Opinion Poll by Norfakta for Klassekampen and Nationen, 5–6 July 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 28.9% | 27.1–30.7% | 26.6–31.3% | 26.1–31.7% | 25.3–32.7% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 21.2% | 19.6–22.9% | 19.2–23.4% | 18.8–23.8% | 18.0–24.7% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 14.0% | 12.7–15.5% | 12.3–16.0% | 12.0–16.3% | 11.4–17.1% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 10.0% | 8.9–11.4% | 8.6–11.7% | 8.3–12.1% | 7.8–12.7% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 5.6% | 4.7–6.6% | 4.5–6.9% | 4.3–7.2% | 3.9–7.7% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.6–6.4% | 4.3–6.7% | 4.1–7.0% | 3.8–7.5% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.6–5.9% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.9–4.5% | 2.7–4.7% | 2.6–4.9% | 2.3–5.4% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.6–4.0% | 2.4–4.3% | 2.3–4.5% | 2.0–4.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 51 | 48–54 | 47–55 | 46–57 | 44–59 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 41 | 37–44 | 36–45 | 35–46 | 34–49 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 25 | 21–29 | 21–30 | 20–31 | 18–32 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 17 | 15–20 | 14–21 | 13–21 | 12–23 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 9 | 8–12 | 7–12 | 7–13 | 1–14 |
| Rødt | 8 | 9 | 7–11 | 7–12 | 6–12 | 1–13 |
| Venstre | 8 | 3 | 2–8 | 2–9 | 2–9 | 2–10 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 3 | 1–7 | 1–8 | 1–8 | 1–9 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 2 | 2–6 | 1–7 | 1–7 | 0–8 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 45 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 46 | 2% | 98% | |
| 47 | 3% | 96% | |
| 48 | 17% | 93% | |
| 49 | 14% | 77% | |
| 50 | 10% | 62% | |
| 51 | 21% | 52% | Median |
| 52 | 11% | 31% | |
| 53 | 5% | 20% | |
| 54 | 6% | 14% | |
| 55 | 4% | 8% | |
| 56 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 57 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 58 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 35 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 36 | 5% | 97% | |
| 37 | 6% | 92% | |
| 38 | 9% | 86% | |
| 39 | 15% | 77% | |
| 40 | 12% | 62% | |
| 41 | 16% | 50% | Median |
| 42 | 13% | 34% | |
| 43 | 6% | 22% | |
| 44 | 7% | 16% | |
| 45 | 5% | 8% | |
| 46 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 47 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 48 | 0.9% | 1.4% | Last Result |
| 49 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 20 | 1.3% | 98.7% | |
| 21 | 8% | 97% | Last Result |
| 22 | 11% | 89% | |
| 23 | 11% | 79% | |
| 24 | 10% | 68% | |
| 25 | 12% | 57% | Median |
| 26 | 11% | 45% | |
| 27 | 10% | 34% | |
| 28 | 7% | 24% | |
| 29 | 10% | 17% | |
| 30 | 3% | 7% | |
| 31 | 2% | 3% | |
| 32 | 1.0% | 1.5% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 12 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 13 | 2% | 98.6% | Last Result |
| 14 | 6% | 97% | |
| 15 | 19% | 91% | |
| 16 | 21% | 72% | |
| 17 | 17% | 51% | Median |
| 18 | 11% | 34% | |
| 19 | 9% | 23% | |
| 20 | 8% | 14% | |
| 21 | 4% | 6% | |
| 22 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 23 | 2% | 2% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 6 | 1.3% | 99.2% | |
| 7 | 7% | 98% | |
| 8 | 23% | 91% | |
| 9 | 24% | 68% | Median |
| 10 | 17% | 44% | |
| 11 | 13% | 27% | |
| 12 | 9% | 13% | |
| 13 | 4% | 5% | |
| 14 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 6 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 7 | 8% | 96% | |
| 8 | 24% | 88% | Last Result |
| 9 | 25% | 64% | Median |
| 10 | 22% | 40% | |
| 11 | 12% | 18% | |
| 12 | 5% | 6% | |
| 13 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 28% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 25% | 72% | Median |
| 4 | 0% | 47% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 47% | |
| 6 | 6% | 47% | |
| 7 | 22% | 41% | |
| 8 | 13% | 20% | Last Result |
| 9 | 5% | 6% | |
| 10 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16% | 100% | |
| 2 | 32% | 84% | |
| 3 | 15% | 52% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0% | 37% | |
| 5 | 0% | 37% | |
| 6 | 5% | 37% | |
| 7 | 24% | 32% | |
| 8 | 7% | 8% | |
| 9 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 3% | 98% | |
| 2 | 58% | 95% | Median |
| 3 | 26% | 37% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 12% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 12% | |
| 6 | 3% | 11% | |
| 7 | 7% | 9% | |
| 8 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 93 | 98.5% | 87–99 | 86–100 | 85–101 | 83–103 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 71 | 87 | 72% | 82–93 | 80–94 | 79–96 | 78–99 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 83 | 37% | 78–89 | 76–90 | 75–92 | 73–94 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 81 | 17% | 75–86 | 74–88 | 72–89 | 71–91 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 79 | 15% | 75–85 | 73–87 | 71–88 | 69–90 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt | 97 | 76 | 2% | 71–81 | 69–83 | 68–84 | 66–86 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 76 | 1.0% | 70–81 | 69–82 | 69–83 | 68–86 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 95 | 73 | 0.6% | 69–79 | 67–81 | 66–82 | 63–85 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 70 | 0% | 66–76 | 65–78 | 63–79 | 61–81 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 70 | 0% | 65–76 | 64–77 | 62–78 | 61–81 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 66 | 0% | 62–72 | 61–74 | 60–75 | 58–76 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 58 | 0% | 54–63 | 53–64 | 52–65 | 50–68 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 57 | 0% | 53–62 | 52–63 | 52–64 | 50–66 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 82 | 56 | 0% | 52–62 | 50–63 | 49–64 | 47–66 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 53 | 0% | 48–58 | 48–58 | 47–59 | 44–63 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 50 | 0% | 46–54 | 45–55 | 44–56 | 42–57 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 17 | 0% | 13–21 | 12–23 | 12–24 | 10–26 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 84 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 85 | 1.4% | 98.5% | Majority |
| 86 | 5% | 97% | |
| 87 | 3% | 92% | |
| 88 | 3% | 89% | |
| 89 | 5% | 87% | |
| 90 | 10% | 82% | Median |
| 91 | 10% | 72% | |
| 92 | 9% | 62% | |
| 93 | 14% | 53% | |
| 94 | 9% | 39% | |
| 95 | 7% | 30% | |
| 96 | 4% | 23% | Last Result |
| 97 | 4% | 19% | |
| 98 | 5% | 15% | |
| 99 | 4% | 10% | |
| 100 | 2% | 6% | |
| 101 | 2% | 4% | |
| 102 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 103 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 79 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 80 | 3% | 97% | |
| 81 | 4% | 94% | |
| 82 | 5% | 90% | |
| 83 | 4% | 85% | |
| 84 | 9% | 82% | Median |
| 85 | 10% | 72% | Majority |
| 86 | 7% | 62% | |
| 87 | 9% | 55% | |
| 88 | 6% | 46% | |
| 89 | 10% | 40% | |
| 90 | 4% | 29% | |
| 91 | 4% | 25% | |
| 92 | 7% | 21% | |
| 93 | 7% | 14% | |
| 94 | 2% | 6% | |
| 95 | 2% | 4% | |
| 96 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 97 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 98 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 99 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 75 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 76 | 3% | 96% | |
| 77 | 1.5% | 93% | |
| 78 | 4% | 91% | |
| 79 | 3% | 87% | |
| 80 | 7% | 84% | |
| 81 | 6% | 78% | Median |
| 82 | 13% | 71% | |
| 83 | 10% | 58% | |
| 84 | 11% | 48% | |
| 85 | 6% | 37% | Majority |
| 86 | 10% | 31% | |
| 87 | 6% | 21% | |
| 88 | 3% | 15% | |
| 89 | 4% | 11% | |
| 90 | 3% | 8% | |
| 91 | 2% | 5% | |
| 92 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 93 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 94 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 72 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 73 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 74 | 3% | 95% | |
| 75 | 3% | 92% | |
| 76 | 4% | 89% | |
| 77 | 8% | 85% | |
| 78 | 6% | 77% | |
| 79 | 9% | 71% | Median |
| 80 | 11% | 62% | |
| 81 | 10% | 51% | |
| 82 | 8% | 40% | |
| 83 | 8% | 33% | |
| 84 | 8% | 25% | |
| 85 | 5% | 17% | Majority |
| 86 | 4% | 12% | |
| 87 | 3% | 8% | |
| 88 | 2% | 5% | |
| 89 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 90 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 91 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 70 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 71 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 72 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 73 | 3% | 96% | |
| 74 | 3% | 93% | |
| 75 | 5% | 90% | |
| 76 | 5% | 85% | |
| 77 | 12% | 80% | |
| 78 | 7% | 68% | |
| 79 | 12% | 60% | Median |
| 80 | 9% | 49% | |
| 81 | 4% | 40% | |
| 82 | 8% | 35% | |
| 83 | 6% | 27% | |
| 84 | 6% | 22% | |
| 85 | 6% | 15% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 10% | |
| 87 | 3% | 7% | |
| 88 | 2% | 3% | |
| 89 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 90 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 68 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 69 | 4% | 97% | |
| 70 | 3% | 93% | |
| 71 | 4% | 90% | |
| 72 | 7% | 87% | |
| 73 | 6% | 80% | |
| 74 | 10% | 74% | |
| 75 | 12% | 64% | |
| 76 | 11% | 52% | Median |
| 77 | 7% | 41% | |
| 78 | 7% | 33% | |
| 79 | 7% | 26% | |
| 80 | 4% | 19% | |
| 81 | 5% | 14% | |
| 82 | 2% | 9% | |
| 83 | 2% | 7% | |
| 84 | 3% | 5% | |
| 85 | 1.0% | 2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 69 | 4% | 98.7% | |
| 70 | 5% | 95% | |
| 71 | 5% | 90% | |
| 72 | 5% | 85% | |
| 73 | 6% | 79% | |
| 74 | 10% | 73% | |
| 75 | 10% | 63% | |
| 76 | 10% | 53% | Median |
| 77 | 10% | 43% | |
| 78 | 11% | 33% | |
| 79 | 3% | 22% | |
| 80 | 6% | 19% | |
| 81 | 5% | 13% | |
| 82 | 3% | 8% | |
| 83 | 3% | 5% | |
| 84 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 1.0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 66 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 67 | 2% | 96% | |
| 68 | 3% | 94% | |
| 69 | 7% | 91% | |
| 70 | 11% | 84% | |
| 71 | 9% | 73% | |
| 72 | 8% | 65% | Median |
| 73 | 9% | 57% | |
| 74 | 10% | 48% | |
| 75 | 5% | 38% | |
| 76 | 11% | 33% | |
| 77 | 4% | 22% | |
| 78 | 6% | 18% | |
| 79 | 5% | 12% | |
| 80 | 2% | 7% | |
| 81 | 3% | 5% | |
| 82 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 83 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 0.6% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 62 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 63 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 64 | 2% | 97% | |
| 65 | 4% | 95% | |
| 66 | 4% | 92% | |
| 67 | 7% | 87% | |
| 68 | 13% | 80% | |
| 69 | 13% | 67% | |
| 70 | 5% | 54% | Median |
| 71 | 8% | 49% | |
| 72 | 9% | 41% | |
| 73 | 7% | 32% | |
| 74 | 5% | 24% | |
| 75 | 5% | 20% | |
| 76 | 8% | 15% | |
| 77 | 2% | 8% | |
| 78 | 2% | 5% | |
| 79 | 2% | 3% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 81 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 62 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 63 | 2% | 97% | |
| 64 | 2% | 96% | |
| 65 | 4% | 93% | |
| 66 | 5% | 89% | |
| 67 | 6% | 85% | |
| 68 | 11% | 78% | |
| 69 | 11% | 67% | |
| 70 | 10% | 56% | Median |
| 71 | 11% | 46% | |
| 72 | 4% | 35% | Last Result |
| 73 | 5% | 31% | |
| 74 | 12% | 26% | |
| 75 | 4% | 14% | |
| 76 | 4% | 10% | |
| 77 | 3% | 6% | |
| 78 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 79 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 59 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 60 | 2% | 98% | |
| 61 | 5% | 96% | |
| 62 | 3% | 92% | |
| 63 | 5% | 88% | |
| 64 | 8% | 84% | |
| 65 | 11% | 75% | |
| 66 | 16% | 64% | |
| 67 | 9% | 48% | Median |
| 68 | 8% | 39% | |
| 69 | 8% | 31% | |
| 70 | 7% | 23% | |
| 71 | 5% | 16% | |
| 72 | 3% | 11% | |
| 73 | 3% | 8% | |
| 74 | 2% | 5% | |
| 75 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 76 | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 52 | 1.3% | 98.7% | |
| 53 | 6% | 97% | |
| 54 | 8% | 92% | |
| 55 | 10% | 84% | |
| 56 | 8% | 74% | Median |
| 57 | 12% | 66% | |
| 58 | 10% | 54% | |
| 59 | 8% | 44% | |
| 60 | 8% | 36% | |
| 61 | 9% | 28% | |
| 62 | 8% | 20% | |
| 63 | 6% | 11% | |
| 64 | 2% | 5% | |
| 65 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 66 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 68 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 50 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 51 | 1.3% | 98.9% | |
| 52 | 4% | 98% | |
| 53 | 6% | 94% | |
| 54 | 6% | 88% | |
| 55 | 7% | 82% | |
| 56 | 14% | 75% | |
| 57 | 14% | 61% | |
| 58 | 14% | 47% | Median |
| 59 | 8% | 33% | |
| 60 | 10% | 25% | |
| 61 | 4% | 14% | Last Result |
| 62 | 2% | 11% | |
| 63 | 5% | 9% | |
| 64 | 2% | 4% | |
| 65 | 2% | 2% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 48 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 49 | 2% | 98% | |
| 50 | 2% | 96% | |
| 51 | 3% | 94% | |
| 52 | 4% | 91% | |
| 53 | 12% | 88% | |
| 54 | 10% | 76% | |
| 55 | 10% | 66% | Median |
| 56 | 13% | 56% | |
| 57 | 4% | 43% | |
| 58 | 6% | 38% | |
| 59 | 4% | 32% | |
| 60 | 7% | 28% | |
| 61 | 8% | 21% | |
| 62 | 4% | 13% | |
| 63 | 4% | 9% | |
| 64 | 2% | 4% | |
| 65 | 2% | 2% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 46 | 0.7% | 98.9% | |
| 47 | 3% | 98% | |
| 48 | 6% | 96% | |
| 49 | 11% | 90% | |
| 50 | 7% | 79% | |
| 51 | 11% | 72% | |
| 52 | 9% | 61% | Median |
| 53 | 15% | 52% | |
| 54 | 9% | 37% | |
| 55 | 5% | 28% | |
| 56 | 7% | 23% | |
| 57 | 6% | 16% | |
| 58 | 6% | 10% | |
| 59 | 2% | 4% | |
| 60 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 43 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 44 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 45 | 3% | 97% | |
| 46 | 6% | 94% | |
| 47 | 12% | 88% | |
| 48 | 9% | 76% | |
| 49 | 13% | 67% | |
| 50 | 14% | 55% | Median |
| 51 | 15% | 41% | |
| 52 | 5% | 26% | |
| 53 | 8% | 21% | |
| 54 | 5% | 14% | |
| 55 | 5% | 9% | |
| 56 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 57 | 2% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 10 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 11 | 1.4% | 99.2% | |
| 12 | 5% | 98% | |
| 13 | 9% | 93% | |
| 14 | 9% | 85% | Median |
| 15 | 12% | 76% | |
| 16 | 8% | 63% | |
| 17 | 14% | 55% | |
| 18 | 10% | 41% | |
| 19 | 7% | 31% | |
| 20 | 8% | 24% | |
| 21 | 6% | 15% | |
| 22 | 2% | 9% | |
| 23 | 5% | 8% | |
| 24 | 2% | 3% | |
| 25 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 26 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norfakta
- Commissioner(s): Klassekampen and Nationen
- Fieldwork period: 5–6 July 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1005
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.46%