Opinion Poll by Norstat for Aftenposten and NRK, 22–28 March 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 27.3% | 25.5–29.2% | 25.0–29.8% | 24.6–30.2% | 23.7–31.2% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 21.0% | 19.3–22.7% | 18.9–23.2% | 18.5–23.7% | 17.7–24.5% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 12.5% | 11.2–14.0% | 10.8–14.4% | 10.5–14.8% | 9.9–15.5% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 8.5% | 7.4–9.7% | 7.1–10.1% | 6.8–10.4% | 6.4–11.1% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.8–9.1% | 6.5–9.4% | 6.3–9.7% | 5.8–10.3% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.9–8.0% | 5.7–8.4% | 5.4–8.7% | 5.0–9.3% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.8–5.5% | 3.6–5.8% | 3.4–6.1% | 3.1–6.6% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.5–5.2% | 3.3–5.5% | 3.1–5.7% | 2.8–6.2% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.4–5.1% | 3.2–5.4% | 3.0–5.6% | 2.7–6.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 48 | 45–51 | 44–52 | 43–53 | 42–55 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 39 | 36–45 | 35–45 | 35–46 | 33–47 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 22 | 19–25 | 18–26 | 18–27 | 17–28 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 15 | 13–17 | 12–18 | 12–18 | 11–19 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 13 | 11–16 | 10–17 | 10–17 | 9–18 |
| Rødt | 8 | 11 | 10–13 | 9–14 | 8–15 | 8–16 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 8 | 3–9 | 3–10 | 3–10 | 2–11 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 7 | 2–8 | 2–9 | 2–9 | 1–10 |
| Venstre | 8 | 7 | 2–8 | 2–9 | 2–9 | 2–10 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 43 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 44 | 6% | 97% | |
| 45 | 9% | 92% | |
| 46 | 8% | 82% | |
| 47 | 10% | 75% | |
| 48 | 15% | 65% | Median |
| 49 | 19% | 50% | |
| 50 | 15% | 31% | |
| 51 | 8% | 16% | |
| 52 | 4% | 8% | |
| 53 | 2% | 3% | |
| 54 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 1.3% | 99.3% | |
| 35 | 3% | 98% | |
| 36 | 10% | 95% | |
| 37 | 18% | 85% | |
| 38 | 14% | 67% | |
| 39 | 7% | 53% | Median |
| 40 | 4% | 46% | |
| 41 | 7% | 42% | |
| 42 | 15% | 35% | |
| 43 | 6% | 20% | |
| 44 | 4% | 14% | |
| 45 | 8% | 10% | |
| 46 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 47 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 1.3% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 5% | 98.6% | |
| 19 | 7% | 93% | |
| 20 | 17% | 87% | |
| 21 | 18% | 70% | Last Result |
| 22 | 15% | 51% | Median |
| 23 | 20% | 36% | |
| 24 | 3% | 16% | |
| 25 | 5% | 14% | |
| 26 | 3% | 8% | |
| 27 | 4% | 5% | |
| 28 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 12 | 6% | 99.0% | |
| 13 | 13% | 93% | |
| 14 | 15% | 80% | |
| 15 | 26% | 65% | Median |
| 16 | 19% | 39% | |
| 17 | 14% | 20% | |
| 18 | 5% | 6% | |
| 19 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 9 | 1.4% | 99.6% | |
| 10 | 6% | 98% | |
| 11 | 11% | 92% | |
| 12 | 15% | 81% | |
| 13 | 22% | 67% | Last Result, Median |
| 14 | 20% | 45% | |
| 15 | 13% | 25% | |
| 16 | 5% | 12% | |
| 17 | 6% | 7% | |
| 18 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 8 | 2% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 9 | 4% | 97% | |
| 10 | 22% | 94% | |
| 11 | 26% | 72% | Median |
| 12 | 20% | 46% | |
| 13 | 16% | 26% | |
| 14 | 5% | 10% | |
| 15 | 3% | 4% | |
| 16 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 19% | 98% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 78% | |
| 5 | 0% | 78% | |
| 6 | 3% | 78% | |
| 7 | 23% | 75% | |
| 8 | 30% | 53% | Median |
| 9 | 16% | 23% | |
| 10 | 5% | 7% | |
| 11 | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 2 | 12% | 99.1% | |
| 3 | 27% | 87% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 60% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 60% | |
| 6 | 5% | 60% | |
| 7 | 20% | 55% | Median |
| 8 | 26% | 35% | |
| 9 | 7% | 9% | |
| 10 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 16% | 100% | |
| 3 | 29% | 84% | |
| 4 | 0% | 55% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 55% | |
| 6 | 4% | 55% | |
| 7 | 21% | 50% | Median |
| 8 | 21% | 29% | Last Result |
| 9 | 6% | 8% | |
| 10 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 96 | 98 | 100% | 93–102 | 91–103 | 90–104 | 87–106 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre | 71 | 88 | 86% | 84–92 | 82–93 | 81–94 | 79–97 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 85 | 55% | 81–89 | 80–92 | 78–93 | 76–95 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 68 | 83 | 25% | 78–86 | 76–87 | 75–89 | 72–91 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 80 | 18% | 76–86 | 75–87 | 74–87 | 72–89 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt | 97 | 80 | 7% | 75–84 | 74–85 | 72–86 | 70–88 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 75 | 0.3% | 71–80 | 69–81 | 68–81 | 66–84 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 73 | 0% | 69–78 | 68–79 | 67–80 | 65–83 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 70 | 0% | 66–75 | 64–76 | 64–77 | 61–80 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 70 | 0% | 66–74 | 64–76 | 63–77 | 62–78 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 68 | 0% | 62–73 | 61–74 | 60–75 | 58–77 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 89 | 68 | 0% | 64–72 | 63–73 | 62–74 | 60–75 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 62 | 0% | 56–66 | 54–68 | 54–68 | 53–70 |
| Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 47 | 61 | 0% | 57–64 | 54–65 | 53–66 | 51–69 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 54 | 0% | 51–59 | 50–60 | 49–61 | 48–62 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 53 | 0% | 49–57 | 48–58 | 47–59 | 46–60 |
| Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 39 | 27 | 0% | 23–31 | 21–33 | 20–34 | 18–35 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0.1% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 87 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 88 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 89 | 0.5% | 98.7% | |
| 90 | 2% | 98% | |
| 91 | 3% | 97% | |
| 92 | 3% | 94% | |
| 93 | 7% | 91% | |
| 94 | 4% | 84% | |
| 95 | 9% | 80% | |
| 96 | 7% | 71% | Last Result |
| 97 | 9% | 64% | |
| 98 | 17% | 55% | |
| 99 | 15% | 38% | |
| 100 | 6% | 23% | Median |
| 101 | 4% | 17% | |
| 102 | 7% | 13% | |
| 103 | 3% | 6% | |
| 104 | 2% | 3% | |
| 105 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 106 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 107 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 79 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 80 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 81 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 82 | 3% | 97% | |
| 83 | 3% | 94% | |
| 84 | 5% | 91% | |
| 85 | 6% | 86% | Majority |
| 86 | 15% | 80% | |
| 87 | 13% | 64% | |
| 88 | 9% | 51% | |
| 89 | 6% | 42% | |
| 90 | 10% | 36% | |
| 91 | 6% | 25% | |
| 92 | 11% | 20% | Median |
| 93 | 4% | 9% | |
| 94 | 2% | 4% | |
| 95 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 96 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 97 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 76 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 77 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 78 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 79 | 2% | 97% | |
| 80 | 3% | 95% | |
| 81 | 5% | 92% | |
| 82 | 8% | 87% | |
| 83 | 10% | 80% | |
| 84 | 14% | 70% | |
| 85 | 15% | 55% | Median, Majority |
| 86 | 7% | 40% | |
| 87 | 7% | 33% | |
| 88 | 9% | 25% | |
| 89 | 6% | 16% | |
| 90 | 3% | 10% | |
| 91 | 2% | 7% | |
| 92 | 2% | 5% | |
| 93 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 94 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 95 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 96 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 74 | 1.4% | 98.9% | |
| 75 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 76 | 2% | 96% | |
| 77 | 3% | 94% | |
| 78 | 4% | 91% | |
| 79 | 7% | 87% | |
| 80 | 10% | 80% | |
| 81 | 7% | 71% | |
| 82 | 8% | 63% | |
| 83 | 16% | 55% | |
| 84 | 14% | 39% | |
| 85 | 9% | 25% | Median, Majority |
| 86 | 7% | 16% | |
| 87 | 5% | 9% | |
| 88 | 2% | 4% | |
| 89 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 90 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 91 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 73 | 1.2% | 99.0% | |
| 74 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 75 | 3% | 97% | |
| 76 | 11% | 94% | |
| 77 | 7% | 83% | |
| 78 | 6% | 76% | |
| 79 | 10% | 70% | |
| 80 | 10% | 60% | |
| 81 | 8% | 50% | |
| 82 | 14% | 42% | Median |
| 83 | 5% | 28% | |
| 84 | 6% | 23% | |
| 85 | 6% | 18% | Majority |
| 86 | 6% | 12% | |
| 87 | 3% | 6% | |
| 88 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 72 | 1.2% | 98.5% | |
| 73 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 74 | 2% | 96% | |
| 75 | 5% | 93% | |
| 76 | 12% | 89% | |
| 77 | 7% | 77% | |
| 78 | 10% | 70% | Median |
| 79 | 7% | 60% | |
| 80 | 9% | 53% | |
| 81 | 14% | 44% | |
| 82 | 15% | 30% | |
| 83 | 4% | 15% | |
| 84 | 4% | 11% | |
| 85 | 2% | 7% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 5% | |
| 87 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 88 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 68 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 69 | 2% | 97% | |
| 70 | 3% | 95% | |
| 71 | 5% | 92% | |
| 72 | 10% | 87% | |
| 73 | 7% | 77% | |
| 74 | 7% | 70% | |
| 75 | 14% | 63% | |
| 76 | 13% | 49% | |
| 77 | 8% | 36% | Median |
| 78 | 8% | 28% | |
| 79 | 7% | 20% | |
| 80 | 3% | 13% | |
| 81 | 7% | 9% | |
| 82 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 0.3% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 66 | 1.2% | 99.3% | |
| 67 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 68 | 4% | 97% | |
| 69 | 4% | 93% | |
| 70 | 6% | 89% | |
| 71 | 7% | 83% | |
| 72 | 14% | 76% | |
| 73 | 13% | 63% | |
| 74 | 13% | 50% | Median |
| 75 | 9% | 37% | |
| 76 | 8% | 28% | |
| 77 | 5% | 20% | |
| 78 | 5% | 14% | |
| 79 | 4% | 9% | |
| 80 | 3% | 5% | |
| 81 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 63 | 1.0% | 98.7% | |
| 64 | 3% | 98% | |
| 65 | 4% | 94% | |
| 66 | 7% | 91% | |
| 67 | 5% | 83% | |
| 68 | 7% | 79% | |
| 69 | 15% | 72% | |
| 70 | 16% | 57% | Median |
| 71 | 9% | 40% | |
| 72 | 7% | 31% | Last Result |
| 73 | 8% | 25% | |
| 74 | 3% | 16% | |
| 75 | 6% | 13% | |
| 76 | 2% | 7% | |
| 77 | 3% | 5% | |
| 78 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 1.5% | 98.8% | |
| 64 | 3% | 97% | |
| 65 | 4% | 95% | |
| 66 | 7% | 90% | |
| 67 | 6% | 83% | |
| 68 | 11% | 77% | |
| 69 | 10% | 66% | |
| 70 | 15% | 57% | Median |
| 71 | 6% | 42% | |
| 72 | 11% | 36% | |
| 73 | 12% | 25% | |
| 74 | 4% | 13% | |
| 75 | 1.2% | 9% | |
| 76 | 5% | 8% | |
| 77 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 78 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 59 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 60 | 2% | 98% | |
| 61 | 2% | 96% | |
| 62 | 8% | 94% | |
| 63 | 9% | 86% | |
| 64 | 6% | 77% | |
| 65 | 6% | 70% | |
| 66 | 7% | 65% | |
| 67 | 6% | 58% | |
| 68 | 10% | 52% | |
| 69 | 13% | 42% | Median |
| 70 | 9% | 29% | |
| 71 | 4% | 20% | |
| 72 | 3% | 16% | |
| 73 | 4% | 13% | |
| 74 | 5% | 9% | |
| 75 | 2% | 4% | |
| 76 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 62 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 63 | 4% | 97% | |
| 64 | 5% | 93% | |
| 65 | 15% | 88% | |
| 66 | 11% | 73% | |
| 67 | 6% | 62% | Median |
| 68 | 9% | 57% | |
| 69 | 16% | 48% | |
| 70 | 6% | 33% | |
| 71 | 14% | 26% | |
| 72 | 6% | 12% | |
| 73 | 3% | 6% | |
| 74 | 2% | 3% | |
| 75 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 54 | 6% | 99.0% | |
| 55 | 2% | 93% | |
| 56 | 4% | 91% | |
| 57 | 4% | 87% | |
| 58 | 5% | 83% | |
| 59 | 7% | 78% | |
| 60 | 9% | 71% | |
| 61 | 11% | 63% | |
| 62 | 11% | 52% | Median |
| 63 | 7% | 41% | |
| 64 | 6% | 34% | |
| 65 | 5% | 28% | |
| 66 | 13% | 23% | |
| 67 | 4% | 10% | |
| 68 | 4% | 6% | |
| 69 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 52 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 53 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 54 | 3% | 97% | |
| 55 | 2% | 95% | |
| 56 | 3% | 93% | |
| 57 | 5% | 90% | |
| 58 | 6% | 85% | |
| 59 | 11% | 79% | |
| 60 | 17% | 68% | |
| 61 | 18% | 50% | |
| 62 | 8% | 33% | |
| 63 | 5% | 25% | Median |
| 64 | 10% | 20% | |
| 65 | 5% | 10% | |
| 66 | 3% | 5% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 49 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 50 | 3% | 96% | |
| 51 | 12% | 93% | |
| 52 | 12% | 81% | |
| 53 | 10% | 69% | |
| 54 | 10% | 59% | Median |
| 55 | 9% | 49% | |
| 56 | 4% | 40% | |
| 57 | 9% | 35% | |
| 58 | 13% | 27% | |
| 59 | 7% | 14% | |
| 60 | 4% | 7% | |
| 61 | 2% | 3% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 47 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 48 | 5% | 97% | |
| 49 | 5% | 92% | |
| 50 | 10% | 88% | |
| 51 | 14% | 78% | |
| 52 | 10% | 64% | Median |
| 53 | 10% | 54% | |
| 54 | 9% | 44% | |
| 55 | 10% | 34% | |
| 56 | 10% | 24% | |
| 57 | 7% | 13% | |
| 58 | 4% | 6% | |
| 59 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 19 | 1.3% | 99.1% | |
| 20 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 21 | 3% | 97% | |
| 22 | 4% | 94% | |
| 23 | 2% | 90% | |
| 24 | 5% | 88% | |
| 25 | 12% | 83% | |
| 26 | 8% | 71% | |
| 27 | 17% | 63% | |
| 28 | 11% | 46% | |
| 29 | 8% | 35% | |
| 30 | 8% | 27% | Median |
| 31 | 10% | 19% | |
| 32 | 3% | 9% | |
| 33 | 3% | 6% | |
| 34 | 2% | 3% | |
| 35 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norstat
- Commissioner(s): Aftenposten and NRK
- Fieldwork period: 22–28 March 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 945
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.45%