Opinion Poll by Opinion Perduco for Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse, 2–7 March 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 26.9% | 24.8–29.1% | 24.2–29.8% | 23.7–30.3% | 22.8–31.4% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 23.6% | 21.6–25.8% | 21.1–26.4% | 20.6–26.9% | 19.7–28.0% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 11.7% | 10.2–13.4% | 9.8–13.8% | 9.5–14.3% | 8.8–15.1% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 8.1% | 6.9–9.5% | 6.5–10.0% | 6.2–10.3% | 5.7–11.1% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 7.5% | 6.3–8.9% | 6.0–9.3% | 5.7–9.7% | 5.2–10.4% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.4–7.8% | 5.1–8.2% | 4.9–8.6% | 4.4–9.3% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.6–5.6% | 3.4–6.0% | 3.2–6.3% | 2.8–6.9% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.5–5.5% | 3.2–5.8% | 3.0–6.1% | 2.7–6.7% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.0–4.8% | 2.7–5.2% | 2.6–5.4% | 2.2–6.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 47 | 44–50 | 43–52 | 42–53 | 40–55 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 46 | 42–48 | 40–49 | 39–50 | 37–52 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 20 | 17–24 | 17–25 | 17–26 | 15–27 |
| Rødt | 8 | 13 | 11–16 | 10–17 | 10–18 | 9–19 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 13 | 11–15 | 10–16 | 9–17 | 8–18 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 11 | 9–13 | 8–14 | 8–15 | 7–16 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 7 | 2–9 | 2–10 | 2–10 | 1–11 |
| Venstre | 8 | 7 | 2–9 | 2–9 | 2–10 | 2–11 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 3 | 2–8 | 2–8 | 2–9 | 1–10 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 40 | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 1.2% | 98.9% | |
| 42 | 2% | 98% | |
| 43 | 4% | 96% | |
| 44 | 7% | 92% | |
| 45 | 11% | 85% | |
| 46 | 11% | 74% | |
| 47 | 17% | 62% | Median |
| 48 | 14% | 45% | |
| 49 | 8% | 31% | |
| 50 | 14% | 23% | |
| 51 | 3% | 9% | |
| 52 | 3% | 6% | |
| 53 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 54 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 38 | 1.3% | 99.2% | |
| 39 | 2% | 98% | |
| 40 | 3% | 96% | |
| 41 | 2% | 93% | |
| 42 | 3% | 91% | |
| 43 | 6% | 87% | |
| 44 | 8% | 81% | |
| 45 | 14% | 73% | |
| 46 | 19% | 59% | Median |
| 47 | 22% | 40% | |
| 48 | 10% | 19% | Last Result |
| 49 | 6% | 9% | |
| 50 | 2% | 3% | |
| 51 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 52 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 16 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 17 | 10% | 98% | |
| 18 | 12% | 89% | |
| 19 | 16% | 77% | |
| 20 | 20% | 61% | Median |
| 21 | 19% | 41% | Last Result |
| 22 | 7% | 22% | |
| 23 | 6% | 16% | |
| 24 | 4% | 10% | |
| 25 | 2% | 6% | |
| 26 | 3% | 4% | |
| 27 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 10 | 4% | 98% | |
| 11 | 12% | 94% | |
| 12 | 23% | 82% | |
| 13 | 16% | 59% | Median |
| 14 | 18% | 43% | |
| 15 | 11% | 24% | |
| 16 | 6% | 13% | |
| 17 | 5% | 8% | |
| 18 | 2% | 3% | |
| 19 | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 8 | 1.3% | 99.6% | |
| 9 | 3% | 98% | |
| 10 | 4% | 96% | |
| 11 | 5% | 91% | |
| 12 | 14% | 86% | |
| 13 | 32% | 72% | Median |
| 14 | 16% | 40% | |
| 15 | 15% | 24% | |
| 16 | 5% | 9% | |
| 17 | 3% | 4% | |
| 18 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 1.2% | 99.7% | |
| 8 | 6% | 98% | |
| 9 | 12% | 92% | |
| 10 | 28% | 80% | |
| 11 | 22% | 52% | Median |
| 12 | 15% | 29% | |
| 13 | 8% | 14% | Last Result |
| 14 | 3% | 6% | |
| 15 | 2% | 3% | |
| 16 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 10% | 98.9% | |
| 3 | 13% | 89% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 75% | |
| 5 | 0% | 75% | |
| 6 | 5% | 75% | |
| 7 | 26% | 70% | Median |
| 8 | 27% | 44% | |
| 9 | 12% | 17% | |
| 10 | 4% | 5% | |
| 11 | 2% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 22% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 12% | 78% | |
| 4 | 0% | 65% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 65% | |
| 6 | 9% | 65% | |
| 7 | 24% | 56% | Median |
| 8 | 16% | 33% | Last Result |
| 9 | 12% | 16% | |
| 10 | 3% | 4% | |
| 11 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 1 | 1.2% | 99.6% | |
| 2 | 28% | 98% | |
| 3 | 32% | 71% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0% | 38% | |
| 5 | 0% | 38% | |
| 6 | 8% | 38% | |
| 7 | 18% | 30% | |
| 8 | 9% | 12% | |
| 9 | 3% | 3% | |
| 10 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 91 | 95% | 86–96 | 84–97 | 83–99 | 81–101 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 89 | 84% | 83–95 | 82–96 | 81–98 | 79–100 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 71 | 84 | 46% | 79–89 | 77–90 | 76–91 | 73–94 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 97 | 82 | 34% | 78–88 | 76–89 | 75–91 | 73–92 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 95 | 80 | 19% | 75–85 | 73–86 | 71–87 | 69–90 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 78 | 5% | 73–83 | 71–85 | 70–86 | 67–87 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 76 | 2% | 71–82 | 69–83 | 68–84 | 65–86 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 76 | 0.8% | 71–81 | 69–82 | 68–83 | 66–86 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 73 | 0.2% | 69–78 | 67–80 | 66–82 | 63–83 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 82 | 70 | 0% | 64–75 | 62–76 | 60–77 | 58–79 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 89 | 70 | 0% | 65–74 | 64–74 | 63–76 | 60–78 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 67 | 0% | 63–72 | 62–75 | 61–75 | 59–76 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 63 | 0% | 58–68 | 57–68 | 55–70 | 53–73 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 58 | 0% | 52–62 | 51–64 | 49–65 | 48–68 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 59 | 0% | 55–62 | 53–63 | 52–64 | 50–66 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 57 | 0% | 53–59 | 50–61 | 49–62 | 47–63 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 23 | 0% | 18–28 | 17–29 | 16–30 | 14–32 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 78 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 82 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 83 | 2% | 98% | |
| 84 | 2% | 97% | |
| 85 | 3% | 95% | Majority |
| 86 | 5% | 92% | |
| 87 | 5% | 86% | |
| 88 | 6% | 81% | |
| 89 | 16% | 76% | |
| 90 | 8% | 60% | Median |
| 91 | 9% | 52% | |
| 92 | 11% | 43% | |
| 93 | 6% | 32% | |
| 94 | 9% | 26% | |
| 95 | 5% | 18% | |
| 96 | 4% | 13% | Last Result |
| 97 | 4% | 9% | |
| 98 | 2% | 4% | |
| 99 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 100 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 101 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 102 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 79 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 81 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 82 | 3% | 97% | |
| 83 | 4% | 94% | |
| 84 | 6% | 90% | |
| 85 | 3% | 84% | Majority |
| 86 | 6% | 81% | |
| 87 | 9% | 75% | |
| 88 | 11% | 65% | |
| 89 | 6% | 54% | |
| 90 | 8% | 47% | Median |
| 91 | 5% | 39% | |
| 92 | 11% | 34% | |
| 93 | 7% | 23% | |
| 94 | 4% | 16% | |
| 95 | 5% | 11% | |
| 96 | 2% | 6% | |
| 97 | 2% | 5% | |
| 98 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 99 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 100 | 0.3% | 0.7% | Last Result |
| 101 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 76 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 77 | 2% | 97% | |
| 78 | 2% | 95% | |
| 79 | 3% | 92% | |
| 80 | 7% | 89% | |
| 81 | 8% | 82% | |
| 82 | 7% | 74% | |
| 83 | 10% | 67% | |
| 84 | 11% | 57% | Median |
| 85 | 7% | 46% | Majority |
| 86 | 8% | 39% | |
| 87 | 11% | 32% | |
| 88 | 10% | 20% | |
| 89 | 3% | 11% | |
| 90 | 3% | 8% | |
| 91 | 2% | 5% | |
| 92 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 93 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 94 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 74 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 75 | 2% | 98% | |
| 76 | 2% | 97% | |
| 77 | 4% | 95% | |
| 78 | 3% | 91% | |
| 79 | 5% | 87% | |
| 80 | 12% | 82% | |
| 81 | 12% | 71% | |
| 82 | 10% | 59% | |
| 83 | 7% | 50% | Median |
| 84 | 9% | 43% | |
| 85 | 11% | 34% | Majority |
| 86 | 6% | 22% | |
| 87 | 6% | 16% | |
| 88 | 4% | 11% | |
| 89 | 2% | 7% | |
| 90 | 2% | 5% | |
| 91 | 2% | 3% | |
| 92 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 71 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 72 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 73 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 74 | 2% | 95% | |
| 75 | 5% | 93% | |
| 76 | 3% | 88% | |
| 77 | 6% | 85% | |
| 78 | 16% | 79% | |
| 79 | 6% | 63% | |
| 80 | 9% | 56% | Median |
| 81 | 8% | 48% | |
| 82 | 9% | 40% | |
| 83 | 7% | 32% | |
| 84 | 6% | 25% | |
| 85 | 10% | 19% | Majority |
| 86 | 5% | 9% | |
| 87 | 2% | 4% | |
| 88 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 90 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 99.3% | Last Result |
| 69 | 1.0% | 98.9% | |
| 70 | 2% | 98% | |
| 71 | 3% | 96% | |
| 72 | 2% | 93% | |
| 73 | 7% | 91% | |
| 74 | 4% | 84% | |
| 75 | 10% | 80% | |
| 76 | 12% | 70% | |
| 77 | 5% | 57% | Median |
| 78 | 10% | 52% | |
| 79 | 7% | 42% | |
| 80 | 11% | 36% | |
| 81 | 9% | 25% | |
| 82 | 4% | 15% | |
| 83 | 3% | 11% | |
| 84 | 3% | 8% | |
| 85 | 2% | 5% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 3% | |
| 87 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 67 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 68 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 69 | 3% | 97% | |
| 70 | 3% | 94% | |
| 71 | 6% | 91% | |
| 72 | 5% | 86% | Last Result |
| 73 | 7% | 81% | |
| 74 | 11% | 74% | |
| 75 | 8% | 63% | |
| 76 | 8% | 55% | |
| 77 | 9% | 47% | Median |
| 78 | 7% | 38% | |
| 79 | 14% | 31% | |
| 80 | 5% | 16% | |
| 81 | 2% | 12% | |
| 82 | 5% | 10% | |
| 83 | 2% | 5% | |
| 84 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 85 | 1.1% | 2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 66 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 68 | 2% | 98% | |
| 69 | 2% | 97% | |
| 70 | 2% | 94% | |
| 71 | 4% | 92% | |
| 72 | 7% | 88% | |
| 73 | 7% | 81% | |
| 74 | 6% | 73% | |
| 75 | 14% | 67% | |
| 76 | 7% | 53% | |
| 77 | 5% | 47% | Median |
| 78 | 17% | 42% | |
| 79 | 7% | 25% | |
| 80 | 6% | 17% | |
| 81 | 4% | 11% | |
| 82 | 4% | 7% | |
| 83 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 84 | 2% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 0.8% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 65 | 0.8% | 99.0% | Last Result |
| 66 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 67 | 3% | 97% | |
| 68 | 3% | 94% | |
| 69 | 11% | 91% | |
| 70 | 5% | 81% | |
| 71 | 9% | 76% | |
| 72 | 12% | 67% | |
| 73 | 10% | 55% | |
| 74 | 7% | 45% | Median |
| 75 | 5% | 38% | |
| 76 | 8% | 33% | |
| 77 | 8% | 25% | |
| 78 | 9% | 16% | |
| 79 | 2% | 7% | |
| 80 | 2% | 5% | |
| 81 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 82 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 83 | 2% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 60 | 1.5% | 98.8% | |
| 61 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 62 | 2% | 96% | |
| 63 | 3% | 94% | |
| 64 | 2% | 92% | |
| 65 | 7% | 90% | |
| 66 | 3% | 83% | |
| 67 | 8% | 80% | |
| 68 | 14% | 71% | |
| 69 | 6% | 58% | Median |
| 70 | 10% | 52% | |
| 71 | 9% | 42% | |
| 72 | 6% | 33% | |
| 73 | 7% | 26% | |
| 74 | 9% | 19% | |
| 75 | 4% | 10% | |
| 76 | 3% | 6% | |
| 77 | 2% | 3% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 62 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 63 | 2% | 98% | |
| 64 | 2% | 96% | |
| 65 | 5% | 94% | |
| 66 | 5% | 89% | |
| 67 | 6% | 84% | |
| 68 | 15% | 78% | |
| 69 | 11% | 63% | |
| 70 | 18% | 52% | Median |
| 71 | 8% | 34% | |
| 72 | 9% | 26% | |
| 73 | 4% | 16% | |
| 74 | 7% | 12% | |
| 75 | 2% | 5% | |
| 76 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 77 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 60 | 1.4% | 99.2% | |
| 61 | 2% | 98% | |
| 62 | 4% | 96% | |
| 63 | 6% | 93% | |
| 64 | 8% | 87% | |
| 65 | 8% | 79% | |
| 66 | 10% | 70% | |
| 67 | 11% | 60% | Median |
| 68 | 12% | 49% | |
| 69 | 9% | 37% | |
| 70 | 6% | 27% | |
| 71 | 9% | 22% | |
| 72 | 5% | 13% | |
| 73 | 2% | 8% | |
| 74 | 1.1% | 6% | |
| 75 | 4% | 5% | |
| 76 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 55 | 1.3% | 98.7% | |
| 56 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 57 | 3% | 96% | |
| 58 | 7% | 93% | |
| 59 | 5% | 87% | |
| 60 | 7% | 82% | |
| 61 | 10% | 75% | |
| 62 | 10% | 64% | Median |
| 63 | 8% | 55% | |
| 64 | 6% | 46% | |
| 65 | 11% | 40% | |
| 66 | 12% | 30% | |
| 67 | 6% | 18% | |
| 68 | 7% | 11% | |
| 69 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 70 | 2% | 3% | |
| 71 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 49 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 50 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 51 | 2% | 96% | |
| 52 | 5% | 94% | |
| 53 | 2% | 89% | |
| 54 | 8% | 87% | |
| 55 | 12% | 79% | |
| 56 | 10% | 67% | |
| 57 | 7% | 57% | Median |
| 58 | 11% | 50% | |
| 59 | 6% | 39% | |
| 60 | 16% | 34% | |
| 61 | 6% | 18% | |
| 62 | 4% | 12% | |
| 63 | 2% | 8% | |
| 64 | 2% | 6% | |
| 65 | 3% | 5% | |
| 66 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 51 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 52 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 53 | 3% | 97% | |
| 54 | 3% | 94% | |
| 55 | 7% | 91% | |
| 56 | 6% | 84% | |
| 57 | 8% | 79% | |
| 58 | 14% | 70% | |
| 59 | 13% | 56% | Median |
| 60 | 16% | 43% | |
| 61 | 9% | 26% | |
| 62 | 8% | 17% | |
| 63 | 5% | 9% | |
| 64 | 2% | 4% | |
| 65 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 48 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 49 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 50 | 2% | 97% | |
| 51 | 2% | 95% | |
| 52 | 2% | 93% | |
| 53 | 3% | 91% | |
| 54 | 9% | 88% | |
| 55 | 12% | 79% | |
| 56 | 16% | 67% | |
| 57 | 21% | 51% | Median |
| 58 | 9% | 29% | |
| 59 | 11% | 20% | |
| 60 | 4% | 9% | |
| 61 | 3% | 5% | Last Result |
| 62 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 63 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 16 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 17 | 3% | 97% | |
| 18 | 4% | 94% | |
| 19 | 2% | 90% | |
| 20 | 5% | 88% | |
| 21 | 7% | 83% | |
| 22 | 17% | 76% | |
| 23 | 14% | 59% | Median |
| 24 | 11% | 45% | |
| 25 | 7% | 34% | |
| 26 | 11% | 28% | |
| 27 | 4% | 17% | |
| 28 | 5% | 12% | |
| 29 | 2% | 7% | |
| 30 | 3% | 5% | |
| 31 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 32 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinion Perduco
- Commissioner(s): Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse
- Fieldwork period: 2–7 March 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 695
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.45%