Opinion Poll by Opinion Perduco for Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse, 3–9 December 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet |
26.2% |
23.9% |
21.8–26.1% |
21.2–26.8% |
20.7–27.3% |
19.8–28.4% |
Høyre |
20.4% |
23.1% |
21.0–25.3% |
20.5–26.0% |
20.0–26.5% |
19.0–27.6% |
Senterpartiet |
13.5% |
11.9% |
10.4–13.7% |
10.0–14.2% |
9.6–14.7% |
9.0–15.6% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
11.6% |
11.1% |
9.7–12.9% |
9.3–13.4% |
8.9–13.8% |
8.3–14.7% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
7.6% |
9.3% |
7.9–10.9% |
7.6–11.4% |
7.2–11.8% |
6.7–12.6% |
Rødt |
4.7% |
6.9% |
5.8–8.4% |
5.5–8.8% |
5.2–9.2% |
4.7–9.9% |
Venstre |
4.6% |
4.9% |
3.9–6.1% |
3.7–6.5% |
3.4–6.8% |
3.0–7.5% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
3.8% |
3.1% |
2.4–4.2% |
2.2–4.5% |
2.0–4.8% |
1.7–5.4% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.9% |
3.0% |
2.3–4.0% |
2.1–4.3% |
1.9–4.6% |
1.6–5.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
35 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
1.0% |
99.6% |
|
37 |
1.4% |
98.5% |
|
38 |
3% |
97% |
|
39 |
5% |
95% |
|
40 |
7% |
89% |
|
41 |
10% |
82% |
|
42 |
12% |
72% |
|
43 |
14% |
60% |
Median |
44 |
8% |
46% |
|
45 |
10% |
38% |
|
46 |
5% |
29% |
|
47 |
11% |
23% |
|
48 |
4% |
12% |
Last Result |
49 |
3% |
8% |
|
50 |
3% |
5% |
|
51 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
52 |
0.4% |
1.2% |
|
53 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
32 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
33 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
34 |
1.0% |
99.3% |
|
35 |
2% |
98% |
|
36 |
3% |
97% |
Last Result |
37 |
5% |
93% |
|
38 |
10% |
88% |
|
39 |
7% |
78% |
|
40 |
14% |
71% |
|
41 |
15% |
57% |
Median |
42 |
12% |
42% |
|
43 |
11% |
31% |
|
44 |
7% |
20% |
|
45 |
8% |
13% |
|
46 |
3% |
5% |
|
47 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
48 |
0.7% |
1.4% |
|
49 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
50 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
15 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
16 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
17 |
4% |
97% |
|
18 |
10% |
93% |
|
19 |
6% |
84% |
|
20 |
16% |
77% |
|
21 |
12% |
61% |
Median |
22 |
14% |
50% |
|
23 |
9% |
36% |
|
24 |
9% |
27% |
|
25 |
6% |
19% |
|
26 |
7% |
13% |
|
27 |
2% |
6% |
|
28 |
1.1% |
4% |
Last Result |
29 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
30 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
31 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
32 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
14 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
15 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
16 |
4% |
97% |
|
17 |
8% |
93% |
|
18 |
11% |
85% |
|
19 |
18% |
74% |
|
20 |
26% |
56% |
Median |
21 |
9% |
30% |
Last Result |
22 |
6% |
21% |
|
23 |
7% |
15% |
|
24 |
5% |
8% |
|
25 |
2% |
3% |
|
26 |
0.8% |
1.2% |
|
27 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
28 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
29 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
12 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
13 |
5% |
97% |
Last Result |
14 |
10% |
91% |
|
15 |
18% |
81% |
|
16 |
17% |
63% |
Median |
17 |
15% |
47% |
|
18 |
14% |
32% |
|
19 |
8% |
18% |
|
20 |
7% |
10% |
|
21 |
2% |
3% |
|
22 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
23 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
25 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
8 |
1.1% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
9 |
4% |
98.8% |
|
10 |
13% |
95% |
|
11 |
19% |
82% |
|
12 |
19% |
63% |
Median |
13 |
17% |
45% |
|
14 |
14% |
28% |
|
15 |
9% |
13% |
|
16 |
2% |
4% |
|
17 |
2% |
2% |
|
18 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
4% |
100% |
|
3 |
8% |
96% |
|
4 |
0% |
88% |
|
5 |
0% |
88% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
88% |
|
7 |
6% |
88% |
|
8 |
20% |
82% |
Last Result |
9 |
35% |
62% |
Median |
10 |
17% |
27% |
|
11 |
5% |
10% |
|
12 |
3% |
5% |
|
13 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
14 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
8% |
100% |
|
1 |
15% |
92% |
|
2 |
37% |
78% |
Median |
3 |
25% |
41% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
16% |
|
5 |
0% |
16% |
|
6 |
0.3% |
16% |
|
7 |
9% |
15% |
|
8 |
5% |
6% |
|
9 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
11 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
1 |
43% |
99.5% |
|
2 |
34% |
56% |
Median |
3 |
13% |
22% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
10% |
|
5 |
0% |
10% |
|
6 |
0.3% |
10% |
|
7 |
5% |
9% |
|
8 |
3% |
4% |
|
9 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
100 |
96 |
99.8% |
91–101 |
90–103 |
88–104 |
86–107 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt |
97 |
94 |
98.9% |
89–99 |
87–100 |
86–102 |
84–105 |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
96 |
94 |
98.8% |
89–98 |
87–100 |
86–101 |
83–104 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
95 |
87 |
72% |
82–92 |
81–94 |
79–95 |
76–98 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
92 |
84 |
46% |
79–89 |
78–90 |
76–92 |
74–95 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
89 |
82 |
21% |
77–87 |
76–88 |
74–89 |
72–92 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
72 |
75 |
0.7% |
70–79 |
68–81 |
67–82 |
64–85 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
71 |
74 |
0.3% |
69–79 |
68–81 |
66–82 |
64–84 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
68 |
72 |
0.1% |
67–77 |
65–78 |
64–79 |
61–82 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
82 |
70 |
0.2% |
65–76 |
63–78 |
62–79 |
60–83 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
79 |
68 |
0% |
62–73 |
62–75 |
60–77 |
58–80 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
65 |
69 |
0% |
64–74 |
62–75 |
61–76 |
58–79 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
76 |
65 |
0% |
60–70 |
59–72 |
58–73 |
56–76 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
57 |
61 |
0% |
56–65 |
55–67 |
53–68 |
51–70 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
61 |
60 |
0% |
56–64 |
54–66 |
53–67 |
50–69 |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
47 |
52 |
0% |
47–57 |
46–58 |
44–59 |
42–62 |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
39 |
33 |
0% |
28–38 |
27–39 |
26–41 |
24–44 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
83 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
85 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
Majority |
86 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
87 |
1.0% |
99.3% |
|
88 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
89 |
2% |
97% |
|
90 |
3% |
96% |
|
91 |
3% |
93% |
|
92 |
5% |
89% |
|
93 |
8% |
84% |
|
94 |
12% |
76% |
Median |
95 |
5% |
64% |
|
96 |
12% |
59% |
|
97 |
9% |
48% |
|
98 |
8% |
38% |
|
99 |
11% |
30% |
|
100 |
3% |
19% |
Last Result |
101 |
6% |
16% |
|
102 |
4% |
10% |
|
103 |
2% |
6% |
|
104 |
1.0% |
4% |
|
105 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
106 |
0.6% |
1.4% |
|
107 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
108 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
109 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
110 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
111 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
81 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
84 |
0.7% |
99.6% |
|
85 |
1.1% |
98.9% |
Majority |
86 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
87 |
2% |
97% |
|
88 |
3% |
95% |
|
89 |
4% |
92% |
|
90 |
6% |
88% |
|
91 |
7% |
82% |
|
92 |
14% |
75% |
Median |
93 |
5% |
62% |
|
94 |
12% |
57% |
|
95 |
8% |
45% |
|
96 |
9% |
37% |
|
97 |
7% |
28% |
Last Result |
98 |
6% |
20% |
|
99 |
5% |
14% |
|
100 |
5% |
9% |
|
101 |
2% |
5% |
|
102 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
103 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
104 |
0.4% |
1.2% |
|
105 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
106 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
107 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
108 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
109 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
83 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
84 |
0.4% |
99.3% |
|
85 |
1.2% |
98.8% |
Majority |
86 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
87 |
2% |
97% |
|
88 |
4% |
95% |
|
89 |
4% |
91% |
|
90 |
5% |
87% |
|
91 |
6% |
82% |
|
92 |
10% |
76% |
|
93 |
12% |
66% |
Median |
94 |
11% |
54% |
|
95 |
10% |
43% |
|
96 |
13% |
33% |
Last Result |
97 |
6% |
19% |
|
98 |
6% |
13% |
|
99 |
2% |
8% |
|
100 |
3% |
5% |
|
101 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
102 |
0.4% |
1.4% |
|
103 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
104 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
105 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
106 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
107 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
74 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
75 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
77 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
78 |
0.9% |
99.1% |
|
79 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
80 |
1.4% |
97% |
|
81 |
6% |
96% |
|
82 |
4% |
90% |
|
83 |
9% |
86% |
|
84 |
6% |
78% |
Median |
85 |
9% |
72% |
Majority |
86 |
12% |
63% |
|
87 |
9% |
51% |
|
88 |
10% |
42% |
|
89 |
9% |
33% |
|
90 |
6% |
24% |
|
91 |
6% |
18% |
|
92 |
4% |
12% |
|
93 |
2% |
8% |
|
94 |
2% |
6% |
|
95 |
2% |
4% |
Last Result |
96 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
97 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
|
98 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
99 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
100 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
101 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
102 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
103 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
72 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
73 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
74 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
75 |
0.7% |
99.2% |
|
76 |
1.2% |
98.5% |
|
77 |
2% |
97% |
|
78 |
4% |
96% |
|
79 |
5% |
92% |
|
80 |
5% |
87% |
|
81 |
8% |
81% |
|
82 |
7% |
74% |
Median |
83 |
13% |
67% |
|
84 |
8% |
54% |
|
85 |
13% |
46% |
Majority |
86 |
8% |
33% |
|
87 |
5% |
25% |
|
88 |
8% |
20% |
|
89 |
3% |
12% |
|
90 |
4% |
9% |
|
91 |
2% |
5% |
|
92 |
1.2% |
3% |
Last Result |
93 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
94 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
95 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
96 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
97 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
98 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
99 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
70 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
73 |
1.0% |
99.0% |
|
74 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
75 |
2% |
97% |
|
76 |
3% |
95% |
|
77 |
5% |
92% |
|
78 |
9% |
87% |
|
79 |
7% |
78% |
|
80 |
7% |
72% |
Median |
81 |
12% |
65% |
|
82 |
10% |
53% |
|
83 |
7% |
42% |
|
84 |
14% |
35% |
|
85 |
6% |
21% |
Majority |
86 |
3% |
15% |
|
87 |
5% |
12% |
|
88 |
3% |
7% |
|
89 |
2% |
4% |
Last Result |
90 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
91 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
92 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
93 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
95 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
65 |
0.6% |
99.4% |
|
66 |
0.5% |
98.8% |
|
67 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
68 |
3% |
97% |
|
69 |
3% |
95% |
|
70 |
4% |
92% |
|
71 |
7% |
87% |
|
72 |
7% |
81% |
Last Result |
73 |
13% |
73% |
Median |
74 |
10% |
61% |
|
75 |
11% |
50% |
|
76 |
11% |
39% |
|
77 |
9% |
28% |
|
78 |
5% |
19% |
|
79 |
4% |
14% |
|
80 |
3% |
10% |
|
81 |
3% |
7% |
|
82 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
83 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
84 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
85 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
Majority |
86 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
87 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
62 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
64 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
|
65 |
0.6% |
98.9% |
|
66 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
67 |
2% |
97% |
|
68 |
2% |
95% |
|
69 |
5% |
93% |
|
70 |
5% |
88% |
|
71 |
7% |
83% |
Last Result |
72 |
10% |
76% |
|
73 |
8% |
66% |
|
74 |
8% |
58% |
Median |
75 |
12% |
50% |
|
76 |
7% |
38% |
|
77 |
12% |
31% |
|
78 |
6% |
18% |
|
79 |
5% |
12% |
|
80 |
2% |
7% |
|
81 |
2% |
5% |
|
82 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
83 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
84 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
62 |
0.5% |
99.3% |
|
63 |
0.7% |
98.8% |
|
64 |
2% |
98% |
|
65 |
2% |
96% |
|
66 |
3% |
95% |
|
67 |
5% |
92% |
|
68 |
6% |
88% |
Last Result |
69 |
4% |
81% |
|
70 |
13% |
77% |
|
71 |
10% |
65% |
|
72 |
7% |
54% |
Median |
73 |
12% |
47% |
|
74 |
9% |
36% |
|
75 |
10% |
27% |
|
76 |
7% |
17% |
|
77 |
4% |
11% |
|
78 |
3% |
7% |
|
79 |
2% |
4% |
|
80 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
81 |
0.9% |
1.5% |
|
82 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
84 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0% |
0.1% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
61 |
0.9% |
99.5% |
|
62 |
2% |
98.5% |
|
63 |
4% |
97% |
|
64 |
2% |
93% |
|
65 |
5% |
90% |
|
66 |
5% |
85% |
|
67 |
5% |
80% |
|
68 |
7% |
75% |
Median |
69 |
7% |
68% |
|
70 |
14% |
61% |
|
71 |
8% |
47% |
|
72 |
10% |
39% |
|
73 |
7% |
29% |
|
74 |
6% |
22% |
|
75 |
4% |
16% |
|
76 |
3% |
12% |
|
77 |
4% |
9% |
|
78 |
2% |
6% |
|
79 |
2% |
4% |
|
80 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
81 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
82 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
Last Result |
83 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
84 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
56 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
58 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
59 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
|
60 |
2% |
98.9% |
|
61 |
2% |
97% |
|
62 |
6% |
95% |
|
63 |
5% |
89% |
|
64 |
6% |
84% |
|
65 |
3% |
78% |
|
66 |
7% |
75% |
Median |
67 |
11% |
68% |
|
68 |
8% |
56% |
|
69 |
11% |
48% |
|
70 |
10% |
37% |
|
71 |
8% |
27% |
|
72 |
5% |
19% |
|
73 |
5% |
14% |
|
74 |
2% |
9% |
|
75 |
2% |
7% |
|
76 |
2% |
5% |
|
77 |
2% |
3% |
|
78 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
79 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
Last Result |
80 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
83 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
59 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
60 |
1.2% |
99.0% |
|
61 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
62 |
2% |
96% |
|
63 |
2% |
94% |
|
64 |
3% |
92% |
|
65 |
4% |
89% |
Last Result |
66 |
9% |
84% |
|
67 |
4% |
75% |
|
68 |
11% |
71% |
|
69 |
12% |
60% |
|
70 |
11% |
47% |
Median |
71 |
8% |
37% |
|
72 |
7% |
28% |
|
73 |
10% |
21% |
|
74 |
4% |
11% |
|
75 |
3% |
7% |
|
76 |
2% |
4% |
|
77 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
78 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
79 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
55 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
0.8% |
99.7% |
|
57 |
0.9% |
98.9% |
|
58 |
2% |
98% |
|
59 |
3% |
96% |
|
60 |
5% |
93% |
|
61 |
8% |
87% |
|
62 |
4% |
80% |
|
63 |
6% |
75% |
|
64 |
9% |
70% |
Median |
65 |
12% |
61% |
|
66 |
8% |
49% |
|
67 |
13% |
41% |
|
68 |
8% |
29% |
|
69 |
7% |
20% |
|
70 |
5% |
13% |
|
71 |
3% |
8% |
|
72 |
1.4% |
5% |
|
73 |
2% |
4% |
|
74 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
75 |
0.6% |
1.4% |
|
76 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
Last Result |
77 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
52 |
0.8% |
99.3% |
|
53 |
1.0% |
98.5% |
|
54 |
2% |
97% |
|
55 |
3% |
95% |
|
56 |
4% |
93% |
|
57 |
8% |
89% |
Last Result |
58 |
5% |
81% |
|
59 |
9% |
76% |
|
60 |
14% |
67% |
|
61 |
13% |
53% |
Median |
62 |
6% |
40% |
|
63 |
10% |
35% |
|
64 |
11% |
25% |
|
65 |
6% |
14% |
|
66 |
3% |
8% |
|
67 |
2% |
5% |
|
68 |
2% |
3% |
|
69 |
0.4% |
1.2% |
|
70 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
73 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
0.6% |
99.4% |
|
52 |
0.4% |
98.8% |
|
53 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
54 |
3% |
97% |
|
55 |
2% |
94% |
|
56 |
6% |
92% |
|
57 |
7% |
86% |
|
58 |
12% |
79% |
|
59 |
13% |
67% |
Median |
60 |
9% |
54% |
|
61 |
10% |
45% |
Last Result |
62 |
14% |
35% |
|
63 |
9% |
22% |
|
64 |
4% |
13% |
|
65 |
3% |
9% |
|
66 |
2% |
6% |
|
67 |
2% |
4% |
|
68 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
69 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
70 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
42 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
|
43 |
0.5% |
99.1% |
|
44 |
1.4% |
98.6% |
|
45 |
2% |
97% |
|
46 |
2% |
96% |
|
47 |
5% |
94% |
Last Result |
48 |
4% |
89% |
|
49 |
7% |
85% |
|
50 |
11% |
79% |
|
51 |
13% |
67% |
|
52 |
8% |
55% |
Median |
53 |
10% |
47% |
|
54 |
12% |
36% |
|
55 |
7% |
25% |
|
56 |
6% |
18% |
|
57 |
4% |
12% |
|
58 |
4% |
8% |
|
59 |
2% |
4% |
|
60 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
61 |
0.7% |
1.2% |
|
62 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
23 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
24 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
|
25 |
0.9% |
98.9% |
|
26 |
3% |
98% |
|
27 |
3% |
95% |
|
28 |
7% |
93% |
|
29 |
6% |
86% |
|
30 |
8% |
80% |
|
31 |
9% |
72% |
|
32 |
10% |
63% |
Median |
33 |
7% |
53% |
|
34 |
9% |
46% |
|
35 |
12% |
37% |
|
36 |
9% |
25% |
|
37 |
4% |
15% |
|
38 |
4% |
11% |
|
39 |
3% |
7% |
Last Result |
40 |
1.3% |
4% |
|
41 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
42 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
43 |
0.8% |
1.4% |
|
44 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
45 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
47 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
48 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinion Perduco
- Commissioner(s): Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse
- Fieldwork period: 3–9 December 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 637
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.12%