Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Dagbladet, 31 October 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 26.2% 25.7% 23.7–27.8% 23.1–28.4% 22.6–29.0% 21.7–30.0%
Høyre 20.4% 20.8% 18.9–22.8% 18.4–23.4% 18.0–23.9% 17.1–24.9%
Senterpartiet 13.5% 15.0% 13.4–16.8% 13.0–17.4% 12.6–17.8% 11.9–18.7%
Fremskrittspartiet 11.6% 9.8% 8.6–11.4% 8.2–11.8% 7.9–12.2% 7.3–13.0%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7.6% 8.3% 7.1–9.8% 6.8–10.2% 6.5–10.6% 6.0–11.3%
Rødt 4.7% 4.9% 4.0–6.1% 3.8–6.4% 3.6–6.7% 3.2–7.3%
Venstre 4.6% 4.1% 3.3–5.2% 3.1–5.5% 2.9–5.8% 2.5–6.4%
Kristelig Folkeparti 3.8% 4.0% 3.2–5.1% 3.0–5.4% 2.8–5.6% 2.4–6.2%
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3.9% 3.4% 2.7–4.5% 2.5–4.7% 2.3–5.0% 2.0–5.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 48 48 44–51 42–52 41–53 39–55
Høyre 36 36 33–40 31–41 30–42 29–44
Senterpartiet 28 29 26–32 24–33 23–34 21–35
Fremskrittspartiet 21 17 14–19 13–20 12–21 11–23
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 13 14 11–17 10–18 10–18 9–20
Rødt 8 8 1–10 1–11 1–12 1–13
Venstre 8 3 2–8 2–9 2–10 2–11
Kristelig Folkeparti 3 6 2–8 2–9 1–9 1–10
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3 3 1–7 1–8 1–8 1–9

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0% 100%  
38 0.2% 99.9%  
39 0.5% 99.8%  
40 1.3% 99.3%  
41 2% 98%  
42 2% 96%  
43 1.5% 95%  
44 4% 93%  
45 3% 90%  
46 8% 86%  
47 15% 78%  
48 23% 63% Last Result, Median
49 21% 41%  
50 8% 20%  
51 5% 12%  
52 4% 7%  
53 2% 3%  
54 0.6% 2%  
55 0.8% 1.0%  
56 0.1% 0.2%  
57 0% 0.1%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 99.9%  
28 0.3% 99.9%  
29 0.6% 99.6%  
30 2% 99.0%  
31 3% 97%  
32 5% 95%  
33 6% 90%  
34 12% 84%  
35 17% 72%  
36 13% 56% Last Result, Median
37 11% 43%  
38 4% 32%  
39 10% 28%  
40 12% 17%  
41 2% 5%  
42 1.1% 3%  
43 0.6% 2%  
44 0.7% 1.0%  
45 0.2% 0.4%  
46 0.1% 0.2%  
47 0% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.1% 100%  
20 0.2% 99.9%  
21 0.6% 99.7%  
22 1.0% 99.1%  
23 1.4% 98%  
24 3% 97%  
25 4% 94%  
26 3% 90%  
27 4% 87%  
28 11% 84% Last Result
29 25% 73% Median
30 14% 47%  
31 14% 34%  
32 10% 20%  
33 6% 10%  
34 2% 4%  
35 2% 2%  
36 0.2% 0.2%  
37 0% 0.1%  
38 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.1% 99.9%  
11 1.2% 99.8%  
12 1.4% 98.6%  
13 5% 97%  
14 5% 92%  
15 6% 88%  
16 25% 82%  
17 28% 56% Median
18 14% 28%  
19 6% 14%  
20 5% 8%  
21 1.5% 3% Last Result
22 1.2% 2%  
23 0.4% 0.7%  
24 0.1% 0.2%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100%  
8 0.3% 99.9%  
9 1.3% 99.7%  
10 4% 98%  
11 7% 94%  
12 12% 87%  
13 20% 75% Last Result
14 17% 55% Median
15 17% 38%  
16 7% 21%  
17 7% 14%  
18 5% 7%  
19 0.8% 2%  
20 0.8% 1.0%  
21 0.1% 0.2%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 10% 100%  
2 0.6% 90%  
3 0.1% 89%  
4 0% 89%  
5 0.1% 89%  
6 9% 89%  
7 19% 80%  
8 28% 61% Last Result, Median
9 14% 33%  
10 12% 20%  
11 5% 8%  
12 2% 3%  
13 0.5% 0.6%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.1% 100%  
2 15% 99.9%  
3 35% 85% Median
4 0% 50%  
5 0% 50%  
6 14% 50%  
7 16% 36%  
8 11% 20% Last Result
9 7% 9%  
10 2% 3%  
11 0.4% 0.6%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 3% 99.9%  
2 18% 97%  
3 22% 80% Last Result
4 0% 58%  
5 0.2% 58%  
6 15% 58% Median
7 14% 43%  
8 22% 29%  
9 5% 7%  
10 1.2% 2%  
11 0.2% 0.4%  
12 0.1% 0.2%  
13 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet De Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 14% 100%  
2 32% 86%  
3 31% 55% Last Result, Median
4 0% 24%  
5 0.1% 24%  
6 6% 24%  
7 11% 17%  
8 5% 6%  
9 1.5% 2%  
10 0.1% 0.2%  
11 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 100 102 100% 97–108 95–109 94–110 91–113
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 95 100 100% 95–105 93–107 91–108 89–110
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 97 99 100% 94–104 91–105 90–107 87–109
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 92 94 99.4% 90–100 88–101 87–102 84–104
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 96 92 97% 88–98 86–101 84–101 82–105
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 89 91 96% 87–96 85–97 84–98 81–101
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 82 87 67% 80–91 79–92 78–93 74–96
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 79 83 33% 78–87 76–89 74–90 71–93
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 76 78 2% 73–81 71–82 70–84 67–86
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 72 73 0.3% 67–78 65–80 64–81 61–83
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 71 66 0% 61–72 59–74 58–75 56–78
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 68 63 0% 58–69 56–70 55–72 52–75
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 61 62 0% 58–65 56–67 54–68 52–71
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre 65 58 0% 53–63 52–65 50–67 49–70
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet 57 53 0% 49–57 47–59 46–60 44–63
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 47 47 0% 41–51 40–53 39–54 37–56
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 39 40 0% 35–45 34–47 31–48 28–50

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
88 0% 100%  
89 0.1% 99.9%  
90 0.2% 99.8%  
91 0.2% 99.6%  
92 0.7% 99.4%  
93 0.9% 98.7%  
94 2% 98%  
95 1.3% 96%  
96 4% 95%  
97 4% 91%  
98 4% 87%  
99 7% 83%  
100 12% 76% Last Result
101 5% 64%  
102 17% 58% Median
103 9% 42%  
104 7% 33%  
105 6% 26%  
106 4% 19%  
107 3% 15%  
108 5% 12%  
109 3% 7%  
110 2% 4%  
111 0.8% 2%  
112 0.5% 1.2%  
113 0.3% 0.7%  
114 0.1% 0.4%  
115 0.2% 0.3%  
116 0.1% 0.1%  
117 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
86 0.1% 100%  
87 0.2% 99.9%  
88 0.1% 99.7%  
89 0.5% 99.6%  
90 0.4% 99.1%  
91 2% 98.7%  
92 1.3% 97%  
93 1.4% 96%  
94 4% 94%  
95 5% 90% Last Result
96 8% 86%  
97 7% 78%  
98 5% 71%  
99 9% 66%  
100 14% 56% Median
101 5% 43%  
102 15% 37%  
103 4% 22%  
104 4% 18%  
105 6% 14%  
106 2% 8%  
107 3% 6%  
108 2% 3%  
109 1.0% 2%  
110 0.2% 0.6%  
111 0.2% 0.4%  
112 0.1% 0.2%  
113 0.1% 0.1%  
114 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0.1% 100% Majority
86 0.1% 99.9%  
87 0.3% 99.8%  
88 0.5% 99.5%  
89 0.8% 99.0%  
90 1.4% 98%  
91 2% 97%  
92 2% 95%  
93 2% 93%  
94 6% 91%  
95 4% 86%  
96 7% 81%  
97 18% 75% Last Result
98 3% 56%  
99 6% 53% Median
100 16% 46%  
101 8% 30%  
102 7% 22%  
103 2% 15%  
104 4% 13%  
105 4% 8%  
106 1.4% 5%  
107 2% 3%  
108 0.4% 2%  
109 0.8% 1.1%  
110 0.2% 0.3%  
111 0% 0.1%  
112 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0% 100%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.2% 99.9%  
84 0.3% 99.7%  
85 0.4% 99.4% Majority
86 0.7% 99.0%  
87 1.4% 98%  
88 3% 97%  
89 3% 94%  
90 4% 91%  
91 7% 87%  
92 7% 80% Last Result
93 7% 73%  
94 23% 66% Median
95 8% 44%  
96 6% 35%  
97 10% 30%  
98 3% 19%  
99 6% 16%  
100 4% 10%  
101 3% 6%  
102 2% 4%  
103 0.4% 2%  
104 0.8% 1.3%  
105 0.1% 0.4%  
106 0.1% 0.3%  
107 0.1% 0.2%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0%  

Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0% 100%  
80 0.2% 99.9%  
81 0.2% 99.7%  
82 0.7% 99.6%  
83 0.5% 98.9%  
84 1.1% 98%  
85 2% 97% Majority
86 2% 95%  
87 3% 94%  
88 10% 90%  
89 4% 81%  
90 8% 76%  
91 8% 69% Median
92 13% 60%  
93 5% 47%  
94 7% 42%  
95 6% 35%  
96 12% 29% Last Result
97 6% 17%  
98 3% 12%  
99 3% 9%  
100 1.0% 6%  
101 3% 5%  
102 0.9% 2%  
103 0.4% 2%  
104 0.5% 1.1%  
105 0.4% 0.6%  
106 0.1% 0.2%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0.1% 0.1%  
109 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0.1% 100%  
80 0.2% 99.9%  
81 0.4% 99.6%  
82 0.9% 99.3%  
83 0.7% 98%  
84 2% 98%  
85 2% 96% Majority
86 3% 94%  
87 5% 92%  
88 6% 87%  
89 9% 81% Last Result
90 10% 72%  
91 15% 62% Median
92 16% 47%  
93 8% 31%  
94 10% 22%  
95 2% 12%  
96 4% 10%  
97 3% 7%  
98 2% 4%  
99 0.8% 2%  
100 0.6% 1.4%  
101 0.6% 0.8%  
102 0% 0.2%  
103 0% 0.2%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0.1% 0.1%  
106 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.2% 99.9%  
73 0.2% 99.7%  
74 0.2% 99.6%  
75 0.4% 99.4%  
76 0.5% 98.9%  
77 0.8% 98%  
78 0.8% 98%  
79 4% 97%  
80 4% 93%  
81 4% 89%  
82 6% 85% Last Result
83 6% 79%  
84 6% 73%  
85 5% 67% Majority
86 10% 62% Median
87 21% 52%  
88 6% 31%  
89 6% 25%  
90 8% 19%  
91 3% 11%  
92 3% 7%  
93 1.2% 4%  
94 0.9% 2%  
95 0.7% 1.4%  
96 0.4% 0.8%  
97 0.1% 0.4%  
98 0.2% 0.3%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.2% 99.8%  
71 0.2% 99.6%  
72 0.4% 99.5%  
73 1.0% 99.1%  
74 1.0% 98%  
75 1.0% 97%  
76 2% 96%  
77 4% 94%  
78 4% 90%  
79 7% 86% Last Result
80 12% 79%  
81 7% 67%  
82 6% 61%  
83 7% 55% Median
84 15% 48%  
85 13% 33% Majority
86 6% 20%  
87 6% 14%  
88 3% 8%  
89 3% 5%  
90 1.2% 3%  
91 0.6% 1.4%  
92 0.2% 0.8%  
93 0.3% 0.6%  
94 0.2% 0.3%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.2% 99.8%  
67 0.3% 99.6%  
68 0.3% 99.3%  
69 0.6% 99.0%  
70 2% 98%  
71 2% 96%  
72 3% 95%  
73 3% 92%  
74 6% 89%  
75 6% 84%  
76 6% 78% Last Result
77 20% 72% Median
78 26% 51%  
79 9% 26%  
80 5% 17%  
81 5% 12%  
82 3% 7%  
83 1.1% 4%  
84 1.0% 3%  
85 1.0% 2% Majority
86 0.4% 0.7%  
87 0.1% 0.3%  
88 0.2% 0.2%  
89 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.1% 99.8%  
61 0.5% 99.8%  
62 0.3% 99.2%  
63 0.7% 98.9%  
64 0.9% 98%  
65 3% 97%  
66 3% 95%  
67 2% 92%  
68 5% 90%  
69 3% 84%  
70 5% 81%  
71 13% 76%  
72 10% 63% Last Result
73 12% 53% Median
74 12% 40%  
75 5% 28%  
76 5% 23%  
77 6% 18%  
78 3% 12%  
79 3% 9%  
80 3% 6%  
81 2% 3%  
82 0.7% 1.4%  
83 0.2% 0.7%  
84 0.2% 0.5%  
85 0.1% 0.3% Majority
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0% 100%  
55 0.1% 99.9%  
56 0.8% 99.8%  
57 0.8% 99.0%  
58 1.2% 98%  
59 3% 97%  
60 3% 94%  
61 2% 91%  
62 6% 89%  
63 4% 83%  
64 5% 79%  
65 10% 75% Median
66 15% 65%  
67 8% 50%  
68 8% 42%  
69 14% 34%  
70 5% 20%  
71 3% 15% Last Result
72 4% 12%  
73 2% 8%  
74 2% 6%  
75 2% 4%  
76 0.9% 2%  
77 0.4% 1.3%  
78 0.5% 0.9%  
79 0.2% 0.4%  
80 0.1% 0.2%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 99.9%  
52 0.4% 99.9%  
53 0.9% 99.5%  
54 0.6% 98.6%  
55 2% 98%  
56 4% 96%  
57 1.3% 93%  
58 6% 91%  
59 6% 85%  
60 8% 79%  
61 6% 71%  
62 5% 65% Median
63 14% 61%  
64 7% 47%  
65 7% 40%  
66 7% 33%  
67 12% 25%  
68 4% 14% Last Result
69 3% 10%  
70 2% 7%  
71 1.5% 5%  
72 1.2% 3%  
73 1.2% 2%  
74 0.4% 1.0%  
75 0.4% 0.6%  
76 0.1% 0.2%  
77 0.1% 0.1%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0.2% 99.9%  
52 0.4% 99.7%  
53 1.2% 99.3%  
54 1.1% 98%  
55 1.4% 97%  
56 2% 96%  
57 3% 94%  
58 5% 91%  
59 4% 87%  
60 12% 82%  
61 11% 70% Last Result
62 19% 59% Median
63 17% 40%  
64 7% 23%  
65 7% 16%  
66 3% 9%  
67 2% 6%  
68 2% 4%  
69 0.7% 2%  
70 0.5% 2%  
71 0.9% 1.2%  
72 0.2% 0.3%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0% 100%  
47 0.1% 99.9%  
48 0.3% 99.9%  
49 0.9% 99.6%  
50 2% 98.7%  
51 1.4% 97%  
52 3% 96%  
53 5% 92%  
54 4% 87%  
55 4% 83%  
56 11% 79% Median
57 12% 68%  
58 16% 56%  
59 12% 41%  
60 8% 28%  
61 5% 20%  
62 4% 15%  
63 3% 11%  
64 2% 8%  
65 2% 5% Last Result
66 0.8% 4%  
67 1.2% 3%  
68 0.3% 2%  
69 0.7% 2%  
70 0.4% 0.8%  
71 0.2% 0.3%  
72 0% 0.2%  
73 0.1% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0% 100%  
42 0.1% 99.9%  
43 0.2% 99.9%  
44 0.4% 99.7%  
45 0.9% 99.2%  
46 2% 98%  
47 3% 97%  
48 2% 94%  
49 7% 92%  
50 8% 85%  
51 18% 77%  
52 7% 59%  
53 10% 52% Median
54 7% 42%  
55 8% 35%  
56 14% 27%  
57 4% 13% Last Result
58 3% 9%  
59 3% 6%  
60 0.8% 3%  
61 1.4% 2%  
62 0.5% 1.1%  
63 0.3% 0.6%  
64 0.2% 0.4%  
65 0.1% 0.2%  
66 0.1% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.2% 100%  
36 0.2% 99.7%  
37 0.5% 99.6%  
38 0.6% 99.0%  
39 2% 98%  
40 4% 97%  
41 6% 93%  
42 5% 87%  
43 8% 83%  
44 7% 75%  
45 5% 68% Median
46 11% 63%  
47 13% 51% Last Result
48 3% 38%  
49 9% 35%  
50 4% 26%  
51 13% 22%  
52 3% 9%  
53 3% 6%  
54 1.4% 4%  
55 1.0% 2%  
56 0.9% 1.4%  
57 0.2% 0.4%  
58 0.1% 0.3%  
59 0.1% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.1% 100%  
26 0.2% 99.9%  
27 0.1% 99.7%  
28 0.2% 99.7%  
29 0.5% 99.4%  
30 1.2% 98.9%  
31 0.4% 98%  
32 1.0% 97%  
33 0.8% 96%  
34 1.1% 96%  
35 7% 94%  
36 9% 88%  
37 6% 79%  
38 10% 73% Median
39 11% 63% Last Result
40 13% 53%  
41 14% 39%  
42 4% 26%  
43 6% 22%  
44 3% 16%  
45 5% 13%  
46 2% 9%  
47 3% 7%  
48 1.1% 3%  
49 0.7% 2%  
50 1.0% 1.3%  
51 0.1% 0.2%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations