Opinion Poll by Opinion Perduco for Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse, 1–7 February 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Høyre |
20.4% |
25.8% |
23.8–28.0% |
23.2–28.7% |
22.7–29.2% |
21.7–30.3% |
Arbeiderpartiet |
26.2% |
22.0% |
20.0–24.1% |
19.5–24.7% |
19.0–25.2% |
18.1–26.2% |
Rødt |
4.7% |
10.3% |
9.0–11.9% |
8.6–12.4% |
8.3–12.8% |
7.7–13.6% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
11.6% |
9.8% |
8.4–11.3% |
8.1–11.8% |
7.8–12.2% |
7.2–13.0% |
Senterpartiet |
13.5% |
9.5% |
8.2–11.0% |
7.8–11.5% |
7.5–11.9% |
6.9–12.7% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
7.6% |
8.2% |
7.0–9.7% |
6.6–10.1% |
6.4–10.5% |
5.8–11.2% |
Venstre |
4.6% |
4.4% |
3.6–5.6% |
3.4–6.0% |
3.2–6.2% |
2.8–6.9% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
3.8% |
3.6% |
2.8–4.7% |
2.6–5.0% |
2.4–5.2% |
2.1–5.8% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.9% |
3.3% |
2.6–4.3% |
2.4–4.6% |
2.2–4.9% |
1.9–5.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
37 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
38 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
39 |
0.7% |
99.7% |
|
40 |
3% |
99.0% |
|
41 |
5% |
96% |
|
42 |
6% |
90% |
|
43 |
11% |
85% |
|
44 |
15% |
74% |
|
45 |
13% |
59% |
Median |
46 |
8% |
46% |
|
47 |
11% |
38% |
|
48 |
8% |
27% |
|
49 |
8% |
18% |
|
50 |
3% |
11% |
|
51 |
4% |
8% |
|
52 |
3% |
5% |
|
53 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
1.0% |
|
55 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
57 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
32 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
33 |
0.6% |
99.4% |
|
34 |
1.0% |
98.8% |
|
35 |
3% |
98% |
|
36 |
3% |
95% |
|
37 |
5% |
92% |
|
38 |
6% |
87% |
|
39 |
12% |
80% |
|
40 |
7% |
68% |
|
41 |
12% |
61% |
Median |
42 |
10% |
49% |
|
43 |
5% |
39% |
|
44 |
12% |
34% |
|
45 |
5% |
22% |
|
46 |
9% |
17% |
|
47 |
3% |
8% |
|
48 |
3% |
5% |
Last Result |
49 |
2% |
2% |
|
50 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
12 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
13 |
1.5% |
99.3% |
|
14 |
4% |
98% |
|
15 |
7% |
94% |
|
16 |
13% |
87% |
|
17 |
15% |
74% |
|
18 |
15% |
59% |
Median |
19 |
21% |
44% |
|
20 |
9% |
23% |
|
21 |
6% |
14% |
|
22 |
4% |
8% |
|
23 |
2% |
3% |
|
24 |
0.7% |
1.1% |
|
25 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
26 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
12 |
1.0% |
99.7% |
|
13 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
14 |
5% |
97% |
|
15 |
8% |
92% |
|
16 |
23% |
84% |
|
17 |
20% |
61% |
Median |
18 |
15% |
41% |
|
19 |
10% |
26% |
|
20 |
10% |
16% |
|
21 |
3% |
6% |
Last Result |
22 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
23 |
0.9% |
1.2% |
|
24 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
25 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
12 |
1.1% |
99.8% |
|
13 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
14 |
9% |
96% |
|
15 |
13% |
87% |
|
16 |
25% |
75% |
Median |
17 |
15% |
49% |
|
18 |
13% |
34% |
|
19 |
8% |
21% |
|
20 |
8% |
12% |
|
21 |
3% |
4% |
|
22 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
23 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
24 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
25 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
26 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
27 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
9 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
10 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
11 |
6% |
98% |
|
12 |
10% |
91% |
|
13 |
13% |
82% |
Last Result |
14 |
23% |
69% |
Median |
15 |
14% |
46% |
|
16 |
18% |
32% |
|
17 |
7% |
14% |
|
18 |
4% |
7% |
|
19 |
2% |
3% |
|
20 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
21 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
2 |
14% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
12% |
86% |
|
4 |
0% |
74% |
|
5 |
0% |
74% |
|
6 |
1.0% |
74% |
|
7 |
18% |
73% |
|
8 |
27% |
55% |
Last Result, Median |
9 |
16% |
28% |
|
10 |
8% |
12% |
|
11 |
3% |
4% |
|
12 |
0.8% |
1.2% |
|
13 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
1.0% |
100% |
|
1 |
0.8% |
99.0% |
|
2 |
36% |
98% |
|
3 |
31% |
63% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
0% |
32% |
|
5 |
0% |
32% |
|
6 |
2% |
32% |
|
7 |
17% |
30% |
|
8 |
9% |
13% |
|
9 |
3% |
4% |
|
10 |
1.1% |
1.3% |
|
11 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
1 |
35% |
99.7% |
|
2 |
41% |
65% |
Median |
3 |
7% |
23% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
16% |
|
5 |
0% |
16% |
|
6 |
1.3% |
16% |
|
7 |
8% |
15% |
|
8 |
5% |
7% |
|
9 |
1.0% |
1.4% |
|
10 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
100 |
94 |
98% |
88–98 |
87–100 |
86–101 |
83–104 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
97 |
91 |
93% |
85–95 |
84–97 |
82–99 |
80–102 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
96 |
90 |
93% |
85–95 |
83–97 |
82–98 |
80–101 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
95 |
80 |
8% |
74–84 |
73–86 |
71–87 |
68–90 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
72 |
77 |
2% |
71–81 |
70–82 |
69–84 |
66–87 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
71 |
76 |
2% |
72–82 |
70–83 |
68–84 |
66–87 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
92 |
76 |
1.4% |
71–80 |
69–82 |
68–83 |
65–86 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
68 |
73 |
0.3% |
69–79 |
67–80 |
66–81 |
63–84 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
89 |
73 |
0% |
68–77 |
66–78 |
65–80 |
62–84 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
65 |
69 |
0% |
65–75 |
64–76 |
62–77 |
59–79 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
82 |
64 |
0% |
60–70 |
58–72 |
56–73 |
54–77 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
57 |
62 |
0% |
59–68 |
58–69 |
56–70 |
54–72 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
79 |
62 |
0% |
57–69 |
55–69 |
54–70 |
52–73 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
76 |
59 |
0% |
53–63 |
52–64 |
51–65 |
49–67 |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
47 |
56 |
0% |
51–61 |
50–63 |
48–64 |
46–67 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
61 |
56 |
0% |
51–60 |
49–61 |
48–63 |
46–64 |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
39 |
27 |
0% |
23–33 |
20–34 |
20–35 |
18–37 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
83 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
84 |
0.6% |
99.1% |
|
85 |
0.9% |
98% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
98% |
|
87 |
3% |
96% |
|
88 |
4% |
93% |
|
89 |
5% |
90% |
|
90 |
7% |
84% |
|
91 |
10% |
77% |
Median |
92 |
8% |
67% |
|
93 |
6% |
60% |
|
94 |
11% |
54% |
|
95 |
13% |
42% |
|
96 |
12% |
29% |
|
97 |
3% |
17% |
|
98 |
5% |
14% |
|
99 |
2% |
9% |
|
100 |
3% |
6% |
Last Result |
101 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
102 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
103 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
104 |
0.7% |
1.1% |
|
105 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
106 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
107 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
108 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
109 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
110 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
80 |
0.7% |
99.6% |
|
81 |
0.4% |
98.9% |
|
82 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
83 |
1.4% |
97% |
|
84 |
3% |
96% |
|
85 |
3% |
93% |
Majority |
86 |
5% |
89% |
|
87 |
5% |
84% |
|
88 |
9% |
79% |
|
89 |
8% |
70% |
Median |
90 |
10% |
62% |
|
91 |
5% |
52% |
|
92 |
5% |
47% |
|
93 |
16% |
42% |
|
94 |
6% |
26% |
|
95 |
10% |
20% |
|
96 |
3% |
10% |
|
97 |
4% |
7% |
Last Result |
98 |
0.5% |
4% |
|
99 |
2% |
3% |
|
100 |
0.5% |
1.5% |
|
101 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
|
102 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
103 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
104 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
105 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
77 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
80 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
81 |
0.4% |
99.2% |
|
82 |
2% |
98.9% |
|
83 |
2% |
97% |
|
84 |
2% |
95% |
|
85 |
3% |
93% |
Majority |
86 |
5% |
90% |
|
87 |
6% |
85% |
|
88 |
10% |
79% |
|
89 |
7% |
69% |
Median |
90 |
12% |
62% |
|
91 |
9% |
50% |
|
92 |
11% |
41% |
|
93 |
9% |
30% |
|
94 |
5% |
22% |
|
95 |
7% |
17% |
|
96 |
3% |
10% |
Last Result |
97 |
3% |
6% |
|
98 |
2% |
3% |
|
99 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
100 |
0.6% |
1.1% |
|
101 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
102 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
103 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
104 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
66 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
69 |
0.5% |
99.2% |
|
70 |
0.6% |
98.8% |
|
71 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
72 |
2% |
97% |
|
73 |
2% |
95% |
|
74 |
7% |
93% |
|
75 |
4% |
86% |
|
76 |
6% |
82% |
Median |
77 |
6% |
77% |
|
78 |
9% |
70% |
|
79 |
10% |
61% |
|
80 |
15% |
51% |
|
81 |
5% |
36% |
|
82 |
7% |
31% |
|
83 |
7% |
24% |
|
84 |
9% |
17% |
|
85 |
3% |
8% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
6% |
|
87 |
1.5% |
4% |
|
88 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
89 |
0.5% |
1.3% |
|
90 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
91 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
66 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
67 |
0.5% |
99.1% |
|
68 |
0.8% |
98.7% |
|
69 |
2% |
98% |
|
70 |
2% |
96% |
|
71 |
5% |
94% |
|
72 |
4% |
89% |
Last Result |
73 |
8% |
85% |
|
74 |
5% |
78% |
|
75 |
10% |
73% |
Median |
76 |
9% |
63% |
|
77 |
10% |
53% |
|
78 |
11% |
43% |
|
79 |
9% |
32% |
|
80 |
9% |
23% |
|
81 |
5% |
14% |
|
82 |
4% |
9% |
|
83 |
1.2% |
5% |
|
84 |
2% |
4% |
|
85 |
1.2% |
2% |
Majority |
86 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
|
87 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
88 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
91 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
66 |
0.7% |
99.8% |
|
67 |
0.4% |
99.1% |
|
68 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
69 |
2% |
97% |
|
70 |
2% |
95% |
|
71 |
3% |
93% |
Last Result |
72 |
3% |
90% |
|
73 |
13% |
87% |
|
74 |
8% |
74% |
|
75 |
16% |
67% |
Median |
76 |
6% |
51% |
|
77 |
6% |
45% |
|
78 |
9% |
39% |
|
79 |
7% |
30% |
|
80 |
8% |
22% |
|
81 |
3% |
14% |
|
82 |
4% |
11% |
|
83 |
2% |
6% |
|
84 |
2% |
4% |
|
85 |
1.0% |
2% |
Majority |
86 |
0.6% |
1.2% |
|
87 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
88 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
65 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
66 |
0.6% |
99.1% |
|
67 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
68 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
69 |
3% |
96% |
|
70 |
3% |
93% |
|
71 |
6% |
90% |
|
72 |
8% |
84% |
|
73 |
6% |
76% |
Median |
74 |
8% |
70% |
|
75 |
6% |
61% |
|
76 |
10% |
55% |
|
77 |
23% |
45% |
|
78 |
4% |
21% |
|
79 |
4% |
17% |
|
80 |
5% |
13% |
|
81 |
3% |
8% |
|
82 |
2% |
5% |
|
83 |
2% |
3% |
|
84 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
85 |
0.7% |
1.4% |
Majority |
86 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
87 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
64 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
65 |
1.0% |
99.1% |
|
66 |
2% |
98% |
|
67 |
2% |
96% |
|
68 |
3% |
94% |
Last Result |
69 |
5% |
91% |
|
70 |
4% |
85% |
|
71 |
6% |
82% |
|
72 |
12% |
75% |
|
73 |
13% |
63% |
Median |
74 |
11% |
50% |
|
75 |
6% |
39% |
|
76 |
8% |
33% |
|
77 |
9% |
25% |
|
78 |
6% |
16% |
|
79 |
4% |
10% |
|
80 |
2% |
6% |
|
81 |
2% |
4% |
|
82 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
83 |
0.6% |
1.2% |
|
84 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
85 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
63 |
0.4% |
99.3% |
|
64 |
1.0% |
98.9% |
|
65 |
2% |
98% |
|
66 |
2% |
96% |
|
67 |
3% |
94% |
|
68 |
5% |
91% |
|
69 |
5% |
86% |
|
70 |
8% |
80% |
|
71 |
8% |
72% |
Median |
72 |
9% |
64% |
|
73 |
7% |
55% |
|
74 |
9% |
47% |
|
75 |
12% |
39% |
|
76 |
15% |
27% |
|
77 |
3% |
11% |
|
78 |
4% |
9% |
|
79 |
2% |
5% |
|
80 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
81 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
82 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
84 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
60 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
61 |
0.5% |
99.0% |
|
62 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
63 |
2% |
97% |
|
64 |
5% |
95% |
|
65 |
3% |
90% |
Last Result |
66 |
5% |
87% |
|
67 |
10% |
82% |
|
68 |
9% |
72% |
|
69 |
13% |
63% |
|
70 |
12% |
50% |
Median |
71 |
12% |
38% |
|
72 |
4% |
27% |
|
73 |
4% |
22% |
|
74 |
7% |
18% |
|
75 |
5% |
11% |
|
76 |
3% |
7% |
|
77 |
1.3% |
4% |
|
78 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
79 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
82 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
54 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
55 |
0.5% |
99.2% |
|
56 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
57 |
1.3% |
97% |
|
58 |
3% |
96% |
|
59 |
3% |
93% |
|
60 |
6% |
90% |
|
61 |
7% |
84% |
|
62 |
7% |
77% |
Median |
63 |
4% |
70% |
|
64 |
18% |
65% |
|
65 |
6% |
48% |
|
66 |
6% |
42% |
|
67 |
4% |
36% |
|
68 |
6% |
32% |
|
69 |
5% |
25% |
|
70 |
11% |
20% |
|
71 |
2% |
9% |
|
72 |
2% |
7% |
|
73 |
2% |
5% |
|
74 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
75 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
76 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
77 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
54 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
55 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
56 |
1.2% |
98.7% |
|
57 |
2% |
97% |
Last Result |
58 |
5% |
96% |
|
59 |
6% |
91% |
|
60 |
12% |
85% |
|
61 |
13% |
73% |
|
62 |
14% |
60% |
Median |
63 |
9% |
46% |
|
64 |
6% |
37% |
|
65 |
6% |
31% |
|
66 |
5% |
25% |
|
67 |
10% |
20% |
|
68 |
5% |
10% |
|
69 |
3% |
6% |
|
70 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
71 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
72 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
73 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
75 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
52 |
0.7% |
99.6% |
|
53 |
1.1% |
98.9% |
|
54 |
2% |
98% |
|
55 |
2% |
96% |
|
56 |
4% |
94% |
|
57 |
3% |
90% |
|
58 |
6% |
87% |
|
59 |
8% |
81% |
|
60 |
6% |
73% |
Median |
61 |
7% |
67% |
|
62 |
12% |
61% |
|
63 |
12% |
49% |
|
64 |
6% |
37% |
|
65 |
5% |
31% |
|
66 |
6% |
26% |
|
67 |
7% |
20% |
|
68 |
3% |
13% |
|
69 |
6% |
10% |
|
70 |
2% |
4% |
|
71 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
72 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
73 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
48 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
49 |
0.8% |
99.7% |
|
50 |
1.1% |
98.9% |
|
51 |
2% |
98% |
|
52 |
4% |
96% |
|
53 |
4% |
93% |
|
54 |
4% |
89% |
|
55 |
7% |
85% |
|
56 |
9% |
77% |
|
57 |
10% |
68% |
Median |
58 |
5% |
59% |
|
59 |
13% |
54% |
|
60 |
15% |
41% |
|
61 |
4% |
26% |
|
62 |
10% |
22% |
|
63 |
3% |
12% |
|
64 |
4% |
8% |
|
65 |
2% |
4% |
|
66 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
67 |
0.8% |
1.2% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
47 |
0.6% |
99.4% |
Last Result |
48 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
49 |
1.4% |
96% |
|
50 |
2% |
95% |
|
51 |
3% |
93% |
|
52 |
6% |
90% |
|
53 |
7% |
84% |
|
54 |
5% |
76% |
|
55 |
7% |
71% |
|
56 |
16% |
65% |
Median |
57 |
7% |
49% |
|
58 |
12% |
42% |
|
59 |
9% |
30% |
|
60 |
8% |
21% |
|
61 |
4% |
12% |
|
62 |
2% |
9% |
|
63 |
3% |
6% |
|
64 |
2% |
3% |
|
65 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
69 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
45 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
47 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
48 |
1.3% |
98.7% |
|
49 |
3% |
97% |
|
50 |
3% |
95% |
|
51 |
4% |
92% |
|
52 |
5% |
88% |
|
53 |
9% |
83% |
|
54 |
8% |
73% |
|
55 |
12% |
66% |
Median |
56 |
8% |
54% |
|
57 |
8% |
46% |
|
58 |
11% |
38% |
|
59 |
4% |
27% |
|
60 |
16% |
24% |
|
61 |
3% |
8% |
Last Result |
62 |
1.3% |
4% |
|
63 |
2% |
3% |
|
64 |
0.8% |
1.2% |
|
65 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
67 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
18 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
19 |
0.9% |
99.4% |
|
20 |
4% |
98% |
|
21 |
2% |
95% |
|
22 |
2% |
93% |
|
23 |
4% |
91% |
|
24 |
8% |
87% |
|
25 |
5% |
79% |
|
26 |
10% |
74% |
|
27 |
14% |
63% |
Median |
28 |
7% |
49% |
|
29 |
7% |
42% |
|
30 |
13% |
35% |
|
31 |
6% |
22% |
|
32 |
3% |
16% |
|
33 |
7% |
13% |
|
34 |
3% |
6% |
|
35 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
36 |
0.8% |
1.4% |
|
37 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
40 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinion Perduco
- Commissioner(s): Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse
- Fieldwork period: 1–7 February 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 697
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.62%