Opinion Poll by Norstat for Vårt Land, 15–20 March 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 28.6% | 26.8–30.5% | 26.3–31.1% | 25.8–31.6% | 25.0–32.5% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 22.7% | 21.0–24.5% | 20.5–25.0% | 20.1–25.4% | 19.3–26.3% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.0–12.6% | 9.6–13.0% | 9.3–13.3% | 8.8–14.0% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 8.5% | 7.4–9.7% | 7.1–10.1% | 6.8–10.4% | 6.4–11.0% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 6.6% | 5.7–7.7% | 5.4–8.0% | 5.2–8.3% | 4.8–8.9% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.8–7.4% | 4.6–7.6% | 4.2–8.2% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.4–5.1% | 3.2–5.4% | 3.1–5.6% | 2.8–6.1% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.0–5.0% | 2.8–5.3% | 2.5–5.8% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.7–4.2% | 2.5–4.5% | 2.4–4.7% | 2.1–5.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 50 | 47–55 | 46–57 | 45–57 | 44–59 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 45 | 42–48 | 40–48 | 40–50 | 37–50 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 18 | 17–21 | 17–22 | 17–23 | 16–25 |
| Rødt | 8 | 13 | 11–15 | 10–17 | 10–17 | 9–18 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 12 | 8–14 | 8–14 | 7–15 | 7–15 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 9 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 6–12 | 6–13 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 6 | 2–7 | 2–8 | 2–8 | 1–9 |
| Venstre | 8 | 3 | 2–7 | 2–7 | 2–8 | 2–9 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 3 | 2–6 | 2–7 | 1–7 | 0–8 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 45 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 46 | 3% | 97% | |
| 47 | 5% | 94% | |
| 48 | 8% | 89% | |
| 49 | 15% | 81% | |
| 50 | 18% | 65% | Median |
| 51 | 15% | 47% | |
| 52 | 9% | 33% | |
| 53 | 8% | 23% | |
| 54 | 4% | 16% | |
| 55 | 4% | 11% | |
| 56 | 2% | 7% | |
| 57 | 4% | 5% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 38 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 39 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 40 | 4% | 98% | |
| 41 | 3% | 94% | |
| 42 | 4% | 91% | |
| 43 | 6% | 87% | |
| 44 | 9% | 81% | |
| 45 | 29% | 72% | Median |
| 46 | 21% | 42% | |
| 47 | 10% | 21% | |
| 48 | 6% | 11% | Last Result |
| 49 | 2% | 5% | |
| 50 | 2% | 3% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 16 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 17 | 10% | 99.1% | |
| 18 | 48% | 90% | Median |
| 19 | 14% | 42% | |
| 20 | 14% | 28% | |
| 21 | 9% | 14% | Last Result |
| 22 | 3% | 6% | |
| 23 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 24 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 25 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 1.4% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 5% | 98% | |
| 11 | 17% | 93% | |
| 12 | 20% | 76% | |
| 13 | 28% | 56% | Median |
| 14 | 13% | 28% | |
| 15 | 7% | 15% | |
| 16 | 3% | 8% | |
| 17 | 3% | 5% | |
| 18 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 7 | 4% | 99.7% | |
| 8 | 6% | 96% | |
| 9 | 3% | 90% | |
| 10 | 12% | 86% | |
| 11 | 20% | 74% | |
| 12 | 13% | 54% | Median |
| 13 | 31% | 42% | |
| 14 | 7% | 10% | |
| 15 | 3% | 3% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 6 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 8% | 97% | |
| 8 | 21% | 90% | |
| 9 | 36% | 68% | Median |
| 10 | 21% | 33% | |
| 11 | 7% | 12% | |
| 12 | 3% | 5% | |
| 13 | 2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.5% | 100% | |
| 2 | 21% | 98.5% | |
| 3 | 14% | 77% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 63% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 63% | |
| 6 | 26% | 62% | Median |
| 7 | 27% | 36% | |
| 8 | 7% | 9% | |
| 9 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 44% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 14% | 55% | Median |
| 4 | 0% | 41% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 41% | |
| 6 | 21% | 40% | |
| 7 | 16% | 19% | |
| 8 | 3% | 3% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 1 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 2 | 37% | 97% | |
| 3 | 43% | 60% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0% | 17% | |
| 5 | 2% | 17% | |
| 6 | 10% | 16% | |
| 7 | 5% | 6% | |
| 8 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 88 | 88% | 84–92 | 83–94 | 82–95 | 80–98 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 83 | 41% | 79–87 | 78–89 | 77–90 | 74–94 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 71 | 82 | 21% | 78–87 | 76–88 | 75–89 | 73–91 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 97 | 79 | 3% | 74–82 | 73–84 | 72–85 | 69–88 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 77 | 2% | 73–81 | 72–82 | 71–84 | 69–86 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 74 | 0.2% | 70–78 | 69–79 | 68–80 | 66–83 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 95 | 74 | 0% | 69–78 | 67–79 | 67–80 | 65–82 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 72 | 0% | 68–76 | 67–77 | 65–79 | 63–82 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 71 | 0% | 66–75 | 65–76 | 64–77 | 62–79 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 69 | 0% | 66–73 | 65–75 | 64–76 | 63–78 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 89 | 66 | 0% | 62–69 | 61–70 | 59–71 | 57–73 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 82 | 65 | 0% | 60–69 | 58–70 | 57–71 | 55–73 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 60 | 0% | 56–63 | 54–65 | 53–66 | 51–67 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 58 | 0% | 54–62 | 53–64 | 52–65 | 50–67 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 57 | 0% | 53–60 | 52–61 | 51–61 | 49–62 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 54 | 0% | 50–57 | 50–58 | 48–59 | 45–60 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 18 | 0% | 15–23 | 14–24 | 13–25 | 11–27 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 78 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 81 | 1.2% | 99.4% | |
| 82 | 2% | 98% | |
| 83 | 2% | 97% | |
| 84 | 7% | 95% | |
| 85 | 5% | 88% | Majority |
| 86 | 17% | 83% | Median |
| 87 | 11% | 67% | |
| 88 | 11% | 55% | |
| 89 | 10% | 45% | |
| 90 | 12% | 35% | |
| 91 | 7% | 23% | |
| 92 | 6% | 15% | |
| 93 | 4% | 10% | |
| 94 | 2% | 5% | |
| 95 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 96 | 1.2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 97 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 76 | 1.1% | 99.0% | |
| 77 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 78 | 4% | 97% | |
| 79 | 5% | 93% | |
| 80 | 10% | 88% | |
| 81 | 7% | 79% | |
| 82 | 11% | 72% | |
| 83 | 12% | 61% | |
| 84 | 8% | 49% | |
| 85 | 11% | 41% | Median, Majority |
| 86 | 4% | 30% | |
| 87 | 17% | 26% | |
| 88 | 3% | 8% | |
| 89 | 2% | 5% | |
| 90 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 91 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 92 | 0.7% | 1.5% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 94 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 74 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 75 | 2% | 98% | |
| 76 | 4% | 97% | |
| 77 | 2% | 93% | |
| 78 | 5% | 90% | |
| 79 | 9% | 85% | |
| 80 | 17% | 76% | Median |
| 81 | 7% | 58% | |
| 82 | 13% | 51% | |
| 83 | 10% | 38% | |
| 84 | 7% | 28% | |
| 85 | 4% | 21% | Majority |
| 86 | 5% | 17% | |
| 87 | 5% | 12% | |
| 88 | 4% | 7% | |
| 89 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 90 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 91 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 71 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 72 | 2% | 98% | |
| 73 | 3% | 96% | |
| 74 | 8% | 93% | |
| 75 | 3% | 85% | |
| 76 | 7% | 82% | |
| 77 | 12% | 75% | |
| 78 | 10% | 63% | |
| 79 | 10% | 53% | Median |
| 80 | 21% | 43% | |
| 81 | 7% | 22% | |
| 82 | 5% | 15% | |
| 83 | 4% | 9% | |
| 84 | 2% | 5% | |
| 85 | 2% | 3% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 87 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 88 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 70 | 1.1% | 98.9% | |
| 71 | 2% | 98% | |
| 72 | 5% | 96% | |
| 73 | 16% | 91% | |
| 74 | 6% | 75% | Median |
| 75 | 7% | 69% | |
| 76 | 8% | 63% | |
| 77 | 17% | 54% | |
| 78 | 8% | 38% | |
| 79 | 10% | 30% | |
| 80 | 5% | 20% | |
| 81 | 5% | 15% | |
| 82 | 5% | 9% | |
| 83 | 1.5% | 5% | |
| 84 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 85 | 0.9% | 2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 68 | 2% | 98% | |
| 69 | 5% | 97% | |
| 70 | 17% | 92% | |
| 71 | 8% | 75% | Median |
| 72 | 7% | 67% | |
| 73 | 10% | 60% | |
| 74 | 11% | 50% | |
| 75 | 12% | 40% | |
| 76 | 8% | 28% | |
| 77 | 7% | 20% | |
| 78 | 4% | 13% | |
| 79 | 6% | 9% | |
| 80 | 2% | 3% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 66 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 67 | 4% | 98% | |
| 68 | 2% | 94% | |
| 69 | 3% | 92% | |
| 70 | 6% | 89% | |
| 71 | 8% | 83% | |
| 72 | 10% | 75% | |
| 73 | 10% | 64% | |
| 74 | 9% | 55% | |
| 75 | 9% | 46% | Median |
| 76 | 7% | 37% | |
| 77 | 17% | 30% | |
| 78 | 7% | 13% | |
| 79 | 2% | 6% | |
| 80 | 2% | 4% | |
| 81 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 65 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 66 | 2% | 97% | |
| 67 | 3% | 95% | |
| 68 | 6% | 92% | |
| 69 | 11% | 86% | |
| 70 | 7% | 75% | |
| 71 | 8% | 68% | |
| 72 | 17% | 60% | Last Result |
| 73 | 8% | 44% | Median |
| 74 | 17% | 36% | |
| 75 | 6% | 18% | |
| 76 | 5% | 12% | |
| 77 | 3% | 7% | |
| 78 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 79 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 80 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 64 | 2% | 98% | |
| 65 | 5% | 97% | |
| 66 | 3% | 92% | |
| 67 | 7% | 89% | |
| 68 | 9% | 83% | |
| 69 | 12% | 73% | |
| 70 | 8% | 61% | |
| 71 | 9% | 53% | |
| 72 | 7% | 44% | Median |
| 73 | 10% | 36% | |
| 74 | 15% | 26% | |
| 75 | 5% | 11% | |
| 76 | 3% | 6% | |
| 77 | 2% | 3% | |
| 78 | 0.9% | 1.5% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 65 | 3% | 97% | |
| 66 | 6% | 94% | |
| 67 | 9% | 88% | |
| 68 | 21% | 79% | Median |
| 69 | 14% | 57% | |
| 70 | 9% | 43% | |
| 71 | 10% | 34% | |
| 72 | 7% | 24% | |
| 73 | 7% | 17% | |
| 74 | 3% | 10% | |
| 75 | 3% | 6% | |
| 76 | 2% | 3% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 59 | 1.5% | 98.9% | |
| 60 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 61 | 2% | 96% | |
| 62 | 9% | 94% | |
| 63 | 10% | 85% | |
| 64 | 6% | 75% | |
| 65 | 10% | 69% | |
| 66 | 14% | 59% | Median |
| 67 | 27% | 46% | |
| 68 | 8% | 19% | |
| 69 | 4% | 11% | |
| 70 | 4% | 7% | |
| 71 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 72 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 56 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 57 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 58 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 59 | 3% | 94% | |
| 60 | 6% | 91% | |
| 61 | 3% | 86% | |
| 62 | 9% | 82% | |
| 63 | 7% | 73% | |
| 64 | 9% | 67% | |
| 65 | 14% | 58% | |
| 66 | 6% | 44% | Median |
| 67 | 8% | 37% | |
| 68 | 17% | 30% | |
| 69 | 6% | 12% | |
| 70 | 3% | 6% | |
| 71 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 72 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 73 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 53 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 54 | 3% | 97% | |
| 55 | 3% | 94% | |
| 56 | 6% | 91% | |
| 57 | 7% | 84% | |
| 58 | 8% | 78% | |
| 59 | 14% | 70% | |
| 60 | 12% | 56% | Median |
| 61 | 19% | 44% | |
| 62 | 11% | 25% | |
| 63 | 5% | 15% | |
| 64 | 4% | 9% | |
| 65 | 3% | 5% | |
| 66 | 2% | 3% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 50 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 51 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 52 | 3% | 98% | |
| 53 | 3% | 95% | |
| 54 | 7% | 92% | |
| 55 | 17% | 85% | |
| 56 | 7% | 67% | Median |
| 57 | 8% | 60% | |
| 58 | 6% | 52% | |
| 59 | 16% | 46% | |
| 60 | 6% | 30% | |
| 61 | 9% | 24% | |
| 62 | 6% | 15% | |
| 63 | 2% | 9% | |
| 64 | 3% | 6% | |
| 65 | 2% | 3% | |
| 66 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 49 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 50 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 51 | 2% | 98% | |
| 52 | 4% | 96% | |
| 53 | 7% | 92% | |
| 54 | 7% | 85% | |
| 55 | 8% | 78% | |
| 56 | 11% | 70% | |
| 57 | 20% | 60% | Median |
| 58 | 20% | 40% | |
| 59 | 10% | 20% | |
| 60 | 4% | 10% | |
| 61 | 4% | 6% | |
| 62 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 48 | 1.2% | 98.7% | |
| 49 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 50 | 7% | 96% | |
| 51 | 4% | 90% | |
| 52 | 8% | 86% | |
| 53 | 11% | 78% | |
| 54 | 25% | 67% | Median |
| 55 | 14% | 42% | |
| 56 | 14% | 28% | |
| 57 | 8% | 14% | |
| 58 | 3% | 6% | |
| 59 | 2% | 3% | |
| 60 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 13 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 14 | 3% | 97% | |
| 15 | 7% | 93% | |
| 16 | 13% | 86% | |
| 17 | 7% | 74% | |
| 18 | 18% | 67% | Median |
| 19 | 14% | 49% | |
| 20 | 8% | 35% | |
| 21 | 7% | 27% | |
| 22 | 6% | 20% | |
| 23 | 8% | 14% | |
| 24 | 3% | 6% | |
| 25 | 2% | 3% | |
| 26 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 27 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norstat
- Commissioner(s): Vårt Land
- Fieldwork period: 15–20 March 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 958
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.33%