Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Dagbladet, 21–23 March 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 26.5% | 24.4–28.6% | 23.9–29.2% | 23.4–29.8% | 22.5–30.8% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 24.0% | 22.1–26.1% | 21.6–26.7% | 21.1–27.2% | 20.2–28.3% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 13.2% | 11.7–15.0% | 11.3–15.4% | 11.0–15.9% | 10.3–16.7% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 7.6% | 6.4–8.9% | 6.1–9.3% | 5.9–9.7% | 5.4–10.4% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.1–8.5% | 5.8–8.9% | 5.5–9.3% | 5.0–9.9% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.6–7.9% | 5.3–8.3% | 5.0–8.6% | 4.6–9.3% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.5–5.4% | 3.3–5.8% | 3.1–6.0% | 2.7–6.6% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.4–4.1% | 2.2–4.4% | 2.1–4.6% | 1.8–5.1% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.0–3.5% | 1.8–3.7% | 1.6–4.0% | 1.4–4.5% |
| Norgesdemokratene | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.0–3.5% | 1.8–3.7% | 1.6–4.0% | 1.4–4.5% |
| Kystpartiet | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.3–1.1% | 0.3–1.2% | 0.2–1.4% | 0.1–1.7% |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2–0.9% | 0.2–1.1% | 0.1–1.2% | 0.1–1.5% |
| Helsepartiet | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2–0.9% | 0.2–1.1% | 0.1–1.2% | 0.1–1.5% |
| Konservativt | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.1–1.0% | 0.0–1.2% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.1–1.0% | 0.0–1.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 48 | 43–50 | 43–52 | 42–53 | 42–55 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 47 | 44–50 | 43–50 | 40–51 | 37–51 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 24 | 18–27 | 18–27 | 18–30 | 18–34 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 13 | 10–15 | 10–15 | 10–18 | 10–18 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 11 | 10–16 | 10–16 | 10–18 | 10–19 |
| Rødt | 8 | 11 | 9–13 | 9–15 | 9–17 | 7–17 |
| Venstre | 8 | 8 | 7–10 | 3–10 | 2–10 | 2–10 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 8 | 2–8 | 1–8 | 0–8 | 0–8 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Norgesdemokratene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| Kystpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 | 0–3 |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Helsepartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Konservativt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 43 | 8% | 97% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 89% | |
| 45 | 23% | 89% | |
| 46 | 3% | 65% | |
| 47 | 3% | 63% | |
| 48 | 41% | 60% | Median |
| 49 | 1.4% | 19% | |
| 50 | 8% | 18% | |
| 51 | 5% | 10% | |
| 52 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 53 | 3% | 4% | |
| 54 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 55 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 39 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 40 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 43 | 5% | 95% | |
| 44 | 4% | 90% | |
| 45 | 1.2% | 86% | |
| 46 | 10% | 85% | |
| 47 | 36% | 75% | Median |
| 48 | 0.4% | 38% | Last Result |
| 49 | 5% | 38% | |
| 50 | 30% | 33% | |
| 51 | 3% | 3% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 31% | 100% | |
| 19 | 1.0% | 69% | |
| 20 | 0.5% | 68% | |
| 21 | 8% | 68% | Last Result |
| 22 | 3% | 60% | |
| 23 | 0.5% | 57% | |
| 24 | 43% | 56% | Median |
| 25 | 0.9% | 13% | |
| 26 | 0.7% | 12% | |
| 27 | 8% | 12% | |
| 28 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 30 | 2% | 3% | |
| 31 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 34 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 10 | 40% | 99.7% | |
| 11 | 0.4% | 60% | |
| 12 | 9% | 59% | |
| 13 | 12% | 50% | Median |
| 14 | 11% | 39% | |
| 15 | 23% | 28% | |
| 16 | 2% | 5% | |
| 17 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 18 | 2% | 3% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 10 | 38% | 99.8% | |
| 11 | 30% | 62% | Median |
| 12 | 5% | 32% | |
| 13 | 4% | 27% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0.9% | 23% | |
| 15 | 8% | 22% | |
| 16 | 9% | 14% | |
| 17 | 2% | 5% | |
| 18 | 2% | 3% | |
| 19 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 99.3% | Last Result |
| 9 | 19% | 99.2% | |
| 10 | 3% | 81% | |
| 11 | 63% | 77% | Median |
| 12 | 4% | 14% | |
| 13 | 3% | 11% | |
| 14 | 2% | 8% | |
| 15 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 17 | 4% | 4% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 3% | 100% | |
| 3 | 3% | 97% | |
| 4 | 0% | 94% | |
| 5 | 0% | 94% | |
| 6 | 0% | 94% | |
| 7 | 8% | 94% | |
| 8 | 67% | 86% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 6% | 19% | |
| 10 | 12% | 13% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 100% | |
| 1 | 2% | 96% | |
| 2 | 21% | 94% | |
| 3 | 2% | 73% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 71% | |
| 5 | 0% | 71% | |
| 6 | 0% | 71% | |
| 7 | 12% | 71% | |
| 8 | 58% | 59% | Median |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 1 | 62% | 99.5% | Median |
| 2 | 37% | 38% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 7 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.3% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Kystpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kystpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 56% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 5% | 44% | |
| 2 | 36% | 39% | |
| 3 | 3% | 3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Helsepartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Helsepartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 95 | 99.7% | 94–98 | 93–98 | 93–99 | 89–105 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 84 | 46% | 81–89 | 81–89 | 81–89 | 77–90 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 86 | 54% | 79–89 | 79–89 | 79–89 | 77–92 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 82 | 45% | 79–88 | 79–88 | 79–88 | 75–89 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt | 97 | 84 | 45% | 78–87 | 78–87 | 78–87 | 76–90 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 77 | 25% | 76–86 | 69–86 | 68–87 | 67–87 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 80 | 2% | 71–80 | 71–83 | 71–84 | 71–87 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 75 | 0% | 68–78 | 66–78 | 66–80 | 65–81 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 89 | 74 | 0% | 67–77 | 65–77 | 65–78 | 64–79 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 71 | 0% | 63–75 | 63–77 | 63–77 | 63–83 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 73 | 0% | 69–75 | 69–75 | 66–75 | 61–78 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 66 | 0% | 59–75 | 57–75 | 57–75 | 56–75 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 65 | 0% | 58–73 | 56–73 | 56–73 | 55–73 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 58 | 0% | 57–65 | 54–65 | 54–65 | 52–65 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 59 | 0% | 56–64 | 55–65 | 53–65 | 48–65 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 61 | 0% | 55–64 | 55–64 | 55–64 | 51–67 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 26 | 0% | 21–31 | 20–31 | 20–31 | 15–31 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 82 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 85 | 0% | 99.7% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 88 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 91 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 93 | 5% | 98.6% | |
| 94 | 30% | 94% | |
| 95 | 18% | 63% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 45% | Last Result |
| 97 | 0.3% | 45% | |
| 98 | 42% | 45% | |
| 99 | 2% | 3% | |
| 100 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 101 | 0.2% | 1.0% | Median |
| 102 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 105 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 71 | 0% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 73 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 74 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 81 | 27% | 98.7% | |
| 82 | 8% | 71% | |
| 83 | 9% | 63% | |
| 84 | 9% | 54% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 46% | Majority |
| 86 | 7% | 45% | |
| 87 | 2% | 39% | |
| 88 | 0% | 36% | |
| 89 | 36% | 36% | Median |
| 90 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 79 | 36% | 99.3% | |
| 80 | 2% | 64% | |
| 81 | 0.7% | 61% | |
| 82 | 0.5% | 61% | |
| 83 | 6% | 60% | Median |
| 84 | 0.1% | 54% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 54% | Majority |
| 86 | 10% | 54% | |
| 87 | 15% | 44% | |
| 88 | 2% | 29% | |
| 89 | 25% | 26% | |
| 90 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 70 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 71 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 72 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 73 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 76 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 77 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 79 | 25% | 98.8% | |
| 80 | 5% | 74% | |
| 81 | 6% | 69% | |
| 82 | 17% | 63% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 46% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 46% | |
| 85 | 8% | 45% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.1% | 38% | |
| 87 | 0% | 36% | |
| 88 | 36% | 36% | Median |
| 89 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 78 | 36% | 99.3% | |
| 79 | 2% | 64% | |
| 80 | 0.8% | 61% | |
| 81 | 2% | 61% | |
| 82 | 5% | 59% | Median |
| 83 | 0.1% | 54% | |
| 84 | 9% | 54% | |
| 85 | 4% | 45% | Majority |
| 86 | 13% | 42% | |
| 87 | 27% | 28% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 98 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 68 | 4% | 99.4% | |
| 69 | 3% | 95% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 92% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 92% | |
| 72 | 0% | 91% | |
| 73 | 0.9% | 91% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 90% | |
| 75 | 0% | 90% | |
| 76 | 38% | 90% | |
| 77 | 4% | 52% | |
| 78 | 5% | 48% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 43% | |
| 80 | 8% | 43% | Median |
| 81 | 0.1% | 35% | |
| 82 | 0.9% | 35% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 34% | |
| 84 | 8% | 34% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 25% | Majority |
| 86 | 22% | 25% | |
| 87 | 3% | 3% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 68 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 69 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 70 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 71 | 23% | 99.5% | |
| 72 | 3% | 77% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 74% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 74% | |
| 75 | 9% | 74% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 65% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 65% | |
| 78 | 2% | 65% | |
| 79 | 7% | 63% | |
| 80 | 46% | 55% | Median |
| 81 | 0.4% | 9% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 9% | |
| 83 | 5% | 9% | |
| 84 | 2% | 4% | |
| 85 | 1.1% | 2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 87 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 66 | 5% | 99.4% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 68 | 38% | 94% | |
| 69 | 1.1% | 56% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 55% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 55% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 55% | Median |
| 73 | 2% | 54% | |
| 74 | 0.8% | 53% | |
| 75 | 2% | 52% | |
| 76 | 5% | 50% | |
| 77 | 11% | 45% | |
| 78 | 30% | 34% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 80 | 3% | 4% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 65 | 5% | 99.4% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 67 | 39% | 94% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 55% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 55% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 55% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 54% | Median |
| 72 | 2% | 54% | |
| 73 | 0.5% | 52% | |
| 74 | 2% | 52% | |
| 75 | 15% | 50% | |
| 76 | 22% | 34% | |
| 77 | 8% | 12% | |
| 78 | 3% | 4% | |
| 79 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 25% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 75% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 74% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 74% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 74% | |
| 68 | 8% | 74% | |
| 69 | 7% | 65% | |
| 70 | 8% | 59% | |
| 71 | 1.1% | 50% | |
| 72 | 36% | 49% | Median |
| 73 | 0.2% | 13% | |
| 74 | 0.5% | 13% | |
| 75 | 5% | 12% | |
| 76 | 2% | 8% | |
| 77 | 3% | 5% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 83 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 66 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 69 | 39% | 97% | |
| 70 | 2% | 58% | Median |
| 71 | 1.0% | 55% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 54% | Last Result |
| 73 | 18% | 54% | |
| 74 | 23% | 36% | |
| 75 | 12% | 13% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 57 | 4% | 98.9% | |
| 58 | 1.1% | 95% | |
| 59 | 4% | 94% | |
| 60 | 3% | 89% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 86% | |
| 62 | 0.9% | 86% | |
| 63 | 0.9% | 85% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 84% | |
| 65 | 9% | 84% | |
| 66 | 40% | 75% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 35% | |
| 68 | 8% | 35% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 26% | Median |
| 70 | 0.4% | 26% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 26% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 25% | |
| 73 | 0% | 25% | |
| 74 | 3% | 25% | |
| 75 | 22% | 22% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 56 | 5% | 98.9% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 58 | 7% | 93% | |
| 59 | 0.7% | 87% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 86% | |
| 61 | 1.0% | 86% | |
| 62 | 0.7% | 85% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 84% | |
| 64 | 9% | 84% | |
| 65 | 40% | 75% | |
| 66 | 8% | 35% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 27% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 26% | Median |
| 69 | 0.3% | 26% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 25% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 25% | |
| 72 | 3% | 25% | |
| 73 | 22% | 22% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 54 | 4% | 98% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 56 | 3% | 94% | |
| 57 | 38% | 91% | |
| 58 | 3% | 53% | |
| 59 | 9% | 50% | |
| 60 | 1.0% | 41% | Median |
| 61 | 2% | 40% | |
| 62 | 8% | 38% | |
| 63 | 5% | 31% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 26% | |
| 65 | 25% | 26% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 50 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 51 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 53 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 54 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 55 | 4% | 95% | |
| 56 | 2% | 91% | |
| 57 | 38% | 89% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 51% | Median |
| 59 | 0.5% | 50% | |
| 60 | 1.0% | 50% | |
| 61 | 29% | 49% | Last Result |
| 62 | 8% | 20% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 12% | |
| 64 | 3% | 11% | |
| 65 | 8% | 9% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 50 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 51 | 1.1% | 99.5% | |
| 52 | 0% | 98% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 55 | 10% | 98% | |
| 56 | 3% | 88% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 85% | |
| 58 | 5% | 84% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 79% | |
| 60 | 6% | 79% | |
| 61 | 27% | 73% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 46% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 45% | |
| 64 | 44% | 45% | Median |
| 65 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 67 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 98.6% | |
| 19 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 20 | 4% | 98% | |
| 21 | 4% | 94% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 90% | |
| 23 | 3% | 90% | |
| 24 | 10% | 87% | |
| 25 | 0.9% | 77% | |
| 26 | 41% | 76% | |
| 27 | 9% | 35% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 26% | |
| 29 | 0% | 26% | Median |
| 30 | 3% | 26% | |
| 31 | 22% | 23% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): Dagbladet
- Fieldwork period: 21–23 March 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 741
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.55%