Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Dagbladet, 21–23 March 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Høyre |
20.4% |
26.5% |
24.4–28.6% |
23.9–29.2% |
23.4–29.8% |
22.5–30.8% |
Arbeiderpartiet |
26.2% |
24.0% |
22.1–26.1% |
21.6–26.7% |
21.1–27.2% |
20.2–28.3% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
11.6% |
13.2% |
11.7–15.0% |
11.3–15.4% |
11.0–15.9% |
10.3–16.7% |
Senterpartiet |
13.5% |
7.6% |
6.4–8.9% |
6.1–9.3% |
5.9–9.7% |
5.4–10.4% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
7.6% |
7.2% |
6.1–8.5% |
5.8–8.9% |
5.5–9.3% |
5.0–9.9% |
Rødt |
4.7% |
6.6% |
5.6–7.9% |
5.3–8.3% |
5.0–8.6% |
4.6–9.3% |
Venstre |
4.6% |
4.3% |
3.5–5.4% |
3.3–5.8% |
3.1–6.0% |
2.7–6.6% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
3.8% |
3.1% |
2.4–4.1% |
2.2–4.4% |
2.1–4.6% |
1.8–5.1% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.9% |
2.6% |
2.0–3.5% |
1.8–3.7% |
1.6–4.0% |
1.4–4.5% |
Norgesdemokratene |
1.1% |
2.6% |
2.0–3.5% |
1.8–3.7% |
1.6–4.0% |
1.4–4.5% |
Kystpartiet |
0.0% |
0.5% |
0.3–1.1% |
0.3–1.2% |
0.2–1.4% |
0.1–1.7% |
Pensjonistpartiet |
0.6% |
0.4% |
0.2–0.9% |
0.2–1.1% |
0.1–1.2% |
0.1–1.5% |
Helsepartiet |
0.2% |
0.4% |
0.2–0.9% |
0.2–1.1% |
0.1–1.2% |
0.1–1.5% |
Konservativt |
0.4% |
0.3% |
0.1–0.7% |
0.1–0.9% |
0.1–1.0% |
0.0–1.2% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet |
0.3% |
0.3% |
0.1–0.7% |
0.1–0.9% |
0.1–1.0% |
0.0–1.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
42 |
3% |
99.8% |
|
43 |
8% |
97% |
|
44 |
0.3% |
89% |
|
45 |
23% |
89% |
|
46 |
3% |
65% |
|
47 |
3% |
63% |
|
48 |
41% |
60% |
Median |
49 |
1.4% |
19% |
|
50 |
8% |
18% |
|
51 |
5% |
10% |
|
52 |
0.9% |
5% |
|
53 |
3% |
4% |
|
54 |
0% |
1.2% |
|
55 |
1.1% |
1.1% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
37 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
39 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
40 |
3% |
99.2% |
|
41 |
0.4% |
96% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
96% |
|
43 |
5% |
95% |
|
44 |
4% |
90% |
|
45 |
1.2% |
86% |
|
46 |
10% |
85% |
|
47 |
36% |
75% |
Median |
48 |
0.4% |
38% |
Last Result |
49 |
5% |
38% |
|
50 |
30% |
33% |
|
51 |
3% |
3% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
18 |
31% |
100% |
|
19 |
1.0% |
69% |
|
20 |
0.5% |
68% |
|
21 |
8% |
68% |
Last Result |
22 |
3% |
60% |
|
23 |
0.5% |
57% |
|
24 |
43% |
56% |
Median |
25 |
0.9% |
13% |
|
26 |
0.7% |
12% |
|
27 |
8% |
12% |
|
28 |
0.6% |
4% |
|
29 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
30 |
2% |
3% |
|
31 |
0% |
1.1% |
|
32 |
0% |
1.1% |
|
33 |
0% |
1.1% |
|
34 |
1.1% |
1.1% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
10 |
40% |
99.7% |
|
11 |
0.4% |
60% |
|
12 |
9% |
59% |
|
13 |
12% |
50% |
Median |
14 |
11% |
39% |
|
15 |
23% |
28% |
|
16 |
2% |
5% |
|
17 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
18 |
2% |
3% |
|
19 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
20 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
10 |
38% |
99.8% |
|
11 |
30% |
62% |
Median |
12 |
5% |
32% |
|
13 |
4% |
27% |
Last Result |
14 |
0.9% |
23% |
|
15 |
8% |
22% |
|
16 |
9% |
14% |
|
17 |
2% |
5% |
|
18 |
2% |
3% |
|
19 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
8 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
Last Result |
9 |
19% |
99.2% |
|
10 |
3% |
81% |
|
11 |
63% |
77% |
Median |
12 |
4% |
14% |
|
13 |
3% |
11% |
|
14 |
2% |
8% |
|
15 |
0.8% |
5% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
5% |
|
17 |
4% |
4% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
3% |
100% |
|
3 |
3% |
97% |
|
4 |
0% |
94% |
|
5 |
0% |
94% |
|
6 |
0% |
94% |
|
7 |
8% |
94% |
|
8 |
67% |
86% |
Last Result, Median |
9 |
6% |
19% |
|
10 |
12% |
13% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
4% |
100% |
|
1 |
2% |
96% |
|
2 |
21% |
94% |
|
3 |
2% |
73% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
71% |
|
5 |
0% |
71% |
|
6 |
0% |
71% |
|
7 |
12% |
71% |
|
8 |
58% |
59% |
Median |
9 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
1 |
62% |
99.5% |
Median |
2 |
37% |
38% |
|
3 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
5 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
6 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
7 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
8 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.3% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
2 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
4 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
5 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
6 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
7 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
8 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kystpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kystpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
56% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
5% |
44% |
|
2 |
36% |
39% |
|
3 |
3% |
3% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Helsepartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Helsepartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
96 |
95 |
99.7% |
94–98 |
93–98 |
93–99 |
89–105 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
71 |
84 |
46% |
81–89 |
81–89 |
81–89 |
77–90 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
100 |
86 |
54% |
79–89 |
79–89 |
79–89 |
77–92 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
68 |
82 |
45% |
79–88 |
79–88 |
79–88 |
75–89 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt |
97 |
84 |
45% |
78–87 |
78–87 |
78–87 |
76–90 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
95 |
77 |
25% |
76–86 |
69–86 |
68–87 |
67–87 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
65 |
80 |
2% |
71–80 |
71–83 |
71–84 |
71–87 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
92 |
75 |
0% |
68–78 |
66–78 |
66–80 |
65–81 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
89 |
74 |
0% |
67–77 |
65–77 |
65–78 |
64–79 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
57 |
71 |
0% |
63–75 |
63–77 |
63–77 |
63–83 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
72 |
73 |
0% |
69–75 |
69–75 |
66–75 |
61–78 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
82 |
66 |
0% |
59–75 |
57–75 |
57–75 |
56–75 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
79 |
65 |
0% |
58–73 |
56–73 |
56–73 |
55–73 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
76 |
58 |
0% |
57–65 |
54–65 |
54–65 |
52–65 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
61 |
59 |
0% |
56–64 |
55–65 |
53–65 |
48–65 |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
47 |
61 |
0% |
55–64 |
55–64 |
55–64 |
51–67 |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
39 |
26 |
0% |
21–31 |
20–31 |
20–31 |
15–31 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
82 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
84 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
85 |
0% |
99.7% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
88 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
89 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
91 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
|
92 |
0.3% |
98.9% |
|
93 |
5% |
98.6% |
|
94 |
30% |
94% |
|
95 |
18% |
63% |
|
96 |
0.2% |
45% |
Last Result |
97 |
0.3% |
45% |
|
98 |
42% |
45% |
|
99 |
2% |
3% |
|
100 |
0% |
1.0% |
|
101 |
0.2% |
1.0% |
Median |
102 |
0% |
0.8% |
|
103 |
0% |
0.8% |
|
104 |
0% |
0.7% |
|
105 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
106 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
69 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
71 |
0% |
99.7% |
Last Result |
72 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
73 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
74 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
77 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
99.1% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
98.9% |
|
81 |
27% |
98.7% |
|
82 |
8% |
71% |
|
83 |
9% |
63% |
|
84 |
9% |
54% |
|
85 |
0.4% |
46% |
Majority |
86 |
7% |
45% |
|
87 |
2% |
39% |
|
88 |
0% |
36% |
|
89 |
36% |
36% |
Median |
90 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
91 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
92 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
93 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
77 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
79 |
36% |
99.3% |
|
80 |
2% |
64% |
|
81 |
0.7% |
61% |
|
82 |
0.5% |
61% |
|
83 |
6% |
60% |
Median |
84 |
0.1% |
54% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
54% |
Majority |
86 |
10% |
54% |
|
87 |
15% |
44% |
|
88 |
2% |
29% |
|
89 |
25% |
26% |
|
90 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
91 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
93 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
95 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
96 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
97 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
98 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
99 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
67 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
69 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
70 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
71 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
72 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
73 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
76 |
0% |
99.4% |
|
77 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
98.9% |
|
79 |
25% |
98.8% |
|
80 |
5% |
74% |
|
81 |
6% |
69% |
|
82 |
17% |
63% |
|
83 |
0.4% |
46% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
46% |
|
85 |
8% |
45% |
Majority |
86 |
1.1% |
38% |
|
87 |
0% |
36% |
|
88 |
36% |
36% |
Median |
89 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
90 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
77 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
78 |
36% |
99.3% |
|
79 |
2% |
64% |
|
80 |
0.8% |
61% |
|
81 |
2% |
61% |
|
82 |
5% |
59% |
Median |
83 |
0.1% |
54% |
|
84 |
9% |
54% |
|
85 |
4% |
45% |
Majority |
86 |
13% |
42% |
|
87 |
27% |
28% |
|
88 |
0.2% |
1.1% |
|
89 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
90 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
91 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
92 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
94 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
95 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
96 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
97 |
0% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
98 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
99 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
67 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
68 |
4% |
99.4% |
|
69 |
3% |
95% |
|
70 |
0.3% |
92% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
92% |
|
72 |
0% |
91% |
|
73 |
0.9% |
91% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
90% |
|
75 |
0% |
90% |
|
76 |
38% |
90% |
|
77 |
4% |
52% |
|
78 |
5% |
48% |
|
79 |
0.4% |
43% |
|
80 |
8% |
43% |
Median |
81 |
0.1% |
35% |
|
82 |
0.9% |
35% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
34% |
|
84 |
8% |
34% |
|
85 |
0.2% |
25% |
Majority |
86 |
22% |
25% |
|
87 |
3% |
3% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
66 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
68 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
69 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
70 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
71 |
23% |
99.5% |
|
72 |
3% |
77% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
74% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
74% |
|
75 |
9% |
74% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
65% |
|
77 |
0.2% |
65% |
|
78 |
2% |
65% |
|
79 |
7% |
63% |
|
80 |
46% |
55% |
Median |
81 |
0.4% |
9% |
|
82 |
0.4% |
9% |
|
83 |
5% |
9% |
|
84 |
2% |
4% |
|
85 |
1.1% |
2% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0.7% |
|
87 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
66 |
5% |
99.4% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
94% |
|
68 |
38% |
94% |
|
69 |
1.1% |
56% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
55% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
55% |
|
72 |
0.3% |
55% |
Median |
73 |
2% |
54% |
|
74 |
0.8% |
53% |
|
75 |
2% |
52% |
|
76 |
5% |
50% |
|
77 |
11% |
45% |
|
78 |
30% |
34% |
|
79 |
0.3% |
4% |
|
80 |
3% |
4% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
65 |
5% |
99.4% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
94% |
|
67 |
39% |
94% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
55% |
|
69 |
0.2% |
55% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
55% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
54% |
Median |
72 |
2% |
54% |
|
73 |
0.5% |
52% |
|
74 |
2% |
52% |
|
75 |
15% |
50% |
|
76 |
22% |
34% |
|
77 |
8% |
12% |
|
78 |
3% |
4% |
|
79 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
25% |
99.8% |
|
64 |
0.5% |
75% |
|
65 |
0.3% |
74% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
74% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
74% |
|
68 |
8% |
74% |
|
69 |
7% |
65% |
|
70 |
8% |
59% |
|
71 |
1.1% |
50% |
|
72 |
36% |
49% |
Median |
73 |
0.2% |
13% |
|
74 |
0.5% |
13% |
|
75 |
5% |
12% |
|
76 |
2% |
8% |
|
77 |
3% |
5% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
79 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
80 |
0% |
1.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
1.1% |
|
82 |
0% |
1.1% |
|
83 |
1.1% |
1.1% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
99.4% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
|
65 |
0% |
99.2% |
|
66 |
2% |
99.2% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
69 |
39% |
97% |
|
70 |
2% |
58% |
Median |
71 |
1.0% |
55% |
|
72 |
0.4% |
54% |
Last Result |
73 |
18% |
54% |
|
74 |
23% |
36% |
|
75 |
12% |
13% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
1.1% |
|
77 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
78 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
80 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
81 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
82 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
83 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
56 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
|
57 |
4% |
98.9% |
|
58 |
1.1% |
95% |
|
59 |
4% |
94% |
|
60 |
3% |
89% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
86% |
|
62 |
0.9% |
86% |
|
63 |
0.9% |
85% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
84% |
|
65 |
9% |
84% |
|
66 |
40% |
75% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
35% |
|
68 |
8% |
35% |
|
69 |
0.3% |
26% |
Median |
70 |
0.4% |
26% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
26% |
|
72 |
0.2% |
25% |
|
73 |
0% |
25% |
|
74 |
3% |
25% |
|
75 |
22% |
22% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
55 |
0.8% |
99.7% |
|
56 |
5% |
98.9% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
94% |
|
58 |
7% |
93% |
|
59 |
0.7% |
87% |
|
60 |
0.3% |
86% |
|
61 |
1.0% |
86% |
|
62 |
0.7% |
85% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
84% |
|
64 |
9% |
84% |
|
65 |
40% |
75% |
|
66 |
8% |
35% |
|
67 |
0.5% |
27% |
|
68 |
0.3% |
26% |
Median |
69 |
0.3% |
26% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
25% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
25% |
|
72 |
3% |
25% |
|
73 |
22% |
22% |
|
74 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
1.2% |
100% |
|
53 |
0.6% |
98.8% |
|
54 |
4% |
98% |
|
55 |
0.2% |
94% |
|
56 |
3% |
94% |
|
57 |
38% |
91% |
|
58 |
3% |
53% |
|
59 |
9% |
50% |
|
60 |
1.0% |
41% |
Median |
61 |
2% |
40% |
|
62 |
8% |
38% |
|
63 |
5% |
31% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
26% |
|
65 |
25% |
26% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
49 |
0% |
99.4% |
|
50 |
0% |
99.4% |
|
51 |
0% |
99.4% |
|
52 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
53 |
3% |
99.2% |
|
54 |
1.1% |
96% |
|
55 |
4% |
95% |
|
56 |
2% |
91% |
|
57 |
38% |
89% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
51% |
Median |
59 |
0.5% |
50% |
|
60 |
1.0% |
50% |
|
61 |
29% |
49% |
Last Result |
62 |
8% |
20% |
|
63 |
0.4% |
12% |
|
64 |
3% |
11% |
|
65 |
8% |
9% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
46 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
48 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
50 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
51 |
1.1% |
99.5% |
|
52 |
0% |
98% |
|
53 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
55 |
10% |
98% |
|
56 |
3% |
88% |
|
57 |
0.5% |
85% |
|
58 |
5% |
84% |
|
59 |
0.5% |
79% |
|
60 |
6% |
79% |
|
61 |
27% |
73% |
|
62 |
0.2% |
46% |
|
63 |
0.7% |
45% |
|
64 |
44% |
45% |
Median |
65 |
0% |
0.8% |
|
66 |
0% |
0.7% |
|
67 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
13 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
15 |
1.1% |
99.9% |
|
16 |
0% |
98.8% |
|
17 |
0.1% |
98.8% |
|
18 |
0.2% |
98.6% |
|
19 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
20 |
4% |
98% |
|
21 |
4% |
94% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
90% |
|
23 |
3% |
90% |
|
24 |
10% |
87% |
|
25 |
0.9% |
77% |
|
26 |
41% |
76% |
|
27 |
9% |
35% |
|
28 |
0.1% |
26% |
|
29 |
0% |
26% |
Median |
30 |
3% |
26% |
|
31 |
22% |
23% |
|
32 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
33 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): Dagbladet
- Fieldwork period: 21–23 March 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 741
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.55%