Opinion Poll by Norfakta for Klassekampen and Nationen, 2–3 August 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Høyre |
20.4% |
28.7% |
26.7–30.8% |
26.2–31.4% |
25.7–32.0% |
24.7–33.0% |
Arbeiderpartiet |
26.2% |
22.2% |
20.4–24.1% |
19.8–24.7% |
19.4–25.2% |
18.6–26.2% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
11.6% |
13.4% |
11.9–15.0% |
11.5–15.5% |
11.2–15.9% |
10.5–16.7% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
7.6% |
8.4% |
7.3–9.8% |
7.0–10.2% |
6.7–10.6% |
6.2–11.3% |
Senterpartiet |
13.5% |
7.2% |
6.1–8.5% |
5.8–8.9% |
5.6–9.2% |
5.1–9.9% |
Rødt |
4.7% |
6.4% |
5.4–7.7% |
5.2–8.0% |
4.9–8.4% |
4.5–9.0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.9% |
4.2% |
3.4–5.2% |
3.2–5.5% |
3.0–5.8% |
2.6–6.3% |
Venstre |
4.6% |
3.7% |
2.9–4.7% |
2.7–5.0% |
2.5–5.2% |
2.2–5.7% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
3.8% |
2.9% |
2.3–3.8% |
2.1–4.1% |
1.9–4.3% |
1.7–4.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
43 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
44 |
0.9% |
99.7% |
|
45 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
46 |
4% |
97% |
|
47 |
5% |
93% |
|
48 |
8% |
88% |
|
49 |
14% |
80% |
|
50 |
13% |
66% |
|
51 |
12% |
53% |
Median |
52 |
12% |
41% |
|
53 |
10% |
29% |
|
54 |
6% |
18% |
|
55 |
5% |
12% |
|
56 |
1.4% |
7% |
|
57 |
3% |
5% |
|
58 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
59 |
0.6% |
1.2% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
61 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
62 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
34 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
35 |
0.9% |
99.5% |
|
36 |
3% |
98.5% |
|
37 |
9% |
95% |
|
38 |
4% |
86% |
|
39 |
7% |
82% |
|
40 |
6% |
75% |
|
41 |
8% |
69% |
|
42 |
6% |
61% |
|
43 |
12% |
55% |
Median |
44 |
11% |
43% |
|
45 |
11% |
32% |
|
46 |
13% |
21% |
|
47 |
5% |
8% |
|
48 |
1.1% |
2% |
Last Result |
49 |
0.9% |
1.3% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
18 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
19 |
2% |
99.2% |
|
20 |
4% |
97% |
|
21 |
7% |
93% |
Last Result |
22 |
12% |
86% |
|
23 |
12% |
74% |
|
24 |
15% |
62% |
Median |
25 |
14% |
47% |
|
26 |
10% |
33% |
|
27 |
13% |
22% |
|
28 |
4% |
9% |
|
29 |
4% |
5% |
|
30 |
0.9% |
1.3% |
|
31 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
32 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
10 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
11 |
4% |
98% |
|
12 |
10% |
95% |
|
13 |
19% |
84% |
Last Result |
14 |
22% |
66% |
Median |
15 |
24% |
44% |
|
16 |
9% |
20% |
|
17 |
6% |
11% |
|
18 |
2% |
5% |
|
19 |
2% |
3% |
|
20 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
21 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
8 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
9 |
3% |
99.3% |
|
10 |
6% |
96% |
|
11 |
7% |
91% |
|
12 |
19% |
83% |
|
13 |
32% |
64% |
Median |
14 |
16% |
32% |
|
15 |
9% |
15% |
|
16 |
5% |
7% |
|
17 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
18 |
1.0% |
1.1% |
|
19 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
8 |
1.3% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
9 |
6% |
98.5% |
|
10 |
19% |
92% |
|
11 |
22% |
74% |
|
12 |
27% |
52% |
Median |
13 |
14% |
25% |
|
14 |
6% |
11% |
|
15 |
4% |
5% |
|
16 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
17 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
18 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
3% |
100% |
|
2 |
28% |
97% |
|
3 |
21% |
68% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
0% |
47% |
|
5 |
0% |
47% |
|
6 |
2% |
47% |
|
7 |
12% |
45% |
|
8 |
24% |
33% |
|
9 |
6% |
8% |
|
10 |
2% |
3% |
|
11 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
2 |
41% |
99.1% |
|
3 |
20% |
58% |
Median |
4 |
0% |
38% |
|
5 |
0% |
38% |
|
6 |
1.4% |
38% |
|
7 |
19% |
37% |
|
8 |
12% |
18% |
Last Result |
9 |
4% |
5% |
|
10 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
14% |
100% |
|
1 |
5% |
86% |
|
2 |
59% |
81% |
Median |
3 |
18% |
22% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
4% |
|
5 |
0% |
4% |
|
6 |
0.3% |
4% |
|
7 |
3% |
4% |
|
8 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
96 |
94 |
99.0% |
90–100 |
88–101 |
87–102 |
84–104 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
71 |
86 |
71% |
82–91 |
81–94 |
80–95 |
77–97 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
100 |
87 |
67% |
81–91 |
80–92 |
79–93 |
76–96 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
68 |
82 |
22% |
77–87 |
76–88 |
74–89 |
71–91 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt |
97 |
81 |
18% |
75–86 |
74–86 |
73–87 |
71–90 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
65 |
80 |
11% |
75–85 |
73–86 |
72–86 |
69–89 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
95 |
77 |
3% |
72–82 |
70–83 |
70–85 |
67–87 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
57 |
75 |
0.7% |
70–80 |
69–81 |
68–83 |
66–85 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
92 |
75 |
0.4% |
70–79 |
69–81 |
67–81 |
66–84 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
72 |
73 |
0.2% |
68–78 |
67–79 |
66–81 |
64–83 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet |
89 |
70 |
0% |
64–73 |
63–74 |
62–75 |
60–77 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
82 |
62 |
0% |
57–69 |
55–70 |
54–70 |
53–73 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
79 |
58 |
0% |
52–61 |
51–62 |
51–64 |
48–66 |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
47 |
57 |
0% |
53–61 |
51–64 |
51–64 |
49–67 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
61 |
57 |
0% |
52–61 |
50–61 |
50–62 |
48–64 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
76 |
56 |
0% |
50–59 |
49–60 |
49–60 |
47–63 |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
39 |
19 |
0% |
15–24 |
14–25 |
14–25 |
12–28 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
81 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
84 |
0.5% |
99.5% |
|
85 |
0.8% |
99.0% |
Majority |
86 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
87 |
2% |
98% |
|
88 |
2% |
96% |
|
89 |
2% |
94% |
|
90 |
6% |
92% |
|
91 |
8% |
86% |
|
92 |
6% |
78% |
|
93 |
12% |
72% |
Median |
94 |
11% |
60% |
|
95 |
12% |
50% |
|
96 |
8% |
38% |
Last Result |
97 |
7% |
30% |
|
98 |
7% |
22% |
|
99 |
4% |
15% |
|
100 |
5% |
11% |
|
101 |
3% |
6% |
|
102 |
1.5% |
3% |
|
103 |
0.8% |
1.4% |
|
104 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
105 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
106 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
107 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
108 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
77 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
78 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
|
79 |
0.7% |
98.9% |
|
80 |
2% |
98% |
|
81 |
2% |
96% |
|
82 |
6% |
94% |
|
83 |
8% |
88% |
Median |
84 |
9% |
80% |
|
85 |
14% |
71% |
Majority |
86 |
10% |
57% |
|
87 |
9% |
46% |
|
88 |
10% |
38% |
|
89 |
8% |
28% |
|
90 |
6% |
20% |
|
91 |
4% |
14% |
|
92 |
2% |
10% |
|
93 |
2% |
8% |
|
94 |
3% |
6% |
|
95 |
2% |
3% |
|
96 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
97 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
98 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
99 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
76 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
77 |
0.6% |
99.2% |
|
78 |
0.6% |
98.6% |
|
79 |
2% |
98% |
|
80 |
5% |
96% |
|
81 |
5% |
90% |
|
82 |
5% |
85% |
|
83 |
7% |
80% |
|
84 |
7% |
73% |
|
85 |
6% |
67% |
Median, Majority |
86 |
11% |
61% |
|
87 |
16% |
50% |
|
88 |
8% |
34% |
|
89 |
10% |
26% |
|
90 |
5% |
16% |
|
91 |
3% |
11% |
|
92 |
4% |
8% |
|
93 |
2% |
4% |
|
94 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
95 |
0.3% |
1.1% |
|
96 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
97 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
98 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
99 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
69 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
72 |
0.7% |
99.4% |
|
73 |
0.5% |
98.7% |
|
74 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
75 |
1.5% |
97% |
|
76 |
3% |
96% |
|
77 |
7% |
93% |
|
78 |
5% |
86% |
|
79 |
8% |
81% |
|
80 |
11% |
73% |
Median |
81 |
11% |
62% |
|
82 |
15% |
51% |
|
83 |
8% |
36% |
|
84 |
6% |
28% |
|
85 |
6% |
22% |
Majority |
86 |
5% |
16% |
|
87 |
5% |
11% |
|
88 |
3% |
6% |
|
89 |
2% |
3% |
|
90 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
91 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
93 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
71 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
72 |
1.0% |
99.3% |
|
73 |
3% |
98% |
|
74 |
4% |
95% |
|
75 |
2% |
91% |
|
76 |
2% |
89% |
|
77 |
5% |
87% |
|
78 |
6% |
82% |
|
79 |
9% |
76% |
|
80 |
9% |
67% |
|
81 |
8% |
58% |
|
82 |
10% |
50% |
Median |
83 |
6% |
40% |
|
84 |
16% |
34% |
|
85 |
6% |
18% |
Majority |
86 |
8% |
12% |
|
87 |
1.5% |
4% |
|
88 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
89 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
90 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
91 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
69 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
70 |
0.5% |
99.3% |
|
71 |
0.7% |
98.8% |
|
72 |
2% |
98% |
|
73 |
2% |
96% |
|
74 |
3% |
94% |
|
75 |
6% |
91% |
|
76 |
4% |
85% |
|
77 |
8% |
80% |
|
78 |
8% |
73% |
Median |
79 |
10% |
64% |
|
80 |
16% |
54% |
|
81 |
14% |
39% |
|
82 |
5% |
25% |
|
83 |
5% |
20% |
|
84 |
4% |
15% |
|
85 |
5% |
11% |
Majority |
86 |
3% |
5% |
|
87 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
88 |
0.3% |
1.3% |
|
89 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
91 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
68 |
0.5% |
99.5% |
|
69 |
1.4% |
99.0% |
|
70 |
3% |
98% |
|
71 |
4% |
95% |
|
72 |
5% |
91% |
|
73 |
6% |
86% |
|
74 |
9% |
80% |
|
75 |
12% |
71% |
Median |
76 |
7% |
59% |
|
77 |
16% |
51% |
|
78 |
10% |
35% |
|
79 |
7% |
25% |
|
80 |
2% |
18% |
|
81 |
4% |
15% |
|
82 |
3% |
12% |
|
83 |
5% |
9% |
|
84 |
1.0% |
4% |
|
85 |
1.2% |
3% |
Majority |
86 |
0.8% |
1.4% |
|
87 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
88 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
90 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
66 |
0.7% |
99.6% |
|
67 |
1.2% |
98.9% |
|
68 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
69 |
3% |
96% |
|
70 |
4% |
93% |
|
71 |
5% |
89% |
|
72 |
9% |
84% |
|
73 |
12% |
76% |
|
74 |
8% |
63% |
|
75 |
8% |
55% |
Median |
76 |
7% |
48% |
|
77 |
10% |
40% |
|
78 |
13% |
31% |
|
79 |
6% |
17% |
|
80 |
1.4% |
11% |
|
81 |
5% |
10% |
|
82 |
1.0% |
5% |
|
83 |
2% |
4% |
|
84 |
0.6% |
1.3% |
|
85 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
87 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
88 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
66 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
|
67 |
1.4% |
98.9% |
|
68 |
2% |
97% |
|
69 |
4% |
95% |
|
70 |
7% |
92% |
|
71 |
9% |
84% |
|
72 |
8% |
75% |
|
73 |
5% |
68% |
Median |
74 |
8% |
62% |
|
75 |
19% |
55% |
|
76 |
9% |
36% |
|
77 |
9% |
27% |
|
78 |
4% |
18% |
|
79 |
5% |
14% |
|
80 |
2% |
9% |
|
81 |
5% |
7% |
|
82 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
83 |
0.6% |
1.5% |
|
84 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
85 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
64 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
65 |
0.9% |
99.0% |
|
66 |
3% |
98% |
|
67 |
4% |
95% |
|
68 |
5% |
91% |
|
69 |
5% |
86% |
|
70 |
8% |
81% |
|
71 |
7% |
73% |
|
72 |
7% |
66% |
Last Result, Median |
73 |
9% |
59% |
|
74 |
15% |
50% |
|
75 |
8% |
35% |
|
76 |
9% |
27% |
|
77 |
4% |
18% |
|
78 |
7% |
14% |
|
79 |
3% |
7% |
|
80 |
2% |
4% |
|
81 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
82 |
0.3% |
1.3% |
|
83 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
84 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
60 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
61 |
0.4% |
99.2% |
|
62 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
63 |
4% |
97% |
|
64 |
5% |
93% |
|
65 |
4% |
89% |
|
66 |
4% |
84% |
|
67 |
10% |
80% |
|
68 |
8% |
71% |
|
69 |
11% |
62% |
|
70 |
7% |
51% |
Median |
71 |
8% |
44% |
|
72 |
13% |
36% |
|
73 |
13% |
23% |
|
74 |
6% |
10% |
|
75 |
2% |
4% |
|
76 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
77 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
80 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
51 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
53 |
1.2% |
99.5% |
|
54 |
2% |
98% |
|
55 |
2% |
96% |
|
56 |
2% |
94% |
|
57 |
5% |
92% |
|
58 |
5% |
87% |
|
59 |
4% |
83% |
|
60 |
9% |
79% |
|
61 |
14% |
70% |
Median |
62 |
11% |
57% |
|
63 |
13% |
46% |
|
64 |
11% |
33% |
|
65 |
3% |
22% |
|
66 |
4% |
19% |
|
67 |
3% |
16% |
|
68 |
2% |
12% |
|
69 |
3% |
10% |
|
70 |
5% |
7% |
|
71 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
72 |
0.3% |
1.3% |
|
73 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
48 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
49 |
0.7% |
99.3% |
|
50 |
1.1% |
98.7% |
|
51 |
3% |
98% |
|
52 |
5% |
94% |
|
53 |
9% |
89% |
|
54 |
7% |
80% |
|
55 |
9% |
73% |
|
56 |
6% |
64% |
|
57 |
4% |
58% |
|
58 |
7% |
54% |
Median |
59 |
18% |
47% |
|
60 |
5% |
29% |
|
61 |
14% |
24% |
|
62 |
6% |
10% |
|
63 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
64 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
65 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
66 |
1.0% |
1.2% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
68 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
46 |
0% |
100% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
48 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
49 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
|
50 |
0.7% |
98.9% |
|
51 |
3% |
98% |
|
52 |
2% |
95% |
|
53 |
8% |
93% |
|
54 |
7% |
85% |
|
55 |
8% |
78% |
|
56 |
14% |
70% |
Median |
57 |
7% |
55% |
|
58 |
12% |
48% |
|
59 |
12% |
36% |
|
60 |
4% |
24% |
|
61 |
11% |
20% |
|
62 |
3% |
10% |
|
63 |
2% |
7% |
|
64 |
3% |
5% |
|
65 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
66 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
46 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
47 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
48 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
49 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
50 |
4% |
98% |
|
51 |
4% |
94% |
|
52 |
7% |
90% |
|
53 |
4% |
83% |
|
54 |
5% |
79% |
|
55 |
12% |
74% |
|
56 |
8% |
62% |
|
57 |
11% |
54% |
Median |
58 |
7% |
43% |
|
59 |
14% |
36% |
|
60 |
8% |
22% |
|
61 |
9% |
13% |
Last Result |
62 |
2% |
4% |
|
63 |
2% |
2% |
|
64 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
66 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
46 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
1.0% |
99.7% |
|
48 |
1.1% |
98.7% |
|
49 |
3% |
98% |
|
50 |
5% |
95% |
|
51 |
7% |
90% |
|
52 |
7% |
82% |
|
53 |
9% |
75% |
|
54 |
6% |
66% |
|
55 |
6% |
60% |
|
56 |
14% |
53% |
Median |
57 |
10% |
39% |
|
58 |
6% |
29% |
|
59 |
15% |
23% |
|
60 |
6% |
8% |
|
61 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
62 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
63 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
12 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
13 |
1.4% |
99.1% |
|
14 |
3% |
98% |
|
15 |
5% |
95% |
|
16 |
7% |
89% |
|
17 |
16% |
83% |
|
18 |
12% |
67% |
Median |
19 |
12% |
55% |
|
20 |
8% |
43% |
|
21 |
9% |
35% |
|
22 |
8% |
26% |
|
23 |
8% |
18% |
|
24 |
5% |
10% |
|
25 |
3% |
5% |
|
26 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
27 |
0.9% |
1.5% |
|
28 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
29 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
31 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norfakta
- Commissioner(s): Klassekampen and Nationen
- Fieldwork period: 2–3 August 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 794
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.94%