Opinion Poll by Respons Analyse for VG, 4–6 April 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Høyre |
20.4% |
27.6% |
25.8–29.5% |
25.4–30.0% |
24.9–30.5% |
24.1–31.4% |
Arbeiderpartiet |
26.2% |
23.1% |
21.5–24.9% |
21.0–25.4% |
20.6–25.8% |
19.9–26.7% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
11.6% |
13.3% |
12.0–14.7% |
11.6–15.2% |
11.3–15.5% |
10.7–16.2% |
Senterpartiet |
13.5% |
8.0% |
7.0–9.2% |
6.7–9.5% |
6.4–9.8% |
6.0–10.4% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
7.6% |
7.8% |
6.8–9.0% |
6.5–9.3% |
6.3–9.6% |
5.8–10.2% |
Rødt |
4.7% |
6.2% |
5.3–7.3% |
5.1–7.6% |
4.8–7.8% |
4.5–8.4% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
3.8% |
4.0% |
3.3–4.9% |
3.1–5.2% |
2.9–5.4% |
2.6–5.9% |
Venstre |
4.6% |
3.7% |
3.0–4.6% |
2.8–4.8% |
2.7–5.0% |
2.4–5.5% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.9% |
2.9% |
2.3–3.7% |
2.1–3.9% |
2.0–4.1% |
1.8–4.5% |
Norgesdemokratene |
1.1% |
1.5% |
1.1–2.1% |
1.0–2.3% |
0.9–2.5% |
0.7–2.8% |
Pensjonistpartiet |
0.6% |
0.7% |
0.5–1.2% |
0.4–1.3% |
0.3–1.4% |
0.2–1.7% |
Liberalistene |
0.2% |
0.4% |
0.2–0.8% |
0.2–0.9% |
0.2–1.0% |
0.1–1.2% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet |
0.3% |
0.4% |
0.2–0.8% |
0.2–0.9% |
0.2–1.0% |
0.1–1.2% |
Konservativt |
0.4% |
0.2% |
0.1–0.5% |
0.1–0.6% |
0.1–0.7% |
0.0–0.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
43 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
44 |
17% |
99.8% |
|
45 |
20% |
83% |
|
46 |
0.6% |
64% |
|
47 |
2% |
63% |
|
48 |
3% |
62% |
|
49 |
15% |
59% |
Median |
50 |
1.2% |
44% |
|
51 |
6% |
42% |
|
52 |
21% |
37% |
|
53 |
4% |
15% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
11% |
|
55 |
0% |
11% |
|
56 |
11% |
11% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
58 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
59 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
37 |
16% |
99.8% |
|
38 |
13% |
84% |
|
39 |
0.8% |
71% |
|
40 |
13% |
70% |
|
41 |
2% |
57% |
|
42 |
0.3% |
55% |
|
43 |
23% |
55% |
Median |
44 |
2% |
31% |
|
45 |
19% |
30% |
|
46 |
8% |
11% |
|
47 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
48 |
0.3% |
2% |
Last Result |
49 |
0.7% |
1.4% |
|
50 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
51 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
18 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
19 |
0.4% |
99.1% |
|
20 |
1.4% |
98.7% |
|
21 |
22% |
97% |
Last Result |
22 |
5% |
75% |
|
23 |
29% |
70% |
Median |
24 |
8% |
41% |
|
25 |
21% |
33% |
|
26 |
3% |
12% |
|
27 |
6% |
9% |
|
28 |
3% |
3% |
|
29 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
30 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
12 |
17% |
99.3% |
|
13 |
5% |
82% |
|
14 |
22% |
78% |
|
15 |
43% |
56% |
Median |
16 |
7% |
13% |
|
17 |
3% |
6% |
|
18 |
3% |
3% |
|
19 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
20 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
10 |
1.0% |
99.9% |
|
11 |
5% |
98.9% |
|
12 |
22% |
94% |
|
13 |
18% |
72% |
Last Result |
14 |
3% |
54% |
|
15 |
22% |
51% |
Median |
16 |
27% |
28% |
|
17 |
0.3% |
1.1% |
|
18 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
19 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
20 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
21 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
8 |
0.7% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
9 |
15% |
99.1% |
|
10 |
18% |
84% |
|
11 |
22% |
67% |
Median |
12 |
22% |
44% |
|
13 |
16% |
22% |
|
14 |
4% |
6% |
|
15 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
16 |
1.3% |
1.3% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
2% |
100% |
|
3 |
28% |
98% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
70% |
|
5 |
0% |
70% |
|
6 |
0% |
70% |
|
7 |
13% |
70% |
|
8 |
43% |
57% |
Median |
9 |
13% |
14% |
|
10 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
11 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
2 |
22% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
15% |
78% |
|
4 |
0% |
64% |
|
5 |
0% |
64% |
|
6 |
0% |
64% |
|
7 |
32% |
64% |
Median |
8 |
23% |
32% |
Last Result |
9 |
8% |
9% |
|
10 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
2% |
100% |
|
1 |
36% |
98% |
|
2 |
33% |
62% |
Median |
3 |
26% |
29% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
3% |
|
5 |
0% |
3% |
|
6 |
0% |
3% |
|
7 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
8 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
9 |
2% |
2% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Liberalistene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalistene page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
96 |
100 |
100% |
95–102 |
92–103 |
91–105 |
90–105 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
100 |
83 |
37% |
79–88 |
79–93 |
78–94 |
77–94 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt |
97 |
82 |
15% |
77–86 |
77–88 |
76–92 |
76–92 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
71 |
86 |
83% |
82–91 |
80–91 |
76–92 |
76–92 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
68 |
85 |
59% |
80–89 |
75–89 |
74–90 |
74–91 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
95 |
79 |
3% |
73–83 |
73–84 |
72–85 |
72–89 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
65 |
77 |
17% |
72–85 |
72–85 |
71–85 |
67–86 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
92 |
73 |
0% |
67–75 |
67–81 |
67–81 |
64–82 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
89 |
70 |
0% |
65–73 |
65–75 |
65–79 |
62–79 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
57 |
71 |
0% |
68–79 |
65–79 |
65–79 |
65–80 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
72 |
68 |
0% |
66–73 |
65–76 |
64–77 |
64–78 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
82 |
66 |
0% |
57–70 |
57–70 |
57–73 |
57–77 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
79 |
65 |
0% |
54–68 |
54–68 |
54–68 |
54–75 |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
47 |
62 |
0% |
56–66 |
54–66 |
49–66 |
49–66 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
76 |
57 |
0% |
51–61 |
51–62 |
51–64 |
51–66 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
61 |
56 |
0% |
53–59 |
50–61 |
50–61 |
49–62 |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
39 |
26 |
0% |
22–31 |
21–32 |
20–32 |
17–32 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
89 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
90 |
0.7% |
99.8% |
|
91 |
3% |
99.1% |
|
92 |
4% |
96% |
|
93 |
0.5% |
92% |
|
94 |
0.8% |
91% |
|
95 |
0.7% |
90% |
|
96 |
6% |
90% |
Last Result |
97 |
8% |
83% |
|
98 |
14% |
75% |
|
99 |
4% |
61% |
|
100 |
22% |
57% |
|
101 |
13% |
35% |
|
102 |
16% |
22% |
Median |
103 |
2% |
6% |
|
104 |
0.5% |
3% |
|
105 |
3% |
3% |
|
106 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
107 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
108 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
109 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
73 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
75 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
76 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
77 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
78 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
79 |
13% |
97% |
|
80 |
16% |
85% |
|
81 |
3% |
69% |
|
82 |
3% |
66% |
|
83 |
22% |
64% |
|
84 |
4% |
41% |
|
85 |
20% |
37% |
Majority |
86 |
0.3% |
17% |
Median |
87 |
6% |
17% |
|
88 |
2% |
11% |
|
89 |
1.4% |
8% |
|
90 |
0.5% |
7% |
|
91 |
0.5% |
7% |
|
92 |
0.7% |
6% |
|
93 |
3% |
5% |
|
94 |
3% |
3% |
|
95 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
99 |
0% |
0% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
72 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
74 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
76 |
3% |
99.7% |
|
77 |
27% |
97% |
|
78 |
4% |
70% |
|
79 |
0.3% |
66% |
|
80 |
0.7% |
66% |
|
81 |
4% |
65% |
|
82 |
25% |
61% |
|
83 |
19% |
36% |
|
84 |
2% |
17% |
Median |
85 |
2% |
15% |
Majority |
86 |
7% |
13% |
|
87 |
0.3% |
6% |
|
88 |
1.5% |
6% |
|
89 |
0.2% |
5% |
|
90 |
1.0% |
4% |
|
91 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
92 |
3% |
3% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
3% |
100% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
78 |
0.6% |
97% |
|
79 |
0.5% |
96% |
|
80 |
1.3% |
95% |
|
81 |
0.5% |
94% |
|
82 |
6% |
94% |
|
83 |
2% |
87% |
|
84 |
2% |
85% |
|
85 |
19% |
83% |
Majority |
86 |
25% |
64% |
|
87 |
4% |
39% |
|
88 |
0.7% |
35% |
|
89 |
0.2% |
34% |
Median |
90 |
2% |
34% |
|
91 |
29% |
32% |
|
92 |
3% |
3% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
94 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
95 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
96 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
3% |
99.9% |
|
75 |
3% |
97% |
|
76 |
0.7% |
95% |
|
77 |
0.2% |
94% |
|
78 |
0.7% |
94% |
|
79 |
2% |
93% |
|
80 |
2% |
92% |
|
81 |
6% |
90% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
83% |
|
83 |
20% |
83% |
|
84 |
5% |
63% |
|
85 |
22% |
59% |
Majority |
86 |
3% |
36% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
34% |
Median |
88 |
18% |
34% |
|
89 |
13% |
15% |
|
90 |
2% |
3% |
|
91 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
92 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
93 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
95 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
71 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
72 |
4% |
99.8% |
|
73 |
16% |
96% |
|
74 |
11% |
80% |
|
75 |
1.1% |
69% |
|
76 |
2% |
68% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
66% |
|
78 |
13% |
66% |
|
79 |
5% |
53% |
|
80 |
3% |
48% |
|
81 |
2% |
45% |
|
82 |
31% |
43% |
|
83 |
6% |
13% |
Median |
84 |
4% |
7% |
|
85 |
2% |
3% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
1.0% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
1.0% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
|
89 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
90 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
91 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
66 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
67 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
0% |
99.4% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
|
71 |
3% |
99.1% |
|
72 |
9% |
96% |
|
73 |
0.7% |
88% |
|
74 |
5% |
87% |
|
75 |
16% |
82% |
|
76 |
2% |
66% |
|
77 |
25% |
64% |
|
78 |
1.1% |
39% |
|
79 |
0.4% |
38% |
Median |
80 |
3% |
38% |
|
81 |
3% |
34% |
|
82 |
13% |
31% |
|
83 |
0% |
18% |
|
84 |
0.4% |
18% |
|
85 |
16% |
17% |
Majority |
86 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0% |
98% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
67 |
11% |
98% |
|
68 |
0.7% |
87% |
|
69 |
2% |
86% |
|
70 |
29% |
85% |
|
71 |
0.7% |
56% |
|
72 |
5% |
55% |
|
73 |
7% |
51% |
|
74 |
31% |
44% |
|
75 |
3% |
12% |
Median |
76 |
1.3% |
10% |
|
77 |
2% |
8% |
|
78 |
0.8% |
7% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
6% |
|
80 |
0.6% |
6% |
|
81 |
3% |
5% |
|
82 |
2% |
2% |
|
83 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
0% |
98% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
65 |
11% |
98% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
86% |
|
67 |
18% |
86% |
|
68 |
2% |
68% |
|
69 |
12% |
66% |
|
70 |
5% |
54% |
|
71 |
2% |
49% |
|
72 |
18% |
46% |
|
73 |
20% |
29% |
Median |
74 |
3% |
9% |
|
75 |
1.0% |
6% |
|
76 |
0.4% |
5% |
|
77 |
0.8% |
5% |
|
78 |
0.6% |
4% |
|
79 |
3% |
3% |
|
80 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
65 |
6% |
99.8% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
94% |
|
67 |
0.6% |
94% |
|
68 |
22% |
93% |
|
69 |
4% |
71% |
|
70 |
16% |
66% |
|
71 |
1.2% |
51% |
|
72 |
6% |
50% |
Median |
73 |
3% |
44% |
|
74 |
4% |
41% |
|
75 |
2% |
37% |
|
76 |
0.7% |
35% |
|
77 |
17% |
34% |
|
78 |
4% |
17% |
|
79 |
11% |
13% |
|
80 |
2% |
2% |
|
81 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
82 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
83 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
64 |
3% |
99.6% |
|
65 |
2% |
97% |
|
66 |
16% |
94% |
|
67 |
13% |
78% |
|
68 |
22% |
65% |
|
69 |
4% |
43% |
|
70 |
14% |
39% |
|
71 |
8% |
25% |
Median |
72 |
7% |
17% |
Last Result |
73 |
0.7% |
10% |
|
74 |
0.8% |
10% |
|
75 |
0.5% |
9% |
|
76 |
4% |
8% |
|
77 |
3% |
4% |
|
78 |
1.0% |
1.2% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
57 |
17% |
99.7% |
|
58 |
0.9% |
83% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
82% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
82% |
|
61 |
14% |
82% |
|
62 |
8% |
68% |
|
63 |
2% |
60% |
|
64 |
2% |
58% |
|
65 |
0.6% |
55% |
|
66 |
7% |
55% |
|
67 |
13% |
48% |
|
68 |
9% |
35% |
Median |
69 |
8% |
26% |
|
70 |
14% |
18% |
|
71 |
0.8% |
4% |
|
72 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
73 |
2% |
3% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
75 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
76 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
77 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
54 |
16% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
84% |
|
56 |
2% |
84% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
82% |
|
58 |
0.5% |
82% |
|
59 |
13% |
81% |
|
60 |
1.5% |
69% |
|
61 |
8% |
67% |
|
62 |
2% |
59% |
|
63 |
5% |
57% |
|
64 |
2% |
52% |
|
65 |
5% |
50% |
|
66 |
19% |
45% |
Median |
67 |
9% |
25% |
|
68 |
14% |
17% |
|
69 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
70 |
0.3% |
1.4% |
|
71 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
74 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
75 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
3% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
97% |
|
51 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
52 |
0.8% |
97% |
|
53 |
0% |
96% |
|
54 |
3% |
96% |
|
55 |
0.7% |
93% |
|
56 |
6% |
92% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
86% |
|
58 |
1.4% |
86% |
|
59 |
1.1% |
85% |
|
60 |
20% |
84% |
|
61 |
8% |
64% |
|
62 |
10% |
56% |
|
63 |
18% |
45% |
|
64 |
15% |
27% |
Median |
65 |
0.3% |
12% |
|
66 |
11% |
12% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
68 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
69 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
48 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
49 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
51 |
18% |
99.7% |
|
52 |
11% |
82% |
|
53 |
11% |
71% |
|
54 |
1.0% |
60% |
|
55 |
4% |
59% |
|
56 |
0.5% |
55% |
|
57 |
7% |
55% |
|
58 |
21% |
48% |
Median |
59 |
0.5% |
27% |
|
60 |
16% |
26% |
|
61 |
3% |
11% |
|
62 |
3% |
8% |
|
63 |
0.3% |
4% |
|
64 |
3% |
4% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
|
66 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
48 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
49 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
3% |
98% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
95% |
|
52 |
0.2% |
95% |
|
53 |
26% |
95% |
|
54 |
10% |
68% |
|
55 |
2% |
58% |
|
56 |
9% |
56% |
|
57 |
17% |
47% |
|
58 |
20% |
31% |
Median |
59 |
2% |
11% |
|
60 |
4% |
9% |
|
61 |
4% |
6% |
Last Result |
62 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
63 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
16 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
17 |
1.0% |
99.9% |
|
18 |
0.4% |
98.9% |
|
19 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
20 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
21 |
2% |
97% |
|
22 |
12% |
95% |
|
23 |
8% |
82% |
|
24 |
3% |
74% |
|
25 |
21% |
71% |
|
26 |
1.3% |
50% |
|
27 |
7% |
49% |
|
28 |
0.1% |
42% |
|
29 |
0.7% |
42% |
|
30 |
27% |
41% |
Median |
31 |
5% |
14% |
|
32 |
8% |
8% |
|
33 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
34 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Respons Analyse
- Commissioner(s): VG
- Fieldwork period: 4–6 April 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1003
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.73%