Opinion Poll by Respons Analyse for VG, 4–9 May 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 29.0% | 27.2–30.9% | 26.7–31.4% | 26.3–31.9% | 25.4–32.8% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 22.1% | 20.5–23.9% | 20.0–24.4% | 19.6–24.8% | 18.9–25.6% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 12.8% | 11.5–14.3% | 11.2–14.7% | 10.9–15.0% | 10.3–15.7% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.4–9.6% | 7.1–10.0% | 6.8–10.3% | 6.4–10.9% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 6.4% | 5.5–7.5% | 5.3–7.8% | 5.0–8.1% | 4.6–8.7% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.9–6.8% | 4.6–7.1% | 4.4–7.3% | 4.1–7.9% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.7–5.3% | 3.5–5.6% | 3.3–5.9% | 3.0–6.4% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.1–4.7% | 2.9–5.0% | 2.8–5.2% | 2.5–5.6% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.7–4.1% | 2.5–4.4% | 2.4–4.6% | 2.1–5.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 51 | 48–54 | 47–56 | 46–56 | 45–59 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 43 | 39–46 | 38–47 | 36–48 | 35–49 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 21 | 19–25 | 18–26 | 18–28 | 17–29 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 14 | 11–17 | 11–17 | 10–18 | 9–19 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 11 | 8–13 | 8–14 | 8–14 | 7–15 |
| Rødt | 8 | 9 | 8–11 | 7–12 | 7–12 | 6–13 |
| Venstre | 8 | 7 | 3–9 | 2–10 | 2–10 | 2–11 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 3 | 2–8 | 2–8 | 2–8 | 1–9 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 2 | 1–7 | 1–7 | 1–7 | 1–8 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 46 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 47 | 4% | 96% | |
| 48 | 15% | 92% | |
| 49 | 9% | 77% | |
| 50 | 15% | 68% | |
| 51 | 15% | 53% | Median |
| 52 | 13% | 39% | |
| 53 | 11% | 25% | |
| 54 | 6% | 15% | |
| 55 | 4% | 9% | |
| 56 | 4% | 5% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 37 | 2% | 97% | |
| 38 | 5% | 95% | |
| 39 | 5% | 90% | |
| 40 | 3% | 85% | |
| 41 | 4% | 82% | |
| 42 | 7% | 78% | |
| 43 | 22% | 71% | Median |
| 44 | 12% | 48% | |
| 45 | 15% | 37% | |
| 46 | 14% | 22% | |
| 47 | 5% | 8% | |
| 48 | 2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 49 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 18 | 6% | 99.1% | |
| 19 | 9% | 93% | |
| 20 | 16% | 84% | |
| 21 | 23% | 68% | Last Result, Median |
| 22 | 14% | 46% | |
| 23 | 12% | 32% | |
| 24 | 7% | 20% | |
| 25 | 3% | 13% | |
| 26 | 5% | 10% | |
| 27 | 2% | 5% | |
| 28 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 29 | 1.1% | 1.5% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 11 | 11% | 97% | |
| 12 | 10% | 86% | |
| 13 | 12% | 76% | Last Result |
| 14 | 16% | 64% | Median |
| 15 | 27% | 48% | |
| 16 | 9% | 21% | |
| 17 | 8% | 12% | |
| 18 | 4% | 4% | |
| 19 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 7 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 8 | 10% | 98% | |
| 9 | 10% | 88% | |
| 10 | 15% | 78% | |
| 11 | 23% | 63% | Median |
| 12 | 24% | 40% | |
| 13 | 10% | 15% | |
| 14 | 4% | 5% | |
| 15 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 6 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 7 | 7% | 98.9% | |
| 8 | 20% | 92% | Last Result |
| 9 | 28% | 71% | Median |
| 10 | 22% | 43% | |
| 11 | 13% | 21% | |
| 12 | 7% | 9% | |
| 13 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 9% | 100% | |
| 3 | 14% | 91% | |
| 4 | 0% | 77% | |
| 5 | 0% | 77% | |
| 6 | 7% | 77% | |
| 7 | 35% | 70% | Median |
| 8 | 22% | 35% | Last Result |
| 9 | 8% | 13% | |
| 10 | 4% | 5% | |
| 11 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 24% | 99.5% | |
| 3 | 38% | 76% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0% | 38% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 38% | |
| 6 | 11% | 38% | |
| 7 | 11% | 27% | |
| 8 | 14% | 16% | |
| 9 | 2% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24% | 100% | |
| 2 | 52% | 76% | Median |
| 3 | 10% | 24% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 14% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 14% | |
| 6 | 4% | 14% | |
| 7 | 8% | 10% | |
| 8 | 2% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 94 | 99.3% | 90–99 | 88–103 | 87–103 | 84–105 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 86 | 64% | 81–91 | 80–93 | 79–95 | 77–97 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 83 | 33% | 79–88 | 78–90 | 76–92 | 75–94 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 80 | 12% | 76–85 | 74–86 | 73–87 | 71–90 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 79 | 8% | 74–84 | 73–86 | 72–87 | 70–90 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt | 97 | 78 | 3% | 73–82 | 72–83 | 70–85 | 68–87 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 75 | 0.7% | 71–80 | 69–81 | 68–82 | 66–85 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 72 | 0.1% | 68–77 | 68–79 | 67–80 | 66–82 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 71 | 0% | 67–74 | 65–76 | 64–77 | 62–80 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 69 | 0% | 65–74 | 63–75 | 62–76 | 60–78 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 68 | 0% | 64–72 | 63–73 | 62–74 | 59–76 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 62 | 0% | 58–65 | 56–67 | 55–69 | 53–71 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 61 | 0% | 56–66 | 55–66 | 54–68 | 52–70 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 58 | 0% | 54–63 | 52–65 | 51–65 | 50–67 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 58 | 0% | 53–61 | 51–62 | 50–62 | 48–64 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 54 | 0% | 50–57 | 49–58 | 48–59 | 46–60 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 21 | 0% | 17–27 | 16–27 | 15–28 | 13–31 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 99.3% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.4% | 99.0% | |
| 87 | 2% | 98% | |
| 88 | 2% | 96% | |
| 89 | 3% | 94% | |
| 90 | 6% | 92% | |
| 91 | 6% | 86% | |
| 92 | 15% | 79% | |
| 93 | 10% | 64% | Median |
| 94 | 13% | 55% | |
| 95 | 6% | 42% | |
| 96 | 11% | 35% | Last Result |
| 97 | 6% | 25% | |
| 98 | 5% | 19% | |
| 99 | 3% | 13% | |
| 100 | 2% | 10% | |
| 101 | 2% | 8% | |
| 102 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 103 | 3% | 5% | |
| 104 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 105 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 106 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 79 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 80 | 3% | 97% | |
| 81 | 7% | 94% | |
| 82 | 4% | 87% | |
| 83 | 13% | 83% | |
| 84 | 5% | 69% | Median |
| 85 | 10% | 64% | Majority |
| 86 | 19% | 55% | |
| 87 | 6% | 36% | |
| 88 | 4% | 30% | |
| 89 | 9% | 26% | |
| 90 | 3% | 17% | |
| 91 | 4% | 14% | |
| 92 | 3% | 10% | |
| 93 | 2% | 7% | |
| 94 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 95 | 2% | 3% | |
| 96 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 97 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 75 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 76 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 77 | 2% | 97% | |
| 78 | 3% | 95% | |
| 79 | 8% | 93% | |
| 80 | 6% | 84% | |
| 81 | 7% | 78% | |
| 82 | 13% | 71% | Median |
| 83 | 9% | 58% | |
| 84 | 16% | 49% | |
| 85 | 10% | 33% | Majority |
| 86 | 4% | 24% | |
| 87 | 7% | 19% | |
| 88 | 4% | 13% | |
| 89 | 3% | 9% | |
| 90 | 2% | 7% | |
| 91 | 2% | 5% | |
| 92 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 93 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 94 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 72 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 73 | 2% | 98% | |
| 74 | 3% | 97% | |
| 75 | 3% | 94% | |
| 76 | 4% | 92% | |
| 77 | 14% | 88% | |
| 78 | 9% | 73% | |
| 79 | 10% | 64% | Median |
| 80 | 10% | 54% | |
| 81 | 10% | 45% | |
| 82 | 10% | 35% | |
| 83 | 8% | 25% | |
| 84 | 5% | 17% | |
| 85 | 4% | 12% | Majority |
| 86 | 5% | 8% | |
| 87 | 2% | 3% | |
| 88 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 90 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 72 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 73 | 3% | 97% | |
| 74 | 5% | 94% | |
| 75 | 3% | 89% | |
| 76 | 8% | 86% | |
| 77 | 11% | 77% | |
| 78 | 13% | 66% | |
| 79 | 10% | 53% | Median |
| 80 | 13% | 43% | |
| 81 | 8% | 30% | |
| 82 | 5% | 22% | |
| 83 | 4% | 17% | |
| 84 | 6% | 14% | |
| 85 | 3% | 8% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 5% | |
| 87 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 88 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 90 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 70 | 2% | 98% | |
| 71 | 1.5% | 96% | |
| 72 | 3% | 95% | |
| 73 | 5% | 92% | |
| 74 | 3% | 87% | |
| 75 | 14% | 84% | |
| 76 | 11% | 70% | |
| 77 | 8% | 59% | Median |
| 78 | 11% | 51% | |
| 79 | 11% | 39% | |
| 80 | 8% | 28% | |
| 81 | 6% | 20% | |
| 82 | 7% | 14% | |
| 83 | 3% | 8% | |
| 84 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 85 | 2% | 3% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 87 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 67 | 1.0% | 98.9% | |
| 68 | 2% | 98% | |
| 69 | 2% | 96% | |
| 70 | 3% | 94% | |
| 71 | 7% | 91% | |
| 72 | 9% | 84% | |
| 73 | 6% | 75% | Median |
| 74 | 10% | 68% | |
| 75 | 12% | 58% | |
| 76 | 13% | 45% | |
| 77 | 9% | 32% | |
| 78 | 9% | 23% | |
| 79 | 3% | 14% | |
| 80 | 3% | 11% | |
| 81 | 4% | 8% | |
| 82 | 2% | 4% | |
| 83 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 0.7% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 66 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 67 | 3% | 98% | |
| 68 | 5% | 95% | |
| 69 | 9% | 90% | |
| 70 | 7% | 81% | |
| 71 | 18% | 74% | |
| 72 | 11% | 56% | Median |
| 73 | 11% | 45% | |
| 74 | 8% | 34% | |
| 75 | 5% | 26% | |
| 76 | 4% | 21% | |
| 77 | 8% | 17% | |
| 78 | 4% | 9% | |
| 79 | 2% | 5% | |
| 80 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 82 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 63 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 64 | 2% | 98% | |
| 65 | 2% | 97% | |
| 66 | 4% | 95% | |
| 67 | 5% | 91% | |
| 68 | 7% | 87% | |
| 69 | 17% | 80% | |
| 70 | 12% | 63% | Median |
| 71 | 13% | 51% | |
| 72 | 8% | 38% | |
| 73 | 10% | 30% | |
| 74 | 10% | 20% | |
| 75 | 4% | 10% | |
| 76 | 2% | 6% | |
| 77 | 2% | 4% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 1.5% | |
| 79 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 61 | 1.2% | 99.1% | |
| 62 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 63 | 3% | 97% | |
| 64 | 3% | 94% | |
| 65 | 7% | 91% | |
| 66 | 5% | 84% | |
| 67 | 9% | 79% | |
| 68 | 10% | 70% | Median |
| 69 | 13% | 60% | |
| 70 | 12% | 47% | |
| 71 | 10% | 35% | |
| 72 | 8% | 24% | Last Result |
| 73 | 4% | 16% | |
| 74 | 5% | 12% | |
| 75 | 4% | 7% | |
| 76 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 77 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 60 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 98.5% | |
| 62 | 2% | 98% | |
| 63 | 3% | 96% | |
| 64 | 6% | 93% | |
| 65 | 5% | 87% | |
| 66 | 7% | 82% | |
| 67 | 17% | 75% | |
| 68 | 14% | 58% | Median |
| 69 | 13% | 45% | |
| 70 | 8% | 32% | |
| 71 | 8% | 24% | |
| 72 | 9% | 16% | |
| 73 | 5% | 7% | |
| 74 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 75 | 0.9% | 1.5% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 54 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 55 | 2% | 98% | |
| 56 | 2% | 96% | |
| 57 | 3% | 94% | |
| 58 | 8% | 91% | |
| 59 | 9% | 84% | |
| 60 | 9% | 75% | |
| 61 | 15% | 67% | Median |
| 62 | 11% | 52% | |
| 63 | 15% | 41% | |
| 64 | 9% | 26% | |
| 65 | 7% | 16% | |
| 66 | 4% | 10% | |
| 67 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 68 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 69 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 70 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 71 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 53 | 1.2% | 98.8% | |
| 54 | 2% | 98% | |
| 55 | 3% | 96% | |
| 56 | 5% | 93% | |
| 57 | 4% | 88% | |
| 58 | 10% | 84% | |
| 59 | 8% | 74% | Median |
| 60 | 10% | 65% | |
| 61 | 13% | 55% | |
| 62 | 8% | 43% | |
| 63 | 8% | 34% | |
| 64 | 8% | 26% | |
| 65 | 8% | 19% | |
| 66 | 6% | 11% | |
| 67 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 68 | 2% | 3% | |
| 69 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 50 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 51 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 52 | 2% | 96% | |
| 53 | 3% | 94% | |
| 54 | 6% | 91% | |
| 55 | 5% | 85% | |
| 56 | 9% | 80% | |
| 57 | 12% | 71% | Median |
| 58 | 10% | 58% | |
| 59 | 11% | 48% | |
| 60 | 9% | 37% | |
| 61 | 7% | 28% | |
| 62 | 5% | 20% | |
| 63 | 7% | 15% | |
| 64 | 2% | 8% | |
| 65 | 4% | 6% | |
| 66 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 49 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 50 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 51 | 2% | 97% | |
| 52 | 3% | 95% | |
| 53 | 4% | 92% | |
| 54 | 5% | 87% | |
| 55 | 6% | 82% | |
| 56 | 12% | 76% | |
| 57 | 13% | 64% | Median |
| 58 | 15% | 52% | |
| 59 | 12% | 36% | |
| 60 | 9% | 24% | |
| 61 | 8% | 15% | Last Result |
| 62 | 4% | 7% | |
| 63 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 64 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 48 | 2% | 98% | |
| 49 | 4% | 96% | |
| 50 | 5% | 92% | |
| 51 | 6% | 88% | |
| 52 | 13% | 81% | |
| 53 | 6% | 68% | |
| 54 | 16% | 62% | Median |
| 55 | 10% | 45% | |
| 56 | 10% | 35% | |
| 57 | 16% | 25% | |
| 58 | 6% | 10% | |
| 59 | 2% | 4% | |
| 60 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 1.0% | 99.1% | |
| 15 | 3% | 98% | |
| 16 | 2% | 95% | |
| 17 | 4% | 93% | |
| 18 | 7% | 90% | |
| 19 | 5% | 82% | |
| 20 | 7% | 77% | |
| 21 | 21% | 70% | Median |
| 22 | 11% | 48% | |
| 23 | 11% | 37% | |
| 24 | 5% | 26% | |
| 25 | 7% | 21% | |
| 26 | 3% | 13% | |
| 27 | 6% | 10% | |
| 28 | 2% | 4% | |
| 29 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 30 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 31 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Respons Analyse
- Commissioner(s): VG
- Fieldwork period: 4–9 May 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.34%