Opinion Poll by InFact for Nettavisen, 20 December 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 25.4% | 23.7–27.2% | 23.2–27.8% | 22.8–28.2% | 22.0–29.1% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 21.6% | 20.0–23.3% | 19.5–23.8% | 19.1–24.2% | 18.4–25.1% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 13.8% | 12.5–15.3% | 12.1–15.7% | 11.8–16.1% | 11.2–16.8% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 9.9% | 8.7–11.2% | 8.4–11.5% | 8.2–11.8% | 7.7–12.5% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.0–10.3% | 7.7–10.7% | 7.4–11.0% | 7.0–11.6% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.2–7.2% | 5.0–7.5% | 4.8–7.8% | 4.4–8.3% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.0–5.7% | 3.8–6.0% | 3.6–6.2% | 3.2–6.7% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.5–4.8% | 2.2–5.2% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.5–4.0% | 2.4–4.2% | 2.2–4.4% | 2.0–4.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 45 | 42–48 | 41–49 | 41–50 | 40–53 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 40 | 37–43 | 37–44 | 36–45 | 34–47 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 24 | 22–27 | 21–28 | 21–29 | 19–30 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 17 | 15–20 | 15–20 | 14–21 | 14–22 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 16 | 14–18 | 14–19 | 13–19 | 12–21 |
| Rødt | 8 | 11 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 9–14 | 8–15 |
| Venstre | 8 | 8 | 3–10 | 3–11 | 3–11 | 2–12 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 2 | 1–7 | 1–8 | 1–8 | 1–9 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–7 | 1–7 | 0–8 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 1.5% | 99.5% | |
| 41 | 4% | 98% | |
| 42 | 8% | 94% | |
| 43 | 6% | 86% | |
| 44 | 15% | 81% | |
| 45 | 19% | 65% | Median |
| 46 | 13% | 46% | |
| 47 | 14% | 33% | |
| 48 | 9% | 19% | |
| 49 | 5% | 10% | |
| 50 | 3% | 5% | |
| 51 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 52 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 35 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 36 | 3% | 98% | |
| 37 | 10% | 96% | |
| 38 | 9% | 85% | |
| 39 | 23% | 77% | |
| 40 | 10% | 54% | Median |
| 41 | 18% | 44% | |
| 42 | 11% | 25% | |
| 43 | 7% | 15% | |
| 44 | 2% | 7% | |
| 45 | 3% | 5% | |
| 46 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 47 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 21 | 4% | 98% | Last Result |
| 22 | 14% | 93% | |
| 23 | 16% | 80% | |
| 24 | 15% | 63% | Median |
| 25 | 14% | 48% | |
| 26 | 19% | 34% | |
| 27 | 8% | 15% | |
| 28 | 4% | 7% | |
| 29 | 2% | 3% | |
| 30 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 31 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 15 | 9% | 97% | |
| 16 | 17% | 88% | |
| 17 | 29% | 71% | Median |
| 18 | 17% | 42% | |
| 19 | 12% | 25% | |
| 20 | 10% | 13% | |
| 21 | 2% | 3% | |
| 22 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 23 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 12 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
| 13 | 3% | 98.7% | Last Result |
| 14 | 13% | 96% | |
| 15 | 17% | 82% | |
| 16 | 18% | 65% | Median |
| 17 | 26% | 47% | |
| 18 | 14% | 21% | |
| 19 | 6% | 8% | |
| 20 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 21 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 8 | 2% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 9 | 14% | 98% | |
| 10 | 22% | 84% | |
| 11 | 25% | 62% | Median |
| 12 | 24% | 37% | |
| 13 | 10% | 13% | |
| 14 | 3% | 4% | |
| 15 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 9% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0% | 88% | |
| 5 | 0% | 88% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 88% | |
| 7 | 8% | 88% | |
| 8 | 31% | 80% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 30% | 49% | |
| 10 | 14% | 19% | |
| 11 | 4% | 5% | |
| 12 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13% | 100% | |
| 2 | 47% | 87% | Median |
| 3 | 22% | 40% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 18% | |
| 5 | 0% | 18% | |
| 6 | 0.3% | 18% | |
| 7 | 11% | 18% | |
| 8 | 5% | 7% | |
| 9 | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 2% | 98% | |
| 2 | 63% | 96% | Median |
| 3 | 25% | 34% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 8% | |
| 6 | 0.6% | 8% | |
| 7 | 5% | 8% | |
| 8 | 2% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 98 | 100% | 94–102 | 93–103 | 91–104 | 89–106 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 88 | 86% | 84–92 | 82–93 | 81–94 | 80–96 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt | 97 | 85 | 52% | 80–89 | 79–90 | 78–91 | 76–93 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 71 | 83 | 40% | 80–88 | 78–89 | 78–90 | 75–91 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 81 | 9% | 76–84 | 75–86 | 74–87 | 71–88 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 95 | 80 | 5% | 76–83 | 74–85 | 72–86 | 71–88 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 78 | 2% | 74–81 | 73–83 | 72–84 | 69–86 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 77 | 1.0% | 73–81 | 72–82 | 70–83 | 69–85 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 89 | 74 | 0% | 70–77 | 68–78 | 68–79 | 66–82 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 70 | 0% | 67–74 | 65–75 | 64–76 | 63–79 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 70 | 0% | 66–73 | 65–75 | 64–76 | 62–78 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 82 | 63 | 0% | 59–67 | 58–69 | 57–70 | 56–73 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 60 | 0% | 56–64 | 55–65 | 55–66 | 53–68 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 58 | 0% | 54–61 | 53–62 | 52–63 | 51–65 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 56 | 0% | 52–60 | 51–61 | 50–62 | 48–64 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 56 | 0% | 53–59 | 52–61 | 51–61 | 50–63 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 28 | 0% | 24–32 | 23–33 | 22–34 | 20–36 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 89 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 90 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 91 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 92 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 93 | 2% | 96% | |
| 94 | 7% | 94% | |
| 95 | 9% | 86% | |
| 96 | 10% | 78% | Last Result, Median |
| 97 | 8% | 67% | |
| 98 | 16% | 59% | |
| 99 | 13% | 44% | |
| 100 | 13% | 31% | |
| 101 | 7% | 18% | |
| 102 | 3% | 10% | |
| 103 | 3% | 7% | |
| 104 | 2% | 4% | |
| 105 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 106 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 107 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 80 | 1.2% | 99.6% | |
| 81 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 82 | 3% | 97% | |
| 83 | 2% | 95% | |
| 84 | 6% | 92% | |
| 85 | 7% | 86% | Majority |
| 86 | 16% | 80% | Median |
| 87 | 11% | 63% | |
| 88 | 7% | 52% | |
| 89 | 22% | 45% | |
| 90 | 6% | 23% | |
| 91 | 4% | 17% | |
| 92 | 6% | 13% | |
| 93 | 4% | 7% | |
| 94 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 95 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 96 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 97 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 74 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 77 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 78 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 79 | 2% | 97% | |
| 80 | 7% | 95% | |
| 81 | 3% | 88% | |
| 82 | 7% | 84% | |
| 83 | 11% | 78% | |
| 84 | 15% | 67% | Median |
| 85 | 7% | 52% | Majority |
| 86 | 17% | 45% | |
| 87 | 13% | 28% | |
| 88 | 4% | 15% | |
| 89 | 5% | 11% | |
| 90 | 2% | 6% | |
| 91 | 2% | 4% | |
| 92 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 93 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 77 | 1.1% | 99.0% | |
| 78 | 3% | 98% | |
| 79 | 3% | 95% | |
| 80 | 6% | 92% | |
| 81 | 10% | 86% | Median |
| 82 | 14% | 76% | |
| 83 | 14% | 62% | |
| 84 | 8% | 48% | |
| 85 | 16% | 40% | Majority |
| 86 | 7% | 24% | |
| 87 | 5% | 17% | |
| 88 | 7% | 12% | |
| 89 | 3% | 6% | |
| 90 | 2% | 3% | |
| 91 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 73 | 1.0% | 99.1% | |
| 74 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 75 | 2% | 97% | |
| 76 | 5% | 95% | |
| 77 | 7% | 90% | |
| 78 | 5% | 83% | |
| 79 | 16% | 78% | Median |
| 80 | 12% | 62% | |
| 81 | 13% | 51% | |
| 82 | 11% | 38% | |
| 83 | 11% | 27% | |
| 84 | 7% | 16% | |
| 85 | 3% | 9% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 5% | |
| 87 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 88 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 73 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 74 | 2% | 96% | |
| 75 | 2% | 94% | |
| 76 | 11% | 92% | |
| 77 | 9% | 81% | Median |
| 78 | 11% | 72% | |
| 79 | 11% | 62% | |
| 80 | 14% | 50% | |
| 81 | 13% | 36% | |
| 82 | 9% | 23% | |
| 83 | 7% | 14% | |
| 84 | 2% | 8% | |
| 85 | 2% | 5% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 3% | |
| 87 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 88 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 71 | 0.9% | 98.6% | |
| 72 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 73 | 3% | 96% | |
| 74 | 6% | 94% | |
| 75 | 8% | 87% | |
| 76 | 10% | 79% | |
| 77 | 15% | 69% | Median |
| 78 | 10% | 54% | |
| 79 | 17% | 44% | |
| 80 | 6% | 27% | |
| 81 | 11% | 21% | |
| 82 | 4% | 10% | |
| 83 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 84 | 2% | 4% | |
| 85 | 1.0% | 2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 70 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 71 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 72 | 3% | 95% | |
| 73 | 5% | 92% | |
| 74 | 14% | 87% | |
| 75 | 7% | 73% | Median |
| 76 | 11% | 66% | |
| 77 | 13% | 56% | |
| 78 | 17% | 43% | |
| 79 | 9% | 26% | |
| 80 | 7% | 18% | |
| 81 | 4% | 10% | |
| 82 | 2% | 6% | |
| 83 | 2% | 4% | |
| 84 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 1.0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 67 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 68 | 3% | 98% | |
| 69 | 2% | 95% | |
| 70 | 8% | 92% | |
| 71 | 6% | 85% | |
| 72 | 15% | 79% | |
| 73 | 9% | 64% | Median |
| 74 | 12% | 55% | |
| 75 | 14% | 43% | |
| 76 | 17% | 30% | |
| 77 | 4% | 12% | |
| 78 | 3% | 8% | |
| 79 | 2% | 5% | |
| 80 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 64 | 1.5% | 98.9% | |
| 65 | 4% | 97% | |
| 66 | 2% | 94% | |
| 67 | 8% | 91% | |
| 68 | 7% | 83% | |
| 69 | 17% | 77% | Median |
| 70 | 14% | 59% | |
| 71 | 10% | 45% | |
| 72 | 13% | 36% | Last Result |
| 73 | 8% | 23% | |
| 74 | 6% | 15% | |
| 75 | 5% | 8% | |
| 76 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 77 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 63 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 64 | 2% | 98% | |
| 65 | 3% | 97% | |
| 66 | 7% | 94% | |
| 67 | 8% | 87% | |
| 68 | 15% | 79% | |
| 69 | 6% | 64% | Median |
| 70 | 18% | 57% | |
| 71 | 6% | 40% | |
| 72 | 19% | 34% | |
| 73 | 5% | 14% | |
| 74 | 3% | 9% | |
| 75 | 3% | 6% | |
| 76 | 2% | 3% | |
| 77 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 57 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 58 | 3% | 97% | |
| 59 | 7% | 93% | |
| 60 | 8% | 87% | |
| 61 | 7% | 78% | Median |
| 62 | 14% | 71% | |
| 63 | 16% | 57% | |
| 64 | 9% | 41% | |
| 65 | 9% | 33% | |
| 66 | 9% | 24% | |
| 67 | 5% | 15% | |
| 68 | 4% | 10% | |
| 69 | 2% | 6% | |
| 70 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 71 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 54 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 55 | 3% | 98% | |
| 56 | 9% | 94% | |
| 57 | 4% | 86% | |
| 58 | 11% | 82% | |
| 59 | 11% | 70% | Median |
| 60 | 15% | 60% | |
| 61 | 16% | 45% | |
| 62 | 10% | 29% | |
| 63 | 6% | 20% | |
| 64 | 7% | 14% | |
| 65 | 3% | 7% | |
| 66 | 2% | 4% | |
| 67 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 52 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 53 | 5% | 97% | |
| 54 | 7% | 92% | |
| 55 | 8% | 84% | |
| 56 | 11% | 76% | |
| 57 | 11% | 65% | Median |
| 58 | 19% | 54% | |
| 59 | 15% | 35% | |
| 60 | 7% | 20% | |
| 61 | 5% | 13% | |
| 62 | 5% | 8% | |
| 63 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 64 | 0.7% | 1.5% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 49 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 50 | 4% | 98.7% | |
| 51 | 3% | 95% | |
| 52 | 3% | 92% | |
| 53 | 4% | 88% | |
| 54 | 9% | 85% | |
| 55 | 16% | 75% | Median |
| 56 | 12% | 60% | |
| 57 | 17% | 48% | |
| 58 | 13% | 31% | |
| 59 | 7% | 17% | |
| 60 | 4% | 11% | |
| 61 | 4% | 6% | |
| 62 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 50 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 51 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 52 | 3% | 96% | |
| 53 | 4% | 93% | |
| 54 | 12% | 89% | |
| 55 | 16% | 77% | |
| 56 | 17% | 61% | Median |
| 57 | 11% | 44% | |
| 58 | 14% | 34% | |
| 59 | 11% | 19% | |
| 60 | 2% | 8% | |
| 61 | 3% | 5% | Last Result |
| 62 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 21 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 22 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 23 | 4% | 97% | |
| 24 | 3% | 93% | |
| 25 | 4% | 90% | |
| 26 | 10% | 86% | |
| 27 | 15% | 76% | Median |
| 28 | 20% | 61% | |
| 29 | 15% | 42% | |
| 30 | 9% | 27% | |
| 31 | 8% | 18% | |
| 32 | 5% | 10% | |
| 33 | 3% | 5% | |
| 34 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 35 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 36 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: InFact
- Commissioner(s): Nettavisen
- Fieldwork period: 20 December 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1015
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.00%