Opinion Poll by Opinion Perduco for Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse, 1–10 September 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet |
27.4% |
27.0% |
25.2–28.9% |
24.7–29.4% |
24.2–29.9% |
23.4–30.8% |
Høyre |
25.0% |
18.9% |
17.3–20.6% |
16.9–21.1% |
16.5–21.5% |
15.8–22.4% |
Senterpartiet |
10.3% |
14.9% |
13.5–16.4% |
13.1–16.9% |
12.7–17.3% |
12.1–18.1% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
15.2% |
11.9% |
10.6–13.4% |
10.3–13.8% |
10.0–14.1% |
9.4–14.8% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
6.0% |
7.7% |
6.7–9.0% |
6.4–9.3% |
6.2–9.6% |
5.7–10.3% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.2% |
4.8% |
4.0–5.8% |
3.8–6.1% |
3.6–6.3% |
3.2–6.9% |
Rødt |
2.4% |
4.6% |
3.8–5.6% |
3.6–5.9% |
3.4–6.1% |
3.1–6.6% |
Venstre |
4.4% |
4.5% |
3.7–5.5% |
3.5–5.7% |
3.3–6.0% |
3.0–6.5% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
4.2% |
3.3% |
2.7–4.2% |
2.5–4.4% |
2.3–4.6% |
2.1–5.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
42 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
43 |
1.1% |
99.6% |
|
44 |
9% |
98.5% |
|
45 |
7% |
90% |
|
46 |
10% |
83% |
|
47 |
11% |
73% |
|
48 |
12% |
62% |
Median |
49 |
11% |
50% |
Last Result |
50 |
13% |
39% |
|
51 |
5% |
26% |
|
52 |
8% |
21% |
|
53 |
4% |
13% |
|
54 |
2% |
9% |
|
55 |
4% |
7% |
|
56 |
2% |
2% |
|
57 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
27 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
28 |
1.5% |
99.2% |
|
29 |
3% |
98% |
|
30 |
5% |
95% |
|
31 |
9% |
90% |
|
32 |
16% |
81% |
|
33 |
13% |
65% |
|
34 |
15% |
52% |
Median |
35 |
17% |
37% |
|
36 |
8% |
20% |
|
37 |
5% |
12% |
|
38 |
3% |
8% |
|
39 |
4% |
5% |
|
40 |
0.7% |
1.0% |
|
41 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
42 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
43 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
19 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
20 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
21 |
1.2% |
99.6% |
|
22 |
3% |
98% |
|
23 |
3% |
96% |
|
24 |
3% |
92% |
|
25 |
15% |
89% |
|
26 |
8% |
74% |
|
27 |
27% |
66% |
Median |
28 |
11% |
39% |
|
29 |
15% |
28% |
|
30 |
4% |
13% |
|
31 |
3% |
9% |
|
32 |
4% |
6% |
|
33 |
2% |
2% |
|
34 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
16 |
0.8% |
99.7% |
|
17 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
18 |
11% |
97% |
|
19 |
18% |
87% |
|
20 |
10% |
68% |
|
21 |
16% |
58% |
Median |
22 |
17% |
42% |
|
23 |
12% |
25% |
|
24 |
7% |
14% |
|
25 |
5% |
7% |
|
26 |
2% |
2% |
|
27 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
Last Result |
28 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
10 |
1.5% |
99.7% |
|
11 |
6% |
98% |
Last Result |
12 |
25% |
92% |
|
13 |
14% |
67% |
|
14 |
22% |
53% |
Median |
15 |
17% |
31% |
|
16 |
10% |
14% |
|
17 |
3% |
4% |
|
18 |
0.9% |
1.1% |
|
19 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.2% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
8% |
99.8% |
|
3 |
4% |
92% |
|
4 |
0.1% |
87% |
|
5 |
0% |
87% |
|
6 |
0.2% |
87% |
|
7 |
16% |
87% |
|
8 |
18% |
71% |
|
9 |
32% |
52% |
Median |
10 |
15% |
20% |
|
11 |
4% |
5% |
|
12 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.3% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
17% |
99.7% |
|
3 |
0% |
83% |
|
4 |
0% |
83% |
|
5 |
0% |
83% |
|
6 |
0.5% |
83% |
|
7 |
21% |
82% |
|
8 |
30% |
62% |
Median |
9 |
20% |
31% |
|
10 |
9% |
12% |
|
11 |
2% |
3% |
|
12 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
13 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
16% |
100% |
|
3 |
2% |
84% |
|
4 |
0.1% |
82% |
|
5 |
0% |
82% |
|
6 |
0.7% |
82% |
|
7 |
27% |
81% |
|
8 |
34% |
54% |
Last Result, Median |
9 |
14% |
21% |
|
10 |
4% |
6% |
|
11 |
2% |
2% |
|
12 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
1.4% |
100% |
|
1 |
29% |
98.6% |
|
2 |
13% |
70% |
|
3 |
44% |
57% |
Median |
4 |
0% |
13% |
|
5 |
0% |
13% |
|
6 |
2% |
13% |
|
7 |
8% |
11% |
|
8 |
2% |
3% |
Last Result |
9 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt |
81 |
104 |
100% |
100–109 |
98–111 |
97–112 |
94–114 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
88 |
100 |
100% |
95–105 |
95–106 |
93–107 |
91–109 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
80 |
97 |
100% |
92–102 |
92–104 |
90–105 |
88–106 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt |
80 |
96 |
99.8% |
91–102 |
90–103 |
89–105 |
86–106 |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
107 |
92 |
96% |
86–96 |
85–98 |
84–99 |
82–101 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
79 |
90 |
92% |
85–94 |
83–96 |
83–97 |
80–98 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
77 |
87 |
68% |
82–91 |
80–92 |
79–94 |
77–96 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
76 |
78 |
4% |
74–83 |
73–84 |
72–85 |
70–88 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt |
62 |
77 |
4% |
73–83 |
71–84 |
70–85 |
68–87 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
68 |
76 |
0.3% |
71–81 |
71–81 |
69–82 |
68–84 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
89 |
73 |
0.2% |
67–78 |
66–79 |
64–80 |
63–83 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
88 |
65 |
0% |
60–69 |
58–71 |
57–72 |
55–75 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
60 |
62 |
0% |
58–67 |
57–68 |
56–69 |
55–71 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
80 |
62 |
0% |
57–66 |
56–67 |
54–68 |
53–70 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
72 |
55 |
0% |
51–59 |
49–60 |
49–61 |
46–63 |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
61 |
43 |
0% |
39–48 |
37–49 |
36–50 |
35–52 |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
35 |
37 |
0% |
32–42 |
30–43 |
29–44 |
27–47 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
81 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
100% |
|
88 |
0% |
100% |
|
89 |
0% |
100% |
|
90 |
0% |
100% |
|
91 |
0% |
100% |
|
92 |
0% |
100% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
94 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
95 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
96 |
0.6% |
99.0% |
|
97 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
98 |
4% |
97% |
|
99 |
1.3% |
94% |
|
100 |
9% |
92% |
|
101 |
3% |
83% |
|
102 |
6% |
80% |
|
103 |
9% |
74% |
|
104 |
19% |
65% |
|
105 |
9% |
46% |
|
106 |
7% |
37% |
Median |
107 |
6% |
30% |
|
108 |
7% |
24% |
|
109 |
9% |
17% |
|
110 |
3% |
8% |
|
111 |
2% |
5% |
|
112 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
113 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
114 |
2% |
2% |
|
115 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
116 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
117 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
88 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
89 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
90 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
91 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
92 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
93 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
94 |
1.3% |
97% |
|
95 |
6% |
95% |
|
96 |
5% |
89% |
|
97 |
6% |
84% |
|
98 |
10% |
78% |
|
99 |
16% |
69% |
|
100 |
5% |
53% |
|
101 |
12% |
48% |
Median |
102 |
9% |
36% |
|
103 |
9% |
26% |
|
104 |
7% |
18% |
|
105 |
3% |
11% |
|
106 |
5% |
8% |
|
107 |
2% |
3% |
|
108 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
|
109 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
110 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
111 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
112 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
113 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
88 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
89 |
0.5% |
99.1% |
|
90 |
2% |
98.5% |
|
91 |
1.3% |
97% |
|
92 |
7% |
95% |
|
93 |
3% |
88% |
|
94 |
6% |
85% |
|
95 |
6% |
79% |
|
96 |
17% |
73% |
|
97 |
9% |
56% |
|
98 |
11% |
47% |
Median |
99 |
4% |
36% |
|
100 |
12% |
32% |
|
101 |
7% |
20% |
|
102 |
3% |
12% |
|
103 |
3% |
10% |
|
104 |
3% |
7% |
|
105 |
3% |
4% |
|
106 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
107 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
108 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
109 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
110 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
Majority |
86 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
87 |
0.6% |
99.4% |
|
88 |
1.0% |
98.8% |
|
89 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
90 |
3% |
97% |
|
91 |
5% |
94% |
|
92 |
3% |
89% |
|
93 |
4% |
86% |
|
94 |
5% |
82% |
|
95 |
20% |
77% |
|
96 |
8% |
57% |
|
97 |
10% |
49% |
Median |
98 |
6% |
39% |
|
99 |
8% |
33% |
|
100 |
10% |
26% |
|
101 |
4% |
16% |
|
102 |
7% |
12% |
|
103 |
1.4% |
5% |
|
104 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
105 |
2% |
3% |
|
106 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
107 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
108 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
109 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
110 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
83 |
1.0% |
99.3% |
|
84 |
3% |
98% |
|
85 |
2% |
96% |
Majority |
86 |
4% |
94% |
|
87 |
8% |
89% |
|
88 |
6% |
81% |
|
89 |
6% |
76% |
|
90 |
10% |
69% |
|
91 |
5% |
60% |
|
92 |
13% |
54% |
|
93 |
8% |
41% |
Median |
94 |
10% |
33% |
|
95 |
7% |
23% |
|
96 |
6% |
15% |
|
97 |
3% |
9% |
|
98 |
3% |
6% |
|
99 |
2% |
3% |
|
100 |
0.6% |
1.4% |
|
101 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
102 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
103 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
104 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
105 |
0% |
0% |
|
106 |
0% |
0% |
|
107 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
78 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
80 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
81 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
82 |
0.8% |
99.0% |
|
83 |
4% |
98% |
|
84 |
2% |
94% |
|
85 |
5% |
92% |
Majority |
86 |
5% |
87% |
|
87 |
12% |
82% |
|
88 |
14% |
70% |
|
89 |
5% |
55% |
Median |
90 |
11% |
50% |
|
91 |
10% |
39% |
|
92 |
8% |
29% |
|
93 |
7% |
21% |
|
94 |
6% |
14% |
|
95 |
2% |
8% |
|
96 |
3% |
6% |
|
97 |
2% |
3% |
|
98 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
99 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
100 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
101 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
102 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
77 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
Last Result |
78 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
79 |
3% |
98.9% |
|
80 |
2% |
96% |
|
81 |
3% |
94% |
|
82 |
3% |
91% |
|
83 |
11% |
88% |
|
84 |
9% |
77% |
|
85 |
9% |
68% |
Majority |
86 |
7% |
60% |
|
87 |
13% |
53% |
Median |
88 |
8% |
40% |
|
89 |
8% |
31% |
|
90 |
9% |
24% |
|
91 |
8% |
15% |
|
92 |
2% |
7% |
|
93 |
1.4% |
5% |
|
94 |
2% |
3% |
|
95 |
0.8% |
1.4% |
|
96 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
97 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
98 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
99 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
71 |
1.1% |
99.5% |
|
72 |
3% |
98% |
|
73 |
1.1% |
96% |
|
74 |
7% |
95% |
|
75 |
5% |
88% |
|
76 |
14% |
83% |
Last Result |
77 |
6% |
69% |
|
78 |
14% |
63% |
Median |
79 |
13% |
49% |
|
80 |
4% |
35% |
|
81 |
8% |
31% |
|
82 |
7% |
23% |
|
83 |
8% |
17% |
|
84 |
4% |
8% |
|
85 |
2% |
4% |
Majority |
86 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
87 |
0.6% |
1.3% |
|
88 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
89 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
91 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
68 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
69 |
0.7% |
99.1% |
|
70 |
2% |
98% |
|
71 |
3% |
97% |
|
72 |
4% |
94% |
|
73 |
6% |
91% |
|
74 |
8% |
84% |
|
75 |
10% |
77% |
|
76 |
8% |
67% |
|
77 |
13% |
58% |
|
78 |
5% |
45% |
|
79 |
10% |
40% |
Median |
80 |
6% |
30% |
|
81 |
5% |
24% |
|
82 |
8% |
19% |
|
83 |
4% |
10% |
|
84 |
2% |
6% |
|
85 |
2% |
4% |
Majority |
86 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
87 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
88 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
89 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
68 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
Last Result |
69 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
70 |
2% |
97% |
|
71 |
7% |
95% |
|
72 |
4% |
88% |
|
73 |
10% |
84% |
|
74 |
7% |
74% |
|
75 |
16% |
67% |
Median |
76 |
10% |
51% |
|
77 |
13% |
42% |
|
78 |
6% |
29% |
|
79 |
4% |
23% |
|
80 |
8% |
19% |
|
81 |
6% |
11% |
|
82 |
3% |
4% |
|
83 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
84 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
63 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
64 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
65 |
0.9% |
97% |
|
66 |
1.5% |
96% |
|
67 |
7% |
94% |
|
68 |
4% |
88% |
|
69 |
10% |
84% |
|
70 |
8% |
74% |
|
71 |
6% |
66% |
|
72 |
10% |
60% |
|
73 |
8% |
50% |
|
74 |
19% |
42% |
|
75 |
5% |
23% |
Median |
76 |
4% |
18% |
|
77 |
3% |
14% |
|
78 |
5% |
11% |
|
79 |
3% |
6% |
|
80 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
81 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
82 |
0.6% |
1.1% |
|
83 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
56 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
57 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
58 |
2% |
97% |
|
59 |
3% |
94% |
|
60 |
9% |
91% |
|
61 |
7% |
83% |
|
62 |
6% |
76% |
|
63 |
8% |
70% |
|
64 |
10% |
62% |
|
65 |
19% |
53% |
|
66 |
9% |
34% |
Median |
67 |
6% |
25% |
|
68 |
3% |
19% |
|
69 |
9% |
16% |
|
70 |
1.3% |
7% |
|
71 |
4% |
6% |
|
72 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
73 |
0.6% |
1.5% |
|
74 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
75 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
56 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
57 |
3% |
97% |
|
58 |
7% |
94% |
|
59 |
9% |
87% |
|
60 |
15% |
77% |
Last Result |
61 |
9% |
62% |
|
62 |
5% |
54% |
Median |
63 |
8% |
49% |
|
64 |
13% |
41% |
|
65 |
10% |
28% |
|
66 |
6% |
19% |
|
67 |
5% |
12% |
|
68 |
3% |
7% |
|
69 |
3% |
5% |
|
70 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
71 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
73 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
52 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
53 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
54 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
55 |
2% |
97% |
|
56 |
2% |
95% |
|
57 |
6% |
93% |
|
58 |
8% |
87% |
|
59 |
5% |
79% |
|
60 |
9% |
74% |
|
61 |
12% |
65% |
|
62 |
15% |
53% |
|
63 |
8% |
38% |
Median |
64 |
12% |
30% |
|
65 |
4% |
18% |
|
66 |
7% |
14% |
|
67 |
2% |
6% |
|
68 |
2% |
4% |
|
69 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
70 |
0.6% |
1.1% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
72 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
73 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
46 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
0.9% |
99.5% |
|
48 |
0.9% |
98.6% |
|
49 |
5% |
98% |
|
50 |
3% |
93% |
|
51 |
8% |
90% |
|
52 |
9% |
82% |
|
53 |
12% |
73% |
|
54 |
7% |
61% |
|
55 |
15% |
54% |
Median |
56 |
13% |
39% |
|
57 |
6% |
26% |
|
58 |
8% |
20% |
|
59 |
4% |
12% |
|
60 |
5% |
9% |
|
61 |
2% |
4% |
|
62 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
63 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
34 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
35 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
36 |
2% |
98% |
|
37 |
2% |
96% |
|
38 |
2% |
95% |
|
39 |
3% |
92% |
|
40 |
7% |
90% |
|
41 |
8% |
82% |
|
42 |
9% |
74% |
|
43 |
17% |
65% |
|
44 |
13% |
48% |
|
45 |
11% |
35% |
Median |
46 |
8% |
24% |
|
47 |
5% |
15% |
|
48 |
5% |
10% |
|
49 |
2% |
5% |
|
50 |
2% |
4% |
|
51 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
52 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
53 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
27 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
28 |
1.1% |
99.5% |
|
29 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
30 |
2% |
97% |
|
31 |
3% |
95% |
|
32 |
5% |
92% |
|
33 |
4% |
87% |
|
34 |
11% |
83% |
|
35 |
3% |
72% |
Last Result |
36 |
14% |
69% |
|
37 |
13% |
55% |
|
38 |
10% |
42% |
Median |
39 |
11% |
32% |
|
40 |
7% |
21% |
|
41 |
3% |
15% |
|
42 |
5% |
12% |
|
43 |
3% |
7% |
|
44 |
2% |
4% |
|
45 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
46 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
47 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
48 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
49 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinion Perduco
- Commissioner(s): Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse
- Fieldwork period: 1–10 September 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 942
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.60%