Opinion Poll by Sentio for Nettavisen, 8–14 March 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 27.5% | 25.4–29.6% | 24.9–30.2% | 24.4–30.8% | 23.4–31.8% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 22.5% | 20.7–24.6% | 20.1–25.2% | 19.7–25.7% | 18.8–26.7% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 10.4% | 9.1–12.0% | 8.7–12.4% | 8.4–12.8% | 7.8–13.6% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 9.2% | 8.0–10.7% | 7.6–11.1% | 7.3–11.5% | 6.8–12.2% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.5–10.1% | 7.1–10.5% | 6.9–10.9% | 6.3–11.6% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.1–8.6% | 5.8–8.9% | 5.6–9.3% | 5.1–10.0% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.1–6.1% | 3.8–6.4% | 3.6–6.7% | 3.2–7.3% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.1–4.2% | 2.0–4.4% | 1.7–4.9% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.9–3.4% | 1.8–3.7% | 1.6–3.9% | 1.4–4.4% |
| Norgesdemokratene | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.5–2.8% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.2–3.3% | 1.0–3.7% |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5–1.4% | 0.4–1.6% | 0.4–1.7% | 0.3–2.1% |
| Konservativt | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3–1.1% | 0.3–1.2% | 0.2–1.4% | 0.1–1.7% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3–1.1% | 0.3–1.2% | 0.2–1.4% | 0.1–1.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 50 | 46–52 | 45–54 | 44–55 | 43–58 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 41 | 39–47 | 36–48 | 35–49 | 34–50 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 20 | 17–23 | 17–23 | 15–23 | 14–24 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 17 | 14–20 | 13–20 | 13–20 | 12–20 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 16 | 14–19 | 12–19 | 12–19 | 12–19 |
| Rødt | 8 | 14 | 11–14 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 9–17 |
| Venstre | 8 | 8 | 8–10 | 3–11 | 2–12 | 2–14 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 1 | 1–3 | 1–8 | 0–8 | 0–9 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 1 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–8 |
| Norgesdemokratene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Konservativt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 44 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 45 | 3% | 97% | |
| 46 | 7% | 94% | |
| 47 | 26% | 87% | |
| 48 | 6% | 61% | |
| 49 | 4% | 55% | |
| 50 | 31% | 51% | Median |
| 51 | 4% | 19% | |
| 52 | 6% | 16% | |
| 53 | 2% | 9% | |
| 54 | 5% | 7% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 57 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 35 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 36 | 1.3% | 95% | |
| 37 | 1.0% | 94% | |
| 38 | 3% | 93% | |
| 39 | 30% | 90% | |
| 40 | 3% | 60% | |
| 41 | 8% | 57% | Median |
| 42 | 16% | 49% | |
| 43 | 4% | 33% | |
| 44 | 6% | 29% | |
| 45 | 9% | 23% | |
| 46 | 4% | 14% | |
| 47 | 5% | 10% | |
| 48 | 0.9% | 6% | Last Result |
| 49 | 4% | 5% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 15 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 16 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 17 | 27% | 96% | |
| 18 | 9% | 69% | |
| 19 | 5% | 60% | |
| 20 | 16% | 55% | Median |
| 21 | 8% | 40% | Last Result |
| 22 | 2% | 32% | |
| 23 | 29% | 30% | |
| 24 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 5% | 99.3% | |
| 14 | 7% | 94% | |
| 15 | 5% | 88% | |
| 16 | 14% | 82% | |
| 17 | 38% | 69% | Median |
| 18 | 9% | 31% | |
| 19 | 2% | 22% | |
| 20 | 20% | 20% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 7% | 99.6% | |
| 13 | 2% | 93% | Last Result |
| 14 | 7% | 91% | |
| 15 | 26% | 84% | |
| 16 | 33% | 57% | Median |
| 17 | 6% | 24% | |
| 18 | 7% | 18% | |
| 19 | 11% | 11% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 6% | 99.4% | |
| 11 | 6% | 94% | |
| 12 | 21% | 88% | |
| 13 | 16% | 67% | |
| 14 | 47% | 51% | Median |
| 15 | 2% | 4% | |
| 16 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 17 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 3% | 100% | |
| 3 | 4% | 97% | |
| 4 | 0% | 93% | |
| 5 | 0% | 93% | |
| 6 | 0% | 93% | |
| 7 | 1.2% | 93% | |
| 8 | 52% | 92% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 17% | 40% | |
| 10 | 15% | 23% | |
| 11 | 6% | 9% | |
| 12 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 14 | 2% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 100% | |
| 1 | 48% | 96% | Median |
| 2 | 36% | 48% | |
| 3 | 4% | 12% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 8% | |
| 6 | 0% | 8% | |
| 7 | 1.3% | 8% | |
| 8 | 5% | 7% | |
| 9 | 2% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 44% | 100% | |
| 1 | 6% | 56% | Median |
| 2 | 24% | 50% | |
| 3 | 25% | 26% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 7 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 8 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.8% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 95 | 99.9% | 90–100 | 88–100 | 88–101 | 87–106 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 89 | 92% | 86–93 | 84–96 | 82–99 | 80–99 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt | 97 | 87 | 87% | 84–91 | 81–93 | 79–98 | 78–98 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 95 | 78 | 7% | 73–84 | 73–86 | 72–89 | 70–89 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 71 | 81 | 9% | 77–84 | 75–87 | 71–89 | 71–90 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 77 | 4% | 73–82 | 72–84 | 69–87 | 68–87 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 79 | 3% | 75–82 | 72–84 | 70–86 | 70–88 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 89 | 75 | 3% | 71–77 | 69–79 | 67–86 | 66–86 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 77 | 2% | 72–81 | 70–82 | 68–84 | 68–85 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 73 | 0.1% | 68–78 | 68–80 | 67–81 | 62–81 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 69 | 0% | 64–73 | 64–74 | 62–75 | 60–77 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 82 | 62 | 0% | 57–68 | 57–71 | 57–72 | 54–73 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 60 | 0% | 56–65 | 54–67 | 54–69 | 51–70 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 57 | 0% | 55–62 | 53–63 | 53–68 | 47–68 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 58 | 0% | 57–64 | 53–64 | 52–67 | 51–68 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 59 | 0% | 56–62 | 52–64 | 51–67 | 50–68 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 26 | 0% | 23–31 | 23–31 | 22–32 | 16–33 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 83 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 87 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 88 | 4% | 99.2% | |
| 89 | 1.3% | 95% | |
| 90 | 4% | 93% | |
| 91 | 1.5% | 89% | |
| 92 | 4% | 88% | |
| 93 | 5% | 83% | |
| 94 | 13% | 78% | |
| 95 | 17% | 64% | |
| 96 | 0.4% | 47% | Last Result, Median |
| 97 | 3% | 47% | |
| 98 | 28% | 43% | |
| 99 | 4% | 15% | |
| 100 | 7% | 11% | |
| 101 | 3% | 4% | |
| 102 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 106 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 79 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 80 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 1.2% | 98.7% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 84 | 5% | 97% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 92% | Majority |
| 86 | 4% | 92% | |
| 87 | 30% | 87% | |
| 88 | 3% | 57% | |
| 89 | 9% | 55% | Median |
| 90 | 7% | 46% | |
| 91 | 10% | 39% | |
| 92 | 4% | 29% | |
| 93 | 15% | 25% | |
| 94 | 2% | 10% | |
| 95 | 1.0% | 8% | |
| 96 | 3% | 7% | |
| 97 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 98 | 0% | 3% | |
| 99 | 3% | 3% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 78 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 79 | 1.4% | 98.7% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 81 | 4% | 97% | |
| 82 | 0.7% | 93% | |
| 83 | 2% | 92% | |
| 84 | 3% | 91% | |
| 85 | 2% | 87% | Majority |
| 86 | 34% | 85% | |
| 87 | 10% | 51% | |
| 88 | 7% | 40% | Median |
| 89 | 3% | 33% | |
| 90 | 8% | 30% | |
| 91 | 16% | 22% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 7% | |
| 93 | 2% | 6% | |
| 94 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 96 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 3% | Last Result |
| 98 | 3% | 3% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 70 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 98.6% | |
| 72 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 73 | 28% | 96% | |
| 74 | 3% | 68% | |
| 75 | 4% | 65% | |
| 76 | 3% | 61% | Median |
| 77 | 4% | 58% | |
| 78 | 13% | 54% | |
| 79 | 7% | 41% | |
| 80 | 5% | 34% | |
| 81 | 2% | 29% | |
| 82 | 16% | 27% | |
| 83 | 2% | 12% | |
| 84 | 3% | 10% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 7% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 7% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 89 | 3% | 3% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 73 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 74 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 75 | 2% | 95% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 77 | 15% | 93% | |
| 78 | 8% | 78% | |
| 79 | 3% | 70% | |
| 80 | 7% | 67% | Median |
| 81 | 10% | 59% | |
| 82 | 35% | 50% | |
| 83 | 2% | 15% | |
| 84 | 3% | 13% | |
| 85 | 1.5% | 9% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.7% | 8% | |
| 87 | 4% | 7% | |
| 88 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 89 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 90 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 72 | 5% | 97% | |
| 73 | 29% | 92% | |
| 74 | 5% | 63% | |
| 75 | 3% | 59% | Median |
| 76 | 0.6% | 56% | |
| 77 | 18% | 55% | |
| 78 | 8% | 38% | |
| 79 | 16% | 30% | |
| 80 | 1.4% | 13% | |
| 81 | 1.5% | 12% | |
| 82 | 4% | 11% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 7% | |
| 84 | 3% | 7% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 4% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 87 | 3% | 3% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 70 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 72 | 3% | 97% | |
| 73 | 2% | 94% | |
| 74 | 2% | 92% | |
| 75 | 15% | 90% | |
| 76 | 4% | 75% | |
| 77 | 10% | 71% | |
| 78 | 7% | 61% | |
| 79 | 9% | 54% | Median |
| 80 | 3% | 45% | |
| 81 | 30% | 43% | |
| 82 | 4% | 13% | |
| 83 | 0.6% | 8% | |
| 84 | 5% | 8% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 3% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 87 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 88 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 1.5% | 98.7% | |
| 68 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 69 | 4% | 96% | |
| 70 | 0% | 92% | |
| 71 | 2% | 92% | |
| 72 | 28% | 90% | |
| 73 | 1.3% | 61% | |
| 74 | 9% | 60% | Median |
| 75 | 18% | 51% | |
| 76 | 3% | 33% | |
| 77 | 22% | 30% | |
| 78 | 1.1% | 8% | |
| 79 | 2% | 7% | |
| 80 | 0.5% | 5% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 3% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 3% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 68 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 70 | 3% | 97% | |
| 71 | 2% | 94% | |
| 72 | 15% | 92% | |
| 73 | 0.5% | 77% | |
| 74 | 5% | 77% | |
| 75 | 2% | 71% | |
| 76 | 9% | 69% | |
| 77 | 12% | 60% | |
| 78 | 5% | 48% | Median |
| 79 | 1.2% | 42% | |
| 80 | 3% | 41% | |
| 81 | 31% | 38% | |
| 82 | 3% | 7% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 84 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 85 | 2% | 2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 87 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 66 | 0.7% | 98.9% | |
| 67 | 3% | 98% | |
| 68 | 7% | 96% | |
| 69 | 4% | 89% | |
| 70 | 28% | 85% | |
| 71 | 4% | 57% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 53% | Last Result, Median |
| 73 | 17% | 53% | |
| 74 | 14% | 36% | |
| 75 | 6% | 22% | |
| 76 | 4% | 17% | |
| 77 | 1.1% | 12% | |
| 78 | 4% | 11% | |
| 79 | 2% | 8% | |
| 80 | 2% | 5% | |
| 81 | 3% | 4% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 1.3% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0% | 98.5% | |
| 62 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 63 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 64 | 16% | 95% | |
| 65 | 7% | 79% | |
| 66 | 4% | 72% | |
| 67 | 14% | 69% | |
| 68 | 5% | 55% | |
| 69 | 8% | 50% | |
| 70 | 4% | 43% | Median |
| 71 | 0.2% | 39% | |
| 72 | 4% | 38% | |
| 73 | 29% | 34% | |
| 74 | 2% | 5% | |
| 75 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 77 | 2% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 52 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 55 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 57 | 32% | 98% | |
| 58 | 2% | 67% | |
| 59 | 9% | 65% | |
| 60 | 4% | 56% | Median |
| 61 | 1.3% | 52% | |
| 62 | 8% | 50% | |
| 63 | 4% | 43% | |
| 64 | 6% | 39% | |
| 65 | 2% | 33% | |
| 66 | 2% | 31% | |
| 67 | 15% | 29% | |
| 68 | 3% | 13% | |
| 69 | 1.2% | 10% | |
| 70 | 3% | 9% | |
| 71 | 2% | 6% | |
| 72 | 3% | 3% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 52 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 54 | 4% | 98% | |
| 55 | 1.1% | 94% | |
| 56 | 29% | 93% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 64% | |
| 58 | 10% | 64% | |
| 59 | 3% | 54% | Median |
| 60 | 9% | 51% | |
| 61 | 4% | 42% | |
| 62 | 8% | 38% | |
| 63 | 3% | 30% | |
| 64 | 4% | 27% | |
| 65 | 16% | 23% | |
| 66 | 2% | 7% | |
| 67 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 69 | 3% | 4% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 98.6% | |
| 53 | 5% | 98% | |
| 54 | 3% | 93% | |
| 55 | 34% | 90% | |
| 56 | 3% | 57% | |
| 57 | 15% | 54% | Median |
| 58 | 6% | 39% | |
| 59 | 9% | 33% | |
| 60 | 7% | 24% | |
| 61 | 6% | 16% | Last Result |
| 62 | 4% | 11% | |
| 63 | 2% | 7% | |
| 64 | 0% | 5% | |
| 65 | 1.5% | 5% | |
| 66 | 0% | 3% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 68 | 3% | 3% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 53 | 2% | 96% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 94% | |
| 55 | 1.3% | 94% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 92% | |
| 57 | 15% | 92% | |
| 58 | 47% | 77% | |
| 59 | 3% | 30% | Median |
| 60 | 5% | 27% | |
| 61 | 2% | 22% | |
| 62 | 6% | 20% | |
| 63 | 4% | 14% | |
| 64 | 7% | 10% | |
| 65 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 67 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 68 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 51 | 4% | 99.1% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 53 | 2% | 95% | |
| 54 | 1.0% | 93% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 92% | |
| 56 | 28% | 91% | |
| 57 | 3% | 63% | |
| 58 | 10% | 60% | Median |
| 59 | 7% | 50% | |
| 60 | 13% | 43% | |
| 61 | 3% | 31% | |
| 62 | 20% | 27% | |
| 63 | 2% | 8% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 5% | |
| 65 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 67 | 3% | 4% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 19 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 21 | 0.5% | 98.7% | |
| 22 | 3% | 98% | |
| 23 | 5% | 95% | |
| 24 | 6% | 90% | |
| 25 | 31% | 83% | |
| 26 | 3% | 52% | Median |
| 27 | 18% | 49% | |
| 28 | 1.3% | 31% | |
| 29 | 2% | 29% | |
| 30 | 4% | 28% | |
| 31 | 20% | 24% | |
| 32 | 2% | 4% | |
| 33 | 2% | 2% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 40 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Sentio
- Commissioner(s): Nettavisen
- Fieldwork period: 8–14 March 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 750
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.23%