Opinion Poll by Opinion Perduco for Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse, 1–7 February 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 25.8% | 23.8–28.0% | 23.2–28.7% | 22.7–29.2% | 21.7–30.3% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 22.0% | 20.0–24.1% | 19.5–24.7% | 19.0–25.2% | 18.1–26.2% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 10.3% | 9.0–11.9% | 8.6–12.4% | 8.3–12.8% | 7.7–13.6% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 9.8% | 8.4–11.3% | 8.1–11.8% | 7.8–12.2% | 7.2–13.0% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 9.5% | 8.2–11.0% | 7.8–11.5% | 7.5–11.9% | 6.9–12.7% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0–9.7% | 6.6–10.1% | 6.4–10.5% | 5.8–11.2% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.6–5.6% | 3.4–6.0% | 3.2–6.2% | 2.8–6.9% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.8–4.7% | 2.6–5.0% | 2.4–5.2% | 2.1–5.8% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.6–4.3% | 2.4–4.6% | 2.2–4.9% | 1.9–5.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 45 | 42–50 | 41–51 | 40–52 | 39–55 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 41 | 37–46 | 36–47 | 35–48 | 32–49 |
| Rødt | 8 | 18 | 15–21 | 14–22 | 14–23 | 12–24 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 17 | 15–20 | 14–21 | 13–22 | 12–23 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 16 | 14–20 | 14–20 | 13–21 | 12–23 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 14 | 12–17 | 11–18 | 11–19 | 10–20 |
| Venstre | 8 | 8 | 2–10 | 2–10 | 2–11 | 2–12 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 3 | 2–8 | 2–8 | 2–9 | 0–10 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 2 | 1–7 | 1–8 | 1–8 | 1–9 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 40 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 41 | 5% | 96% | |
| 42 | 6% | 90% | |
| 43 | 11% | 85% | |
| 44 | 15% | 74% | |
| 45 | 13% | 59% | Median |
| 46 | 8% | 46% | |
| 47 | 11% | 38% | |
| 48 | 8% | 27% | |
| 49 | 8% | 18% | |
| 50 | 3% | 11% | |
| 51 | 4% | 8% | |
| 52 | 3% | 5% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 55 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 34 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 35 | 3% | 98% | |
| 36 | 3% | 95% | |
| 37 | 5% | 92% | |
| 38 | 6% | 87% | |
| 39 | 12% | 80% | |
| 40 | 7% | 68% | |
| 41 | 12% | 61% | Median |
| 42 | 10% | 49% | |
| 43 | 5% | 39% | |
| 44 | 12% | 34% | |
| 45 | 5% | 22% | |
| 46 | 9% | 17% | |
| 47 | 3% | 8% | |
| 48 | 3% | 5% | Last Result |
| 49 | 2% | 2% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 1.5% | 99.3% | |
| 14 | 4% | 98% | |
| 15 | 7% | 94% | |
| 16 | 13% | 87% | |
| 17 | 15% | 74% | |
| 18 | 15% | 59% | Median |
| 19 | 21% | 44% | |
| 20 | 9% | 23% | |
| 21 | 6% | 14% | |
| 22 | 4% | 8% | |
| 23 | 2% | 3% | |
| 24 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 25 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 13 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 14 | 5% | 97% | |
| 15 | 8% | 92% | |
| 16 | 23% | 84% | |
| 17 | 20% | 61% | Median |
| 18 | 15% | 41% | |
| 19 | 10% | 26% | |
| 20 | 10% | 16% | |
| 21 | 3% | 6% | Last Result |
| 22 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 23 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
| 13 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 14 | 9% | 96% | |
| 15 | 13% | 87% | |
| 16 | 25% | 75% | Median |
| 17 | 15% | 49% | |
| 18 | 13% | 34% | |
| 19 | 8% | 21% | |
| 20 | 8% | 12% | |
| 21 | 3% | 4% | |
| 22 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 23 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 11 | 6% | 98% | |
| 12 | 10% | 91% | |
| 13 | 13% | 82% | Last Result |
| 14 | 23% | 69% | Median |
| 15 | 14% | 46% | |
| 16 | 18% | 32% | |
| 17 | 7% | 14% | |
| 18 | 4% | 7% | |
| 19 | 2% | 3% | |
| 20 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 14% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 12% | 86% | |
| 4 | 0% | 74% | |
| 5 | 0% | 74% | |
| 6 | 1.0% | 74% | |
| 7 | 18% | 73% | |
| 8 | 27% | 55% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 16% | 28% | |
| 10 | 8% | 12% | |
| 11 | 3% | 4% | |
| 12 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 2 | 36% | 98% | |
| 3 | 31% | 63% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0% | 32% | |
| 5 | 0% | 32% | |
| 6 | 2% | 32% | |
| 7 | 17% | 30% | |
| 8 | 9% | 13% | |
| 9 | 3% | 4% | |
| 10 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 35% | 99.7% | |
| 2 | 41% | 65% | Median |
| 3 | 7% | 23% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 16% | |
| 5 | 0% | 16% | |
| 6 | 1.3% | 16% | |
| 7 | 8% | 15% | |
| 8 | 5% | 7% | |
| 9 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 10 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 94 | 98% | 88–98 | 87–100 | 86–101 | 83–104 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 97 | 91 | 93% | 85–95 | 84–97 | 82–99 | 80–102 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 90 | 93% | 85–95 | 83–97 | 82–98 | 80–101 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 80 | 8% | 74–84 | 73–86 | 71–87 | 68–90 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 77 | 2% | 71–81 | 70–82 | 69–84 | 66–87 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 76 | 2% | 72–82 | 70–83 | 68–84 | 66–87 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 76 | 1.4% | 71–80 | 69–82 | 68–83 | 65–86 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 73 | 0.3% | 69–79 | 67–80 | 66–81 | 63–84 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 89 | 73 | 0% | 68–77 | 66–78 | 65–80 | 62–84 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 69 | 0% | 65–75 | 64–76 | 62–77 | 59–79 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 64 | 0% | 60–70 | 58–72 | 56–73 | 54–77 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 62 | 0% | 59–68 | 58–69 | 56–70 | 54–72 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 62 | 0% | 57–69 | 55–69 | 54–70 | 52–73 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 59 | 0% | 53–63 | 52–64 | 51–65 | 49–67 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 56 | 0% | 51–61 | 50–63 | 48–64 | 46–67 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 56 | 0% | 51–60 | 49–61 | 48–63 | 46–64 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 27 | 0% | 23–33 | 20–34 | 20–35 | 18–37 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 85 | 0.9% | 98% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 98% | |
| 87 | 3% | 96% | |
| 88 | 4% | 93% | |
| 89 | 5% | 90% | |
| 90 | 7% | 84% | |
| 91 | 10% | 77% | Median |
| 92 | 8% | 67% | |
| 93 | 6% | 60% | |
| 94 | 11% | 54% | |
| 95 | 13% | 42% | |
| 96 | 12% | 29% | |
| 97 | 3% | 17% | |
| 98 | 5% | 14% | |
| 99 | 2% | 9% | |
| 100 | 3% | 6% | Last Result |
| 101 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 102 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 103 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 104 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 80 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 82 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 83 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 84 | 3% | 96% | |
| 85 | 3% | 93% | Majority |
| 86 | 5% | 89% | |
| 87 | 5% | 84% | |
| 88 | 9% | 79% | |
| 89 | 8% | 70% | Median |
| 90 | 10% | 62% | |
| 91 | 5% | 52% | |
| 92 | 5% | 47% | |
| 93 | 16% | 42% | |
| 94 | 6% | 26% | |
| 95 | 10% | 20% | |
| 96 | 3% | 10% | |
| 97 | 4% | 7% | Last Result |
| 98 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 99 | 2% | 3% | |
| 100 | 0.5% | 1.5% | |
| 101 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 103 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 82 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 83 | 2% | 97% | |
| 84 | 2% | 95% | |
| 85 | 3% | 93% | Majority |
| 86 | 5% | 90% | |
| 87 | 6% | 85% | |
| 88 | 10% | 79% | |
| 89 | 7% | 69% | Median |
| 90 | 12% | 62% | |
| 91 | 9% | 50% | |
| 92 | 11% | 41% | |
| 93 | 9% | 30% | |
| 94 | 5% | 22% | |
| 95 | 7% | 17% | |
| 96 | 3% | 10% | Last Result |
| 97 | 3% | 6% | |
| 98 | 2% | 3% | |
| 99 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 100 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 101 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 102 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 71 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 72 | 2% | 97% | |
| 73 | 2% | 95% | |
| 74 | 7% | 93% | |
| 75 | 4% | 86% | |
| 76 | 6% | 82% | Median |
| 77 | 6% | 77% | |
| 78 | 9% | 70% | |
| 79 | 10% | 61% | |
| 80 | 15% | 51% | |
| 81 | 5% | 36% | |
| 82 | 7% | 31% | |
| 83 | 7% | 24% | |
| 84 | 9% | 17% | |
| 85 | 3% | 8% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 6% | |
| 87 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 88 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 90 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 68 | 0.8% | 98.7% | |
| 69 | 2% | 98% | |
| 70 | 2% | 96% | |
| 71 | 5% | 94% | |
| 72 | 4% | 89% | Last Result |
| 73 | 8% | 85% | |
| 74 | 5% | 78% | |
| 75 | 10% | 73% | Median |
| 76 | 9% | 63% | |
| 77 | 10% | 53% | |
| 78 | 11% | 43% | |
| 79 | 9% | 32% | |
| 80 | 9% | 23% | |
| 81 | 5% | 14% | |
| 82 | 4% | 9% | |
| 83 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 84 | 2% | 4% | |
| 85 | 1.2% | 2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 66 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 68 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 69 | 2% | 97% | |
| 70 | 2% | 95% | |
| 71 | 3% | 93% | Last Result |
| 72 | 3% | 90% | |
| 73 | 13% | 87% | |
| 74 | 8% | 74% | |
| 75 | 16% | 67% | Median |
| 76 | 6% | 51% | |
| 77 | 6% | 45% | |
| 78 | 9% | 39% | |
| 79 | 7% | 30% | |
| 80 | 8% | 22% | |
| 81 | 3% | 14% | |
| 82 | 4% | 11% | |
| 83 | 2% | 6% | |
| 84 | 2% | 4% | |
| 85 | 1.0% | 2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 65 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 67 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 68 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 69 | 3% | 96% | |
| 70 | 3% | 93% | |
| 71 | 6% | 90% | |
| 72 | 8% | 84% | |
| 73 | 6% | 76% | Median |
| 74 | 8% | 70% | |
| 75 | 6% | 61% | |
| 76 | 10% | 55% | |
| 77 | 23% | 45% | |
| 78 | 4% | 21% | |
| 79 | 4% | 17% | |
| 80 | 5% | 13% | |
| 81 | 3% | 8% | |
| 82 | 2% | 5% | |
| 83 | 2% | 3% | |
| 84 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.7% | 1.4% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 65 | 1.0% | 99.1% | |
| 66 | 2% | 98% | |
| 67 | 2% | 96% | |
| 68 | 3% | 94% | Last Result |
| 69 | 5% | 91% | |
| 70 | 4% | 85% | |
| 71 | 6% | 82% | |
| 72 | 12% | 75% | |
| 73 | 13% | 63% | Median |
| 74 | 11% | 50% | |
| 75 | 6% | 39% | |
| 76 | 8% | 33% | |
| 77 | 9% | 25% | |
| 78 | 6% | 16% | |
| 79 | 4% | 10% | |
| 80 | 2% | 6% | |
| 81 | 2% | 4% | |
| 82 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 0.3% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 64 | 1.0% | 98.9% | |
| 65 | 2% | 98% | |
| 66 | 2% | 96% | |
| 67 | 3% | 94% | |
| 68 | 5% | 91% | |
| 69 | 5% | 86% | |
| 70 | 8% | 80% | |
| 71 | 8% | 72% | Median |
| 72 | 9% | 64% | |
| 73 | 7% | 55% | |
| 74 | 9% | 47% | |
| 75 | 12% | 39% | |
| 76 | 15% | 27% | |
| 77 | 3% | 11% | |
| 78 | 4% | 9% | |
| 79 | 2% | 5% | |
| 80 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 81 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 62 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 63 | 2% | 97% | |
| 64 | 5% | 95% | |
| 65 | 3% | 90% | Last Result |
| 66 | 5% | 87% | |
| 67 | 10% | 82% | |
| 68 | 9% | 72% | |
| 69 | 13% | 63% | |
| 70 | 12% | 50% | Median |
| 71 | 12% | 38% | |
| 72 | 4% | 27% | |
| 73 | 4% | 22% | |
| 74 | 7% | 18% | |
| 75 | 5% | 11% | |
| 76 | 3% | 7% | |
| 77 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 78 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 55 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 56 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 57 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 58 | 3% | 96% | |
| 59 | 3% | 93% | |
| 60 | 6% | 90% | |
| 61 | 7% | 84% | |
| 62 | 7% | 77% | Median |
| 63 | 4% | 70% | |
| 64 | 18% | 65% | |
| 65 | 6% | 48% | |
| 66 | 6% | 42% | |
| 67 | 4% | 36% | |
| 68 | 6% | 32% | |
| 69 | 5% | 25% | |
| 70 | 11% | 20% | |
| 71 | 2% | 9% | |
| 72 | 2% | 7% | |
| 73 | 2% | 5% | |
| 74 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 56 | 1.2% | 98.7% | |
| 57 | 2% | 97% | Last Result |
| 58 | 5% | 96% | |
| 59 | 6% | 91% | |
| 60 | 12% | 85% | |
| 61 | 13% | 73% | |
| 62 | 14% | 60% | Median |
| 63 | 9% | 46% | |
| 64 | 6% | 37% | |
| 65 | 6% | 31% | |
| 66 | 5% | 25% | |
| 67 | 10% | 20% | |
| 68 | 5% | 10% | |
| 69 | 3% | 6% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 71 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 53 | 1.1% | 98.9% | |
| 54 | 2% | 98% | |
| 55 | 2% | 96% | |
| 56 | 4% | 94% | |
| 57 | 3% | 90% | |
| 58 | 6% | 87% | |
| 59 | 8% | 81% | |
| 60 | 6% | 73% | Median |
| 61 | 7% | 67% | |
| 62 | 12% | 61% | |
| 63 | 12% | 49% | |
| 64 | 6% | 37% | |
| 65 | 5% | 31% | |
| 66 | 6% | 26% | |
| 67 | 7% | 20% | |
| 68 | 3% | 13% | |
| 69 | 6% | 10% | |
| 70 | 2% | 4% | |
| 71 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 50 | 1.1% | 98.9% | |
| 51 | 2% | 98% | |
| 52 | 4% | 96% | |
| 53 | 4% | 93% | |
| 54 | 4% | 89% | |
| 55 | 7% | 85% | |
| 56 | 9% | 77% | |
| 57 | 10% | 68% | Median |
| 58 | 5% | 59% | |
| 59 | 13% | 54% | |
| 60 | 15% | 41% | |
| 61 | 4% | 26% | |
| 62 | 10% | 22% | |
| 63 | 3% | 12% | |
| 64 | 4% | 8% | |
| 65 | 2% | 4% | |
| 66 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 0.6% | 99.4% | Last Result |
| 48 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 49 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 50 | 2% | 95% | |
| 51 | 3% | 93% | |
| 52 | 6% | 90% | |
| 53 | 7% | 84% | |
| 54 | 5% | 76% | |
| 55 | 7% | 71% | |
| 56 | 16% | 65% | Median |
| 57 | 7% | 49% | |
| 58 | 12% | 42% | |
| 59 | 9% | 30% | |
| 60 | 8% | 21% | |
| 61 | 4% | 12% | |
| 62 | 2% | 9% | |
| 63 | 3% | 6% | |
| 64 | 2% | 3% | |
| 65 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 47 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 48 | 1.3% | 98.7% | |
| 49 | 3% | 97% | |
| 50 | 3% | 95% | |
| 51 | 4% | 92% | |
| 52 | 5% | 88% | |
| 53 | 9% | 83% | |
| 54 | 8% | 73% | |
| 55 | 12% | 66% | Median |
| 56 | 8% | 54% | |
| 57 | 8% | 46% | |
| 58 | 11% | 38% | |
| 59 | 4% | 27% | |
| 60 | 16% | 24% | |
| 61 | 3% | 8% | Last Result |
| 62 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 63 | 2% | 3% | |
| 64 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 19 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 20 | 4% | 98% | |
| 21 | 2% | 95% | |
| 22 | 2% | 93% | |
| 23 | 4% | 91% | |
| 24 | 8% | 87% | |
| 25 | 5% | 79% | |
| 26 | 10% | 74% | |
| 27 | 14% | 63% | Median |
| 28 | 7% | 49% | |
| 29 | 7% | 42% | |
| 30 | 13% | 35% | |
| 31 | 6% | 22% | |
| 32 | 3% | 16% | |
| 33 | 7% | 13% | |
| 34 | 3% | 6% | |
| 35 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 36 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 37 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 40 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinion Perduco
- Commissioner(s): Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse
- Fieldwork period: 1–7 February 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 697
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.62%