |
| 36 | 12% | 62% | |
| 37 | 10% | 50% | |
| 38 | 13% | 40% | Median |
| 39 | 13% | 27% | |
| 40 | 5% | 14% | |
| 41 | 3% | 9% | |
| 42 | 5% | 6% | |
| 43 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Kantar TNS
- Commissioner(s): TV2
- Fieldwork period: 8–10 September 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1996
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.02%