Opinion Poll by Norstat for Vårt Land, 13–20 June 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 29.1% | 27.3–31.1% | 26.8–31.6% | 26.3–32.1% | 25.5–33.0% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 20.5% | 18.9–22.3% | 18.4–22.8% | 18.1–23.2% | 17.3–24.1% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 15.8% | 14.3–17.4% | 13.9–17.8% | 13.6–18.2% | 12.9–19.0% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.5–9.8% | 7.1–10.2% | 6.9–10.5% | 6.4–11.1% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 7.3% | 6.3–8.5% | 6.0–8.8% | 5.8–9.1% | 5.3–9.7% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.4–6.3% | 4.2–6.6% | 4.0–6.9% | 3.6–7.4% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.1–4.7% | 2.9–5.0% | 2.7–5.2% | 2.5–5.7% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.8–4.4% | 2.6–4.6% | 2.5–4.8% | 2.2–5.3% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.1–3.4% | 1.9–3.7% | 1.8–3.9% | 1.6–4.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 52 | 48–56 | 47–58 | 46–58 | 44–60 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 38 | 35–41 | 34–43 | 33–44 | 32–45 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 29 | 26–31 | 25–33 | 24–34 | 23–35 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 15 | 13–17 | 13–18 | 12–18 | 10–20 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 13 | 11–15 | 10–16 | 10–16 | 9–18 |
| Rødt | 8 | 9 | 7–11 | 7–12 | 1–12 | 1–13 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 3 | 2–8 | 1–9 | 1–9 | 1–10 |
| Venstre | 8 | 2 | 2–7 | 2–8 | 2–8 | 1–9 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 2 | 0–2 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–7 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 46 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 47 | 5% | 97% | |
| 48 | 3% | 92% | |
| 49 | 10% | 88% | |
| 50 | 8% | 78% | |
| 51 | 8% | 70% | |
| 52 | 15% | 62% | Median |
| 53 | 11% | 47% | |
| 54 | 18% | 36% | |
| 55 | 7% | 18% | |
| 56 | 4% | 11% | |
| 57 | 2% | 8% | |
| 58 | 3% | 5% | |
| 59 | 2% | 2% | |
| 60 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 33 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 34 | 4% | 97% | |
| 35 | 8% | 94% | |
| 36 | 11% | 86% | |
| 37 | 12% | 74% | |
| 38 | 13% | 62% | Median |
| 39 | 27% | 49% | |
| 40 | 9% | 22% | |
| 41 | 4% | 13% | |
| 42 | 4% | 10% | |
| 43 | 3% | 6% | |
| 44 | 2% | 3% | |
| 45 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 24 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 25 | 6% | 97% | |
| 26 | 10% | 90% | |
| 27 | 12% | 80% | |
| 28 | 14% | 68% | |
| 29 | 14% | 54% | Median |
| 30 | 20% | 39% | |
| 31 | 9% | 19% | |
| 32 | 4% | 10% | |
| 33 | 2% | 6% | |
| 34 | 2% | 3% | |
| 35 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 1.2% | 99.5% | |
| 12 | 3% | 98% | |
| 13 | 14% | 95% | Last Result |
| 14 | 15% | 81% | |
| 15 | 21% | 66% | Median |
| 16 | 18% | 45% | |
| 17 | 19% | 27% | |
| 18 | 5% | 8% | |
| 19 | 2% | 2% | |
| 20 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 10 | 4% | 98.6% | |
| 11 | 8% | 95% | |
| 12 | 30% | 86% | |
| 13 | 24% | 56% | Median |
| 14 | 13% | 32% | |
| 15 | 12% | 19% | |
| 16 | 5% | 7% | |
| 17 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 18 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 97% | |
| 3 | 0% | 97% | |
| 4 | 0% | 97% | |
| 5 | 0% | 97% | |
| 6 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 7 | 7% | 97% | |
| 8 | 17% | 90% | Last Result |
| 9 | 36% | 73% | Median |
| 10 | 19% | 37% | |
| 11 | 10% | 17% | |
| 12 | 6% | 7% | |
| 13 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9% | 100% | |
| 2 | 28% | 91% | |
| 3 | 25% | 63% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0% | 38% | |
| 5 | 0% | 38% | |
| 6 | 2% | 38% | |
| 7 | 17% | 36% | |
| 8 | 13% | 19% | |
| 9 | 5% | 6% | |
| 10 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 62% | 98% | Median |
| 3 | 19% | 35% | |
| 4 | 0% | 16% | |
| 5 | 0% | 16% | |
| 6 | 0.7% | 16% | |
| 7 | 8% | 16% | |
| 8 | 6% | 7% | Last Result |
| 9 | 1.3% | 1.5% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 23% | 100% | |
| 1 | 10% | 77% | |
| 2 | 60% | 67% | Median |
| 3 | 6% | 7% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 7 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 8 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 99 | 100% | 94–104 | 91–105 | 88–107 | 88–109 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 71 | 90 | 91% | 85–95 | 83–96 | 83–97 | 80–101 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 86 | 59% | 81–90 | 78–92 | 76–93 | 76–97 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 84 | 44% | 79–88 | 77–91 | 75–92 | 74–95 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 81 | 13% | 76–85 | 74–87 | 73–89 | 71–90 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 80 | 12% | 75–85 | 74–86 | 72–87 | 70–89 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt | 97 | 75 | 0.8% | 71–80 | 70–81 | 69–83 | 65–85 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 95 | 73 | 0.1% | 68–77 | 66–78 | 65–80 | 63–82 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 71 | 0% | 66–75 | 65–77 | 64–78 | 62–80 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 67 | 0% | 62–72 | 61–73 | 60–74 | 56–77 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 67 | 0% | 62–71 | 62–72 | 60–73 | 57–75 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 82 | 56 | 0% | 53–62 | 51–63 | 51–64 | 48–67 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 57 | 0% | 52–61 | 51–62 | 50–64 | 48–67 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 53 | 0% | 49–57 | 48–58 | 48–59 | 45–61 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 53 | 0% | 49–57 | 49–58 | 47–59 | 46–61 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 51 | 0% | 48–55 | 47–56 | 46–57 | 44–59 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 17 | 0% | 15–21 | 14–23 | 13–24 | 12–26 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 4% | 99.7% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 90 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 91 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 92 | 2% | 95% | |
| 93 | 2% | 92% | |
| 94 | 5% | 90% | |
| 95 | 11% | 86% | |
| 96 | 5% | 75% | Last Result |
| 97 | 11% | 70% | |
| 98 | 6% | 58% | Median |
| 99 | 8% | 53% | |
| 100 | 17% | 45% | |
| 101 | 10% | 28% | |
| 102 | 3% | 18% | |
| 103 | 3% | 15% | |
| 104 | 5% | 12% | |
| 105 | 3% | 7% | |
| 106 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 107 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 108 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 109 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 112 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 81 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 82 | 0.8% | 98.6% | |
| 83 | 4% | 98% | |
| 84 | 3% | 94% | |
| 85 | 8% | 91% | Majority |
| 86 | 5% | 84% | |
| 87 | 9% | 79% | |
| 88 | 6% | 70% | Median |
| 89 | 8% | 64% | |
| 90 | 11% | 56% | |
| 91 | 17% | 45% | |
| 92 | 5% | 28% | |
| 93 | 5% | 24% | |
| 94 | 7% | 18% | |
| 95 | 5% | 12% | |
| 96 | 4% | 7% | |
| 97 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 98 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 99 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 100 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 101 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 77 | 2% | 97% | |
| 78 | 1.1% | 95% | |
| 79 | 1.0% | 94% | |
| 80 | 3% | 93% | |
| 81 | 4% | 90% | |
| 82 | 6% | 87% | |
| 83 | 12% | 81% | |
| 84 | 10% | 69% | |
| 85 | 8% | 59% | Median, Majority |
| 86 | 10% | 51% | |
| 87 | 8% | 42% | |
| 88 | 18% | 34% | |
| 89 | 5% | 16% | |
| 90 | 3% | 12% | |
| 91 | 2% | 9% | |
| 92 | 2% | 6% | |
| 93 | 2% | 4% | |
| 94 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 1.5% | |
| 96 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 97 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 75 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 76 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 77 | 2% | 95% | |
| 78 | 2% | 94% | |
| 79 | 3% | 92% | |
| 80 | 6% | 89% | |
| 81 | 10% | 83% | |
| 82 | 8% | 72% | |
| 83 | 8% | 65% | Median |
| 84 | 12% | 57% | |
| 85 | 6% | 44% | Majority |
| 86 | 16% | 38% | |
| 87 | 8% | 22% | |
| 88 | 5% | 14% | |
| 89 | 2% | 9% | |
| 90 | 2% | 7% | |
| 91 | 2% | 5% | |
| 92 | 2% | 3% | |
| 93 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 94 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 95 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 73 | 4% | 99.0% | |
| 74 | 2% | 95% | |
| 75 | 2% | 94% | |
| 76 | 4% | 91% | |
| 77 | 6% | 88% | |
| 78 | 10% | 82% | |
| 79 | 9% | 72% | |
| 80 | 11% | 63% | |
| 81 | 7% | 53% | Median |
| 82 | 10% | 45% | |
| 83 | 7% | 35% | |
| 84 | 16% | 28% | |
| 85 | 4% | 13% | Majority |
| 86 | 4% | 9% | |
| 87 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 88 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 89 | 2% | 3% | |
| 90 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 71 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 72 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 73 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 74 | 3% | 96% | |
| 75 | 5% | 93% | |
| 76 | 6% | 88% | |
| 77 | 11% | 82% | |
| 78 | 8% | 71% | Median |
| 79 | 7% | 63% | |
| 80 | 20% | 56% | |
| 81 | 7% | 37% | |
| 82 | 8% | 30% | |
| 83 | 6% | 22% | |
| 84 | 4% | 16% | |
| 85 | 6% | 12% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 6% | |
| 87 | 2% | 4% | |
| 88 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 90 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 68 | 0.8% | 98.5% | |
| 69 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 70 | 3% | 97% | |
| 71 | 6% | 94% | |
| 72 | 9% | 88% | |
| 73 | 7% | 79% | |
| 74 | 13% | 72% | |
| 75 | 10% | 59% | Median |
| 76 | 7% | 49% | |
| 77 | 17% | 42% | |
| 78 | 9% | 25% | |
| 79 | 4% | 16% | |
| 80 | 3% | 12% | |
| 81 | 4% | 8% | |
| 82 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 83 | 2% | 3% | |
| 84 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 0.8% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 64 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 65 | 3% | 98% | |
| 66 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 67 | 3% | 94% | |
| 68 | 8% | 92% | |
| 69 | 7% | 83% | |
| 70 | 8% | 76% | |
| 71 | 13% | 68% | Median |
| 72 | 5% | 55% | |
| 73 | 18% | 50% | |
| 74 | 8% | 32% | |
| 75 | 3% | 25% | |
| 76 | 9% | 22% | |
| 77 | 5% | 13% | |
| 78 | 3% | 8% | |
| 79 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 80 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 82 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 63 | 0.9% | 98.7% | |
| 64 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 65 | 4% | 96% | |
| 66 | 4% | 93% | |
| 67 | 8% | 89% | |
| 68 | 9% | 81% | |
| 69 | 14% | 73% | Median |
| 70 | 6% | 59% | |
| 71 | 19% | 53% | |
| 72 | 5% | 34% | |
| 73 | 5% | 29% | |
| 74 | 7% | 24% | |
| 75 | 8% | 17% | |
| 76 | 2% | 9% | |
| 77 | 2% | 6% | |
| 78 | 2% | 4% | |
| 79 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 80 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 59 | 1.3% | 98.9% | |
| 60 | 2% | 98% | |
| 61 | 3% | 96% | |
| 62 | 5% | 93% | |
| 63 | 7% | 88% | |
| 64 | 11% | 81% | |
| 65 | 8% | 70% | Median |
| 66 | 8% | 62% | |
| 67 | 12% | 54% | |
| 68 | 17% | 43% | |
| 69 | 4% | 26% | |
| 70 | 5% | 22% | |
| 71 | 5% | 18% | |
| 72 | 3% | 13% | Last Result |
| 73 | 6% | 9% | |
| 74 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 75 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 59 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 60 | 1.4% | 98.7% | |
| 61 | 2% | 97% | |
| 62 | 7% | 95% | |
| 63 | 10% | 89% | |
| 64 | 5% | 79% | |
| 65 | 13% | 74% | |
| 66 | 10% | 60% | Median |
| 67 | 13% | 50% | |
| 68 | 17% | 38% | |
| 69 | 6% | 21% | |
| 70 | 4% | 14% | |
| 71 | 4% | 10% | |
| 72 | 3% | 6% | |
| 73 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 74 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 49 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 50 | 1.3% | 98.8% | |
| 51 | 3% | 98% | |
| 52 | 3% | 95% | |
| 53 | 4% | 92% | |
| 54 | 7% | 88% | |
| 55 | 14% | 81% | |
| 56 | 21% | 68% | Median |
| 57 | 4% | 46% | |
| 58 | 12% | 42% | |
| 59 | 8% | 30% | |
| 60 | 7% | 22% | |
| 61 | 4% | 15% | |
| 62 | 5% | 11% | |
| 63 | 2% | 6% | |
| 64 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 65 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 66 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 49 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 50 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 51 | 3% | 95% | |
| 52 | 3% | 92% | |
| 53 | 6% | 89% | |
| 54 | 12% | 84% | |
| 55 | 9% | 72% | |
| 56 | 6% | 63% | Median |
| 57 | 9% | 56% | |
| 58 | 20% | 48% | |
| 59 | 9% | 28% | |
| 60 | 5% | 20% | |
| 61 | 6% | 15% | |
| 62 | 4% | 9% | |
| 63 | 2% | 5% | |
| 64 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 65 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 46 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 47 | 1.0% | 98.7% | |
| 48 | 4% | 98% | |
| 49 | 6% | 94% | |
| 50 | 3% | 88% | |
| 51 | 16% | 84% | |
| 52 | 12% | 68% | |
| 53 | 25% | 56% | Median |
| 54 | 12% | 31% | |
| 55 | 5% | 18% | |
| 56 | 4% | 14% | |
| 57 | 4% | 10% | |
| 58 | 3% | 6% | |
| 59 | 2% | 3% | |
| 60 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 47 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 48 | 2% | 97% | |
| 49 | 6% | 95% | |
| 50 | 9% | 89% | |
| 51 | 10% | 81% | |
| 52 | 11% | 70% | |
| 53 | 11% | 59% | Median |
| 54 | 6% | 48% | |
| 55 | 10% | 42% | |
| 56 | 18% | 31% | |
| 57 | 6% | 13% | |
| 58 | 3% | 8% | |
| 59 | 3% | 5% | |
| 60 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 0.9% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 45 | 1.2% | 99.3% | |
| 46 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 47 | 3% | 97% | |
| 48 | 7% | 93% | |
| 49 | 12% | 86% | |
| 50 | 10% | 74% | |
| 51 | 23% | 64% | Median |
| 52 | 19% | 41% | |
| 53 | 8% | 23% | |
| 54 | 4% | 14% | |
| 55 | 5% | 11% | |
| 56 | 2% | 6% | |
| 57 | 2% | 3% | |
| 58 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 14 | 5% | 97% | |
| 15 | 12% | 92% | |
| 16 | 24% | 80% | |
| 17 | 15% | 57% | Median |
| 18 | 9% | 42% | |
| 19 | 9% | 32% | |
| 20 | 9% | 24% | |
| 21 | 5% | 15% | |
| 22 | 4% | 10% | |
| 23 | 2% | 6% | |
| 24 | 2% | 4% | |
| 25 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 26 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norstat
- Commissioner(s): Vårt Land
- Fieldwork period: 13–20 June 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 951
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.30%