Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Dagbladet, 27–29 June 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 26.8% | 24.8–29.0% | 24.2–29.6% | 23.7–30.1% | 22.7–31.2% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 23.1% | 21.2–25.2% | 20.6–25.8% | 20.2–26.3% | 19.3–27.3% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 14.8% | 13.2–16.6% | 12.7–17.1% | 12.4–17.5% | 11.6–18.4% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.8–10.5% | 7.4–10.9% | 7.1–11.3% | 6.6–12.1% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.3–7.6% | 5.0–8.0% | 4.7–8.3% | 4.3–9.0% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 4.6% | 3.8–5.8% | 3.5–6.1% | 3.3–6.4% | 3.0–7.0% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.2–5.1% | 3.0–5.4% | 2.8–5.6% | 2.4–6.2% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.8–4.6% | 2.6–4.9% | 2.4–5.2% | 2.1–5.7% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.8–4.6% | 2.6–4.9% | 2.4–5.2% | 2.1–5.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 48 | 44–51 | 43–52 | 42–53 | 40–56 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 44 | 40–48 | 39–50 | 38–51 | 37–52 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 29 | 22–31 | 21–32 | 21–33 | 19–35 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 14 | 12–17 | 11–18 | 10–19 | 9–21 |
| Rødt | 8 | 10 | 7–12 | 7–13 | 7–13 | 6–15 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 7 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–11 | 0–12 |
| Venstre | 8 | 5 | 2–8 | 2–8 | 2–9 | 2–10 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 6 | 3–7 | 1–8 | 0–8 | 0–8 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 2 | 1–7 | 1–7 | 1–8 | 1–9 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 1.5% | 99.3% | |
| 42 | 2% | 98% | |
| 43 | 3% | 96% | |
| 44 | 3% | 93% | |
| 45 | 8% | 90% | |
| 46 | 15% | 82% | |
| 47 | 9% | 67% | |
| 48 | 23% | 58% | Median |
| 49 | 12% | 34% | |
| 50 | 7% | 22% | |
| 51 | 6% | 15% | |
| 52 | 5% | 8% | |
| 53 | 2% | 4% | |
| 54 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 38 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 39 | 4% | 97% | |
| 40 | 5% | 93% | |
| 41 | 9% | 88% | |
| 42 | 15% | 79% | |
| 43 | 8% | 65% | |
| 44 | 9% | 56% | Median |
| 45 | 9% | 47% | |
| 46 | 14% | 38% | |
| 47 | 10% | 24% | |
| 48 | 5% | 14% | Last Result |
| 49 | 4% | 9% | |
| 50 | 2% | 5% | |
| 51 | 2% | 4% | |
| 52 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 1.3% | 99.4% | |
| 21 | 6% | 98% | Last Result |
| 22 | 6% | 92% | |
| 23 | 5% | 87% | |
| 24 | 6% | 82% | |
| 25 | 8% | 76% | |
| 26 | 5% | 68% | |
| 27 | 4% | 63% | |
| 28 | 9% | 59% | |
| 29 | 12% | 51% | Median |
| 30 | 18% | 39% | |
| 31 | 13% | 21% | |
| 32 | 3% | 7% | |
| 33 | 2% | 4% | |
| 34 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 35 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 9 | 1.3% | 99.6% | |
| 10 | 3% | 98% | |
| 11 | 4% | 95% | |
| 12 | 10% | 91% | |
| 13 | 21% | 81% | Last Result |
| 14 | 10% | 59% | Median |
| 15 | 17% | 49% | |
| 16 | 12% | 32% | |
| 17 | 12% | 20% | |
| 18 | 5% | 9% | |
| 19 | 3% | 4% | |
| 20 | 0.9% | 1.5% | |
| 21 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 7 | 10% | 98% | |
| 8 | 15% | 88% | Last Result |
| 9 | 13% | 73% | |
| 10 | 22% | 60% | Median |
| 11 | 20% | 39% | |
| 12 | 11% | 18% | |
| 13 | 6% | 8% | |
| 14 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11% | 100% | |
| 1 | 12% | 89% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 77% | |
| 3 | 0% | 77% | |
| 4 | 0% | 77% | |
| 5 | 2% | 77% | |
| 6 | 8% | 75% | |
| 7 | 21% | 67% | Median |
| 8 | 19% | 46% | |
| 9 | 11% | 27% | |
| 10 | 11% | 16% | |
| 11 | 4% | 5% | |
| 12 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 28% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 22% | 72% | |
| 4 | 0% | 50% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 50% | Median |
| 6 | 20% | 49% | |
| 7 | 17% | 30% | |
| 8 | 10% | 12% | Last Result |
| 9 | 2% | 3% | |
| 10 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 3% | 97% | |
| 2 | 3% | 94% | |
| 3 | 10% | 90% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 81% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 81% | |
| 6 | 35% | 80% | Median |
| 7 | 36% | 45% | |
| 8 | 9% | 9% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25% | 100% | |
| 2 | 47% | 75% | Median |
| 3 | 8% | 29% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 21% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 21% | |
| 6 | 8% | 20% | |
| 7 | 8% | 12% | |
| 8 | 3% | 4% | |
| 9 | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 92 | 91% | 85–98 | 84–100 | 81–101 | 78–103 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 89 | 79% | 82–93 | 80–96 | 79–97 | 77–100 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 86 | 62% | 79–90 | 78–93 | 76–95 | 73–96 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 80 | 11% | 73–85 | 72–87 | 71–88 | 68–91 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 78 | 9% | 71–84 | 70–86 | 69–88 | 67–92 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet | 97 | 75 | 3% | 69–81 | 67–83 | 66–85 | 64–87 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 73 | 1.1% | 67–80 | 66–82 | 65–83 | 62–86 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 76 | 0.6% | 69–80 | 68–81 | 67–82 | 65–85 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 71 | 0.8% | 65–77 | 64–79 | 64–81 | 61–85 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 68 | 0.1% | 61–74 | 60–76 | 59–77 | 56–81 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 65 | 0% | 59–71 | 58–72 | 56–73 | 54–76 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 59 | 0% | 53–65 | 52–68 | 51–68 | 46–71 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 59 | 0% | 54–63 | 53–65 | 53–66 | 50–69 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 59 | 0% | 53–62 | 52–64 | 50–65 | 47–68 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 57 | 0% | 51–61 | 49–63 | 48–64 | 44–66 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 51 | 0% | 45–56 | 44–57 | 42–58 | 39–60 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 17 | 0% | 10–22 | 10–23 | 9–24 | 4–26 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 81 | 1.0% | 98.5% | |
| 82 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 83 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 84 | 4% | 95% | |
| 85 | 2% | 91% | Majority |
| 86 | 4% | 89% | |
| 87 | 4% | 86% | |
| 88 | 6% | 82% | |
| 89 | 8% | 76% | |
| 90 | 7% | 68% | |
| 91 | 9% | 61% | |
| 92 | 7% | 52% | |
| 93 | 7% | 45% | |
| 94 | 3% | 39% | |
| 95 | 7% | 36% | Median |
| 96 | 6% | 28% | Last Result |
| 97 | 7% | 22% | |
| 98 | 7% | 16% | |
| 99 | 3% | 8% | |
| 100 | 2% | 5% | |
| 101 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 102 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 103 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 78 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 79 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 80 | 3% | 97% | |
| 81 | 3% | 94% | |
| 82 | 7% | 92% | |
| 83 | 3% | 85% | |
| 84 | 3% | 82% | |
| 85 | 5% | 79% | Majority |
| 86 | 6% | 75% | |
| 87 | 6% | 69% | |
| 88 | 7% | 63% | |
| 89 | 6% | 55% | |
| 90 | 11% | 49% | Median |
| 91 | 10% | 38% | |
| 92 | 11% | 27% | |
| 93 | 6% | 16% | |
| 94 | 3% | 10% | |
| 95 | 2% | 7% | |
| 96 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 97 | 2% | 4% | |
| 98 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 99 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 100 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 101 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 74 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 75 | 0.7% | 98.6% | |
| 76 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 77 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 78 | 3% | 95% | |
| 79 | 4% | 92% | |
| 80 | 7% | 88% | |
| 81 | 5% | 81% | |
| 82 | 3% | 76% | |
| 83 | 6% | 73% | |
| 84 | 5% | 67% | |
| 85 | 7% | 62% | Majority |
| 86 | 5% | 54% | |
| 87 | 8% | 49% | |
| 88 | 8% | 41% | Median |
| 89 | 7% | 33% | |
| 90 | 16% | 26% | |
| 91 | 2% | 10% | |
| 92 | 3% | 8% | |
| 93 | 2% | 5% | |
| 94 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 95 | 2% | 3% | |
| 96 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 99 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 69 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 98.6% | |
| 71 | 2% | 98% | |
| 72 | 4% | 96% | |
| 73 | 5% | 92% | |
| 74 | 4% | 88% | |
| 75 | 3% | 84% | |
| 76 | 4% | 81% | |
| 77 | 7% | 78% | |
| 78 | 6% | 71% | |
| 79 | 6% | 65% | |
| 80 | 13% | 59% | |
| 81 | 8% | 46% | |
| 82 | 6% | 39% | Median |
| 83 | 8% | 33% | |
| 84 | 13% | 24% | |
| 85 | 3% | 11% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 8% | |
| 87 | 3% | 6% | |
| 88 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 89 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 90 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 91 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 68 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 69 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 70 | 3% | 97% | |
| 71 | 11% | 95% | |
| 72 | 2% | 83% | |
| 73 | 8% | 81% | |
| 74 | 4% | 73% | |
| 75 | 4% | 69% | |
| 76 | 8% | 66% | |
| 77 | 4% | 57% | Median |
| 78 | 7% | 53% | |
| 79 | 8% | 46% | |
| 80 | 9% | 38% | |
| 81 | 5% | 29% | |
| 82 | 7% | 24% | |
| 83 | 5% | 17% | |
| 84 | 2% | 12% | |
| 85 | 3% | 9% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.5% | 6% | |
| 87 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 88 | 2% | 4% | |
| 89 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 90 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 65 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 66 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 67 | 2% | 97% | |
| 68 | 2% | 95% | |
| 69 | 10% | 93% | |
| 70 | 5% | 82% | |
| 71 | 8% | 77% | |
| 72 | 5% | 69% | |
| 73 | 5% | 64% | |
| 74 | 5% | 59% | |
| 75 | 7% | 54% | Median |
| 76 | 7% | 47% | |
| 77 | 5% | 40% | |
| 78 | 13% | 35% | |
| 79 | 5% | 21% | |
| 80 | 4% | 16% | |
| 81 | 5% | 12% | |
| 82 | 1.4% | 7% | |
| 83 | 2% | 6% | |
| 84 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 85 | 0.8% | 3% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 87 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 64 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 65 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 66 | 5% | 97% | |
| 67 | 5% | 92% | |
| 68 | 2% | 87% | |
| 69 | 4% | 85% | |
| 70 | 10% | 81% | |
| 71 | 9% | 71% | |
| 72 | 7% | 62% | |
| 73 | 6% | 55% | Median |
| 74 | 4% | 49% | |
| 75 | 10% | 45% | |
| 76 | 6% | 36% | |
| 77 | 7% | 30% | |
| 78 | 6% | 22% | |
| 79 | 4% | 16% | |
| 80 | 5% | 12% | |
| 81 | 2% | 7% | |
| 82 | 2% | 5% | |
| 83 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 84 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 1.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 66 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 67 | 2% | 98% | |
| 68 | 3% | 97% | |
| 69 | 4% | 94% | |
| 70 | 8% | 90% | |
| 71 | 5% | 82% | |
| 72 | 6% | 77% | |
| 73 | 5% | 71% | |
| 74 | 4% | 66% | |
| 75 | 9% | 62% | |
| 76 | 7% | 54% | |
| 77 | 11% | 46% | Median |
| 78 | 17% | 36% | |
| 79 | 5% | 18% | |
| 80 | 5% | 13% | |
| 81 | 4% | 7% | |
| 82 | 2% | 4% | |
| 83 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 84 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 0.6% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 98.8% | |
| 64 | 7% | 98% | |
| 65 | 3% | 92% | |
| 66 | 4% | 88% | |
| 67 | 3% | 85% | |
| 68 | 5% | 82% | |
| 69 | 9% | 77% | |
| 70 | 15% | 67% | Median |
| 71 | 8% | 53% | |
| 72 | 7% | 45% | Last Result |
| 73 | 8% | 37% | |
| 74 | 7% | 29% | |
| 75 | 6% | 22% | |
| 76 | 5% | 17% | |
| 77 | 2% | 12% | |
| 78 | 3% | 10% | |
| 79 | 3% | 7% | |
| 80 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 81 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 82 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 0.8% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 58 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 59 | 2% | 98% | |
| 60 | 4% | 97% | |
| 61 | 4% | 92% | |
| 62 | 3% | 89% | |
| 63 | 4% | 86% | |
| 64 | 11% | 82% | |
| 65 | 8% | 71% | |
| 66 | 4% | 63% | |
| 67 | 5% | 59% | Median |
| 68 | 7% | 54% | |
| 69 | 9% | 47% | |
| 70 | 11% | 38% | |
| 71 | 4% | 27% | |
| 72 | 5% | 23% | |
| 73 | 5% | 18% | |
| 74 | 4% | 13% | |
| 75 | 4% | 9% | |
| 76 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 77 | 2% | 4% | |
| 78 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 55 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 56 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 57 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 58 | 4% | 96% | |
| 59 | 1.4% | 91% | |
| 60 | 6% | 90% | |
| 61 | 7% | 84% | |
| 62 | 10% | 77% | |
| 63 | 9% | 67% | |
| 64 | 5% | 58% | |
| 65 | 5% | 53% | Median |
| 66 | 5% | 48% | |
| 67 | 9% | 42% | |
| 68 | 14% | 33% | |
| 69 | 4% | 19% | |
| 70 | 4% | 15% | |
| 71 | 5% | 11% | |
| 72 | 2% | 7% | |
| 73 | 3% | 5% | |
| 74 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 49 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 50 | 0.5% | 98.7% | |
| 51 | 2% | 98% | |
| 52 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 53 | 5% | 94% | |
| 54 | 6% | 89% | |
| 55 | 4% | 83% | |
| 56 | 6% | 79% | |
| 57 | 11% | 73% | |
| 58 | 5% | 62% | |
| 59 | 8% | 57% | Median |
| 60 | 12% | 49% | |
| 61 | 9% | 37% | |
| 62 | 7% | 28% | |
| 63 | 7% | 22% | |
| 64 | 4% | 15% | |
| 65 | 3% | 11% | |
| 66 | 2% | 8% | |
| 67 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 68 | 3% | 5% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 51 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 52 | 1.0% | 98.6% | |
| 53 | 3% | 98% | |
| 54 | 5% | 94% | |
| 55 | 13% | 90% | |
| 56 | 6% | 77% | |
| 57 | 11% | 71% | |
| 58 | 9% | 60% | Median |
| 59 | 15% | 52% | |
| 60 | 9% | 37% | |
| 61 | 7% | 28% | Last Result |
| 62 | 8% | 21% | |
| 63 | 5% | 13% | |
| 64 | 2% | 8% | |
| 65 | 3% | 7% | |
| 66 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 67 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.4% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 49 | 1.0% | 99.1% | |
| 50 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 51 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 52 | 4% | 95% | |
| 53 | 3% | 91% | |
| 54 | 4% | 88% | |
| 55 | 8% | 84% | |
| 56 | 11% | 76% | |
| 57 | 6% | 65% | |
| 58 | 9% | 59% | |
| 59 | 4% | 50% | Median |
| 60 | 21% | 46% | |
| 61 | 8% | 25% | |
| 62 | 7% | 17% | |
| 63 | 4% | 10% | |
| 64 | 3% | 6% | |
| 65 | 2% | 3% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 46 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 47 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 48 | 2% | 98% | |
| 49 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 50 | 3% | 95% | |
| 51 | 7% | 92% | |
| 52 | 2% | 86% | |
| 53 | 8% | 83% | |
| 54 | 7% | 75% | |
| 55 | 12% | 68% | |
| 56 | 4% | 55% | |
| 57 | 7% | 51% | Median |
| 58 | 11% | 44% | |
| 59 | 11% | 33% | |
| 60 | 7% | 22% | |
| 61 | 6% | 15% | |
| 62 | 5% | 10% | |
| 63 | 2% | 5% | |
| 64 | 2% | 3% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 41 | 1.3% | 98.9% | |
| 42 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 43 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 44 | 2% | 95% | |
| 45 | 5% | 94% | |
| 46 | 5% | 89% | |
| 47 | 9% | 84% | |
| 48 | 5% | 75% | |
| 49 | 10% | 70% | |
| 50 | 6% | 60% | |
| 51 | 13% | 54% | Median |
| 52 | 9% | 41% | |
| 53 | 6% | 32% | |
| 54 | 9% | 26% | |
| 55 | 7% | 17% | |
| 56 | 4% | 11% | |
| 57 | 4% | 7% | |
| 58 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 59 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 6 | 0.5% | 98.8% | |
| 7 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 8 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 9 | 2% | 98% | |
| 10 | 7% | 96% | |
| 11 | 3% | 89% | |
| 12 | 2% | 86% | |
| 13 | 8% | 84% | |
| 14 | 5% | 76% | |
| 15 | 5% | 70% | |
| 16 | 7% | 65% | |
| 17 | 11% | 58% | |
| 18 | 6% | 47% | Median |
| 19 | 13% | 41% | |
| 20 | 9% | 28% | |
| 21 | 8% | 19% | |
| 22 | 4% | 11% | |
| 23 | 2% | 7% | |
| 24 | 3% | 5% | |
| 25 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 26 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): Dagbladet
- Fieldwork period: 27–29 June 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 732
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.27%