Opinion Poll by Kantar TNS for TV2, 3 May 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 28.3% | 25.8–31.0% | 25.1–31.8% | 24.5–32.4% | 23.4–33.7% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 23.1% | 20.8–25.7% | 20.1–26.4% | 19.6–27.0% | 18.5–28.3% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 11.4% | 9.8–13.5% | 9.3–14.0% | 8.9–14.6% | 8.2–15.6% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.8–10.0% | 6.4–10.5% | 6.1–11.0% | 5.5–11.9% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 7.4% | 6.1–9.2% | 5.7–9.6% | 5.4–10.1% | 4.9–11.0% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.2–8.1% | 4.9–8.5% | 4.6–8.9% | 4.1–9.8% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.4–5.8% | 3.2–6.2% | 2.9–6.6% | 2.5–7.3% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.1–5.4% | 2.8–5.8% | 2.6–6.1% | 2.2–6.9% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.6–4.7% | 2.3–5.1% | 2.1–5.4% | 1.8–6.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 50 | 45–54 | 44–57 | 42–58 | 41–60 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 44 | 38–48 | 37–49 | 36–50 | 34–52 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 20 | 17–23 | 17–25 | 15–26 | 13–28 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 14 | 11–17 | 10–18 | 9–19 | 8–20 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 13 | 10–16 | 10–17 | 9–18 | 8–19 |
| Rødt | 8 | 11 | 9–14 | 8–15 | 7–16 | 6–17 |
| Venstre | 8 | 8 | 2–10 | 2–10 | 2–11 | 2–13 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 3 | 1–9 | 1–10 | 1–10 | 1–12 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 2 | 1–7 | 0–8 | 0–8 | 0–10 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 42 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 43 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 44 | 3% | 96% | |
| 45 | 5% | 93% | |
| 46 | 8% | 88% | |
| 47 | 7% | 81% | |
| 48 | 8% | 73% | |
| 49 | 13% | 66% | |
| 50 | 13% | 53% | Median |
| 51 | 9% | 40% | |
| 52 | 11% | 31% | |
| 53 | 8% | 20% | |
| 54 | 2% | 12% | |
| 55 | 2% | 10% | |
| 56 | 2% | 8% | |
| 57 | 3% | 6% | |
| 58 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 59 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 36 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 37 | 3% | 97% | |
| 38 | 5% | 94% | |
| 39 | 7% | 90% | |
| 40 | 5% | 83% | |
| 41 | 5% | 78% | |
| 42 | 10% | 73% | |
| 43 | 7% | 63% | |
| 44 | 12% | 56% | Median |
| 45 | 13% | 44% | |
| 46 | 10% | 31% | |
| 47 | 8% | 21% | |
| 48 | 6% | 14% | Last Result |
| 49 | 3% | 8% | |
| 50 | 3% | 5% | |
| 51 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 14 | 1.1% | 99.4% | |
| 15 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 16 | 2% | 97% | |
| 17 | 6% | 96% | |
| 18 | 17% | 90% | |
| 19 | 10% | 73% | |
| 20 | 14% | 62% | Median |
| 21 | 14% | 48% | Last Result |
| 22 | 16% | 34% | |
| 23 | 9% | 19% | |
| 24 | 2% | 10% | |
| 25 | 5% | 8% | |
| 26 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 27 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 28 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 29 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 9 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 10 | 5% | 97% | |
| 11 | 10% | 92% | |
| 12 | 12% | 82% | |
| 13 | 14% | 70% | Last Result |
| 14 | 15% | 56% | Median |
| 15 | 18% | 41% | |
| 16 | 10% | 23% | |
| 17 | 6% | 13% | |
| 18 | 4% | 7% | |
| 19 | 2% | 3% | |
| 20 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 21 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 9 | 2% | 98% | |
| 10 | 8% | 95% | |
| 11 | 8% | 88% | |
| 12 | 11% | 80% | |
| 13 | 20% | 68% | Median |
| 14 | 12% | 48% | |
| 15 | 13% | 36% | |
| 16 | 13% | 23% | |
| 17 | 5% | 10% | |
| 18 | 4% | 5% | |
| 19 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 7 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 8 | 6% | 97% | Last Result |
| 9 | 12% | 91% | |
| 10 | 19% | 79% | |
| 11 | 17% | 60% | Median |
| 12 | 22% | 44% | |
| 13 | 9% | 21% | |
| 14 | 6% | 12% | |
| 15 | 3% | 7% | |
| 16 | 2% | 3% | |
| 17 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 2 | 13% | 99.6% | |
| 3 | 14% | 87% | |
| 4 | 0% | 72% | |
| 5 | 0% | 72% | |
| 6 | 2% | 72% | |
| 7 | 15% | 71% | |
| 8 | 21% | 56% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 23% | 35% | |
| 10 | 8% | 12% | |
| 11 | 2% | 4% | |
| 12 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 13 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15% | 100% | |
| 2 | 32% | 85% | |
| 3 | 15% | 54% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0% | 39% | |
| 5 | 0% | 39% | |
| 6 | 2% | 39% | |
| 7 | 14% | 37% | |
| 8 | 11% | 23% | |
| 9 | 7% | 12% | |
| 10 | 4% | 5% | |
| 11 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8% | 100% | |
| 1 | 5% | 92% | |
| 2 | 44% | 87% | Median |
| 3 | 20% | 43% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 23% | |
| 5 | 0% | 23% | |
| 6 | 2% | 23% | |
| 7 | 12% | 20% | |
| 8 | 6% | 8% | |
| 9 | 2% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 94 | 97% | 87–99 | 86–101 | 84–102 | 81–105 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 86 | 64% | 81–93 | 79–94 | 78–96 | 75–99 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 71 | 85 | 54% | 78–91 | 77–92 | 74–94 | 72–96 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt | 97 | 82 | 28% | 76–88 | 75–90 | 74–91 | 70–94 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 95 | 78 | 10% | 73–85 | 72–87 | 70–89 | 67–92 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 80 | 15% | 74–86 | 72–87 | 70–89 | 68–92 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 77 | 4% | 71–83 | 69–84 | 67–86 | 64–88 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 75 | 4% | 70–81 | 69–83 | 67–85 | 64–88 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 72 | 1.1% | 67–79 | 66–81 | 64–83 | 61–86 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 71 | 0% | 66–76 | 65–78 | 63–79 | 60–82 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 70 | 0.1% | 65–75 | 64–77 | 62–79 | 59–81 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 82 | 64 | 0% | 59–72 | 58–74 | 55–74 | 53–78 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 60 | 0% | 55–66 | 54–68 | 52–69 | 50–71 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 60 | 0% | 54–65 | 52–67 | 50–68 | 48–71 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 57 | 0% | 53–62 | 51–64 | 50–65 | 47–67 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 57 | 0% | 52–62 | 51–64 | 49–64 | 48–67 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 23 | 0% | 18–29 | 17–30 | 16–31 | 14–34 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 82 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 83 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 84 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 85 | 2% | 97% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 95% | |
| 87 | 3% | 92% | |
| 88 | 4% | 89% | |
| 89 | 4% | 86% | |
| 90 | 6% | 81% | |
| 91 | 6% | 75% | |
| 92 | 6% | 69% | |
| 93 | 7% | 63% | Median |
| 94 | 8% | 56% | |
| 95 | 7% | 48% | |
| 96 | 16% | 41% | Last Result |
| 97 | 5% | 25% | |
| 98 | 5% | 21% | |
| 99 | 7% | 16% | |
| 100 | 2% | 9% | |
| 101 | 3% | 6% | |
| 102 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 103 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 104 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 105 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 106 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 76 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 77 | 1.0% | 98.6% | |
| 78 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 79 | 2% | 96% | |
| 80 | 2% | 94% | |
| 81 | 4% | 92% | |
| 82 | 6% | 88% | |
| 83 | 6% | 82% | |
| 84 | 12% | 76% | |
| 85 | 14% | 64% | Median, Majority |
| 86 | 6% | 50% | |
| 87 | 5% | 45% | |
| 88 | 11% | 40% | |
| 89 | 5% | 29% | |
| 90 | 5% | 24% | |
| 91 | 3% | 19% | |
| 92 | 3% | 16% | |
| 93 | 5% | 12% | |
| 94 | 3% | 8% | |
| 95 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 96 | 2% | 4% | |
| 97 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 98 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 100 | 0.3% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 74 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 75 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 76 | 2% | 97% | |
| 77 | 2% | 95% | |
| 78 | 3% | 93% | |
| 79 | 3% | 90% | |
| 80 | 5% | 87% | |
| 81 | 6% | 82% | |
| 82 | 8% | 76% | |
| 83 | 8% | 69% | Median |
| 84 | 6% | 60% | |
| 85 | 11% | 54% | Majority |
| 86 | 12% | 43% | |
| 87 | 6% | 31% | |
| 88 | 6% | 25% | |
| 89 | 6% | 19% | |
| 90 | 3% | 13% | |
| 91 | 3% | 10% | |
| 92 | 3% | 7% | |
| 93 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 94 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 95 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 96 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 72 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 73 | 0.9% | 98.5% | |
| 74 | 2% | 98% | |
| 75 | 2% | 96% | |
| 76 | 4% | 93% | |
| 77 | 5% | 90% | |
| 78 | 6% | 85% | |
| 79 | 6% | 79% | |
| 80 | 8% | 73% | |
| 81 | 9% | 65% | |
| 82 | 13% | 57% | Median |
| 83 | 11% | 44% | |
| 84 | 5% | 33% | |
| 85 | 6% | 28% | Majority |
| 86 | 7% | 22% | |
| 87 | 4% | 15% | |
| 88 | 3% | 11% | |
| 89 | 2% | 8% | |
| 90 | 2% | 5% | |
| 91 | 2% | 4% | |
| 92 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 93 | 0.3% | 1.5% | |
| 94 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 68 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 69 | 0.8% | 98.6% | |
| 70 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 71 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 72 | 5% | 96% | |
| 73 | 4% | 91% | |
| 74 | 8% | 87% | |
| 75 | 10% | 79% | |
| 76 | 6% | 69% | Median |
| 77 | 7% | 63% | |
| 78 | 9% | 56% | |
| 79 | 7% | 47% | |
| 80 | 6% | 41% | |
| 81 | 8% | 34% | |
| 82 | 6% | 26% | |
| 83 | 6% | 21% | |
| 84 | 5% | 15% | |
| 85 | 2% | 10% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 8% | |
| 87 | 2% | 6% | |
| 88 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 89 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 90 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 91 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 93 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 96 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 70 | 1.4% | 98.8% | |
| 71 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 72 | 2% | 96% | |
| 73 | 2% | 94% | |
| 74 | 4% | 92% | |
| 75 | 7% | 89% | |
| 76 | 5% | 82% | |
| 77 | 5% | 77% | |
| 78 | 6% | 73% | |
| 79 | 6% | 66% | |
| 80 | 12% | 60% | Median |
| 81 | 5% | 48% | |
| 82 | 5% | 43% | |
| 83 | 13% | 37% | |
| 84 | 10% | 24% | |
| 85 | 4% | 15% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 10% | |
| 87 | 3% | 7% | |
| 88 | 2% | 5% | |
| 89 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 90 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 91 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 92 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 99.4% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 67 | 1.1% | 98.5% | |
| 68 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 69 | 2% | 96% | |
| 70 | 3% | 94% | |
| 71 | 3% | 91% | |
| 72 | 7% | 88% | |
| 73 | 6% | 81% | |
| 74 | 8% | 75% | |
| 75 | 5% | 67% | |
| 76 | 5% | 62% | |
| 77 | 11% | 57% | |
| 78 | 7% | 46% | Median |
| 79 | 4% | 39% | |
| 80 | 5% | 34% | |
| 81 | 10% | 29% | |
| 82 | 7% | 19% | |
| 83 | 6% | 12% | |
| 84 | 2% | 6% | |
| 85 | 2% | 4% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 87 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 88 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 65 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 66 | 0.7% | 98.7% | |
| 67 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 68 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 69 | 3% | 95% | |
| 70 | 7% | 92% | |
| 71 | 4% | 86% | |
| 72 | 7% | 81% | |
| 73 | 10% | 74% | |
| 74 | 13% | 65% | Median |
| 75 | 7% | 52% | |
| 76 | 9% | 45% | |
| 77 | 7% | 37% | |
| 78 | 6% | 29% | |
| 79 | 6% | 23% | |
| 80 | 6% | 17% | |
| 81 | 3% | 12% | |
| 82 | 3% | 9% | |
| 83 | 2% | 6% | |
| 84 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 85 | 2% | 4% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 87 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 88 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 63 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 64 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 65 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 66 | 2% | 96% | |
| 67 | 4% | 94% | |
| 68 | 5% | 90% | |
| 69 | 7% | 85% | |
| 70 | 7% | 77% | |
| 71 | 5% | 70% | |
| 72 | 18% | 65% | Last Result, Median |
| 73 | 8% | 47% | |
| 74 | 7% | 40% | |
| 75 | 6% | 33% | |
| 76 | 6% | 27% | |
| 77 | 5% | 21% | |
| 78 | 6% | 17% | |
| 79 | 3% | 11% | |
| 80 | 2% | 8% | |
| 81 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 82 | 2% | 5% | |
| 83 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 1.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 98.8% | |
| 63 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 64 | 2% | 97% | |
| 65 | 3% | 95% | |
| 66 | 5% | 93% | |
| 67 | 8% | 88% | |
| 68 | 6% | 80% | |
| 69 | 8% | 74% | |
| 70 | 15% | 66% | |
| 71 | 8% | 51% | Median |
| 72 | 10% | 43% | |
| 73 | 8% | 32% | |
| 74 | 6% | 24% | |
| 75 | 3% | 18% | |
| 76 | 6% | 15% | |
| 77 | 2% | 9% | |
| 78 | 4% | 7% | |
| 79 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 80 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 98.7% | |
| 62 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 63 | 2% | 97% | |
| 64 | 4% | 95% | |
| 65 | 4% | 91% | |
| 66 | 6% | 87% | |
| 67 | 10% | 82% | |
| 68 | 10% | 72% | |
| 69 | 8% | 62% | |
| 70 | 7% | 54% | Median |
| 71 | 7% | 47% | |
| 72 | 10% | 39% | |
| 73 | 8% | 30% | |
| 74 | 4% | 22% | |
| 75 | 9% | 18% | |
| 76 | 3% | 9% | |
| 77 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 78 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 79 | 2% | 4% | |
| 80 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 54 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 55 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 56 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 57 | 2% | 97% | |
| 58 | 4% | 95% | |
| 59 | 12% | 91% | |
| 60 | 1.4% | 79% | |
| 61 | 5% | 78% | |
| 62 | 7% | 72% | Median |
| 63 | 9% | 66% | |
| 64 | 8% | 57% | |
| 65 | 6% | 48% | |
| 66 | 6% | 42% | |
| 67 | 9% | 37% | |
| 68 | 4% | 28% | |
| 69 | 7% | 23% | |
| 70 | 3% | 17% | |
| 71 | 3% | 13% | |
| 72 | 3% | 10% | |
| 73 | 2% | 7% | |
| 74 | 3% | 5% | |
| 75 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 77 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 51 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 52 | 2% | 98% | |
| 53 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 54 | 4% | 95% | |
| 55 | 5% | 92% | |
| 56 | 8% | 87% | |
| 57 | 10% | 79% | |
| 58 | 4% | 68% | |
| 59 | 7% | 64% | Median |
| 60 | 10% | 57% | |
| 61 | 6% | 47% | |
| 62 | 10% | 40% | |
| 63 | 7% | 31% | |
| 64 | 6% | 24% | |
| 65 | 6% | 19% | |
| 66 | 3% | 13% | |
| 67 | 4% | 9% | |
| 68 | 2% | 5% | |
| 69 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 49 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 50 | 1.3% | 98.6% | |
| 51 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 52 | 2% | 96% | |
| 53 | 4% | 94% | |
| 54 | 4% | 91% | |
| 55 | 4% | 87% | |
| 56 | 6% | 82% | |
| 57 | 5% | 77% | |
| 58 | 6% | 72% | |
| 59 | 9% | 66% | |
| 60 | 10% | 58% | Median |
| 61 | 12% | 48% | |
| 62 | 12% | 36% | |
| 63 | 8% | 24% | |
| 64 | 2% | 16% | |
| 65 | 5% | 14% | |
| 66 | 2% | 9% | |
| 67 | 2% | 7% | |
| 68 | 2% | 5% | |
| 69 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 71 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 48 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 49 | 0.9% | 98.8% | |
| 50 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 51 | 2% | 97% | |
| 52 | 3% | 94% | |
| 53 | 5% | 91% | |
| 54 | 11% | 86% | |
| 55 | 5% | 76% | |
| 56 | 11% | 70% | |
| 57 | 11% | 59% | |
| 58 | 9% | 48% | Median |
| 59 | 10% | 40% | |
| 60 | 9% | 30% | |
| 61 | 8% | 21% | Last Result |
| 62 | 4% | 13% | |
| 63 | 3% | 9% | |
| 64 | 2% | 6% | |
| 65 | 2% | 4% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 48 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 49 | 1.3% | 98.6% | |
| 50 | 2% | 97% | |
| 51 | 2% | 96% | |
| 52 | 6% | 94% | |
| 53 | 6% | 88% | |
| 54 | 11% | 83% | |
| 55 | 9% | 72% | |
| 56 | 7% | 63% | |
| 57 | 12% | 56% | Median |
| 58 | 7% | 45% | |
| 59 | 10% | 38% | |
| 60 | 10% | 29% | |
| 61 | 5% | 18% | |
| 62 | 5% | 13% | |
| 63 | 4% | 9% | |
| 64 | 3% | 5% | |
| 65 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 15 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 16 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 17 | 3% | 96% | |
| 18 | 3% | 93% | |
| 19 | 4% | 90% | |
| 20 | 7% | 86% | |
| 21 | 11% | 79% | |
| 22 | 9% | 69% | |
| 23 | 13% | 59% | Median |
| 24 | 6% | 46% | |
| 25 | 6% | 40% | |
| 26 | 8% | 33% | |
| 27 | 10% | 25% | |
| 28 | 3% | 15% | |
| 29 | 5% | 13% | |
| 30 | 3% | 7% | |
| 31 | 3% | 4% | |
| 32 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 33 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 34 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Kantar TNS
- Commissioner(s): TV2
- Fieldwork period: 3 May 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 498
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.80%