Opinion Poll by Norstat for Vårt Land, 19–25 April 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Høyre |
20.4% |
28.3% |
26.4–30.2% |
25.9–30.7% |
25.5–31.2% |
24.6–32.1% |
Arbeiderpartiet |
26.2% |
20.9% |
19.3–22.7% |
18.8–23.2% |
18.4–23.6% |
17.7–24.5% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
11.6% |
14.3% |
12.9–15.8% |
12.5–16.3% |
12.2–16.7% |
11.6–17.4% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
7.6% |
9.6% |
8.4–10.9% |
8.1–11.3% |
7.8–11.6% |
7.3–12.3% |
Rødt |
4.7% |
6.6% |
5.7–7.8% |
5.4–8.1% |
5.2–8.4% |
4.8–9.0% |
Senterpartiet |
13.5% |
5.5% |
4.6–6.5% |
4.4–6.8% |
4.2–7.1% |
3.8–7.7% |
Venstre |
4.6% |
4.3% |
3.6–5.3% |
3.4–5.5% |
3.2–5.8% |
2.9–6.3% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
3.8% |
3.2% |
2.5–4.0% |
2.4–4.3% |
2.2–4.5% |
2.0–4.9% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.9% |
3.2% |
2.5–4.0% |
2.4–4.3% |
2.2–4.5% |
2.0–4.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
43 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
44 |
0.6% |
99.4% |
|
45 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
46 |
7% |
97% |
|
47 |
6% |
90% |
|
48 |
12% |
83% |
|
49 |
20% |
71% |
|
50 |
11% |
51% |
Median |
51 |
12% |
40% |
|
52 |
11% |
28% |
|
53 |
5% |
17% |
|
54 |
9% |
12% |
|
55 |
1.4% |
4% |
|
56 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
1.2% |
|
58 |
0.7% |
1.0% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
60 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
61 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
33 |
0.7% |
99.8% |
|
34 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
35 |
2% |
97% |
|
36 |
5% |
96% |
|
37 |
11% |
90% |
|
38 |
19% |
79% |
|
39 |
14% |
60% |
Median |
40 |
14% |
46% |
|
41 |
7% |
32% |
|
42 |
12% |
25% |
|
43 |
4% |
13% |
|
44 |
3% |
9% |
|
45 |
3% |
6% |
|
46 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
47 |
0.6% |
1.5% |
|
48 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
Last Result |
49 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
18 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
19 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
20 |
2% |
99.2% |
|
21 |
4% |
97% |
Last Result |
22 |
7% |
93% |
|
23 |
12% |
86% |
|
24 |
9% |
74% |
|
25 |
8% |
65% |
|
26 |
14% |
57% |
Median |
27 |
6% |
44% |
|
28 |
10% |
38% |
|
29 |
12% |
28% |
|
30 |
12% |
16% |
|
31 |
3% |
4% |
|
32 |
0.6% |
1.1% |
|
33 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
11 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
12 |
3% |
98% |
|
13 |
7% |
96% |
Last Result |
14 |
11% |
89% |
|
15 |
17% |
78% |
|
16 |
18% |
61% |
Median |
17 |
21% |
43% |
|
18 |
12% |
23% |
|
19 |
6% |
11% |
|
20 |
4% |
5% |
|
21 |
1.1% |
1.5% |
|
22 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
23 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
8 |
4% |
99.6% |
Last Result |
9 |
11% |
96% |
|
10 |
23% |
84% |
|
11 |
22% |
61% |
Median |
12 |
19% |
39% |
|
13 |
10% |
20% |
|
14 |
8% |
10% |
|
15 |
2% |
2% |
|
16 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
17 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
1 |
1.0% |
99.7% |
|
2 |
0% |
98.7% |
|
3 |
0% |
98.7% |
|
4 |
0% |
98.7% |
|
5 |
0% |
98.7% |
|
6 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
7 |
12% |
96% |
|
8 |
20% |
84% |
|
9 |
21% |
65% |
Median |
10 |
18% |
43% |
|
11 |
14% |
25% |
|
12 |
7% |
10% |
|
13 |
3% |
3% |
|
14 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
15 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
14% |
100% |
|
3 |
15% |
86% |
|
4 |
0% |
71% |
|
5 |
0% |
71% |
|
6 |
10% |
71% |
|
7 |
21% |
61% |
Median |
8 |
24% |
40% |
Last Result |
9 |
12% |
16% |
|
10 |
3% |
4% |
|
11 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
1 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
2 |
57% |
99.3% |
Median |
3 |
38% |
42% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
4% |
|
5 |
0.4% |
4% |
|
6 |
1.0% |
4% |
|
7 |
1.5% |
3% |
|
8 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
9 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
1 |
33% |
99.9% |
|
2 |
45% |
67% |
Median |
3 |
11% |
21% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
10% |
|
5 |
0.3% |
10% |
|
6 |
3% |
10% |
|
7 |
4% |
7% |
|
8 |
3% |
3% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
96 |
94 |
98.9% |
89–99 |
87–101 |
86–102 |
83–104 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
71 |
88 |
71% |
81–92 |
80–93 |
78–94 |
76–97 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
68 |
85 |
55% |
80–90 |
78–91 |
77–92 |
74–94 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
65 |
83 |
31% |
77–88 |
75–88 |
74–89 |
72–91 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
100 |
78 |
7% |
73–84 |
71–85 |
71–87 |
68–89 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet |
97 |
76 |
1.5% |
70–81 |
69–83 |
68–84 |
66–86 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
57 |
76 |
0.8% |
71–81 |
70–82 |
69–83 |
67–85 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
95 |
70 |
0% |
65–75 |
64–77 |
63–78 |
60–80 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
72 |
69 |
0% |
65–74 |
63–76 |
63–77 |
60–79 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
92 |
67 |
0% |
63–72 |
61–74 |
60–75 |
58–77 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet |
89 |
65 |
0% |
60–69 |
59–71 |
58–72 |
56–74 |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
47 |
59 |
0% |
55–63 |
52–65 |
52–66 |
50–67 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
61 |
56 |
0% |
52–60 |
51–61 |
50–63 |
48–64 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
82 |
53 |
0% |
50–58 |
49–60 |
48–61 |
45–64 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
79 |
51 |
0% |
48–55 |
47–57 |
46–58 |
43–60 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
76 |
49 |
0% |
45–53 |
44–54 |
43–56 |
40–57 |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
39 |
18 |
0% |
14–22 |
13–23 |
12–24 |
10–26 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
83 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
84 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
|
85 |
1.0% |
98.9% |
Majority |
86 |
1.5% |
98% |
|
87 |
2% |
96% |
|
88 |
3% |
94% |
|
89 |
4% |
91% |
|
90 |
5% |
86% |
|
91 |
9% |
81% |
|
92 |
7% |
73% |
|
93 |
12% |
65% |
|
94 |
7% |
53% |
Median |
95 |
11% |
47% |
|
96 |
10% |
36% |
Last Result |
97 |
5% |
25% |
|
98 |
6% |
20% |
|
99 |
6% |
14% |
|
100 |
3% |
9% |
|
101 |
1.2% |
6% |
|
102 |
4% |
5% |
|
103 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
|
104 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
105 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
106 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
76 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
77 |
0.3% |
99.3% |
|
78 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
79 |
2% |
97% |
|
80 |
2% |
95% |
|
81 |
4% |
94% |
|
82 |
4% |
89% |
|
83 |
6% |
85% |
|
84 |
8% |
79% |
|
85 |
6% |
71% |
Majority |
86 |
6% |
64% |
|
87 |
8% |
59% |
Median |
88 |
10% |
51% |
|
89 |
11% |
40% |
|
90 |
5% |
29% |
|
91 |
9% |
23% |
|
92 |
5% |
15% |
|
93 |
5% |
10% |
|
94 |
2% |
4% |
|
95 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
96 |
0.7% |
1.2% |
|
97 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
98 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
99 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
100 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
101 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
74 |
0.8% |
99.8% |
|
75 |
0.3% |
99.0% |
|
76 |
0.8% |
98.8% |
|
77 |
3% |
98% |
|
78 |
2% |
95% |
|
79 |
3% |
93% |
|
80 |
8% |
91% |
|
81 |
7% |
82% |
|
82 |
7% |
75% |
|
83 |
8% |
68% |
|
84 |
5% |
61% |
|
85 |
8% |
55% |
Median, Majority |
86 |
10% |
47% |
|
87 |
8% |
37% |
|
88 |
9% |
29% |
|
89 |
5% |
20% |
|
90 |
7% |
15% |
|
91 |
5% |
8% |
|
92 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
93 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
94 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
95 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
96 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
97 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
71 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
0.7% |
99.5% |
|
73 |
0.5% |
98.8% |
|
74 |
1.5% |
98% |
|
75 |
3% |
97% |
|
76 |
1.2% |
93% |
|
77 |
5% |
92% |
|
78 |
10% |
87% |
|
79 |
5% |
77% |
|
80 |
9% |
72% |
|
81 |
6% |
63% |
|
82 |
6% |
57% |
|
83 |
7% |
51% |
Median |
84 |
13% |
44% |
|
85 |
6% |
31% |
Majority |
86 |
10% |
25% |
|
87 |
2% |
15% |
|
88 |
10% |
13% |
|
89 |
1.4% |
4% |
|
90 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
91 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
92 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
94 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
95 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
66 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
69 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
|
70 |
1.1% |
99.0% |
|
71 |
4% |
98% |
|
72 |
2% |
94% |
|
73 |
5% |
92% |
|
74 |
6% |
87% |
|
75 |
9% |
81% |
|
76 |
6% |
72% |
|
77 |
6% |
66% |
Median |
78 |
11% |
59% |
|
79 |
7% |
48% |
|
80 |
13% |
41% |
|
81 |
6% |
28% |
|
82 |
6% |
22% |
|
83 |
4% |
16% |
|
84 |
4% |
12% |
|
85 |
3% |
7% |
Majority |
86 |
1.4% |
5% |
|
87 |
2% |
3% |
|
88 |
0.9% |
1.4% |
|
89 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
91 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
92 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
99 |
0% |
0% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
66 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
98.9% |
|
68 |
1.5% |
98.6% |
|
69 |
3% |
97% |
|
70 |
5% |
94% |
|
71 |
4% |
89% |
|
72 |
5% |
85% |
|
73 |
10% |
80% |
|
74 |
5% |
70% |
|
75 |
8% |
65% |
Median |
76 |
9% |
57% |
|
77 |
12% |
48% |
|
78 |
6% |
36% |
|
79 |
12% |
30% |
|
80 |
3% |
18% |
|
81 |
6% |
15% |
|
82 |
3% |
9% |
|
83 |
2% |
6% |
|
84 |
2% |
3% |
|
85 |
0.8% |
1.5% |
Majority |
86 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
87 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
68 |
1.5% |
99.3% |
|
69 |
2% |
98% |
|
70 |
5% |
96% |
|
71 |
7% |
91% |
|
72 |
5% |
84% |
|
73 |
6% |
79% |
|
74 |
6% |
73% |
|
75 |
11% |
67% |
|
76 |
8% |
56% |
Median |
77 |
10% |
48% |
|
78 |
11% |
38% |
|
79 |
8% |
28% |
|
80 |
9% |
20% |
|
81 |
4% |
11% |
|
82 |
4% |
7% |
|
83 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
84 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
85 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
87 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
88 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
60 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
61 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
62 |
1.0% |
99.0% |
|
63 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
64 |
4% |
97% |
|
65 |
6% |
93% |
|
66 |
7% |
87% |
|
67 |
11% |
80% |
|
68 |
6% |
69% |
Median |
69 |
13% |
63% |
|
70 |
11% |
50% |
|
71 |
10% |
39% |
|
72 |
8% |
29% |
|
73 |
4% |
21% |
|
74 |
5% |
16% |
|
75 |
4% |
12% |
|
76 |
3% |
8% |
|
77 |
2% |
5% |
|
78 |
2% |
4% |
|
79 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
80 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
83 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
84 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
60 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
61 |
0.5% |
99.5% |
|
62 |
1.2% |
98.9% |
|
63 |
3% |
98% |
|
64 |
4% |
94% |
|
65 |
7% |
91% |
|
66 |
11% |
84% |
|
67 |
7% |
72% |
|
68 |
11% |
65% |
Median |
69 |
11% |
54% |
|
70 |
11% |
43% |
|
71 |
5% |
32% |
|
72 |
9% |
27% |
Last Result |
73 |
6% |
18% |
|
74 |
3% |
11% |
|
75 |
3% |
8% |
|
76 |
1.4% |
5% |
|
77 |
2% |
4% |
|
78 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
79 |
0.9% |
1.3% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
82 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
57 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
58 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
59 |
0.5% |
99.3% |
|
60 |
1.4% |
98.7% |
|
61 |
2% |
97% |
|
62 |
5% |
95% |
|
63 |
7% |
90% |
|
64 |
6% |
83% |
|
65 |
10% |
78% |
|
66 |
13% |
67% |
Median |
67 |
8% |
55% |
|
68 |
17% |
46% |
|
69 |
5% |
29% |
|
70 |
6% |
25% |
|
71 |
5% |
18% |
|
72 |
5% |
13% |
|
73 |
3% |
8% |
|
74 |
2% |
6% |
|
75 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
76 |
2% |
2% |
|
77 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
57 |
0.5% |
99.1% |
|
58 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
59 |
3% |
97% |
|
60 |
5% |
94% |
|
61 |
6% |
89% |
|
62 |
10% |
84% |
|
63 |
9% |
74% |
|
64 |
11% |
65% |
Median |
65 |
12% |
53% |
|
66 |
9% |
41% |
|
67 |
10% |
32% |
|
68 |
7% |
22% |
|
69 |
6% |
16% |
|
70 |
3% |
9% |
|
71 |
3% |
7% |
|
72 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
73 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
74 |
1.0% |
1.2% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
48 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
51 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
52 |
3% |
98% |
|
53 |
2% |
95% |
|
54 |
2% |
93% |
|
55 |
5% |
91% |
|
56 |
12% |
85% |
|
57 |
11% |
73% |
|
58 |
11% |
63% |
|
59 |
10% |
51% |
Median |
60 |
9% |
41% |
|
61 |
13% |
33% |
|
62 |
6% |
20% |
|
63 |
5% |
13% |
|
64 |
2% |
9% |
|
65 |
4% |
7% |
|
66 |
2% |
3% |
|
67 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
68 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
46 |
0% |
100% |
|
47 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
48 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
49 |
1.2% |
99.4% |
|
50 |
2% |
98% |
|
51 |
5% |
97% |
|
52 |
5% |
92% |
|
53 |
14% |
87% |
|
54 |
11% |
73% |
|
55 |
9% |
62% |
Median |
56 |
17% |
53% |
|
57 |
11% |
36% |
|
58 |
10% |
26% |
|
59 |
5% |
16% |
|
60 |
4% |
11% |
|
61 |
3% |
7% |
Last Result |
62 |
2% |
4% |
|
63 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
64 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
67 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
45 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
46 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
47 |
1.0% |
98.7% |
|
48 |
2% |
98% |
|
49 |
3% |
95% |
|
50 |
7% |
93% |
|
51 |
15% |
86% |
|
52 |
10% |
71% |
Median |
53 |
15% |
61% |
|
54 |
11% |
46% |
|
55 |
9% |
36% |
|
56 |
7% |
27% |
|
57 |
7% |
20% |
|
58 |
3% |
13% |
|
59 |
3% |
10% |
|
60 |
4% |
6% |
|
61 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
62 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
63 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
67 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
43 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
44 |
0.5% |
99.3% |
|
45 |
1.0% |
98.8% |
|
46 |
2% |
98% |
|
47 |
5% |
96% |
|
48 |
6% |
91% |
|
49 |
11% |
86% |
|
50 |
15% |
75% |
Median |
51 |
17% |
60% |
|
52 |
12% |
43% |
|
53 |
9% |
31% |
|
54 |
6% |
22% |
|
55 |
6% |
15% |
|
56 |
2% |
9% |
|
57 |
2% |
7% |
|
58 |
2% |
4% |
|
59 |
2% |
2% |
|
60 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
61 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
63 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
40 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
41 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
|
42 |
0.5% |
99.1% |
|
43 |
1.1% |
98.6% |
|
44 |
3% |
97% |
|
45 |
5% |
94% |
|
46 |
7% |
89% |
|
47 |
16% |
82% |
|
48 |
14% |
66% |
Median |
49 |
17% |
53% |
|
50 |
11% |
35% |
|
51 |
8% |
25% |
|
52 |
7% |
17% |
|
53 |
4% |
10% |
|
54 |
3% |
7% |
|
55 |
1.2% |
4% |
|
56 |
2% |
3% |
|
57 |
0.8% |
1.0% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
59 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
7 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
8 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
9 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
11 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
|
12 |
2% |
98.9% |
|
13 |
4% |
97% |
|
14 |
7% |
93% |
|
15 |
10% |
86% |
|
16 |
6% |
76% |
|
17 |
12% |
70% |
|
18 |
15% |
58% |
Median |
19 |
12% |
43% |
|
20 |
10% |
31% |
|
21 |
6% |
21% |
|
22 |
8% |
15% |
|
23 |
4% |
7% |
|
24 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
25 |
0.9% |
1.4% |
|
26 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
27 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
28 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norstat
- Commissioner(s): Vårt Land
- Fieldwork period: 19–25 April 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 952
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.25%