Opinion Poll by Sentio for Amedia and Nettavisen, 8–12 February 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 24.9% | 23.2–26.7% | 22.7–27.3% | 22.3–27.7% | 21.5–28.6% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 21.9% | 20.3–23.7% | 19.8–24.2% | 19.5–24.6% | 18.7–25.5% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 11.4% | 10.2–12.8% | 9.9–13.2% | 9.6–13.5% | 9.0–14.2% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 10.6% | 9.4–12.0% | 9.1–12.3% | 8.8–12.7% | 8.3–13.4% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 8.1% | 7.1–9.3% | 6.8–9.7% | 6.6–10.0% | 6.1–10.6% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 7.9% | 6.9–9.1% | 6.6–9.4% | 6.4–9.8% | 5.9–10.4% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.1–5.9% | 3.9–6.2% | 3.7–6.4% | 3.4–6.9% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.7–4.2% | 2.5–4.4% | 2.4–4.6% | 2.1–5.0% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.2% | 2.2–4.4% | 1.9–4.8% |
| Norgesdemokratene | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0–2.0% | 0.9–2.2% | 0.8–2.3% | 0.7–2.7% |
| Liberalistene | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5–1.2% | 0.4–1.3% | 0.3–1.4% | 0.2–1.7% |
| Konservativt | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3–0.9% | 0.3–1.1% | 0.2–1.2% | 0.2–1.4% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3–0.9% | 0.3–1.1% | 0.2–1.2% | 0.2–1.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 43 | 43–47 | 41–47 | 41–47 | 39–51 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 42 | 37–43 | 37–44 | 37–44 | 36–47 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 22 | 19–22 | 19–23 | 19–23 | 17–24 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 19 | 17–21 | 17–21 | 17–22 | 14–23 |
| Rødt | 8 | 16 | 13–16 | 12–17 | 12–17 | 12–17 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 13 | 13–16 | 13–17 | 13–17 | 12–17 |
| Venstre | 8 | 9 | 9–10 | 9–12 | 8–12 | 2–12 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–8 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 1–7 |
| Norgesdemokratene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Liberalistene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Konservativt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 41 | 7% | 99.1% | |
| 42 | 0.9% | 92% | |
| 43 | 55% | 91% | Median |
| 44 | 1.4% | 36% | |
| 45 | 10% | 35% | |
| 46 | 13% | 25% | |
| 47 | 10% | 12% | |
| 48 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 51 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 37 | 14% | 99.5% | |
| 38 | 1.3% | 86% | |
| 39 | 0.9% | 84% | |
| 40 | 16% | 84% | |
| 41 | 1.1% | 68% | |
| 42 | 55% | 67% | Median |
| 43 | 2% | 12% | |
| 44 | 8% | 10% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 46 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 47 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 19 | 18% | 98% | |
| 20 | 15% | 79% | |
| 21 | 2% | 65% | Last Result |
| 22 | 55% | 63% | Median |
| 23 | 8% | 8% | |
| 24 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 17 | 9% | 98.8% | |
| 18 | 0.7% | 89% | |
| 19 | 64% | 89% | Median |
| 20 | 8% | 25% | |
| 21 | 14% | 17% | |
| 22 | 2% | 3% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 12 | 9% | 99.8% | |
| 13 | 3% | 91% | |
| 14 | 2% | 88% | |
| 15 | 22% | 86% | |
| 16 | 56% | 64% | Median |
| 17 | 8% | 8% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 12 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 13 | 56% | 98% | Median |
| 14 | 24% | 42% | |
| 15 | 2% | 17% | |
| 16 | 6% | 15% | |
| 17 | 9% | 9% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 19 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 7 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 8 | 3% | 98.7% | Last Result |
| 9 | 65% | 96% | Median |
| 10 | 22% | 31% | |
| 11 | 0.9% | 10% | |
| 12 | 9% | 9% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15% | 100% | |
| 2 | 83% | 85% | Median |
| 3 | 0.5% | 2% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 2% | |
| 7 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 2 | 96% | 99.2% | Median |
| 3 | 3% | 3% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 7 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 8 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Liberalistene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalistene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 92 | 99.3% | 89–92 | 89–92 | 89–94 | 84–99 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 89 | 99.4% | 89–94 | 89–94 | 88–94 | 84–97 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet | 97 | 90 | 98.9% | 87–90 | 87–90 | 87–91 | 82–94 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 95 | 78 | 0.9% | 77–79 | 77–81 | 77–82 | 72–86 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 71 | 78 | 0.9% | 78–81 | 78–81 | 77–81 | 74–86 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 79 | 0.4% | 74–79 | 74–79 | 74–80 | 71–84 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 76 | 0.3% | 75–77 | 75–78 | 75–79 | 70–83 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 76 | 0.1% | 76–79 | 76–79 | 74–79 | 69–84 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 74 | 0% | 73–75 | 73–75 | 72–77 | 68–80 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 74 | 0% | 74–77 | 74–77 | 71–77 | 66–81 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 65 | 0% | 64–66 | 64–66 | 62–67 | 59–72 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 61 | 0% | 57–61 | 57–61 | 57–65 | 54–65 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 82 | 59 | 0% | 58–61 | 56–61 | 56–64 | 55–67 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 57 | 0% | 56–60 | 55–60 | 55–61 | 53–64 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 54 | 0% | 54–59 | 53–59 | 53–59 | 50–63 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 55 | 0% | 54–58 | 53–58 | 53–58 | 50–62 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 24 | 0% | 24–28 | 24–29 | 22–29 | 20–31 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0% | 99.3% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 88 | 0.5% | 98.8% | |
| 89 | 9% | 98% | |
| 90 | 6% | 89% | |
| 91 | 16% | 83% | |
| 92 | 63% | 67% | Median |
| 93 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 94 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 95 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 96 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 101 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 99.4% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 87 | 0.8% | 98.7% | |
| 88 | 2% | 98% | |
| 89 | 55% | 96% | Median |
| 90 | 8% | 41% | |
| 91 | 8% | 34% | |
| 92 | 1.2% | 25% | |
| 93 | 9% | 24% | |
| 94 | 13% | 15% | |
| 95 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 96 | 0.8% | 2% | Last Result |
| 97 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 98.9% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 87 | 9% | 98% | |
| 88 | 2% | 89% | |
| 89 | 14% | 87% | |
| 90 | 71% | 74% | Median |
| 91 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 92 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 93 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 94 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 98 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 75 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 77 | 13% | 98% | |
| 78 | 70% | 85% | Median |
| 79 | 8% | 15% | |
| 80 | 1.0% | 7% | |
| 81 | 2% | 6% | |
| 82 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 83 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 0.9% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 73 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 75 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 76 | 0.9% | 98.8% | |
| 77 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 78 | 71% | 97% | Median |
| 79 | 14% | 26% | |
| 80 | 2% | 13% | |
| 81 | 9% | 11% | |
| 82 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.9% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 72 | 0.8% | 99.2% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 74 | 13% | 98% | |
| 75 | 9% | 85% | |
| 76 | 0.9% | 76% | |
| 77 | 9% | 75% | |
| 78 | 8% | 66% | |
| 79 | 55% | 59% | Median |
| 80 | 2% | 4% | |
| 81 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 0.4% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 75 | 13% | 98% | |
| 76 | 70% | 85% | Median |
| 77 | 9% | 15% | |
| 78 | 1.1% | 6% | |
| 79 | 3% | 5% | |
| 80 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 82 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 0.3% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 73 | 1.1% | 99.0% | |
| 74 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 75 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 76 | 63% | 96% | Median |
| 77 | 16% | 33% | |
| 78 | 6% | 17% | |
| 79 | 9% | 11% | |
| 80 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 98.6% | |
| 72 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 73 | 8% | 97% | |
| 74 | 69% | 90% | Median |
| 75 | 16% | 21% | |
| 76 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 77 | 2% | 4% | |
| 78 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 69 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 70 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 71 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 72 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 73 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 74 | 63% | 95% | Median |
| 75 | 16% | 32% | |
| 76 | 6% | 16% | |
| 77 | 9% | 11% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 62 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 63 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 64 | 8% | 96% | |
| 65 | 71% | 89% | Median |
| 66 | 15% | 18% | |
| 67 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 1.5% | |
| 71 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 57 | 9% | 98.6% | |
| 58 | 6% | 90% | |
| 59 | 8% | 84% | |
| 60 | 0.7% | 76% | |
| 61 | 71% | 75% | Last Result, Median |
| 62 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 65 | 2% | 3% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 55 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 56 | 6% | 99.0% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 58 | 24% | 93% | |
| 59 | 56% | 69% | Median |
| 60 | 0.2% | 13% | |
| 61 | 8% | 13% | |
| 62 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 63 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 64 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 65 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 66 | 0.8% | 1.5% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 55 | 6% | 98% | |
| 56 | 24% | 93% | |
| 57 | 57% | 69% | Median |
| 58 | 0.2% | 12% | |
| 59 | 0.8% | 12% | |
| 60 | 8% | 11% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 62 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 64 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 53 | 8% | 98.8% | |
| 54 | 55% | 91% | Median |
| 55 | 0.5% | 36% | |
| 56 | 2% | 35% | |
| 57 | 2% | 34% | |
| 58 | 22% | 32% | |
| 59 | 9% | 10% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 1.5% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 50 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 53 | 7% | 98% | |
| 54 | 23% | 92% | |
| 55 | 57% | 68% | Median |
| 56 | 0.5% | 11% | |
| 57 | 0.9% | 11% | |
| 58 | 8% | 10% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 60 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 62 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 18 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 20 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 22 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 23 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 24 | 55% | 97% | Median |
| 25 | 9% | 42% | |
| 26 | 8% | 33% | |
| 27 | 1.4% | 25% | |
| 28 | 13% | 23% | |
| 29 | 9% | 10% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 31 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Sentio
- Commissioner(s): Amedia and Nettavisen
- Fieldwork period: 8–12 February 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 999
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.95%