Opinion Poll by Sentio for Amedia and Nettavisen, 5–10 April 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Høyre 20.4% 27.6% 25.8–29.5% 25.3–30.0% 24.9–30.5% 24.1–31.4%
Arbeiderpartiet 26.2% 24.5% 22.8–26.3% 22.3–26.8% 21.9–27.3% 21.1–28.2%
Fremskrittspartiet 11.6% 11.2% 10.0–12.6% 9.7–13.0% 9.4–13.3% 8.8–14.0%
Senterpartiet 13.5% 8.6% 7.6–9.8% 7.3–10.2% 7.0–10.5% 6.5–11.1%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7.6% 6.0% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.7% 4.3–8.2%
Venstre 4.6% 5.7% 4.9–6.8% 4.6–7.1% 4.4–7.3% 4.1–7.9%
Rødt 4.7% 5.7% 4.9–6.8% 4.6–7.1% 4.4–7.3% 4.1–7.9%
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3.9% 3.9% 3.2–4.8% 3.0–5.1% 2.9–5.3% 2.6–5.8%
Kristelig Folkeparti 3.8% 3.2% 2.6–4.0% 2.4–4.3% 2.3–4.5% 2.0–4.9%
Norgesdemokratene 1.1% 1.4% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.2% 0.8–2.3% 0.7–2.7%
Industri- og Næringspartiet 0.3% 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.1%
Liberalistene 0.2% 0.6% 0.4–1.1% 0.3–1.2% 0.3–1.3% 0.2–1.6%
Konservativt 0.4% 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.0–0.9%
Pensjonistpartiet 0.6% 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.0–0.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Høyre 36 54 47–54 46–54 44–54 42–54
Arbeiderpartiet 48 43 43–46 43–47 43–49 42–51
Fremskrittspartiet 21 22 20–22 18–22 17–22 17–25
Senterpartiet 28 18 15–18 14–18 14–18 13–19
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 13 8 8–11 8–12 8–13 8–15
Venstre 8 11 10–11 9–13 8–14 8–14
Rødt 8 8 8–11 8–12 8–13 8–14
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3 2 2–7 2–8 2–8 1–9
Kristelig Folkeparti 3 2 2–3 2–3 1–3 0–7
Norgesdemokratene 0 0 0 0 0 0
Industri- og Næringspartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0
Liberalistene 0 0 0 0 0 0
Konservativt 0 0 0 0 0 0
Pensjonistpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0% 100% Last Result
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0.2% 100%  
41 0.2% 99.8%  
42 0.1% 99.6%  
43 0.1% 99.5%  
44 4% 99.4%  
45 0.2% 96%  
46 2% 96%  
47 9% 94%  
48 3% 85%  
49 1.0% 82%  
50 4% 81%  
51 1.1% 77%  
52 0.4% 76%  
53 0% 75%  
54 75% 75% Median
55 0.2% 0.2%  
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.6% 100%  
43 75% 99.4% Median
44 8% 24%  
45 3% 16%  
46 6% 14%  
47 4% 8%  
48 0.7% 4% Last Result
49 2% 3%  
50 0.1% 0.7%  
51 0.2% 0.6%  
52 0.1% 0.4%  
53 0.2% 0.3%  
54 0.1% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.3% 100%  
17 4% 99.6%  
18 2% 96%  
19 1.2% 94%  
20 4% 93%  
21 7% 89% Last Result
22 82% 83% Median
23 0.1% 0.9%  
24 0.1% 0.7%  
25 0.2% 0.6%  
26 0% 0.4%  
27 0.4% 0.4%  
28 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100%  
11 0.2% 99.9%  
12 0.1% 99.8%  
13 2% 99.7%  
14 5% 98%  
15 12% 92%  
16 2% 81%  
17 0.4% 78%  
18 77% 78% Median
19 0.8% 1.1%  
20 0.3% 0.3%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0% Last Result

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 79% 100% Median
9 3% 21%  
10 8% 19%  
11 3% 10%  
12 5% 8%  
13 0.9% 3% Last Result
14 0.2% 2%  
15 2% 2%  
16 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.2% 100%  
3 0% 99.8%  
4 0% 99.8%  
5 0% 99.8%  
6 0% 99.8%  
7 0.1% 99.8%  
8 5% 99.6% Last Result
9 3% 95%  
10 7% 92%  
11 79% 85% Median
12 0.9% 6%  
13 3% 5%  
14 3% 3%  
15 0% 0%  

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0% 100%  
7 0.1% 99.9%  
8 76% 99.8% Last Result, Median
9 4% 24%  
10 8% 20%  
11 6% 12%  
12 2% 6%  
13 2% 3%  
14 0.8% 1.2%  
15 0.4% 0.4%  
16 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet De Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 2% 100%  
2 79% 98% Median
3 5% 19% Last Result
4 0% 14%  
5 0% 14%  
6 0% 14%  
7 6% 14%  
8 7% 8%  
9 1.0% 1.0%  
10 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.9% 100%  
1 2% 99.1%  
2 87% 97% Median
3 8% 10% Last Result
4 0% 2%  
5 0% 2%  
6 2% 2%  
7 0.3% 0.5%  
8 0.1% 0.2%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Norgesdemokratene

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Industri- og Næringspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Liberalistene

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalistene page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Konservativt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Pensjonistpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 96 107 100% 95–107 92–107 92–107 90–107
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 100 79 21% 79–89 79–90 79–93 79–95
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti 71 91 92% 85–91 83–91 81–91 79–93
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 68 89 79% 79–89 78–89 76–89 74–89
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 97 77 7% 77–83 77–86 77–88 75–89
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre 65 87 76% 77–87 74–87 73–87 73–87
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti 95 73 4% 73–79 73–83 73–86 72–87
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 92 71 2% 71–77 71–80 70–82 70–86
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 89 69 0% 69–72 69–74 68–77 66–79
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 72 61 0% 61–73 61–76 61–77 61–78
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet 57 76 0% 67–76 65–76 64–76 63–76
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti 82 65 0% 65–69 65–72 65–74 63–76
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 79 63 0% 62–63 61–67 61–68 58–70
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 47 67 0% 59–67 58–67 56–67 54–67
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 76 61 0% 59–61 59–63 59–66 56–67
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 61 51 0% 51–57 51–59 51–61 51–61
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 39 31 0% 27–31 27–31 26–31 23–33

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0.2% 100%  
88 0% 99.8%  
89 0.1% 99.7%  
90 0.4% 99.6%  
91 0.8% 99.1%  
92 4% 98%  
93 0.7% 95%  
94 4% 94%  
95 0.6% 90%  
96 7% 90% Last Result
97 2% 83%  
98 1.1% 81%  
99 0.4% 80%  
100 0.4% 79%  
101 3% 79%  
102 0.4% 76%  
103 0% 75%  
104 0% 75%  
105 0.3% 75%  
106 0% 75%  
107 75% 75% Median
108 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.3% 100%  
77 0% 99.6%  
78 0% 99.6%  
79 75% 99.6% Median
80 0.2% 25%  
81 3% 24%  
82 0.2% 22%  
83 0% 21%  
84 0.5% 21%  
85 1.0% 21% Majority
86 3% 20%  
87 6% 17%  
88 0.4% 11%  
89 4% 10%  
90 3% 7%  
91 0.4% 4%  
92 0.7% 4%  
93 0.3% 3%  
94 0.5% 2%  
95 2% 2%  
96 0% 0.2%  
97 0.2% 0.2%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100% Last Result
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.5% 99.8%  
80 0.4% 99.3%  
81 2% 98.9%  
82 2% 97%  
83 2% 95%  
84 0.7% 93%  
85 4% 92% Majority
86 2% 88%  
87 0.8% 86%  
88 0.2% 85%  
89 9% 85%  
90 0.2% 76%  
91 75% 76% Median
92 0.1% 0.6%  
93 0% 0.5%  
94 0% 0.5%  
95 0.4% 0.5%  
96 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100% Last Result
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0.2% 100%  
72 0% 99.8%  
73 0.1% 99.8%  
74 2% 99.7%  
75 0.2% 98%  
76 0.8% 98%  
77 0.5% 97%  
78 3% 96%  
79 4% 93%  
80 0.3% 90%  
81 6% 90%  
82 3% 83%  
83 1.1% 80%  
84 0.4% 79%  
85 0.1% 79% Majority
86 0.2% 79%  
87 3% 78%  
88 0.2% 76%  
89 75% 75% Median
90 0% 0.4%  
91 0% 0.4%  
92 0.3% 0.4%  
93 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.4% 100%  
74 0% 99.5%  
75 0% 99.5%  
76 0.1% 99.5%  
77 75% 99.4% Median
78 0.2% 24%  
79 9% 24%  
80 0.1% 15%  
81 0.8% 15%  
82 2% 14%  
83 4% 12%  
84 0.3% 8%  
85 2% 7% Majority
86 2% 6%  
87 0.5% 3%  
88 2% 3%  
89 0.3% 0.8%  
90 0.3% 0.5%  
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100% Last Result
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0.3% 99.9%  
71 0% 99.7%  
72 0.1% 99.7%  
73 4% 99.5%  
74 0.7% 96%  
75 0.3% 95%  
76 4% 95%  
77 0.8% 90%  
78 0.5% 90%  
79 7% 89%  
80 3% 82%  
81 0.2% 79%  
82 0.5% 79%  
83 0% 78%  
84 3% 78%  
85 0% 76% Majority
86 0.1% 76%  
87 75% 75% Median
88 0% 0.4%  
89 0.3% 0.4%  
90 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.3% 100%  
71 0% 99.6%  
72 0.3% 99.6%  
73 78% 99.3% Median
74 0.1% 21%  
75 0% 21%  
76 0.7% 21%  
77 2% 21%  
78 0.6% 19%  
79 9% 18%  
80 3% 9%  
81 0.6% 6%  
82 0.8% 6%  
83 0.1% 5%  
84 1.0% 5%  
85 0.3% 4% Majority
86 2% 4%  
87 2% 2%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.3% 100%  
68 0% 99.7%  
69 0% 99.6%  
70 3% 99.6%  
71 75% 97% Median
72 0.1% 21%  
73 0.5% 21%  
74 0.3% 21%  
75 2% 20%  
76 1.4% 18%  
77 10% 17%  
78 0.7% 7%  
79 1.2% 6%  
80 2% 5%  
81 0.7% 3%  
82 0.3% 3%  
83 0% 2%  
84 0.4% 2%  
85 0.2% 2% Majority
86 2% 2%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.4% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.6%  
66 0% 99.5%  
67 0% 99.5%  
68 3% 99.4%  
69 82% 97% Median
70 3% 14%  
71 0.3% 12%  
72 2% 11%  
73 2% 9%  
74 2% 7%  
75 1.3% 5%  
76 1.0% 4%  
77 0.6% 3%  
78 0.4% 2%  
79 2% 2%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0% Majority
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 75% 100% Median
62 0% 25%  
63 0.3% 25%  
64 0% 25%  
65 0% 25%  
66 0.3% 25%  
67 3% 24%  
68 0.1% 21%  
69 0.6% 21%  
70 1.3% 21%  
71 2% 19%  
72 7% 17% Last Result
73 0.6% 11%  
74 4% 10%  
75 0.7% 6%  
76 2% 5%  
77 2% 3%  
78 0.6% 1.0%  
79 0.1% 0.4%  
80 0% 0.3%  
81 0.2% 0.2%  
82 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0% 100% Last Result
58 0.2% 100%  
59 0% 99.8%  
60 0% 99.8%  
61 0.1% 99.8%  
62 0.1% 99.7%  
63 0.5% 99.5%  
64 2% 99.0%  
65 5% 97%  
66 2% 92%  
67 0.6% 90%  
68 3% 90%  
69 6% 87%  
70 1.2% 80%  
71 3% 79%  
72 0.3% 76%  
73 0% 76%  
74 0.1% 76%  
75 0% 76%  
76 75% 76% Median
77 0.1% 0.5%  
78 0.3% 0.4%  
79 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.3% 99.8%  
62 0% 99.5%  
63 0.7% 99.5%  
64 0% 98.8%  
65 80% 98.7% Median
66 0.6% 19%  
67 3% 18%  
68 2% 16%  
69 6% 14%  
70 0.5% 8%  
71 1.3% 7%  
72 1.1% 6%  
73 0.5% 5%  
74 2% 4%  
75 2% 2%  
76 0.3% 0.6%  
77 0.1% 0.4%  
78 0.2% 0.3%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.5% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.5%  
60 0.4% 99.4%  
61 8% 99.0%  
62 2% 91%  
63 79% 89% Median
64 3% 10%  
65 0.8% 7%  
66 1.3% 6%  
67 2% 5%  
68 2% 3%  
69 0.2% 1.1%  
70 0.7% 0.9%  
71 0.1% 0.2%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0% 100% Last Result
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0.2% 100%  
54 2% 99.8%  
55 0.3% 98%  
56 0.4% 98%  
57 2% 97%  
58 2% 95%  
59 7% 93%  
60 1.0% 86%  
61 0.7% 85%  
62 4% 85%  
63 0.1% 81%  
64 1.0% 81%  
65 2% 80%  
66 3% 78%  
67 75% 75% Median
68 0.2% 0.3%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.4% 100%  
56 0.3% 99.6%  
57 0.4% 99.4%  
58 0.1% 99.0%  
59 10% 98.8%  
60 4% 89%  
61 78% 85% Median
62 2% 8%  
63 1.5% 6%  
64 0.6% 4%  
65 1.0% 4%  
66 0.2% 3%  
67 2% 2%  
68 0% 0.4%  
69 0.3% 0.4%  
70 0% 0.1%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.3% 100%  
51 75% 99.7% Median
52 0.1% 24%  
53 0% 24%  
54 9% 24%  
55 1.0% 16%  
56 3% 15%  
57 3% 11%  
58 3% 9%  
59 3% 6%  
60 0.2% 3%  
61 2% 3% Last Result
62 0.3% 0.5%  
63 0.1% 0.2%  
64 0% 0.2%  
65 0.1% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0.1% 100%  
19 0% 99.9%  
20 0% 99.8%  
21 0% 99.8%  
22 0.3% 99.8%  
23 0.2% 99.6%  
24 0.2% 99.4%  
25 1.2% 99.2%  
26 2% 98%  
27 10% 96%  
28 2% 86%  
29 2% 84%  
30 3% 82%  
31 77% 79% Median
32 0.7% 2%  
33 1.0% 1.1%  
34 0% 0.1%  
35 0% 0.1%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations