Opinion Poll by Opinion Perduco for Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse, 3–9 May 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 26.9% | 24.8–29.2% | 24.2–29.8% | 23.7–30.4% | 22.8–31.5% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 22.9% | 20.9–25.0% | 20.3–25.6% | 19.9–26.2% | 19.0–27.2% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 13.8% | 12.3–15.7% | 11.8–16.2% | 11.4–16.6% | 10.7–17.5% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.7–9.3% | 6.4–9.8% | 6.1–10.1% | 5.5–10.9% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.7–8.2% | 5.4–8.6% | 5.2–9.0% | 4.7–9.7% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 6.8% | 5.7–8.2% | 5.4–8.6% | 5.2–9.0% | 4.7–9.7% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.5–5.5% | 3.3–5.9% | 3.1–6.2% | 2.7–6.8% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.0–4.9% | 2.8–5.2% | 2.6–5.5% | 2.3–6.1% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.0–3.6% | 1.8–3.9% | 1.7–4.1% | 1.4–4.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 47 | 44–51 | 43–52 | 42–53 | 40–55 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 45 | 39–47 | 38–48 | 37–49 | 36–51 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 24 | 20–28 | 19–29 | 19–30 | 18–32 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 14 | 10–16 | 10–17 | 9–17 | 8–19 |
| Rødt | 8 | 12 | 9–14 | 9–15 | 8–15 | 7–17 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 12 | 9–14 | 8–15 | 8–16 | 7–17 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 7 | 3–9 | 2–10 | 2–10 | 2–11 |
| Venstre | 8 | 3 | 2–8 | 2–9 | 2–9 | 1–10 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 1 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–6 | 0–8 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 41 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 42 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 43 | 3% | 97% | |
| 44 | 7% | 94% | |
| 45 | 9% | 88% | |
| 46 | 22% | 79% | |
| 47 | 12% | 56% | Median |
| 48 | 13% | 45% | |
| 49 | 10% | 31% | |
| 50 | 9% | 21% | |
| 51 | 5% | 12% | |
| 52 | 4% | 8% | |
| 53 | 2% | 4% | |
| 54 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 37 | 2% | 98% | |
| 38 | 4% | 96% | |
| 39 | 4% | 92% | |
| 40 | 4% | 88% | |
| 41 | 5% | 84% | |
| 42 | 8% | 79% | |
| 43 | 7% | 71% | |
| 44 | 10% | 64% | |
| 45 | 21% | 54% | Median |
| 46 | 13% | 33% | |
| 47 | 11% | 20% | |
| 48 | 5% | 9% | Last Result |
| 49 | 2% | 4% | |
| 50 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 51 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 18 | 1.1% | 99.6% | |
| 19 | 4% | 98.5% | |
| 20 | 6% | 95% | |
| 21 | 9% | 89% | Last Result |
| 22 | 18% | 80% | |
| 23 | 7% | 63% | |
| 24 | 10% | 55% | Median |
| 25 | 16% | 45% | |
| 26 | 6% | 29% | |
| 27 | 7% | 23% | |
| 28 | 7% | 16% | |
| 29 | 4% | 9% | |
| 30 | 3% | 4% | |
| 31 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 4% | 99.1% | |
| 10 | 10% | 95% | |
| 11 | 12% | 85% | |
| 12 | 11% | 74% | |
| 13 | 12% | 62% | Last Result |
| 14 | 20% | 51% | Median |
| 15 | 15% | 31% | |
| 16 | 10% | 16% | |
| 17 | 3% | 6% | |
| 18 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 19 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 4% | 99.3% | Last Result |
| 9 | 10% | 95% | |
| 10 | 17% | 85% | |
| 11 | 14% | 69% | |
| 12 | 26% | 55% | Median |
| 13 | 14% | 30% | |
| 14 | 10% | 16% | |
| 15 | 4% | 6% | |
| 16 | 2% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 7 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 8 | 4% | 98.7% | |
| 9 | 6% | 94% | |
| 10 | 8% | 89% | |
| 11 | 14% | 80% | |
| 12 | 18% | 67% | Median |
| 13 | 21% | 49% | |
| 14 | 19% | 28% | |
| 15 | 6% | 9% | |
| 16 | 2% | 3% | |
| 17 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 9% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 21% | 91% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 70% | |
| 5 | 0% | 70% | |
| 6 | 8% | 70% | |
| 7 | 17% | 62% | Median |
| 8 | 19% | 45% | |
| 9 | 20% | 26% | |
| 10 | 4% | 6% | |
| 11 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 2 | 29% | 99.1% | |
| 3 | 30% | 70% | Median |
| 4 | 0% | 40% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 40% | |
| 6 | 6% | 40% | |
| 7 | 15% | 34% | |
| 8 | 12% | 19% | Last Result |
| 9 | 5% | 6% | |
| 10 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 64% | 98% | Median |
| 2 | 23% | 34% | |
| 3 | 8% | 10% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 3% | |
| 6 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 7 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 96 | 95 | 99.2% | 89–100 | 87–102 | 85–103 | 84–105 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 84 | 42% | 79–89 | 77–91 | 75–92 | 73–97 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 68 | 83 | 30% | 77–87 | 75–89 | 74–91 | 72–96 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 83 | 34% | 76–88 | 74–89 | 72–89 | 69–91 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet | 97 | 81 | 23% | 75–86 | 72–88 | 71–88 | 68–90 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 76 | 3% | 71–82 | 69–84 | 68–85 | 66–89 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 78 | 2% | 71–83 | 69–84 | 67–84 | 65–86 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 71 | 0.2% | 67–77 | 66–78 | 65–80 | 63–83 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 71 | 0% | 65–75 | 63–76 | 62–77 | 60–79 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 71 | 0% | 64–75 | 62–76 | 61–77 | 59–79 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 70 | 0% | 64–74 | 62–75 | 61–75 | 58–77 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 64 | 0% | 58–69 | 56–70 | 54–70 | 52–73 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 63 | 0% | 57–68 | 55–68 | 53–68 | 51–70 |
| Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 47 | 58 | 0% | 54–63 | 52–64 | 50–66 | 49–68 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 58 | 0% | 52–61 | 51–62 | 49–63 | 47–64 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 57 | 0% | 51–60 | 50–61 | 49–62 | 46–63 |
| Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 39 | 23 | 0% | 18–28 | 16–29 | 16–30 | 14–32 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 84 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 85 | 2% | 99.2% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 97% | |
| 87 | 2% | 96% | |
| 88 | 3% | 94% | |
| 89 | 3% | 91% | |
| 90 | 2% | 88% | |
| 91 | 7% | 86% | |
| 92 | 8% | 79% | |
| 93 | 10% | 71% | Median |
| 94 | 7% | 61% | |
| 95 | 11% | 54% | |
| 96 | 10% | 42% | Last Result |
| 97 | 12% | 33% | |
| 98 | 7% | 21% | |
| 99 | 4% | 14% | |
| 100 | 3% | 11% | |
| 101 | 2% | 8% | |
| 102 | 3% | 5% | |
| 103 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 104 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 105 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 106 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 74 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 75 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 76 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 77 | 2% | 95% | |
| 78 | 2% | 93% | |
| 79 | 5% | 91% | |
| 80 | 7% | 86% | |
| 81 | 8% | 79% | |
| 82 | 5% | 70% | Median |
| 83 | 6% | 65% | |
| 84 | 17% | 59% | |
| 85 | 8% | 42% | Majority |
| 86 | 7% | 34% | |
| 87 | 11% | 27% | |
| 88 | 4% | 16% | |
| 89 | 4% | 12% | |
| 90 | 2% | 8% | |
| 91 | 2% | 6% | |
| 92 | 2% | 4% | |
| 93 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 94 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 96 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 97 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 73 | 1.1% | 98.9% | |
| 74 | 2% | 98% | |
| 75 | 2% | 96% | |
| 76 | 3% | 94% | |
| 77 | 2% | 91% | |
| 78 | 8% | 89% | |
| 79 | 6% | 81% | |
| 80 | 7% | 75% | |
| 81 | 8% | 68% | Median |
| 82 | 7% | 60% | |
| 83 | 15% | 53% | |
| 84 | 8% | 38% | |
| 85 | 9% | 30% | Majority |
| 86 | 8% | 21% | |
| 87 | 4% | 13% | |
| 88 | 3% | 9% | |
| 89 | 2% | 6% | |
| 90 | 2% | 5% | |
| 91 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 92 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 93 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 94 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 96 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 71 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 72 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 73 | 2% | 97% | |
| 74 | 2% | 95% | |
| 75 | 2% | 93% | |
| 76 | 2% | 91% | |
| 77 | 3% | 89% | |
| 78 | 4% | 86% | |
| 79 | 5% | 81% | |
| 80 | 5% | 76% | |
| 81 | 4% | 71% | |
| 82 | 10% | 67% | |
| 83 | 14% | 57% | |
| 84 | 9% | 43% | Median |
| 85 | 6% | 34% | Majority |
| 86 | 12% | 28% | |
| 87 | 6% | 16% | |
| 88 | 3% | 11% | |
| 89 | 6% | 8% | |
| 90 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 91 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 69 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 71 | 2% | 98% | |
| 72 | 2% | 97% | |
| 73 | 2% | 94% | |
| 74 | 1.4% | 92% | |
| 75 | 3% | 90% | |
| 76 | 4% | 88% | |
| 77 | 5% | 83% | |
| 78 | 5% | 78% | |
| 79 | 6% | 73% | |
| 80 | 6% | 68% | |
| 81 | 12% | 62% | |
| 82 | 10% | 49% | |
| 83 | 8% | 39% | Median |
| 84 | 8% | 31% | |
| 85 | 11% | 23% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 12% | |
| 87 | 2% | 9% | |
| 88 | 5% | 7% | |
| 89 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 90 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 1.4% | 99.4% | |
| 68 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 69 | 3% | 97% | |
| 70 | 2% | 94% | |
| 71 | 7% | 92% | |
| 72 | 7% | 85% | |
| 73 | 4% | 79% | |
| 74 | 13% | 75% | Median |
| 75 | 10% | 62% | |
| 76 | 10% | 52% | |
| 77 | 9% | 41% | |
| 78 | 8% | 32% | |
| 79 | 5% | 24% | |
| 80 | 4% | 19% | |
| 81 | 4% | 15% | |
| 82 | 4% | 11% | |
| 83 | 2% | 7% | |
| 84 | 2% | 5% | |
| 85 | 1.2% | 3% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 88 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 89 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 66 | 1.3% | 99.0% | |
| 67 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 68 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 69 | 1.1% | 95% | |
| 70 | 2% | 94% | |
| 71 | 4% | 92% | |
| 72 | 3% | 88% | |
| 73 | 5% | 85% | |
| 74 | 8% | 80% | |
| 75 | 5% | 72% | |
| 76 | 7% | 67% | |
| 77 | 6% | 59% | |
| 78 | 9% | 53% | |
| 79 | 10% | 44% | Median |
| 80 | 8% | 34% | |
| 81 | 4% | 25% | |
| 82 | 5% | 21% | |
| 83 | 11% | 16% | |
| 84 | 3% | 5% | |
| 85 | 1.2% | 2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 64 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 65 | 2% | 98% | |
| 66 | 5% | 96% | |
| 67 | 4% | 91% | |
| 68 | 8% | 87% | |
| 69 | 9% | 78% | |
| 70 | 12% | 69% | |
| 71 | 12% | 58% | Median |
| 72 | 11% | 45% | |
| 73 | 7% | 34% | |
| 74 | 7% | 27% | |
| 75 | 4% | 20% | |
| 76 | 6% | 16% | |
| 77 | 3% | 10% | |
| 78 | 2% | 7% | |
| 79 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 80 | 2% | 3% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 83 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 61 | 1.1% | 99.2% | |
| 62 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 63 | 3% | 97% | |
| 64 | 3% | 94% | |
| 65 | 2% | 92% | |
| 66 | 3% | 89% | |
| 67 | 5% | 86% | |
| 68 | 6% | 82% | |
| 69 | 8% | 76% | |
| 70 | 6% | 68% | |
| 71 | 14% | 62% | |
| 72 | 10% | 47% | Median |
| 73 | 9% | 37% | |
| 74 | 12% | 28% | |
| 75 | 7% | 16% | |
| 76 | 5% | 9% | |
| 77 | 2% | 4% | |
| 78 | 2% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 1.2% | 99.6% | |
| 60 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 61 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 62 | 2% | 97% | |
| 63 | 3% | 95% | |
| 64 | 3% | 92% | |
| 65 | 3% | 89% | |
| 66 | 5% | 86% | |
| 67 | 6% | 81% | |
| 68 | 4% | 75% | |
| 69 | 8% | 71% | |
| 70 | 12% | 64% | |
| 71 | 6% | 51% | |
| 72 | 12% | 46% | Last Result, Median |
| 73 | 12% | 34% | |
| 74 | 7% | 22% | |
| 75 | 8% | 15% | |
| 76 | 3% | 7% | |
| 77 | 2% | 4% | |
| 78 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 60 | 1.1% | 98.9% | |
| 61 | 2% | 98% | |
| 62 | 3% | 96% | |
| 63 | 3% | 93% | |
| 64 | 2% | 90% | |
| 65 | 4% | 88% | |
| 66 | 5% | 84% | |
| 67 | 7% | 79% | |
| 68 | 7% | 71% | |
| 69 | 9% | 64% | |
| 70 | 14% | 55% | |
| 71 | 10% | 42% | Median |
| 72 | 8% | 32% | |
| 73 | 12% | 24% | |
| 74 | 6% | 11% | |
| 75 | 4% | 6% | |
| 76 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 77 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 53 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 54 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 55 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 56 | 2% | 96% | |
| 57 | 3% | 94% | |
| 58 | 3% | 92% | |
| 59 | 5% | 89% | |
| 60 | 5% | 84% | |
| 61 | 7% | 79% | |
| 62 | 6% | 73% | |
| 63 | 10% | 66% | |
| 64 | 7% | 56% | |
| 65 | 7% | 49% | Median |
| 66 | 7% | 42% | |
| 67 | 6% | 35% | |
| 68 | 12% | 28% | |
| 69 | 11% | 17% | |
| 70 | 3% | 6% | |
| 71 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 52 | 1.5% | 99.2% | |
| 53 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 54 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 55 | 2% | 96% | |
| 56 | 3% | 93% | |
| 57 | 4% | 90% | |
| 58 | 5% | 87% | |
| 59 | 4% | 82% | |
| 60 | 6% | 77% | |
| 61 | 9% | 71% | |
| 62 | 10% | 62% | |
| 63 | 7% | 51% | |
| 64 | 8% | 45% | Median |
| 65 | 6% | 37% | |
| 66 | 8% | 31% | |
| 67 | 10% | 23% | |
| 68 | 10% | 12% | |
| 69 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 49 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 50 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 51 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 52 | 2% | 96% | |
| 53 | 3% | 94% | |
| 54 | 5% | 91% | |
| 55 | 7% | 86% | |
| 56 | 12% | 78% | |
| 57 | 8% | 66% | Median |
| 58 | 13% | 58% | |
| 59 | 7% | 45% | |
| 60 | 11% | 38% | |
| 61 | 7% | 27% | |
| 62 | 4% | 20% | |
| 63 | 6% | 15% | |
| 64 | 5% | 9% | |
| 65 | 2% | 4% | |
| 66 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 67 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 48 | 1.5% | 99.4% | |
| 49 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 50 | 2% | 97% | |
| 51 | 4% | 95% | |
| 52 | 2% | 91% | |
| 53 | 4% | 89% | |
| 54 | 9% | 85% | |
| 55 | 4% | 76% | |
| 56 | 12% | 72% | |
| 57 | 10% | 61% | |
| 58 | 7% | 51% | |
| 59 | 17% | 44% | Median |
| 60 | 10% | 27% | |
| 61 | 7% | 16% | Last Result |
| 62 | 5% | 9% | |
| 63 | 3% | 4% | |
| 64 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 48 | 0.9% | 98.7% | |
| 49 | 2% | 98% | |
| 50 | 4% | 96% | |
| 51 | 4% | 92% | |
| 52 | 3% | 88% | |
| 53 | 8% | 85% | |
| 54 | 6% | 77% | |
| 55 | 10% | 71% | |
| 56 | 7% | 61% | |
| 57 | 14% | 54% | Median |
| 58 | 12% | 41% | |
| 59 | 16% | 29% | |
| 60 | 7% | 13% | |
| 61 | 2% | 6% | |
| 62 | 2% | 3% | |
| 63 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 15 | 0.5% | 98.9% | |
| 16 | 4% | 98% | |
| 17 | 2% | 95% | |
| 18 | 4% | 92% | |
| 19 | 5% | 88% | |
| 20 | 7% | 83% | |
| 21 | 7% | 76% | |
| 22 | 8% | 70% | Median |
| 23 | 16% | 62% | |
| 24 | 12% | 46% | |
| 25 | 6% | 34% | |
| 26 | 13% | 28% | |
| 27 | 4% | 14% | |
| 28 | 4% | 11% | |
| 29 | 3% | 7% | |
| 30 | 2% | 4% | |
| 31 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 32 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinion Perduco
- Commissioner(s): Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse
- Fieldwork period: 3–9 May 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 687
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.54%