Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Høyre |
20.4% |
24.6% |
22.9–26.4% |
22.4–26.9% |
22.0–27.4% |
21.2–28.3% |
Arbeiderpartiet |
26.2% |
22.2% |
20.6–24.0% |
20.1–24.4% |
19.7–24.9% |
19.0–25.7% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
11.6% |
14.6% |
13.2–16.1% |
12.9–16.6% |
12.5–16.9% |
11.9–17.7% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
7.6% |
9.5% |
8.4–10.8% |
8.1–11.2% |
7.8–11.5% |
7.3–12.1% |
Senterpartiet |
13.5% |
7.0% |
6.1–8.2% |
5.8–8.5% |
5.6–8.8% |
5.2–9.3% |
Rødt |
4.7% |
5.7% |
4.9–6.8% |
4.6–7.1% |
4.4–7.3% |
4.1–7.9% |
Venstre |
4.6% |
4.6% |
3.9–5.6% |
3.6–5.9% |
3.5–6.1% |
3.1–6.6% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.9% |
4.3% |
3.6–5.2% |
3.4–5.5% |
3.2–5.7% |
2.9–6.2% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
3.8% |
3.5% |
2.9–4.4% |
2.7–4.6% |
2.5–4.8% |
2.2–5.3% |
Norgesdemokratene |
1.1% |
0.9% |
0.6–1.4% |
0.5–1.6% |
0.5–1.7% |
0.4–2.0% |
Pensjonistpartiet |
0.6% |
0.9% |
0.6–1.4% |
0.5–1.6% |
0.5–1.7% |
0.4–2.0% |
Folkets parti |
0.1% |
0.7% |
0.5–1.2% |
0.4–1.3% |
0.3–1.4% |
0.2–1.7% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet |
0.3% |
0.5% |
0.3–0.9% |
0.3–1.1% |
0.2–1.2% |
0.2–1.4% |
Konservativt |
0.4% |
0.2% |
0.1–0.5% |
0.1–0.6% |
0.1–0.7% |
0.0–0.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
37 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
38 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
39 |
0.8% |
99.5% |
|
40 |
9% |
98.7% |
|
41 |
2% |
89% |
|
42 |
46% |
87% |
Median |
43 |
0.2% |
41% |
|
44 |
2% |
41% |
|
45 |
16% |
39% |
|
46 |
5% |
24% |
|
47 |
12% |
18% |
|
48 |
4% |
6% |
|
49 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
50 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
51 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
35 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
36 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
37 |
0.8% |
99.1% |
|
38 |
34% |
98% |
|
39 |
15% |
64% |
Median |
40 |
4% |
49% |
|
41 |
13% |
45% |
|
42 |
6% |
32% |
|
43 |
6% |
26% |
|
44 |
11% |
21% |
|
45 |
7% |
9% |
|
46 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
47 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
48 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
Last Result |
49 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
50 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
51 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
20 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
21 |
11% |
99.7% |
Last Result |
22 |
2% |
89% |
|
23 |
7% |
87% |
|
24 |
4% |
80% |
|
25 |
0.5% |
77% |
|
26 |
4% |
76% |
|
27 |
13% |
72% |
|
28 |
5% |
59% |
|
29 |
33% |
54% |
Median |
30 |
10% |
20% |
|
31 |
0.5% |
10% |
|
32 |
9% |
10% |
|
33 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
35 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
3% |
100% |
|
12 |
0.3% |
97% |
|
13 |
12% |
97% |
Last Result |
14 |
7% |
85% |
|
15 |
20% |
78% |
|
16 |
3% |
58% |
|
17 |
44% |
55% |
Median |
18 |
4% |
11% |
|
19 |
4% |
6% |
|
20 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
21 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
22 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
23 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
8 |
4% |
99.9% |
|
9 |
4% |
96% |
|
10 |
31% |
92% |
|
11 |
10% |
61% |
|
12 |
18% |
52% |
Median |
13 |
20% |
33% |
|
14 |
7% |
14% |
|
15 |
4% |
6% |
|
16 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
17 |
1.4% |
1.4% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
6 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
7 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
8 |
13% |
99.2% |
Last Result |
9 |
50% |
86% |
Median |
10 |
18% |
36% |
|
11 |
5% |
19% |
|
12 |
9% |
14% |
|
13 |
0.4% |
4% |
|
14 |
4% |
4% |
|
15 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
4% |
100% |
|
3 |
2% |
96% |
|
4 |
0% |
94% |
|
5 |
0% |
94% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
94% |
|
7 |
17% |
94% |
|
8 |
43% |
77% |
Last Result, Median |
9 |
18% |
34% |
|
10 |
14% |
16% |
|
11 |
2% |
2% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
3% |
100% |
|
2 |
15% |
97% |
|
3 |
6% |
82% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
77% |
|
5 |
0% |
77% |
|
6 |
0% |
77% |
|
7 |
14% |
77% |
|
8 |
50% |
62% |
Median |
9 |
10% |
12% |
|
10 |
2% |
2% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
1 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
2 |
29% |
99.7% |
|
3 |
16% |
70% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
55% |
|
5 |
0% |
55% |
|
6 |
3% |
55% |
|
7 |
46% |
51% |
Median |
8 |
5% |
6% |
|
9 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Folkets parti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Folkets parti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
90% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
10% |
10% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
96 |
96 |
99.9% |
91–98 |
90–100 |
88–103 |
86–103 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
71 |
92 |
91% |
85–94 |
84–95 |
82–96 |
79–96 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
100 |
83 |
36% |
81–89 |
79–89 |
78–92 |
78–97 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
68 |
85 |
52% |
80–87 |
79–89 |
75–90 |
71–90 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
95 |
80 |
19% |
74–86 |
73–88 |
73–88 |
73–89 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
65 |
79 |
7% |
73–82 |
72–85 |
72–87 |
69–87 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt |
97 |
76 |
4% |
74–83 |
73–84 |
72–86 |
72–89 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
92 |
73 |
1.3% |
71–80 |
71–80 |
70–82 |
70–86 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
72 |
72 |
0% |
70–77 |
68–78 |
65–79 |
65–82 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
57 |
71 |
0% |
66–75 |
64–77 |
63–78 |
63–81 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet |
89 |
68 |
0% |
64–71 |
64–74 |
63–76 |
63–78 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
82 |
63 |
0% |
58–71 |
56–73 |
54–73 |
54–74 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
79 |
55 |
0% |
54–63 |
54–64 |
53–64 |
51–67 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
61 |
55 |
0% |
54–60 |
52–60 |
52–61 |
52–65 |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
47 |
57 |
0% |
53–59 |
52–61 |
51–61 |
44–61 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
76 |
52 |
0% |
48–56 |
48–57 |
48–58 |
48–61 |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
39 |
25 |
0% |
22–26 |
20–28 |
19–28 |
16–29 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
Majority |
86 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
87 |
0.5% |
99.3% |
|
88 |
2% |
98.9% |
|
89 |
1.1% |
97% |
|
90 |
1.2% |
96% |
|
91 |
6% |
95% |
|
92 |
10% |
88% |
|
93 |
3% |
78% |
|
94 |
2% |
75% |
|
95 |
8% |
74% |
|
96 |
33% |
66% |
Last Result |
97 |
21% |
32% |
|
98 |
6% |
11% |
Median |
99 |
0.1% |
5% |
|
100 |
0.8% |
5% |
|
101 |
0.3% |
4% |
|
102 |
0.1% |
4% |
|
103 |
4% |
4% |
|
104 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
105 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
76 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
77 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
78 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
79 |
0.9% |
99.8% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
98.9% |
|
81 |
0.5% |
98.9% |
|
82 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
83 |
2% |
97% |
|
84 |
4% |
95% |
|
85 |
1.0% |
91% |
Majority |
86 |
10% |
90% |
|
87 |
1.1% |
80% |
|
88 |
16% |
79% |
|
89 |
10% |
63% |
|
90 |
1.4% |
53% |
|
91 |
0.2% |
52% |
|
92 |
10% |
51% |
|
93 |
4% |
41% |
|
94 |
30% |
37% |
Median |
95 |
3% |
8% |
|
96 |
4% |
4% |
|
97 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
98 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
99 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
4% |
99.9% |
|
79 |
4% |
96% |
|
80 |
0.3% |
92% |
|
81 |
6% |
91% |
|
82 |
30% |
85% |
|
83 |
16% |
55% |
|
84 |
3% |
39% |
|
85 |
0.3% |
36% |
Median, Majority |
86 |
5% |
35% |
|
87 |
2% |
31% |
|
88 |
15% |
29% |
|
89 |
9% |
14% |
|
90 |
0.6% |
5% |
|
91 |
0.4% |
4% |
|
92 |
2% |
4% |
|
93 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
94 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
95 |
0.1% |
1.2% |
|
96 |
0.1% |
1.0% |
|
97 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
99 |
0% |
0% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
99.1% |
|
73 |
0.2% |
99.0% |
|
74 |
0.3% |
98.8% |
|
75 |
2% |
98% |
|
76 |
0.5% |
97% |
|
77 |
0.5% |
96% |
|
78 |
0.8% |
96% |
|
79 |
3% |
95% |
|
80 |
20% |
92% |
|
81 |
2% |
72% |
|
82 |
5% |
70% |
|
83 |
0.6% |
65% |
|
84 |
12% |
64% |
|
85 |
7% |
52% |
Majority |
86 |
30% |
45% |
Median |
87 |
6% |
15% |
|
88 |
0.4% |
9% |
|
89 |
4% |
8% |
|
90 |
4% |
4% |
|
91 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
72 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
73 |
7% |
99.9% |
|
74 |
11% |
93% |
|
75 |
10% |
82% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
72% |
|
77 |
4% |
72% |
|
78 |
7% |
68% |
|
79 |
3% |
61% |
|
80 |
30% |
58% |
|
81 |
6% |
29% |
|
82 |
2% |
23% |
|
83 |
1.3% |
21% |
Median |
84 |
0.5% |
20% |
|
85 |
2% |
19% |
Majority |
86 |
10% |
17% |
|
87 |
0% |
7% |
|
88 |
6% |
7% |
|
89 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
90 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
91 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
69 |
0.9% |
99.8% |
|
70 |
0.3% |
99.0% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
98.7% |
|
72 |
6% |
98% |
|
73 |
12% |
92% |
|
74 |
0.3% |
80% |
|
75 |
1.4% |
80% |
|
76 |
0.8% |
78% |
|
77 |
4% |
78% |
|
78 |
5% |
74% |
|
79 |
30% |
69% |
Median |
80 |
4% |
39% |
|
81 |
4% |
35% |
|
82 |
23% |
31% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
8% |
|
84 |
0.7% |
8% |
|
85 |
3% |
7% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
4% |
|
87 |
4% |
4% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
70 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
72 |
4% |
99.7% |
|
73 |
3% |
96% |
|
74 |
30% |
92% |
|
75 |
4% |
63% |
|
76 |
10% |
59% |
|
77 |
0.2% |
49% |
Median |
78 |
1.1% |
48% |
|
79 |
6% |
47% |
|
80 |
21% |
42% |
|
81 |
10% |
21% |
|
82 |
1.4% |
11% |
|
83 |
0.9% |
10% |
|
84 |
5% |
9% |
|
85 |
1.3% |
4% |
Majority |
86 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
87 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
1.2% |
|
89 |
0.9% |
1.1% |
|
90 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
91 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
92 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
93 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
4% |
99.8% |
|
71 |
17% |
96% |
|
72 |
4% |
79% |
|
73 |
39% |
74% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
35% |
|
75 |
0.6% |
35% |
|
76 |
4% |
34% |
Median |
77 |
2% |
30% |
|
78 |
4% |
28% |
|
79 |
14% |
25% |
|
80 |
6% |
11% |
|
81 |
2% |
5% |
|
82 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
83 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
84 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
1.3% |
Majority |
86 |
1.1% |
1.2% |
|
87 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
89 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
4% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
96% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
96% |
|
68 |
0.7% |
96% |
|
69 |
0.2% |
95% |
|
70 |
15% |
95% |
|
71 |
12% |
79% |
|
72 |
34% |
68% |
Last Result |
73 |
8% |
34% |
Median |
74 |
0.9% |
26% |
|
75 |
3% |
25% |
|
76 |
11% |
23% |
|
77 |
2% |
12% |
|
78 |
5% |
10% |
|
79 |
3% |
5% |
|
80 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
1.1% |
|
82 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
84 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
5% |
99.8% |
|
64 |
0.7% |
95% |
|
65 |
1.1% |
95% |
|
66 |
11% |
93% |
|
67 |
4% |
82% |
|
68 |
2% |
78% |
|
69 |
4% |
77% |
|
70 |
1.2% |
73% |
|
71 |
34% |
71% |
Median |
72 |
14% |
37% |
|
73 |
0.8% |
24% |
|
74 |
10% |
23% |
|
75 |
5% |
13% |
|
76 |
0.9% |
8% |
|
77 |
4% |
7% |
|
78 |
3% |
3% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
80 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
81 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
62 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
63 |
4% |
99.8% |
|
64 |
11% |
96% |
|
65 |
29% |
85% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
56% |
|
67 |
4% |
56% |
|
68 |
4% |
51% |
Median |
69 |
3% |
47% |
|
70 |
11% |
44% |
|
71 |
24% |
33% |
|
72 |
2% |
8% |
|
73 |
1.1% |
6% |
|
74 |
2% |
5% |
|
75 |
0.5% |
3% |
|
76 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
77 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
78 |
0.9% |
1.2% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
81 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
3% |
100% |
|
55 |
0.3% |
97% |
|
56 |
3% |
97% |
|
57 |
0.5% |
93% |
|
58 |
14% |
93% |
|
59 |
0.5% |
79% |
|
60 |
0.3% |
79% |
|
61 |
8% |
78% |
|
62 |
1.0% |
71% |
|
63 |
30% |
70% |
|
64 |
12% |
39% |
|
65 |
0.3% |
27% |
|
66 |
0.9% |
27% |
Median |
67 |
6% |
26% |
|
68 |
2% |
20% |
|
69 |
1.4% |
18% |
|
70 |
1.1% |
17% |
|
71 |
10% |
16% |
|
72 |
0.3% |
6% |
|
73 |
5% |
6% |
|
74 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
49 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
52 |
0.4% |
99.3% |
|
53 |
3% |
98.9% |
|
54 |
12% |
96% |
|
55 |
37% |
84% |
|
56 |
13% |
47% |
|
57 |
5% |
34% |
|
58 |
1.3% |
29% |
Median |
59 |
7% |
28% |
|
60 |
3% |
21% |
|
61 |
0.3% |
18% |
|
62 |
2% |
18% |
|
63 |
10% |
16% |
|
64 |
5% |
6% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
1.2% |
|
66 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
67 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
50 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
52 |
7% |
99.6% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
92% |
|
54 |
11% |
92% |
|
55 |
35% |
82% |
|
56 |
4% |
47% |
Median |
57 |
5% |
42% |
|
58 |
11% |
38% |
|
59 |
16% |
26% |
|
60 |
6% |
11% |
|
61 |
3% |
4% |
Last Result |
62 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
63 |
0.5% |
1.3% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
65 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
68 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
44 |
0.9% |
99.7% |
|
45 |
0% |
98.9% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
98.8% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
98.8% |
Last Result |
48 |
0.1% |
98.7% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
98.6% |
|
50 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
51 |
2% |
98% |
|
52 |
4% |
96% |
|
53 |
4% |
92% |
|
54 |
10% |
87% |
|
55 |
9% |
77% |
|
56 |
5% |
68% |
|
57 |
34% |
63% |
Median |
58 |
10% |
29% |
|
59 |
11% |
19% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
9% |
|
61 |
8% |
9% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
63 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
64 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
46 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
48 |
29% |
99.7% |
|
49 |
0.4% |
70% |
|
50 |
8% |
70% |
|
51 |
10% |
62% |
Median |
52 |
9% |
52% |
|
53 |
5% |
43% |
|
54 |
10% |
37% |
|
55 |
1.2% |
27% |
|
56 |
18% |
26% |
|
57 |
4% |
9% |
|
58 |
2% |
4% |
|
59 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
60 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
63 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
64 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
17 |
1.2% |
99.5% |
|
18 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
19 |
2% |
98% |
|
20 |
3% |
96% |
|
21 |
2% |
93% |
|
22 |
5% |
91% |
|
23 |
8% |
86% |
|
24 |
11% |
78% |
|
25 |
39% |
67% |
|
26 |
19% |
27% |
|
27 |
2% |
9% |
Median |
28 |
6% |
7% |
|
29 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
30 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
31 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Sentio
- Commissioner(s): Amedia and Nettavisen
- Fieldwork period: 7–13 June 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.35%