Opinion Poll by Norfakta for Klassekampen and Nationen, 7–8 June 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 27.8% | 26.0–29.6% | 25.5–30.2% | 25.1–30.6% | 24.2–31.6% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 23.0% | 21.3–24.8% | 20.9–25.3% | 20.5–25.7% | 19.7–26.6% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 13.1% | 11.8–14.6% | 11.4–15.0% | 11.1–15.3% | 10.5–16.0% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.3–9.5% | 7.0–9.9% | 6.7–10.2% | 6.3–10.8% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 6.9% | 6.0–8.0% | 5.7–8.4% | 5.5–8.6% | 5.1–9.2% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.8–6.6% | 4.5–6.9% | 4.3–7.2% | 4.0–7.7% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.5–6.3% | 4.3–6.6% | 4.1–6.9% | 3.7–7.4% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.1–4.7% | 2.9–5.0% | 2.8–5.2% | 2.5–5.6% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.9–4.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 49 | 46–52 | 45–53 | 44–54 | 43–56 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 45 | 40–47 | 38–47 | 37–48 | 36–50 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 23 | 20–26 | 19–27 | 19–28 | 18–29 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 14 | 12–17 | 11–18 | 11–18 | 10–19 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 12 | 10–14 | 9–15 | 9–15 | 8–16 |
| Rødt | 8 | 10 | 8–11 | 7–12 | 7–13 | 1–13 |
| Venstre | 8 | 9 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 7–12 | 3–13 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 3 | 2–8 | 2–8 | 2–9 | 2–9 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 2 | 1–3 | 1–7 | 1–7 | 1–8 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 44 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 45 | 3% | 97% | |
| 46 | 12% | 94% | |
| 47 | 9% | 82% | |
| 48 | 19% | 73% | |
| 49 | 18% | 54% | Median |
| 50 | 15% | 36% | |
| 51 | 9% | 22% | |
| 52 | 4% | 12% | |
| 53 | 3% | 8% | |
| 54 | 3% | 4% | |
| 55 | 0.8% | 1.5% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 36 | 1.2% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 38 | 2% | 97% | |
| 39 | 4% | 95% | |
| 40 | 2% | 90% | |
| 41 | 3% | 88% | |
| 42 | 6% | 85% | |
| 43 | 12% | 79% | |
| 44 | 13% | 67% | |
| 45 | 22% | 54% | Median |
| 46 | 15% | 32% | |
| 47 | 13% | 17% | |
| 48 | 2% | 4% | Last Result |
| 49 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 50 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 18 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 19 | 4% | 98% | |
| 20 | 15% | 94% | |
| 21 | 12% | 79% | Last Result |
| 22 | 16% | 67% | |
| 23 | 19% | 51% | Median |
| 24 | 12% | 32% | |
| 25 | 8% | 20% | |
| 26 | 6% | 12% | |
| 27 | 4% | 7% | |
| 28 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 29 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 10 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 11 | 6% | 98.8% | |
| 12 | 9% | 93% | |
| 13 | 18% | 84% | Last Result |
| 14 | 23% | 66% | Median |
| 15 | 21% | 44% | |
| 16 | 8% | 23% | |
| 17 | 9% | 15% | |
| 18 | 4% | 5% | |
| 19 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 8 | 1.2% | 99.8% | |
| 9 | 5% | 98.7% | |
| 10 | 10% | 94% | |
| 11 | 14% | 83% | |
| 12 | 35% | 69% | Median |
| 13 | 16% | 34% | |
| 14 | 10% | 18% | |
| 15 | 6% | 8% | |
| 16 | 2% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 7 | 5% | 99.2% | |
| 8 | 13% | 94% | Last Result |
| 9 | 24% | 81% | |
| 10 | 31% | 57% | Median |
| 11 | 16% | 26% | |
| 12 | 7% | 10% | |
| 13 | 2% | 3% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 3 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98% | |
| 6 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 7 | 10% | 98% | |
| 8 | 20% | 88% | Last Result |
| 9 | 30% | 68% | Median |
| 10 | 22% | 37% | |
| 11 | 11% | 15% | |
| 12 | 3% | 4% | |
| 13 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 2 | 27% | 99.6% | |
| 3 | 31% | 73% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0% | 42% | |
| 5 | 0% | 42% | |
| 6 | 3% | 42% | |
| 7 | 20% | 39% | |
| 8 | 15% | 19% | |
| 9 | 4% | 4% | |
| 10 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 45% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 39% | 54% | Median |
| 3 | 8% | 15% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 7% | |
| 6 | 0.6% | 7% | |
| 7 | 5% | 6% | |
| 8 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 97 | 100% | 93–102 | 92–102 | 90–104 | 88–107 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 87 | 82% | 83–91 | 82–93 | 81–94 | 78–96 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 85 | 52% | 81–89 | 80–91 | 79–92 | 77–94 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 82 | 25% | 77–86 | 76–87 | 75–88 | 73–90 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 80 | 12% | 76–85 | 75–86 | 74–88 | 72–90 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt | 97 | 80 | 8% | 76–84 | 74–85 | 73–86 | 71–88 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 77 | 0.7% | 72–82 | 70–83 | 69–83 | 68–85 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 73 | 0% | 68–76 | 67–78 | 66–78 | 63–80 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 71 | 0% | 68–76 | 67–77 | 66–78 | 64–80 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 71 | 0% | 66–74 | 65–75 | 64–76 | 62–77 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 70 | 0% | 66–74 | 64–75 | 63–76 | 61–78 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 63 | 0% | 58–68 | 55–68 | 55–69 | 53–71 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 62 | 0% | 58–67 | 57–67 | 57–68 | 55–70 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 61 | 0% | 56–66 | 54–66 | 53–67 | 51–69 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 59 | 0% | 54–62 | 53–62 | 52–63 | 50–66 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 57 | 0% | 52–59 | 51–60 | 50–61 | 48–62 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 26 | 0% | 22–30 | 21–30 | 20–32 | 18–33 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 86 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 89 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 90 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 91 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 92 | 3% | 96% | |
| 93 | 5% | 93% | |
| 94 | 7% | 88% | |
| 95 | 12% | 81% | |
| 96 | 16% | 69% | Last Result, Median |
| 97 | 7% | 53% | |
| 98 | 10% | 46% | |
| 99 | 13% | 36% | |
| 100 | 7% | 23% | |
| 101 | 6% | 17% | |
| 102 | 6% | 11% | |
| 103 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 104 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 105 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 106 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 107 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 79 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 80 | 0.5% | 98.8% | |
| 81 | 2% | 98% | |
| 82 | 3% | 96% | |
| 83 | 5% | 93% | |
| 84 | 6% | 88% | |
| 85 | 14% | 82% | Majority |
| 86 | 13% | 68% | Median |
| 87 | 8% | 54% | |
| 88 | 15% | 46% | |
| 89 | 10% | 31% | |
| 90 | 7% | 21% | |
| 91 | 4% | 13% | |
| 92 | 4% | 9% | |
| 93 | 2% | 5% | |
| 94 | 2% | 3% | |
| 95 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 96 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 97 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 77 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 78 | 0.7% | 98.9% | |
| 79 | 2% | 98% | |
| 80 | 2% | 96% | |
| 81 | 6% | 93% | |
| 82 | 7% | 87% | |
| 83 | 13% | 80% | |
| 84 | 15% | 68% | Median |
| 85 | 8% | 52% | Majority |
| 86 | 8% | 44% | |
| 87 | 16% | 37% | |
| 88 | 6% | 21% | |
| 89 | 6% | 15% | |
| 90 | 3% | 9% | |
| 91 | 2% | 6% | |
| 92 | 2% | 4% | |
| 93 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 94 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 73 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 75 | 2% | 98% | |
| 76 | 4% | 96% | |
| 77 | 3% | 93% | |
| 78 | 5% | 90% | |
| 79 | 7% | 85% | |
| 80 | 5% | 78% | |
| 81 | 15% | 73% | |
| 82 | 11% | 58% | |
| 83 | 6% | 47% | Median |
| 84 | 16% | 40% | |
| 85 | 10% | 25% | Majority |
| 86 | 6% | 15% | |
| 87 | 6% | 9% | |
| 88 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 89 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 90 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 73 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 74 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 75 | 2% | 97% | |
| 76 | 8% | 95% | |
| 77 | 6% | 87% | |
| 78 | 9% | 81% | |
| 79 | 9% | 71% | |
| 80 | 12% | 62% | |
| 81 | 15% | 50% | Median |
| 82 | 9% | 35% | |
| 83 | 7% | 26% | |
| 84 | 7% | 19% | |
| 85 | 4% | 12% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 8% | |
| 87 | 2% | 5% | |
| 88 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 89 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 90 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 72 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 73 | 2% | 98% | |
| 74 | 2% | 97% | |
| 75 | 4% | 94% | |
| 76 | 6% | 90% | |
| 77 | 4% | 84% | |
| 78 | 8% | 80% | |
| 79 | 9% | 72% | |
| 80 | 18% | 63% | |
| 81 | 8% | 45% | Median |
| 82 | 12% | 38% | |
| 83 | 13% | 25% | |
| 84 | 5% | 12% | |
| 85 | 4% | 8% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 4% | |
| 87 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 88 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 69 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 70 | 3% | 97% | |
| 71 | 3% | 95% | |
| 72 | 3% | 92% | |
| 73 | 4% | 88% | |
| 74 | 9% | 85% | |
| 75 | 9% | 76% | |
| 76 | 11% | 68% | Median |
| 77 | 10% | 57% | |
| 78 | 10% | 47% | |
| 79 | 12% | 37% | |
| 80 | 7% | 25% | |
| 81 | 6% | 18% | |
| 82 | 6% | 12% | |
| 83 | 4% | 6% | |
| 84 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 0.7% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 65 | 0.8% | 98.8% | |
| 66 | 2% | 98% | |
| 67 | 5% | 96% | |
| 68 | 4% | 91% | |
| 69 | 5% | 88% | |
| 70 | 8% | 83% | |
| 71 | 14% | 75% | |
| 72 | 9% | 61% | |
| 73 | 12% | 51% | Median |
| 74 | 9% | 39% | |
| 75 | 16% | 31% | |
| 76 | 6% | 15% | |
| 77 | 4% | 9% | |
| 78 | 4% | 5% | |
| 79 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 80 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 65 | 1.4% | 99.4% | |
| 66 | 3% | 98% | |
| 67 | 3% | 95% | |
| 68 | 10% | 92% | |
| 69 | 14% | 82% | |
| 70 | 8% | 68% | |
| 71 | 11% | 59% | |
| 72 | 13% | 48% | Median |
| 73 | 11% | 35% | |
| 74 | 6% | 24% | |
| 75 | 6% | 18% | |
| 76 | 5% | 12% | |
| 77 | 3% | 7% | |
| 78 | 2% | 5% | |
| 79 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 64 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 65 | 4% | 97% | |
| 66 | 5% | 93% | |
| 67 | 5% | 88% | |
| 68 | 8% | 83% | |
| 69 | 9% | 75% | |
| 70 | 13% | 66% | |
| 71 | 12% | 53% | Median |
| 72 | 15% | 41% | |
| 73 | 12% | 26% | |
| 74 | 8% | 14% | |
| 75 | 3% | 6% | |
| 76 | 2% | 3% | |
| 77 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 63 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 64 | 2% | 97% | |
| 65 | 3% | 95% | |
| 66 | 8% | 92% | |
| 67 | 6% | 84% | |
| 68 | 7% | 77% | |
| 69 | 13% | 70% | |
| 70 | 12% | 58% | |
| 71 | 7% | 45% | Median |
| 72 | 13% | 38% | Last Result |
| 73 | 12% | 25% | |
| 74 | 6% | 13% | |
| 75 | 4% | 7% | |
| 76 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 77 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 1.4% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 55 | 3% | 98% | |
| 56 | 2% | 95% | |
| 57 | 1.5% | 92% | |
| 58 | 4% | 91% | |
| 59 | 6% | 87% | |
| 60 | 6% | 80% | |
| 61 | 12% | 74% | |
| 62 | 9% | 62% | Median |
| 63 | 10% | 53% | |
| 64 | 8% | 43% | |
| 65 | 4% | 34% | |
| 66 | 12% | 30% | |
| 67 | 7% | 18% | |
| 68 | 8% | 11% | |
| 69 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 70 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 71 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 56 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 57 | 3% | 98% | |
| 58 | 5% | 95% | |
| 59 | 4% | 90% | |
| 60 | 8% | 85% | |
| 61 | 19% | 77% | Median |
| 62 | 11% | 58% | |
| 63 | 15% | 48% | |
| 64 | 8% | 33% | |
| 65 | 6% | 25% | |
| 66 | 5% | 19% | |
| 67 | 10% | 14% | |
| 68 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 69 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 51 | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.7% | 98.9% | |
| 53 | 2% | 98% | |
| 54 | 2% | 96% | |
| 55 | 3% | 94% | |
| 56 | 3% | 91% | |
| 57 | 6% | 87% | |
| 58 | 6% | 81% | |
| 59 | 11% | 76% | |
| 60 | 11% | 65% | Median |
| 61 | 13% | 54% | |
| 62 | 9% | 40% | |
| 63 | 6% | 32% | |
| 64 | 5% | 26% | |
| 65 | 10% | 20% | |
| 66 | 6% | 10% | |
| 67 | 3% | 4% | |
| 68 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 1.2% | 99.5% | |
| 52 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 53 | 3% | 97% | |
| 54 | 4% | 94% | |
| 55 | 6% | 90% | |
| 56 | 7% | 84% | |
| 57 | 10% | 77% | |
| 58 | 16% | 67% | |
| 59 | 13% | 50% | Median |
| 60 | 10% | 37% | |
| 61 | 16% | 27% | Last Result |
| 62 | 6% | 11% | |
| 63 | 3% | 4% | |
| 64 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 1.3% | 99.5% | |
| 50 | 2% | 98% | |
| 51 | 5% | 96% | |
| 52 | 3% | 91% | |
| 53 | 5% | 88% | |
| 54 | 6% | 83% | |
| 55 | 12% | 77% | |
| 56 | 11% | 65% | |
| 57 | 19% | 54% | Median |
| 58 | 17% | 35% | |
| 59 | 11% | 18% | |
| 60 | 3% | 7% | |
| 61 | 2% | 3% | |
| 62 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 19 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 20 | 2% | 98% | |
| 21 | 4% | 96% | |
| 22 | 6% | 93% | |
| 23 | 13% | 87% | |
| 24 | 14% | 73% | Median |
| 25 | 7% | 60% | |
| 26 | 10% | 53% | |
| 27 | 14% | 43% | |
| 28 | 9% | 30% | |
| 29 | 9% | 20% | |
| 30 | 7% | 12% | |
| 31 | 2% | 5% | |
| 32 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 33 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norfakta
- Commissioner(s): Klassekampen and Nationen
- Fieldwork period: 7–8 June 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1001
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.19%