Opinion Poll by Respons Analyse for VG, 4–6 April 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 27.6% | 25.8–29.5% | 25.4–30.0% | 24.9–30.5% | 24.1–31.4% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 23.1% | 21.5–24.9% | 21.0–25.4% | 20.6–25.8% | 19.9–26.7% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 13.3% | 12.0–14.7% | 11.6–15.2% | 11.3–15.5% | 10.7–16.2% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.5% | 6.4–9.8% | 6.0–10.4% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.8–9.0% | 6.5–9.3% | 6.3–9.6% | 5.8–10.2% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.3–7.3% | 5.1–7.6% | 4.8–7.8% | 4.5–8.4% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.6–5.9% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.0–4.6% | 2.8–4.8% | 2.7–5.0% | 2.4–5.5% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.1–3.9% | 2.0–4.1% | 1.8–4.5% |
| Norgesdemokratene | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1–2.1% | 1.0–2.3% | 0.9–2.5% | 0.7–2.8% |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5–1.2% | 0.4–1.3% | 0.3–1.4% | 0.2–1.7% |
| Liberalistene | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2–0.8% | 0.2–0.9% | 0.2–1.0% | 0.1–1.2% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2–0.8% | 0.2–0.9% | 0.2–1.0% | 0.1–1.2% |
| Konservativt | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.0–0.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 49 | 44–56 | 44–56 | 44–56 | 44–56 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 43 | 37–46 | 37–46 | 37–47 | 37–50 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 23 | 21–26 | 21–27 | 20–28 | 18–28 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 15 | 12–16 | 12–17 | 12–18 | 11–19 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 15 | 12–16 | 11–16 | 11–16 | 10–18 |
| Rødt | 8 | 11 | 9–13 | 9–14 | 9–14 | 8–16 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 8 | 3–9 | 3–9 | 3–9 | 2–11 |
| Venstre | 8 | 7 | 2–8 | 2–9 | 2–9 | 2–9 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–7 | 0–9 |
| Norgesdemokratene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Liberalistene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Konservativt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 44 | 17% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 20% | 83% | |
| 46 | 0.6% | 64% | |
| 47 | 2% | 63% | |
| 48 | 3% | 62% | |
| 49 | 15% | 59% | Median |
| 50 | 1.2% | 44% | |
| 51 | 6% | 42% | |
| 52 | 21% | 37% | |
| 53 | 4% | 15% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 11% | |
| 55 | 0% | 11% | |
| 56 | 11% | 11% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 16% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 13% | 84% | |
| 39 | 0.8% | 71% | |
| 40 | 13% | 70% | |
| 41 | 2% | 57% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 55% | |
| 43 | 23% | 55% | Median |
| 44 | 2% | 31% | |
| 45 | 19% | 30% | |
| 46 | 8% | 11% | |
| 47 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 2% | Last Result |
| 49 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 50 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 20 | 1.4% | 98.7% | |
| 21 | 22% | 97% | Last Result |
| 22 | 5% | 75% | |
| 23 | 29% | 70% | Median |
| 24 | 8% | 41% | |
| 25 | 21% | 33% | |
| 26 | 3% | 12% | |
| 27 | 6% | 9% | |
| 28 | 3% | 3% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 12 | 17% | 99.3% | |
| 13 | 5% | 82% | |
| 14 | 22% | 78% | |
| 15 | 43% | 56% | Median |
| 16 | 7% | 13% | |
| 17 | 3% | 6% | |
| 18 | 3% | 3% | |
| 19 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 20 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 10 | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 5% | 98.9% | |
| 12 | 22% | 94% | |
| 13 | 18% | 72% | Last Result |
| 14 | 3% | 54% | |
| 15 | 22% | 51% | Median |
| 16 | 27% | 28% | |
| 17 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 18 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 21 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.7% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 9 | 15% | 99.1% | |
| 10 | 18% | 84% | |
| 11 | 22% | 67% | Median |
| 12 | 22% | 44% | |
| 13 | 16% | 22% | |
| 14 | 4% | 6% | |
| 15 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 16 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 28% | 98% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 70% | |
| 5 | 0% | 70% | |
| 6 | 0% | 70% | |
| 7 | 13% | 70% | |
| 8 | 43% | 57% | Median |
| 9 | 13% | 14% | |
| 10 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 11 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 22% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 15% | 78% | |
| 4 | 0% | 64% | |
| 5 | 0% | 64% | |
| 6 | 0% | 64% | |
| 7 | 32% | 64% | Median |
| 8 | 23% | 32% | Last Result |
| 9 | 8% | 9% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 36% | 98% | |
| 2 | 33% | 62% | Median |
| 3 | 26% | 29% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 3% | |
| 7 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 8 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 9 | 2% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Liberalistene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalistene page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 96 | 100 | 100% | 95–102 | 92–103 | 91–105 | 90–105 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 83 | 37% | 79–88 | 79–93 | 78–94 | 77–94 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt | 97 | 82 | 15% | 77–86 | 77–88 | 76–92 | 76–92 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 86 | 83% | 82–91 | 80–91 | 76–92 | 76–92 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 68 | 85 | 59% | 80–89 | 75–89 | 74–90 | 74–91 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 79 | 3% | 73–83 | 73–84 | 72–85 | 72–89 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 77 | 17% | 72–85 | 72–85 | 71–85 | 67–86 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 73 | 0% | 67–75 | 67–81 | 67–81 | 64–82 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 89 | 70 | 0% | 65–73 | 65–75 | 65–79 | 62–79 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 71 | 0% | 68–79 | 65–79 | 65–79 | 65–80 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 68 | 0% | 66–73 | 65–76 | 64–77 | 64–78 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 66 | 0% | 57–70 | 57–70 | 57–73 | 57–77 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 65 | 0% | 54–68 | 54–68 | 54–68 | 54–75 |
| Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 47 | 62 | 0% | 56–66 | 54–66 | 49–66 | 49–66 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 57 | 0% | 51–61 | 51–62 | 51–64 | 51–66 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 56 | 0% | 53–59 | 50–61 | 50–61 | 49–62 |
| Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 39 | 26 | 0% | 22–31 | 21–32 | 20–32 | 17–32 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 89 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 91 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 92 | 4% | 96% | |
| 93 | 0.5% | 92% | |
| 94 | 0.8% | 91% | |
| 95 | 0.7% | 90% | |
| 96 | 6% | 90% | Last Result |
| 97 | 8% | 83% | |
| 98 | 14% | 75% | |
| 99 | 4% | 61% | |
| 100 | 22% | 57% | |
| 101 | 13% | 35% | |
| 102 | 16% | 22% | Median |
| 103 | 2% | 6% | |
| 104 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 105 | 3% | 3% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 78 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 79 | 13% | 97% | |
| 80 | 16% | 85% | |
| 81 | 3% | 69% | |
| 82 | 3% | 66% | |
| 83 | 22% | 64% | |
| 84 | 4% | 41% | |
| 85 | 20% | 37% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.3% | 17% | Median |
| 87 | 6% | 17% | |
| 88 | 2% | 11% | |
| 89 | 1.4% | 8% | |
| 90 | 0.5% | 7% | |
| 91 | 0.5% | 7% | |
| 92 | 0.7% | 6% | |
| 93 | 3% | 5% | |
| 94 | 3% | 3% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 76 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 77 | 27% | 97% | |
| 78 | 4% | 70% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 66% | |
| 80 | 0.7% | 66% | |
| 81 | 4% | 65% | |
| 82 | 25% | 61% | |
| 83 | 19% | 36% | |
| 84 | 2% | 17% | Median |
| 85 | 2% | 15% | Majority |
| 86 | 7% | 13% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 88 | 1.5% | 6% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 90 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 92 | 3% | 3% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 3% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 79 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 80 | 1.3% | 95% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 94% | |
| 82 | 6% | 94% | |
| 83 | 2% | 87% | |
| 84 | 2% | 85% | |
| 85 | 19% | 83% | Majority |
| 86 | 25% | 64% | |
| 87 | 4% | 39% | |
| 88 | 0.7% | 35% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 34% | Median |
| 90 | 2% | 34% | |
| 91 | 29% | 32% | |
| 92 | 3% | 3% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 3% | 97% | |
| 76 | 0.7% | 95% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 78 | 0.7% | 94% | |
| 79 | 2% | 93% | |
| 80 | 2% | 92% | |
| 81 | 6% | 90% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 83% | |
| 83 | 20% | 83% | |
| 84 | 5% | 63% | |
| 85 | 22% | 59% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 36% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 34% | Median |
| 88 | 18% | 34% | |
| 89 | 13% | 15% | |
| 90 | 2% | 3% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 72 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 73 | 16% | 96% | |
| 74 | 11% | 80% | |
| 75 | 1.1% | 69% | |
| 76 | 2% | 68% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 66% | |
| 78 | 13% | 66% | |
| 79 | 5% | 53% | |
| 80 | 3% | 48% | |
| 81 | 2% | 45% | |
| 82 | 31% | 43% | |
| 83 | 6% | 13% | Median |
| 84 | 4% | 7% | |
| 85 | 2% | 3% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 89 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 71 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 72 | 9% | 96% | |
| 73 | 0.7% | 88% | |
| 74 | 5% | 87% | |
| 75 | 16% | 82% | |
| 76 | 2% | 66% | |
| 77 | 25% | 64% | |
| 78 | 1.1% | 39% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 38% | Median |
| 80 | 3% | 38% | |
| 81 | 3% | 34% | |
| 82 | 13% | 31% | |
| 83 | 0% | 18% | |
| 84 | 0.4% | 18% | |
| 85 | 16% | 17% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0% | 98% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 67 | 11% | 98% | |
| 68 | 0.7% | 87% | |
| 69 | 2% | 86% | |
| 70 | 29% | 85% | |
| 71 | 0.7% | 56% | |
| 72 | 5% | 55% | |
| 73 | 7% | 51% | |
| 74 | 31% | 44% | |
| 75 | 3% | 12% | Median |
| 76 | 1.3% | 10% | |
| 77 | 2% | 8% | |
| 78 | 0.8% | 7% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 6% | |
| 81 | 3% | 5% | |
| 82 | 2% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0% | 98% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 65 | 11% | 98% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 86% | |
| 67 | 18% | 86% | |
| 68 | 2% | 68% | |
| 69 | 12% | 66% | |
| 70 | 5% | 54% | |
| 71 | 2% | 49% | |
| 72 | 18% | 46% | |
| 73 | 20% | 29% | Median |
| 74 | 3% | 9% | |
| 75 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 77 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 79 | 3% | 3% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 6% | 99.8% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 94% | |
| 68 | 22% | 93% | |
| 69 | 4% | 71% | |
| 70 | 16% | 66% | |
| 71 | 1.2% | 51% | |
| 72 | 6% | 50% | Median |
| 73 | 3% | 44% | |
| 74 | 4% | 41% | |
| 75 | 2% | 37% | |
| 76 | 0.7% | 35% | |
| 77 | 17% | 34% | |
| 78 | 4% | 17% | |
| 79 | 11% | 13% | |
| 80 | 2% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 65 | 2% | 97% | |
| 66 | 16% | 94% | |
| 67 | 13% | 78% | |
| 68 | 22% | 65% | |
| 69 | 4% | 43% | |
| 70 | 14% | 39% | |
| 71 | 8% | 25% | Median |
| 72 | 7% | 17% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.7% | 10% | |
| 74 | 0.8% | 10% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 9% | |
| 76 | 4% | 8% | |
| 77 | 3% | 4% | |
| 78 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 17% | 99.7% | |
| 58 | 0.9% | 83% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 82% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 82% | |
| 61 | 14% | 82% | |
| 62 | 8% | 68% | |
| 63 | 2% | 60% | |
| 64 | 2% | 58% | |
| 65 | 0.6% | 55% | |
| 66 | 7% | 55% | |
| 67 | 13% | 48% | |
| 68 | 9% | 35% | Median |
| 69 | 8% | 26% | |
| 70 | 14% | 18% | |
| 71 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 73 | 2% | 3% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 77 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 16% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 84% | |
| 56 | 2% | 84% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 82% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 82% | |
| 59 | 13% | 81% | |
| 60 | 1.5% | 69% | |
| 61 | 8% | 67% | |
| 62 | 2% | 59% | |
| 63 | 5% | 57% | |
| 64 | 2% | 52% | |
| 65 | 5% | 50% | |
| 66 | 19% | 45% | Median |
| 67 | 9% | 25% | |
| 68 | 14% | 17% | |
| 69 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 3% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 52 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 53 | 0% | 96% | |
| 54 | 3% | 96% | |
| 55 | 0.7% | 93% | |
| 56 | 6% | 92% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 86% | |
| 58 | 1.4% | 86% | |
| 59 | 1.1% | 85% | |
| 60 | 20% | 84% | |
| 61 | 8% | 64% | |
| 62 | 10% | 56% | |
| 63 | 18% | 45% | |
| 64 | 15% | 27% | Median |
| 65 | 0.3% | 12% | |
| 66 | 11% | 12% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 18% | 99.7% | |
| 52 | 11% | 82% | |
| 53 | 11% | 71% | |
| 54 | 1.0% | 60% | |
| 55 | 4% | 59% | |
| 56 | 0.5% | 55% | |
| 57 | 7% | 55% | |
| 58 | 21% | 48% | Median |
| 59 | 0.5% | 27% | |
| 60 | 16% | 26% | |
| 61 | 3% | 11% | |
| 62 | 3% | 8% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 64 | 3% | 4% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 3% | 98% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 53 | 26% | 95% | |
| 54 | 10% | 68% | |
| 55 | 2% | 58% | |
| 56 | 9% | 56% | |
| 57 | 17% | 47% | |
| 58 | 20% | 31% | Median |
| 59 | 2% | 11% | |
| 60 | 4% | 9% | |
| 61 | 4% | 6% | Last Result |
| 62 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 19 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 20 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 21 | 2% | 97% | |
| 22 | 12% | 95% | |
| 23 | 8% | 82% | |
| 24 | 3% | 74% | |
| 25 | 21% | 71% | |
| 26 | 1.3% | 50% | |
| 27 | 7% | 49% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 42% | |
| 29 | 0.7% | 42% | |
| 30 | 27% | 41% | Median |
| 31 | 5% | 14% | |
| 32 | 8% | 8% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Respons Analyse
- Commissioner(s): VG
- Fieldwork period: 4–6 April 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1003
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.73%