Opinion Poll by Respons Analyse for VG, 4–9 June 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 26.8% | 25.1–28.7% | 24.6–29.2% | 24.1–29.6% | 23.3–30.5% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 20.2% | 18.6–21.9% | 18.2–22.4% | 17.8–22.8% | 17.1–23.6% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 14.0% | 12.7–15.5% | 12.3–15.9% | 12.0–16.3% | 11.4–17.0% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.6–10.6% | 7.4–10.9% | 6.9–11.6% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 7.4% | 6.4–8.6% | 6.2–8.9% | 5.9–9.2% | 5.5–9.8% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.9–7.9% | 5.6–8.3% | 5.4–8.5% | 5.0–9.1% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.1–5.9% | 3.9–6.2% | 3.7–6.4% | 3.4–6.9% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.0–5.1% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.6–5.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 47 | 44–50 | 43–51 | 42–53 | 40–54 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 38 | 34–41 | 34–42 | 34–43 | 33–45 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 24 | 22–28 | 21–28 | 21–29 | 20–31 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 15 | 13–18 | 13–18 | 12–19 | 10–20 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 13 | 11–15 | 10–15 | 10–16 | 9–17 |
| Rødt | 8 | 12 | 10–13 | 9–14 | 9–15 | 8–16 |
| Venstre | 8 | 8 | 7–10 | 3–10 | 3–11 | 2–12 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 7 | 2–8 | 1–9 | 1–9 | 1–10 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 7 | 2–8 | 2–8 | 2–8 | 2–10 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 42 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 43 | 4% | 96% | |
| 44 | 8% | 93% | |
| 45 | 11% | 85% | |
| 46 | 23% | 74% | |
| 47 | 16% | 51% | Median |
| 48 | 14% | 35% | |
| 49 | 9% | 21% | |
| 50 | 4% | 12% | |
| 51 | 3% | 7% | |
| 52 | 2% | 5% | |
| 53 | 2% | 3% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 34 | 8% | 98% | |
| 35 | 7% | 89% | |
| 36 | 12% | 83% | |
| 37 | 14% | 71% | |
| 38 | 26% | 57% | Median |
| 39 | 17% | 32% | |
| 40 | 3% | 15% | |
| 41 | 3% | 11% | |
| 42 | 4% | 9% | |
| 43 | 2% | 5% | |
| 44 | 2% | 2% | |
| 45 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 21 | 4% | 98% | Last Result |
| 22 | 15% | 93% | |
| 23 | 10% | 78% | |
| 24 | 22% | 68% | Median |
| 25 | 22% | 47% | |
| 26 | 7% | 24% | |
| 27 | 6% | 17% | |
| 28 | 6% | 11% | |
| 29 | 3% | 5% | |
| 30 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 31 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 11 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 12 | 3% | 98% | |
| 13 | 6% | 95% | Last Result |
| 14 | 16% | 90% | |
| 15 | 33% | 73% | Median |
| 16 | 21% | 40% | |
| 17 | 9% | 19% | |
| 18 | 6% | 10% | |
| 19 | 3% | 4% | |
| 20 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 9 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 10 | 4% | 98% | |
| 11 | 8% | 94% | |
| 12 | 24% | 86% | |
| 13 | 26% | 62% | Median |
| 14 | 18% | 35% | |
| 15 | 15% | 18% | |
| 16 | 3% | 3% | |
| 17 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.5% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 9 | 6% | 99.5% | |
| 10 | 16% | 94% | |
| 11 | 25% | 77% | |
| 12 | 28% | 53% | Median |
| 13 | 16% | 24% | |
| 14 | 6% | 9% | |
| 15 | 2% | 3% | |
| 16 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 4% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0% | 93% | |
| 5 | 0% | 93% | |
| 6 | 1.2% | 93% | |
| 7 | 14% | 92% | |
| 8 | 40% | 79% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 24% | 38% | |
| 10 | 10% | 15% | |
| 11 | 3% | 4% | |
| 12 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6% | 100% | |
| 2 | 17% | 94% | |
| 3 | 16% | 77% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 60% | |
| 5 | 0% | 60% | |
| 6 | 2% | 60% | |
| 7 | 27% | 59% | Median |
| 8 | 25% | 31% | |
| 9 | 5% | 6% | |
| 10 | 1.3% | 1.4% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 12% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 33% | 88% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 55% | |
| 5 | 0% | 55% | |
| 6 | 3% | 55% | |
| 7 | 36% | 52% | Median |
| 8 | 14% | 16% | |
| 9 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 97 | 100% | 93–102 | 92–103 | 91–104 | 89–106 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 71 | 90 | 96% | 86–94 | 85–95 | 84–95 | 81–97 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 84 | 49% | 81–89 | 79–90 | 79–91 | 76–93 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 83 | 34% | 79–87 | 78–89 | 76–89 | 75–91 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 79 | 9% | 75–84 | 73–85 | 72–87 | 71–90 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt | 97 | 78 | 1.3% | 73–82 | 73–82 | 72–84 | 69–86 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 95 | 77 | 1.4% | 72–81 | 70–83 | 69–84 | 66–85 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 72 | 0% | 67–76 | 66–77 | 65–78 | 63–80 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 71 | 0% | 67–76 | 66–77 | 65–78 | 64–80 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 70 | 0% | 66–74 | 64–76 | 63–77 | 61–78 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 66 | 0% | 62–70 | 61–71 | 61–72 | 59–74 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 82 | 61 | 0% | 56–67 | 55–68 | 53–69 | 51–70 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 60 | 0% | 56–64 | 54–65 | 54–66 | 51–67 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 56 | 0% | 52–61 | 50–62 | 49–63 | 48–65 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 53 | 0% | 49–57 | 48–58 | 48–59 | 46–61 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 50 | 0% | 47–54 | 47–55 | 46–56 | 45–58 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 26 | 0% | 22–31 | 20–31 | 19–32 | 17–33 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 89 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 90 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 91 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 92 | 3% | 96% | |
| 93 | 3% | 93% | |
| 94 | 14% | 90% | |
| 95 | 7% | 76% | |
| 96 | 12% | 69% | Last Result |
| 97 | 9% | 57% | |
| 98 | 7% | 48% | |
| 99 | 8% | 41% | Median |
| 100 | 6% | 33% | |
| 101 | 16% | 27% | |
| 102 | 5% | 11% | |
| 103 | 2% | 6% | |
| 104 | 2% | 4% | |
| 105 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 106 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 107 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 108 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 82 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 83 | 0.8% | 98.8% | |
| 84 | 2% | 98% | |
| 85 | 2% | 96% | Majority |
| 86 | 6% | 93% | |
| 87 | 4% | 87% | |
| 88 | 10% | 83% | |
| 89 | 13% | 72% | |
| 90 | 19% | 60% | |
| 91 | 10% | 40% | |
| 92 | 11% | 31% | |
| 93 | 4% | 19% | Median |
| 94 | 6% | 15% | |
| 95 | 7% | 9% | |
| 96 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 97 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 77 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 78 | 0.8% | 98.7% | |
| 79 | 4% | 98% | |
| 80 | 3% | 94% | |
| 81 | 6% | 91% | |
| 82 | 17% | 85% | |
| 83 | 6% | 68% | |
| 84 | 13% | 62% | |
| 85 | 10% | 49% | Majority |
| 86 | 10% | 39% | Median |
| 87 | 7% | 29% | |
| 88 | 11% | 21% | |
| 89 | 4% | 10% | |
| 90 | 3% | 6% | |
| 91 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 92 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 93 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 75 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 76 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 77 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 78 | 3% | 96% | |
| 79 | 6% | 92% | |
| 80 | 12% | 86% | |
| 81 | 7% | 75% | |
| 82 | 10% | 67% | |
| 83 | 10% | 57% | |
| 84 | 13% | 47% | |
| 85 | 6% | 34% | Median, Majority |
| 86 | 16% | 29% | |
| 87 | 5% | 13% | |
| 88 | 3% | 8% | |
| 89 | 3% | 5% | |
| 90 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 91 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 72 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 73 | 3% | 97% | |
| 74 | 2% | 94% | |
| 75 | 5% | 92% | |
| 76 | 6% | 87% | |
| 77 | 13% | 81% | |
| 78 | 6% | 68% | |
| 79 | 19% | 62% | Median |
| 80 | 8% | 43% | |
| 81 | 9% | 35% | |
| 82 | 10% | 26% | |
| 83 | 5% | 16% | |
| 84 | 2% | 11% | |
| 85 | 6% | 9% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 87 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 88 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 90 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 71 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 72 | 1.5% | 98.5% | |
| 73 | 8% | 97% | |
| 74 | 7% | 89% | |
| 75 | 5% | 82% | |
| 76 | 11% | 78% | |
| 77 | 10% | 66% | |
| 78 | 19% | 56% | Median |
| 79 | 13% | 37% | |
| 80 | 10% | 24% | |
| 81 | 4% | 14% | |
| 82 | 6% | 10% | |
| 83 | 2% | 5% | |
| 84 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 85 | 0.7% | 1.3% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 69 | 2% | 98% | |
| 70 | 2% | 97% | |
| 71 | 4% | 95% | |
| 72 | 2% | 91% | |
| 73 | 6% | 89% | |
| 74 | 11% | 83% | |
| 75 | 8% | 72% | |
| 76 | 13% | 64% | |
| 77 | 6% | 50% | |
| 78 | 10% | 44% | |
| 79 | 12% | 35% | |
| 80 | 10% | 23% | Median |
| 81 | 5% | 13% | |
| 82 | 2% | 8% | |
| 83 | 3% | 7% | |
| 84 | 2% | 4% | |
| 85 | 1.1% | 1.4% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 64 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 65 | 2% | 98% | |
| 66 | 4% | 97% | |
| 67 | 5% | 93% | |
| 68 | 9% | 88% | |
| 69 | 8% | 79% | |
| 70 | 6% | 71% | |
| 71 | 12% | 66% | |
| 72 | 13% | 54% | |
| 73 | 16% | 41% | Median |
| 74 | 6% | 25% | |
| 75 | 8% | 19% | |
| 76 | 4% | 10% | |
| 77 | 3% | 6% | |
| 78 | 2% | 3% | |
| 79 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 65 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 66 | 4% | 97% | |
| 67 | 4% | 93% | |
| 68 | 7% | 89% | |
| 69 | 15% | 82% | |
| 70 | 10% | 67% | |
| 71 | 15% | 57% | Median |
| 72 | 8% | 42% | |
| 73 | 10% | 34% | |
| 74 | 7% | 24% | |
| 75 | 6% | 16% | |
| 76 | 4% | 11% | |
| 77 | 3% | 7% | |
| 78 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 79 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 80 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 62 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 63 | 2% | 98% | |
| 64 | 2% | 96% | |
| 65 | 2% | 94% | |
| 66 | 6% | 92% | |
| 67 | 17% | 86% | |
| 68 | 6% | 69% | |
| 69 | 8% | 63% | |
| 70 | 6% | 55% | |
| 71 | 9% | 49% | |
| 72 | 12% | 40% | Last Result, Median |
| 73 | 5% | 28% | |
| 74 | 14% | 23% | |
| 75 | 3% | 9% | |
| 76 | 3% | 6% | |
| 77 | 2% | 3% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 61 | 5% | 98.6% | |
| 62 | 5% | 93% | |
| 63 | 8% | 88% | |
| 64 | 11% | 80% | |
| 65 | 16% | 69% | |
| 66 | 10% | 54% | Median |
| 67 | 13% | 44% | |
| 68 | 9% | 31% | |
| 69 | 11% | 21% | |
| 70 | 5% | 11% | |
| 71 | 3% | 6% | |
| 72 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 73 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 54 | 2% | 97% | |
| 55 | 4% | 95% | |
| 56 | 3% | 92% | |
| 57 | 3% | 89% | |
| 58 | 5% | 86% | |
| 59 | 9% | 81% | |
| 60 | 5% | 71% | |
| 61 | 19% | 66% | |
| 62 | 9% | 48% | |
| 63 | 10% | 39% | |
| 64 | 13% | 29% | |
| 65 | 3% | 16% | Median |
| 66 | 2% | 13% | |
| 67 | 4% | 11% | |
| 68 | 3% | 6% | |
| 69 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 70 | 2% | 2% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 53 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 54 | 3% | 98% | |
| 55 | 2% | 95% | |
| 56 | 3% | 93% | |
| 57 | 10% | 90% | |
| 58 | 10% | 79% | |
| 59 | 8% | 70% | |
| 60 | 18% | 61% | |
| 61 | 7% | 43% | |
| 62 | 12% | 36% | Median |
| 63 | 10% | 24% | |
| 64 | 6% | 14% | |
| 65 | 5% | 8% | |
| 66 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 67 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 49 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 50 | 2% | 97% | |
| 51 | 4% | 95% | |
| 52 | 8% | 91% | |
| 53 | 10% | 83% | |
| 54 | 15% | 73% | |
| 55 | 7% | 58% | |
| 56 | 10% | 51% | |
| 57 | 8% | 41% | |
| 58 | 6% | 34% | Median |
| 59 | 8% | 28% | |
| 60 | 8% | 20% | |
| 61 | 7% | 12% | |
| 62 | 2% | 5% | |
| 63 | 2% | 3% | |
| 64 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 48 | 6% | 98.8% | |
| 49 | 4% | 93% | |
| 50 | 7% | 88% | |
| 51 | 9% | 82% | |
| 52 | 10% | 73% | |
| 53 | 20% | 63% | Median |
| 54 | 17% | 43% | |
| 55 | 10% | 26% | |
| 56 | 6% | 16% | |
| 57 | 4% | 10% | |
| 58 | 3% | 6% | |
| 59 | 2% | 4% | |
| 60 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 46 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 47 | 7% | 97% | |
| 48 | 9% | 90% | |
| 49 | 14% | 81% | |
| 50 | 17% | 66% | |
| 51 | 17% | 49% | Median |
| 52 | 8% | 33% | |
| 53 | 10% | 25% | |
| 54 | 7% | 15% | |
| 55 | 3% | 8% | |
| 56 | 2% | 4% | |
| 57 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 18 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 19 | 2% | 98% | |
| 20 | 1.5% | 96% | |
| 21 | 1.5% | 95% | |
| 22 | 6% | 93% | |
| 23 | 15% | 87% | |
| 24 | 7% | 72% | |
| 25 | 6% | 65% | |
| 26 | 9% | 59% | |
| 27 | 8% | 50% | |
| 28 | 11% | 42% | Median |
| 29 | 12% | 31% | |
| 30 | 4% | 19% | |
| 31 | 10% | 15% | |
| 32 | 3% | 5% | |
| 33 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Respons Analyse
- Commissioner(s): VG
- Fieldwork period: 4–9 June 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.93%