Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Dagbladet, 23–25 May 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 25.7% | 23.7–27.8% | 23.1–28.4% | 22.6–29.0% | 21.7–30.0% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 21.6% | 19.7–23.6% | 19.2–24.2% | 18.7–24.7% | 17.9–25.7% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 13.0% | 11.5–14.7% | 11.1–15.2% | 10.7–15.6% | 10.1–16.5% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.1–9.8% | 6.8–10.2% | 6.5–10.6% | 6.0–11.3% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 7.4% | 6.3–8.8% | 6.0–9.2% | 5.7–9.5% | 5.2–10.2% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.9–8.3% | 5.6–8.7% | 5.3–9.1% | 4.9–9.7% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.1–7.4% | 4.9–7.8% | 4.6–8.1% | 4.2–8.8% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.3–5.2% | 3.1–5.5% | 2.9–5.8% | 2.5–6.4% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.8–4.6% | 2.6–4.9% | 2.4–5.2% | 2.1–5.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 45 | 42–48 | 41–49 | 40–50 | 39–52 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 41 | 36–45 | 36–46 | 35–47 | 34–49 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 23 | 20–26 | 19–27 | 18–28 | 17–30 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 14 | 11–17 | 11–17 | 10–18 | 9–20 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 13 | 10–15 | 10–16 | 9–17 | 8–18 |
| Rødt | 8 | 12 | 9–14 | 9–15 | 8–16 | 8–17 |
| Venstre | 8 | 10 | 8–13 | 8–13 | 7–14 | 7–15 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 7 | 2–9 | 2–9 | 1–10 | 1–11 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 3 | 2–7 | 2–8 | 2–8 | 0–9 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 40 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 41 | 4% | 97% | |
| 42 | 8% | 93% | |
| 43 | 9% | 85% | |
| 44 | 17% | 76% | |
| 45 | 19% | 59% | Median |
| 46 | 10% | 40% | |
| 47 | 8% | 30% | |
| 48 | 14% | 22% | |
| 49 | 4% | 9% | |
| 50 | 2% | 4% | |
| 51 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 52 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 1.5% | 99.6% | |
| 35 | 2% | 98% | |
| 36 | 7% | 96% | |
| 37 | 7% | 89% | |
| 38 | 9% | 82% | |
| 39 | 6% | 73% | |
| 40 | 11% | 67% | |
| 41 | 9% | 56% | Median |
| 42 | 13% | 47% | |
| 43 | 9% | 34% | |
| 44 | 10% | 24% | |
| 45 | 7% | 14% | |
| 46 | 4% | 8% | |
| 47 | 2% | 4% | |
| 48 | 1.3% | 2% | Last Result |
| 49 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 19 | 4% | 97% | |
| 20 | 14% | 93% | |
| 21 | 14% | 79% | Last Result |
| 22 | 12% | 64% | |
| 23 | 25% | 53% | Median |
| 24 | 12% | 28% | |
| 25 | 6% | 16% | |
| 26 | 3% | 10% | |
| 27 | 3% | 7% | |
| 28 | 2% | 4% | |
| 29 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 31 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 9 | 1.5% | 99.8% | |
| 10 | 3% | 98% | |
| 11 | 9% | 95% | |
| 12 | 8% | 86% | |
| 13 | 16% | 78% | Last Result |
| 14 | 22% | 62% | Median |
| 15 | 12% | 40% | |
| 16 | 15% | 28% | |
| 17 | 8% | 13% | |
| 18 | 3% | 5% | |
| 19 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 20 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 8 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 9 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 10 | 7% | 95% | |
| 11 | 6% | 88% | |
| 12 | 22% | 82% | |
| 13 | 14% | 61% | Median |
| 14 | 19% | 47% | |
| 15 | 19% | 28% | |
| 16 | 6% | 9% | |
| 17 | 2% | 3% | |
| 18 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 8 | 3% | 99.5% | Last Result |
| 9 | 7% | 96% | |
| 10 | 13% | 89% | |
| 11 | 21% | 77% | |
| 12 | 23% | 56% | Median |
| 13 | 16% | 33% | |
| 14 | 11% | 17% | |
| 15 | 3% | 6% | |
| 16 | 2% | 3% | |
| 17 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 7 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 8 | 8% | 97% | Last Result |
| 9 | 18% | 89% | |
| 10 | 22% | 71% | Median |
| 11 | 27% | 49% | |
| 12 | 10% | 22% | |
| 13 | 9% | 12% | |
| 14 | 2% | 3% | |
| 15 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4% | 100% | |
| 2 | 30% | 96% | |
| 3 | 11% | 67% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 56% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 56% | |
| 6 | 4% | 55% | |
| 7 | 25% | 51% | Median |
| 8 | 16% | 27% | |
| 9 | 8% | 11% | |
| 10 | 2% | 3% | |
| 11 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.9% | 99.0% | |
| 2 | 47% | 98% | |
| 3 | 24% | 52% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0% | 28% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 28% | |
| 6 | 5% | 28% | |
| 7 | 15% | 23% | |
| 8 | 5% | 7% | |
| 9 | 2% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 95 | 99.6% | 90–100 | 88–101 | 87–103 | 85–105 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 71 | 87 | 79% | 82–92 | 81–93 | 79–94 | 77–97 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 85 | 52% | 80–90 | 78–91 | 77–93 | 74–94 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 82 | 21% | 77–87 | 76–88 | 74–90 | 72–92 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt | 97 | 81 | 10% | 75–84 | 74–86 | 72–87 | 70–89 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 78 | 4% | 74–82 | 72–84 | 71–86 | 69–89 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 95 | 77 | 2% | 72–82 | 70–83 | 69–84 | 67–87 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 73 | 0.1% | 68–78 | 66–80 | 65–81 | 64–83 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 72 | 0.1% | 67–77 | 65–79 | 64–80 | 62–81 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 68 | 0% | 63–72 | 63–74 | 62–75 | 59–76 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 68 | 0% | 63–71 | 62–73 | 62–75 | 59–77 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 82 | 63 | 0% | 58–69 | 56–70 | 54–71 | 52–74 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 59 | 0% | 55–64 | 54–65 | 53–66 | 51–68 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 57 | 0% | 53–63 | 52–64 | 50–65 | 49–68 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 55 | 0% | 50–60 | 49–61 | 49–61 | 47–63 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 54 | 0% | 50–59 | 48–59 | 47–60 | 46–62 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 27 | 0% | 24–31 | 23–32 | 21–34 | 19–36 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 82 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 99.6% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 87 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 88 | 3% | 96% | |
| 89 | 3% | 93% | |
| 90 | 3% | 90% | |
| 91 | 4% | 87% | |
| 92 | 7% | 83% | |
| 93 | 6% | 75% | |
| 94 | 17% | 69% | Median |
| 95 | 6% | 52% | |
| 96 | 16% | 46% | Last Result |
| 97 | 6% | 30% | |
| 98 | 8% | 24% | |
| 99 | 4% | 16% | |
| 100 | 5% | 13% | |
| 101 | 3% | 7% | |
| 102 | 2% | 5% | |
| 103 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 104 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 105 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 79 | 1.4% | 98.8% | |
| 80 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 81 | 3% | 96% | |
| 82 | 4% | 94% | |
| 83 | 6% | 89% | |
| 84 | 5% | 83% | |
| 85 | 8% | 79% | Majority |
| 86 | 21% | 71% | |
| 87 | 12% | 50% | |
| 88 | 6% | 38% | Median |
| 89 | 4% | 32% | |
| 90 | 9% | 28% | |
| 91 | 9% | 19% | |
| 92 | 3% | 10% | |
| 93 | 3% | 7% | |
| 94 | 2% | 4% | |
| 95 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 96 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 76 | 1.0% | 99.1% | |
| 77 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 78 | 3% | 97% | |
| 79 | 2% | 94% | |
| 80 | 5% | 92% | |
| 81 | 5% | 86% | |
| 82 | 5% | 81% | |
| 83 | 6% | 76% | |
| 84 | 17% | 69% | |
| 85 | 8% | 52% | Majority |
| 86 | 8% | 44% | |
| 87 | 3% | 36% | Median |
| 88 | 8% | 33% | |
| 89 | 8% | 24% | |
| 90 | 9% | 16% | |
| 91 | 3% | 8% | |
| 92 | 2% | 5% | |
| 93 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 94 | 2% | 2% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 74 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 75 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 76 | 2% | 95% | |
| 77 | 5% | 93% | |
| 78 | 10% | 88% | |
| 79 | 9% | 78% | |
| 80 | 10% | 69% | |
| 81 | 6% | 59% | Median |
| 82 | 7% | 53% | |
| 83 | 8% | 46% | |
| 84 | 16% | 37% | |
| 85 | 6% | 21% | Majority |
| 86 | 4% | 15% | |
| 87 | 3% | 11% | |
| 88 | 4% | 8% | |
| 89 | 1.5% | 5% | |
| 90 | 2% | 3% | |
| 91 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 71 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 72 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 73 | 2% | 97% | |
| 74 | 3% | 95% | |
| 75 | 4% | 92% | |
| 76 | 6% | 88% | |
| 77 | 9% | 82% | |
| 78 | 10% | 73% | |
| 79 | 6% | 63% | |
| 80 | 5% | 57% | Median |
| 81 | 13% | 53% | |
| 82 | 20% | 40% | |
| 83 | 6% | 20% | |
| 84 | 4% | 14% | |
| 85 | 5% | 10% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 5% | |
| 87 | 2% | 3% | |
| 88 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 89 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 70 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 71 | 2% | 98% | |
| 72 | 3% | 96% | |
| 73 | 3% | 93% | |
| 74 | 5% | 90% | |
| 75 | 10% | 86% | |
| 76 | 7% | 75% | |
| 77 | 14% | 68% | |
| 78 | 11% | 54% | Median |
| 79 | 6% | 43% | |
| 80 | 7% | 37% | |
| 81 | 10% | 30% | |
| 82 | 11% | 20% | |
| 83 | 4% | 9% | |
| 84 | 2% | 6% | |
| 85 | 1.2% | 4% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 87 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 89 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 98.7% | |
| 69 | 2% | 98% | |
| 70 | 1.5% | 96% | |
| 71 | 3% | 95% | |
| 72 | 3% | 92% | |
| 73 | 6% | 89% | |
| 74 | 11% | 83% | |
| 75 | 6% | 72% | |
| 76 | 10% | 65% | |
| 77 | 8% | 56% | |
| 78 | 11% | 47% | Median |
| 79 | 9% | 37% | |
| 80 | 10% | 27% | |
| 81 | 7% | 18% | |
| 82 | 3% | 11% | |
| 83 | 3% | 7% | |
| 84 | 2% | 4% | |
| 85 | 0.7% | 2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.5% | 1.5% | |
| 87 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 65 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 66 | 2% | 97% | |
| 67 | 2% | 95% | |
| 68 | 3% | 93% | |
| 69 | 6% | 90% | |
| 70 | 4% | 84% | |
| 71 | 10% | 80% | |
| 72 | 15% | 70% | |
| 73 | 6% | 55% | |
| 74 | 10% | 49% | |
| 75 | 8% | 39% | Median |
| 76 | 10% | 30% | |
| 77 | 6% | 21% | |
| 78 | 5% | 15% | |
| 79 | 3% | 9% | |
| 80 | 3% | 6% | |
| 81 | 2% | 3% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 63 | 1.2% | 99.4% | |
| 64 | 2% | 98% | |
| 65 | 2% | 96% | |
| 66 | 3% | 94% | |
| 67 | 5% | 91% | |
| 68 | 6% | 86% | |
| 69 | 4% | 80% | |
| 70 | 8% | 75% | |
| 71 | 8% | 67% | |
| 72 | 14% | 59% | Last Result |
| 73 | 6% | 45% | |
| 74 | 16% | 38% | Median |
| 75 | 6% | 22% | |
| 76 | 6% | 17% | |
| 77 | 2% | 11% | |
| 78 | 3% | 9% | |
| 79 | 2% | 6% | |
| 80 | 2% | 4% | |
| 81 | 2% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 61 | 1.3% | 98.9% | |
| 62 | 2% | 98% | |
| 63 | 6% | 95% | |
| 64 | 6% | 89% | |
| 65 | 6% | 83% | |
| 66 | 6% | 78% | |
| 67 | 11% | 72% | |
| 68 | 15% | 61% | Median |
| 69 | 10% | 47% | |
| 70 | 16% | 36% | |
| 71 | 6% | 21% | |
| 72 | 5% | 15% | |
| 73 | 3% | 9% | |
| 74 | 3% | 6% | |
| 75 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 76 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 61 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 62 | 3% | 98% | |
| 63 | 6% | 95% | |
| 64 | 5% | 88% | |
| 65 | 11% | 84% | |
| 66 | 8% | 73% | |
| 67 | 11% | 65% | |
| 68 | 14% | 54% | Median |
| 69 | 9% | 40% | |
| 70 | 9% | 31% | |
| 71 | 13% | 22% | |
| 72 | 2% | 9% | |
| 73 | 2% | 7% | |
| 74 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 75 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 76 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 98.8% | |
| 54 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 55 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 56 | 2% | 96% | |
| 57 | 2% | 94% | |
| 58 | 9% | 91% | |
| 59 | 5% | 82% | |
| 60 | 7% | 77% | |
| 61 | 9% | 70% | |
| 62 | 7% | 62% | |
| 63 | 9% | 55% | |
| 64 | 7% | 46% | Median |
| 65 | 13% | 39% | |
| 66 | 5% | 25% | |
| 67 | 7% | 20% | |
| 68 | 3% | 14% | |
| 69 | 3% | 11% | |
| 70 | 4% | 8% | |
| 71 | 2% | 4% | |
| 72 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 73 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 52 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 53 | 2% | 98% | |
| 54 | 4% | 96% | |
| 55 | 3% | 92% | |
| 56 | 10% | 89% | |
| 57 | 13% | 79% | |
| 58 | 9% | 66% | Median |
| 59 | 8% | 57% | |
| 60 | 11% | 49% | |
| 61 | 17% | 38% | |
| 62 | 5% | 21% | |
| 63 | 4% | 16% | |
| 64 | 6% | 12% | |
| 65 | 2% | 6% | |
| 66 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 67 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 50 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 51 | 2% | 97% | |
| 52 | 3% | 95% | |
| 53 | 6% | 92% | |
| 54 | 7% | 86% | |
| 55 | 4% | 79% | |
| 56 | 15% | 75% | |
| 57 | 14% | 60% | Median |
| 58 | 9% | 47% | |
| 59 | 7% | 38% | |
| 60 | 7% | 31% | |
| 61 | 5% | 24% | |
| 62 | 5% | 19% | |
| 63 | 7% | 14% | |
| 64 | 2% | 7% | |
| 65 | 3% | 5% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 48 | 1.1% | 98.9% | |
| 49 | 4% | 98% | |
| 50 | 5% | 93% | |
| 51 | 4% | 88% | |
| 52 | 8% | 84% | |
| 53 | 8% | 76% | |
| 54 | 15% | 69% | |
| 55 | 11% | 54% | Median |
| 56 | 7% | 43% | |
| 57 | 7% | 35% | |
| 58 | 13% | 29% | |
| 59 | 5% | 15% | |
| 60 | 5% | 10% | |
| 61 | 3% | 5% | Last Result |
| 62 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 47 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 48 | 2% | 97% | |
| 49 | 3% | 95% | |
| 50 | 6% | 92% | |
| 51 | 8% | 86% | |
| 52 | 9% | 77% | |
| 53 | 9% | 69% | |
| 54 | 17% | 60% | Median |
| 55 | 11% | 43% | |
| 56 | 9% | 32% | |
| 57 | 8% | 23% | |
| 58 | 5% | 15% | |
| 59 | 7% | 10% | |
| 60 | 2% | 3% | |
| 61 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 19 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 20 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 21 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 22 | 2% | 97% | |
| 23 | 4% | 95% | |
| 24 | 9% | 91% | |
| 25 | 15% | 82% | |
| 26 | 7% | 67% | Median |
| 27 | 15% | 60% | |
| 28 | 14% | 45% | |
| 29 | 11% | 32% | |
| 30 | 8% | 21% | |
| 31 | 5% | 13% | |
| 32 | 3% | 8% | |
| 33 | 2% | 5% | |
| 34 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 35 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): Dagbladet
- Fieldwork period: 23–25 May 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 732
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.88%