Opinion Poll by Norstat for Vårt Land, 16–23 May 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 26.8% | 24.8–29.0% | 24.2–29.6% | 23.7–30.1% | 22.7–31.2% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 23.8% | 21.8–25.9% | 21.3–26.5% | 20.8–27.0% | 19.9–28.0% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 12.7% | 11.2–14.4% | 10.8–14.9% | 10.5–15.3% | 9.8–16.2% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.4–8.9% | 6.1–9.3% | 5.8–9.7% | 5.3–10.4% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.4–7.7% | 5.1–8.1% | 4.9–8.4% | 4.4–9.1% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 6.1% | 5.1–7.4% | 4.9–7.8% | 4.6–8.1% | 4.2–8.8% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.8–5.8% | 3.5–6.1% | 3.3–6.4% | 3.0–7.0% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.8–5.8% | 3.5–6.1% | 3.3–6.4% | 3.0–7.0% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.3–4.0% | 2.1–4.3% | 2.0–4.5% | 1.7–5.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 48 | 45–51 | 44–52 | 42–53 | 40–55 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 46 | 43–49 | 41–50 | 39–51 | 37–54 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 21 | 19–25 | 18–27 | 18–29 | 17–31 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 12 | 10–14 | 9–15 | 8–16 | 8–17 |
| Rødt | 8 | 10 | 8–12 | 8–13 | 7–13 | 6–15 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 10 | 7–13 | 7–14 | 7–14 | 6–15 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 7 | 3–9 | 3–10 | 2–10 | 2–11 |
| Venstre | 8 | 7 | 3–9 | 3–10 | 2–10 | 2–11 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 2 | 1–3 | 1–6 | 1–6 | 1–7 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 1.1% | 99.4% | |
| 42 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 43 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 44 | 2% | 96% | |
| 45 | 6% | 94% | |
| 46 | 13% | 87% | |
| 47 | 16% | 75% | |
| 48 | 27% | 59% | Median |
| 49 | 7% | 32% | |
| 50 | 10% | 25% | |
| 51 | 8% | 15% | |
| 52 | 4% | 7% | |
| 53 | 2% | 3% | |
| 54 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 39 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 40 | 2% | 97% | |
| 41 | 2% | 95% | |
| 42 | 3% | 93% | |
| 43 | 5% | 90% | |
| 44 | 5% | 85% | |
| 45 | 13% | 79% | |
| 46 | 21% | 66% | Median |
| 47 | 15% | 45% | |
| 48 | 9% | 30% | Last Result |
| 49 | 10% | 20% | |
| 50 | 6% | 10% | |
| 51 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 52 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 7% | 98% | |
| 19 | 19% | 90% | |
| 20 | 16% | 72% | |
| 21 | 8% | 56% | Last Result, Median |
| 22 | 22% | 47% | |
| 23 | 8% | 26% | |
| 24 | 4% | 18% | |
| 25 | 5% | 14% | |
| 26 | 3% | 10% | |
| 27 | 2% | 6% | |
| 28 | 1.5% | 5% | |
| 29 | 2% | 3% | |
| 30 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 31 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 8 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 9 | 7% | 97% | |
| 10 | 23% | 91% | |
| 11 | 15% | 68% | |
| 12 | 27% | 53% | Median |
| 13 | 9% | 26% | Last Result |
| 14 | 8% | 17% | |
| 15 | 5% | 9% | |
| 16 | 3% | 4% | |
| 17 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 4% | 99.4% | |
| 8 | 20% | 95% | Last Result |
| 9 | 19% | 75% | |
| 10 | 19% | 57% | Median |
| 11 | 20% | 37% | |
| 12 | 12% | 17% | |
| 13 | 3% | 6% | |
| 14 | 2% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 6 | 1.4% | 99.6% | |
| 7 | 12% | 98% | |
| 8 | 17% | 87% | |
| 9 | 12% | 70% | |
| 10 | 9% | 58% | Median |
| 11 | 10% | 49% | |
| 12 | 23% | 40% | |
| 13 | 10% | 16% | |
| 14 | 4% | 6% | |
| 15 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 12% | 97% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 85% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 85% | |
| 6 | 17% | 85% | |
| 7 | 29% | 68% | Median |
| 8 | 23% | 39% | |
| 9 | 9% | 15% | |
| 10 | 5% | 6% | |
| 11 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 12 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 4% | 100% | |
| 3 | 14% | 96% | |
| 4 | 0% | 82% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 82% | |
| 6 | 22% | 82% | |
| 7 | 18% | 60% | Median |
| 8 | 24% | 41% | Last Result |
| 9 | 8% | 17% | |
| 10 | 7% | 9% | |
| 11 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 12 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 35% | 99.7% | |
| 2 | 47% | 65% | Median |
| 3 | 11% | 18% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 6% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 6 | 4% | 6% | |
| 7 | 2% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 96 | 93 | 98.9% | 88–98 | 86–99 | 86–101 | 83–104 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 85 | 52% | 80–89 | 79–91 | 78–93 | 75–96 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 68 | 83 | 32% | 78–87 | 77–89 | 75–91 | 73–93 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 80 | 11% | 75–85 | 74–86 | 72–88 | 70–90 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet | 97 | 78 | 5% | 73–83 | 72–84 | 70–86 | 68–89 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 77 | 3% | 72–81 | 71–83 | 70–85 | 66–87 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 76 | 2% | 72–80 | 69–83 | 69–84 | 67–86 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 70 | 0% | 65–75 | 63–76 | 63–77 | 59–80 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 70 | 0% | 66–74 | 64–76 | 63–77 | 61–79 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 69 | 0% | 66–74 | 65–75 | 63–77 | 60–80 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 68 | 0% | 64–72 | 62–73 | 61–74 | 58–76 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 65 | 0% | 60–70 | 59–71 | 58–72 | 55–74 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 63 | 0% | 58–67 | 57–69 | 56–69 | 53–72 |
| Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 47 | 61 | 0% | 57–65 | 56–67 | 55–68 | 51–70 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 58 | 0% | 54–62 | 52–63 | 51–64 | 48–66 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 57 | 0% | 53–60 | 51–61 | 49–62 | 48–64 |
| Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 39 | 24 | 0% | 19–28 | 18–30 | 17–31 | 14–32 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 85 | 0.8% | 98.9% | Majority |
| 86 | 4% | 98% | |
| 87 | 2% | 94% | |
| 88 | 2% | 92% | |
| 89 | 4% | 90% | |
| 90 | 13% | 86% | |
| 91 | 5% | 73% | |
| 92 | 12% | 68% | |
| 93 | 8% | 56% | Median |
| 94 | 12% | 48% | |
| 95 | 10% | 36% | |
| 96 | 9% | 26% | Last Result |
| 97 | 5% | 17% | |
| 98 | 4% | 13% | |
| 99 | 3% | 8% | |
| 100 | 2% | 5% | |
| 101 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 102 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 103 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 104 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 77 | 1.2% | 98.8% | |
| 78 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 79 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 80 | 7% | 95% | |
| 81 | 3% | 88% | |
| 82 | 12% | 85% | |
| 83 | 7% | 72% | |
| 84 | 13% | 65% | |
| 85 | 9% | 52% | Median, Majority |
| 86 | 10% | 43% | |
| 87 | 7% | 33% | |
| 88 | 12% | 26% | |
| 89 | 5% | 14% | |
| 90 | 2% | 10% | |
| 91 | 2% | 7% | |
| 92 | 2% | 5% | |
| 93 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 94 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 95 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 96 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 74 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 75 | 1.2% | 98.5% | |
| 76 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 77 | 3% | 96% | |
| 78 | 4% | 93% | |
| 79 | 4% | 88% | |
| 80 | 14% | 84% | |
| 81 | 7% | 71% | |
| 82 | 10% | 64% | |
| 83 | 13% | 55% | Median |
| 84 | 10% | 41% | |
| 85 | 6% | 32% | Majority |
| 86 | 7% | 26% | |
| 87 | 10% | 19% | |
| 88 | 3% | 9% | |
| 89 | 2% | 7% | |
| 90 | 1.5% | 5% | |
| 91 | 2% | 3% | |
| 92 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 93 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 94 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 72 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 73 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 74 | 2% | 96% | |
| 75 | 9% | 93% | |
| 76 | 3% | 84% | |
| 77 | 6% | 81% | |
| 78 | 8% | 75% | |
| 79 | 12% | 66% | |
| 80 | 6% | 54% | Median |
| 81 | 14% | 48% | |
| 82 | 8% | 35% | |
| 83 | 6% | 26% | |
| 84 | 9% | 20% | |
| 85 | 5% | 11% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 7% | |
| 87 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 88 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 89 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 90 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 69 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 70 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 71 | 2% | 97% | |
| 72 | 3% | 95% | |
| 73 | 3% | 92% | |
| 74 | 10% | 89% | |
| 75 | 6% | 80% | |
| 76 | 6% | 74% | |
| 77 | 17% | 68% | |
| 78 | 5% | 51% | Median |
| 79 | 12% | 46% | |
| 80 | 7% | 35% | |
| 81 | 9% | 27% | |
| 82 | 7% | 19% | |
| 83 | 5% | 12% | |
| 84 | 2% | 6% | |
| 85 | 2% | 5% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 87 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 88 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 89 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 67 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 98.7% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 70 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 71 | 3% | 96% | |
| 72 | 6% | 94% | |
| 73 | 5% | 88% | |
| 74 | 16% | 83% | |
| 75 | 6% | 67% | |
| 76 | 6% | 61% | |
| 77 | 12% | 55% | Median |
| 78 | 5% | 43% | |
| 79 | 4% | 38% | |
| 80 | 16% | 34% | |
| 81 | 8% | 17% | |
| 82 | 3% | 9% | |
| 83 | 2% | 6% | |
| 84 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 85 | 1.1% | 3% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 68 | 0.9% | 98.8% | |
| 69 | 5% | 98% | |
| 70 | 1.3% | 93% | |
| 71 | 2% | 92% | |
| 72 | 3% | 90% | |
| 73 | 12% | 87% | |
| 74 | 8% | 75% | |
| 75 | 9% | 67% | |
| 76 | 18% | 58% | Median |
| 77 | 5% | 40% | |
| 78 | 10% | 35% | |
| 79 | 5% | 25% | |
| 80 | 10% | 20% | |
| 81 | 2% | 9% | |
| 82 | 2% | 7% | |
| 83 | 2% | 5% | |
| 84 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 85 | 1.2% | 2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 62 | 0.7% | 98.6% | |
| 63 | 3% | 98% | |
| 64 | 2% | 95% | |
| 65 | 4% | 93% | |
| 66 | 6% | 88% | |
| 67 | 7% | 82% | |
| 68 | 11% | 76% | |
| 69 | 12% | 64% | |
| 70 | 12% | 52% | Median |
| 71 | 12% | 41% | |
| 72 | 9% | 29% | Last Result |
| 73 | 5% | 20% | |
| 74 | 4% | 15% | |
| 75 | 5% | 11% | |
| 76 | 3% | 6% | |
| 77 | 2% | 3% | |
| 78 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 63 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 64 | 2% | 97% | |
| 65 | 4% | 95% | |
| 66 | 3% | 91% | |
| 67 | 11% | 88% | |
| 68 | 10% | 77% | |
| 69 | 10% | 68% | |
| 70 | 12% | 57% | Median |
| 71 | 8% | 45% | |
| 72 | 13% | 37% | |
| 73 | 11% | 24% | |
| 74 | 4% | 13% | |
| 75 | 3% | 9% | |
| 76 | 2% | 6% | |
| 77 | 2% | 3% | |
| 78 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 62 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 63 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 64 | 2% | 97% | |
| 65 | 3% | 95% | |
| 66 | 12% | 92% | |
| 67 | 11% | 80% | |
| 68 | 16% | 69% | |
| 69 | 5% | 52% | Median |
| 70 | 13% | 47% | |
| 71 | 5% | 34% | |
| 72 | 11% | 29% | |
| 73 | 8% | 18% | |
| 74 | 3% | 10% | |
| 75 | 2% | 7% | |
| 76 | 2% | 5% | |
| 77 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 78 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 80 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 60 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 61 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 62 | 3% | 97% | |
| 63 | 3% | 94% | |
| 64 | 3% | 91% | |
| 65 | 6% | 88% | |
| 66 | 17% | 83% | |
| 67 | 10% | 66% | |
| 68 | 12% | 56% | Median |
| 69 | 7% | 44% | |
| 70 | 12% | 37% | |
| 71 | 12% | 25% | |
| 72 | 6% | 13% | |
| 73 | 2% | 7% | |
| 74 | 2% | 5% | |
| 75 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 56 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 57 | 0.8% | 98.6% | |
| 58 | 2% | 98% | |
| 59 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 60 | 5% | 95% | |
| 61 | 4% | 89% | |
| 62 | 9% | 85% | |
| 63 | 5% | 76% | |
| 64 | 14% | 71% | |
| 65 | 7% | 57% | Median |
| 66 | 9% | 49% | |
| 67 | 9% | 41% | |
| 68 | 15% | 31% | |
| 69 | 6% | 17% | |
| 70 | 3% | 10% | |
| 71 | 3% | 7% | |
| 72 | 3% | 4% | |
| 73 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 55 | 1.1% | 99.0% | |
| 56 | 2% | 98% | |
| 57 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 58 | 5% | 94% | |
| 59 | 4% | 89% | |
| 60 | 9% | 85% | |
| 61 | 6% | 76% | |
| 62 | 8% | 70% | |
| 63 | 12% | 61% | Median |
| 64 | 9% | 49% | |
| 65 | 9% | 40% | |
| 66 | 15% | 31% | |
| 67 | 7% | 16% | |
| 68 | 3% | 9% | |
| 69 | 4% | 6% | |
| 70 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 71 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 54 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 55 | 2% | 98% | |
| 56 | 4% | 95% | |
| 57 | 4% | 92% | |
| 58 | 5% | 87% | |
| 59 | 7% | 82% | |
| 60 | 10% | 75% | |
| 61 | 17% | 65% | |
| 62 | 12% | 48% | Median |
| 63 | 10% | 36% | |
| 64 | 6% | 27% | |
| 65 | 11% | 21% | |
| 66 | 4% | 9% | |
| 67 | 2% | 5% | |
| 68 | 2% | 3% | |
| 69 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 50 | 1.5% | 99.1% | |
| 51 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 52 | 3% | 97% | |
| 53 | 2% | 94% | |
| 54 | 6% | 92% | |
| 55 | 5% | 86% | |
| 56 | 11% | 81% | |
| 57 | 11% | 71% | |
| 58 | 20% | 60% | Median |
| 59 | 18% | 40% | |
| 60 | 6% | 23% | |
| 61 | 4% | 16% | Last Result |
| 62 | 6% | 13% | |
| 63 | 3% | 7% | |
| 64 | 2% | 3% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 48 | 1.3% | 99.6% | |
| 49 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 50 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 51 | 2% | 96% | |
| 52 | 3% | 94% | |
| 53 | 5% | 91% | |
| 54 | 12% | 86% | |
| 55 | 7% | 74% | |
| 56 | 15% | 67% | Median |
| 57 | 14% | 52% | |
| 58 | 15% | 38% | |
| 59 | 10% | 23% | |
| 60 | 6% | 13% | |
| 61 | 4% | 7% | |
| 62 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 63 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 15 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 16 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 17 | 2% | 98% | |
| 18 | 3% | 97% | |
| 19 | 6% | 94% | |
| 20 | 10% | 88% | |
| 21 | 5% | 78% | |
| 22 | 13% | 73% | |
| 23 | 8% | 60% | |
| 24 | 7% | 52% | Median |
| 25 | 12% | 45% | |
| 26 | 9% | 33% | |
| 27 | 8% | 24% | |
| 28 | 8% | 17% | |
| 29 | 3% | 8% | |
| 30 | 3% | 6% | |
| 31 | 2% | 3% | |
| 32 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norstat
- Commissioner(s): Vårt Land
- Fieldwork period: 16–23 May 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 732
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.37%