Opinion Poll by Kantar TNS for TV2, 30 May–3 June 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 26.3% | 24.5–28.1% | 24.0–28.6% | 23.6–29.1% | 22.8–30.0% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 21.8% | 20.1–23.5% | 19.7–24.0% | 19.3–24.5% | 18.5–25.3% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 13.9% | 12.6–15.4% | 12.2–15.8% | 11.9–16.2% | 11.2–17.0% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 10.0% | 8.9–11.4% | 8.6–11.7% | 8.3–12.1% | 7.8–12.7% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 7.7% | 6.7–8.9% | 6.4–9.2% | 6.2–9.5% | 5.7–10.1% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.8% | 5.2–9.4% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.3–6.1% | 4.1–6.4% | 3.9–6.7% | 3.5–7.2% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.1–3.4% | 2.0–3.7% | 1.8–3.9% | 1.6–4.3% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.4–3.0% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.1–3.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 46 | 43–50 | 42–51 | 41–52 | 40–53 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 40 | 37–44 | 37–45 | 36–46 | 34–48 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 24 | 22–28 | 21–28 | 21–29 | 19–30 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 18 | 15–20 | 15–21 | 14–22 | 13–23 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 14 | 12–16 | 11–16 | 10–17 | 9–18 |
| Rødt | 8 | 12 | 11–14 | 10–15 | 10–15 | 9–17 |
| Venstre | 8 | 9 | 8–11 | 7–11 | 3–12 | 2–13 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 0–7 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 0 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 41 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 42 | 2% | 96% | |
| 43 | 6% | 94% | |
| 44 | 9% | 88% | |
| 45 | 14% | 79% | |
| 46 | 16% | 66% | Median |
| 47 | 17% | 49% | |
| 48 | 9% | 33% | |
| 49 | 9% | 23% | |
| 50 | 7% | 15% | |
| 51 | 3% | 7% | |
| 52 | 3% | 4% | |
| 53 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 35 | 1.1% | 99.4% | |
| 36 | 3% | 98% | |
| 37 | 11% | 96% | |
| 38 | 14% | 85% | |
| 39 | 14% | 71% | |
| 40 | 14% | 57% | Median |
| 41 | 7% | 44% | |
| 42 | 10% | 37% | |
| 43 | 5% | 26% | |
| 44 | 12% | 21% | |
| 45 | 5% | 9% | |
| 46 | 3% | 4% | |
| 47 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 21 | 7% | 98% | Last Result |
| 22 | 15% | 91% | |
| 23 | 11% | 76% | |
| 24 | 18% | 65% | Median |
| 25 | 14% | 47% | |
| 26 | 14% | 32% | |
| 27 | 7% | 18% | |
| 28 | 7% | 11% | |
| 29 | 2% | 4% | |
| 30 | 2% | 2% | |
| 31 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.8% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 14 | 4% | 99.0% | |
| 15 | 7% | 95% | |
| 16 | 17% | 88% | |
| 17 | 20% | 72% | |
| 18 | 16% | 52% | Median |
| 19 | 19% | 36% | |
| 20 | 10% | 17% | |
| 21 | 4% | 6% | |
| 22 | 2% | 3% | |
| 23 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 11 | 6% | 97% | |
| 12 | 15% | 91% | |
| 13 | 20% | 76% | |
| 14 | 27% | 56% | Median |
| 15 | 18% | 29% | |
| 16 | 8% | 11% | |
| 17 | 2% | 3% | |
| 18 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 6% | 98% | |
| 11 | 24% | 92% | |
| 12 | 20% | 68% | Median |
| 13 | 22% | 47% | |
| 14 | 18% | 25% | |
| 15 | 5% | 7% | |
| 16 | 2% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 3 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 95% | |
| 5 | 0% | 95% | |
| 6 | 0% | 95% | |
| 7 | 5% | 95% | |
| 8 | 20% | 91% | Last Result |
| 9 | 38% | 70% | Median |
| 10 | 21% | 33% | |
| 11 | 8% | 11% | |
| 12 | 2% | 3% | |
| 13 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 69% | 98.8% | Median |
| 2 | 25% | 29% | |
| 3 | 3% | 4% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 7 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 8 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 66% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 8% | 34% | |
| 2 | 25% | 26% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 95 | 99.6% | 89–99 | 86–100 | 86–101 | 85–103 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 86 | 66% | 81–89 | 80–91 | 79–92 | 77–94 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt | 97 | 84 | 48% | 79–88 | 79–90 | 77–90 | 75–92 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 71 | 82 | 21% | 77–86 | 75–88 | 74–88 | 73–91 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 81 | 10% | 75–85 | 74–86 | 73–87 | 72–89 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 80 | 7% | 75–84 | 74–85 | 72–87 | 71–88 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 95 | 74 | 0% | 70–78 | 69–79 | 68–80 | 66–81 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 74 | 0% | 69–77 | 68–78 | 67–79 | 65–81 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 72 | 0% | 68–76 | 67–77 | 66–78 | 64–80 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 72 | 0% | 68–76 | 67–77 | 66–77 | 64–79 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 71 | 0% | 66–75 | 66–76 | 64–77 | 63–79 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 58 | 0% | 54–62 | 53–63 | 52–63 | 51–65 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 82 | 56 | 0% | 52–60 | 51–61 | 51–62 | 49–64 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 56 | 0% | 52–60 | 51–61 | 50–62 | 48–64 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 54 | 0% | 51–59 | 50–59 | 49–60 | 48–62 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 54 | 0% | 51–58 | 50–59 | 49–59 | 48–62 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 23 | 0% | 20–27 | 19–27 | 18–27 | 16–29 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 82 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 85 | 2% | 99.6% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 98% | |
| 87 | 0.8% | 95% | |
| 88 | 2% | 94% | |
| 89 | 4% | 92% | |
| 90 | 4% | 88% | |
| 91 | 8% | 84% | |
| 92 | 5% | 76% | |
| 93 | 14% | 71% | Median |
| 94 | 7% | 57% | |
| 95 | 10% | 50% | |
| 96 | 13% | 40% | Last Result |
| 97 | 7% | 27% | |
| 98 | 10% | 20% | |
| 99 | 4% | 10% | |
| 100 | 2% | 6% | |
| 101 | 2% | 4% | |
| 102 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 103 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 78 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 79 | 2% | 98% | |
| 80 | 6% | 96% | |
| 81 | 4% | 91% | |
| 82 | 6% | 87% | |
| 83 | 4% | 81% | |
| 84 | 11% | 76% | |
| 85 | 14% | 66% | Median, Majority |
| 86 | 12% | 52% | |
| 87 | 7% | 40% | |
| 88 | 15% | 33% | |
| 89 | 9% | 19% | |
| 90 | 2% | 10% | |
| 91 | 4% | 7% | |
| 92 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 93 | 1.0% | 1.5% | |
| 94 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 76 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 77 | 1.3% | 98.8% | |
| 78 | 2% | 97% | |
| 79 | 6% | 95% | |
| 80 | 5% | 89% | |
| 81 | 5% | 84% | |
| 82 | 5% | 79% | |
| 83 | 12% | 74% | |
| 84 | 15% | 62% | Median |
| 85 | 11% | 48% | Majority |
| 86 | 13% | 37% | |
| 87 | 10% | 24% | |
| 88 | 7% | 14% | |
| 89 | 2% | 8% | |
| 90 | 4% | 6% | |
| 91 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 92 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 75 | 3% | 97% | |
| 76 | 4% | 95% | |
| 77 | 4% | 91% | |
| 78 | 7% | 87% | |
| 79 | 3% | 81% | |
| 80 | 6% | 78% | Median |
| 81 | 11% | 71% | |
| 82 | 15% | 61% | |
| 83 | 10% | 45% | |
| 84 | 14% | 35% | |
| 85 | 10% | 21% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 12% | |
| 87 | 3% | 8% | |
| 88 | 3% | 5% | |
| 89 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 90 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 72 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 73 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 74 | 2% | 97% | |
| 75 | 5% | 95% | |
| 76 | 4% | 90% | |
| 77 | 6% | 85% | |
| 78 | 4% | 79% | |
| 79 | 9% | 75% | Median |
| 80 | 15% | 67% | |
| 81 | 11% | 52% | |
| 82 | 10% | 41% | |
| 83 | 12% | 31% | |
| 84 | 9% | 19% | |
| 85 | 3% | 10% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 7% | |
| 87 | 2% | 4% | |
| 88 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 72 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 73 | 2% | 97% | |
| 74 | 3% | 96% | |
| 75 | 5% | 92% | |
| 76 | 4% | 87% | |
| 77 | 8% | 83% | |
| 78 | 3% | 75% | |
| 79 | 11% | 71% | Median |
| 80 | 15% | 60% | |
| 81 | 13% | 45% | |
| 82 | 10% | 33% | |
| 83 | 10% | 23% | |
| 84 | 6% | 13% | |
| 85 | 2% | 7% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 5% | |
| 87 | 2% | 3% | |
| 88 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 89 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 66 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 67 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 68 | 2% | 98% | |
| 69 | 6% | 96% | |
| 70 | 7% | 90% | |
| 71 | 8% | 83% | |
| 72 | 7% | 76% | |
| 73 | 11% | 68% | Median |
| 74 | 16% | 57% | |
| 75 | 10% | 41% | |
| 76 | 10% | 31% | |
| 77 | 11% | 21% | |
| 78 | 5% | 10% | |
| 79 | 2% | 5% | |
| 80 | 2% | 3% | |
| 81 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 66 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 67 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 68 | 3% | 97% | |
| 69 | 7% | 94% | |
| 70 | 7% | 86% | |
| 71 | 9% | 79% | |
| 72 | 9% | 70% | |
| 73 | 10% | 61% | Median |
| 74 | 19% | 51% | |
| 75 | 10% | 32% | |
| 76 | 7% | 22% | |
| 77 | 7% | 15% | |
| 78 | 4% | 8% | |
| 79 | 2% | 4% | |
| 80 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 65 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 66 | 2% | 98% | |
| 67 | 3% | 96% | |
| 68 | 7% | 92% | |
| 69 | 5% | 85% | |
| 70 | 14% | 80% | |
| 71 | 10% | 66% | Median |
| 72 | 14% | 56% | Last Result |
| 73 | 11% | 42% | |
| 74 | 6% | 31% | |
| 75 | 12% | 25% | |
| 76 | 6% | 13% | |
| 77 | 4% | 7% | |
| 78 | 2% | 3% | |
| 79 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 65 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 66 | 2% | 98% | |
| 67 | 4% | 96% | |
| 68 | 7% | 92% | |
| 69 | 8% | 85% | |
| 70 | 10% | 77% | |
| 71 | 8% | 67% | |
| 72 | 16% | 59% | Median |
| 73 | 16% | 43% | |
| 74 | 8% | 27% | |
| 75 | 9% | 19% | |
| 76 | 4% | 10% | |
| 77 | 4% | 6% | |
| 78 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 65 | 2% | 97% | |
| 66 | 5% | 95% | |
| 67 | 5% | 90% | |
| 68 | 5% | 85% | |
| 69 | 8% | 80% | |
| 70 | 14% | 72% | Median |
| 71 | 13% | 58% | |
| 72 | 14% | 45% | |
| 73 | 7% | 30% | |
| 74 | 8% | 23% | |
| 75 | 6% | 14% | |
| 76 | 4% | 9% | |
| 77 | 2% | 4% | |
| 78 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 53 | 3% | 97% | |
| 54 | 5% | 94% | |
| 55 | 5% | 89% | |
| 56 | 10% | 84% | |
| 57 | 11% | 75% | |
| 58 | 20% | 63% | Median |
| 59 | 14% | 43% | |
| 60 | 7% | 29% | |
| 61 | 11% | 22% | Last Result |
| 62 | 3% | 11% | |
| 63 | 6% | 8% | |
| 64 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 65 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 50 | 1.1% | 99.1% | |
| 51 | 4% | 98% | |
| 52 | 10% | 94% | |
| 53 | 3% | 85% | |
| 54 | 11% | 81% | |
| 55 | 16% | 70% | Median |
| 56 | 11% | 53% | |
| 57 | 10% | 43% | |
| 58 | 9% | 33% | |
| 59 | 7% | 24% | |
| 60 | 9% | 17% | |
| 61 | 5% | 8% | |
| 62 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 49 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 50 | 2% | 98% | |
| 51 | 3% | 96% | |
| 52 | 4% | 93% | |
| 53 | 6% | 90% | |
| 54 | 13% | 83% | |
| 55 | 15% | 70% | Median |
| 56 | 14% | 55% | |
| 57 | 8% | 41% | |
| 58 | 12% | 33% | |
| 59 | 6% | 20% | |
| 60 | 6% | 14% | |
| 61 | 4% | 8% | |
| 62 | 2% | 4% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 49 | 1.3% | 98.8% | |
| 50 | 4% | 97% | |
| 51 | 10% | 93% | |
| 52 | 5% | 84% | |
| 53 | 14% | 79% | |
| 54 | 17% | 65% | Median |
| 55 | 12% | 48% | |
| 56 | 8% | 36% | |
| 57 | 6% | 28% | |
| 58 | 8% | 22% | |
| 59 | 10% | 14% | |
| 60 | 2% | 4% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 48 | 1.4% | 99.5% | |
| 49 | 2% | 98% | |
| 50 | 5% | 96% | |
| 51 | 13% | 90% | |
| 52 | 8% | 77% | |
| 53 | 13% | 70% | |
| 54 | 16% | 57% | Median |
| 55 | 10% | 41% | |
| 56 | 6% | 31% | |
| 57 | 8% | 25% | |
| 58 | 7% | 16% | |
| 59 | 7% | 9% | |
| 60 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 17 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 18 | 2% | 98% | |
| 19 | 4% | 96% | |
| 20 | 5% | 92% | |
| 21 | 10% | 87% | |
| 22 | 14% | 77% | |
| 23 | 20% | 63% | Median |
| 24 | 13% | 42% | |
| 25 | 13% | 29% | |
| 26 | 6% | 16% | |
| 27 | 8% | 10% | |
| 28 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 29 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Kantar TNS
- Commissioner(s): TV2
- Fieldwork period: 30 May–3 June 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 979
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.12%