Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Dagbladet, 26 August 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 27.2% | 25.1–29.4% | 24.6–30.0% | 24.1–30.5% | 23.1–31.6% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 21.6% | 19.7–23.6% | 19.2–24.2% | 18.7–24.7% | 17.9–25.7% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 15.2% | 13.6–17.0% | 13.1–17.5% | 12.7–18.0% | 12.0–18.9% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.3–8.8% | 6.0–9.2% | 5.7–9.5% | 5.2–10.2% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.3–8.8% | 6.0–9.2% | 5.7–9.5% | 5.2–10.2% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 5.7% | 4.8–7.0% | 4.5–7.4% | 4.3–7.7% | 3.8–8.3% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.4–5.3% | 3.2–5.7% | 3.0–6.0% | 2.7–6.5% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.0–4.9% | 2.8–5.2% | 2.7–5.5% | 2.3–6.0% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.8–4.6% | 2.6–4.9% | 2.4–5.2% | 2.1–5.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 48 | 45–52 | 44–53 | 43–54 | 41–56 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 42 | 38–46 | 36–47 | 35–48 | 34–49 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 29 | 23–32 | 22–33 | 21–33 | 20–36 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 12 | 9–15 | 9–16 | 8–17 | 8–17 |
| Rødt | 8 | 12 | 9–14 | 9–15 | 8–15 | 7–18 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 10 | 7–12 | 7–13 | 6–14 | 1–15 |
| Venstre | 8 | 7 | 2–8 | 2–9 | 2–10 | 2–10 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 3 | 2–8 | 2–8 | 2–9 | 1–10 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 2 | 1–7 | 1–7 | 1–8 | 1–9 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 42 | 1.0% | 98.9% | |
| 43 | 2% | 98% | |
| 44 | 2% | 96% | |
| 45 | 7% | 94% | |
| 46 | 14% | 87% | |
| 47 | 10% | 73% | |
| 48 | 14% | 63% | Median |
| 49 | 15% | 49% | |
| 50 | 15% | 34% | |
| 51 | 5% | 18% | |
| 52 | 7% | 14% | |
| 53 | 4% | 7% | |
| 54 | 2% | 3% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 56 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 34 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 35 | 3% | 98.5% | |
| 36 | 2% | 96% | |
| 37 | 3% | 94% | |
| 38 | 6% | 91% | |
| 39 | 13% | 86% | |
| 40 | 5% | 72% | |
| 41 | 8% | 67% | |
| 42 | 17% | 59% | Median |
| 43 | 21% | 42% | |
| 44 | 6% | 21% | |
| 45 | 3% | 14% | |
| 46 | 4% | 11% | |
| 47 | 3% | 7% | |
| 48 | 3% | 4% | Last Result |
| 49 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 21 | 2% | 99.2% | Last Result |
| 22 | 3% | 97% | |
| 23 | 9% | 94% | |
| 24 | 4% | 85% | |
| 25 | 7% | 80% | |
| 26 | 3% | 74% | |
| 27 | 9% | 70% | |
| 28 | 9% | 61% | |
| 29 | 24% | 52% | Median |
| 30 | 10% | 28% | |
| 31 | 7% | 18% | |
| 32 | 6% | 12% | |
| 33 | 3% | 6% | |
| 34 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 35 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 36 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 8 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 9 | 7% | 97% | |
| 10 | 12% | 90% | |
| 11 | 16% | 78% | |
| 12 | 21% | 62% | Median |
| 13 | 21% | 41% | Last Result |
| 14 | 9% | 19% | |
| 15 | 5% | 11% | |
| 16 | 3% | 6% | |
| 17 | 2% | 3% | |
| 18 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 2% | 99.5% | Last Result |
| 9 | 7% | 97% | |
| 10 | 9% | 90% | |
| 11 | 18% | 80% | |
| 12 | 26% | 63% | Median |
| 13 | 18% | 37% | |
| 14 | 11% | 19% | |
| 15 | 6% | 8% | |
| 16 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 18 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 6 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 7 | 11% | 96% | |
| 8 | 18% | 85% | |
| 9 | 15% | 68% | |
| 10 | 22% | 52% | Median |
| 11 | 12% | 31% | |
| 12 | 9% | 18% | |
| 13 | 7% | 10% | |
| 14 | 2% | 3% | |
| 15 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 15% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 20% | 85% | |
| 4 | 0% | 66% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 66% | |
| 6 | 10% | 65% | |
| 7 | 20% | 56% | Median |
| 8 | 26% | 36% | Last Result |
| 9 | 7% | 10% | |
| 10 | 2% | 3% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 2 | 25% | 99.3% | |
| 3 | 34% | 74% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0% | 40% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 40% | |
| 6 | 8% | 39% | |
| 7 | 20% | 31% | |
| 8 | 9% | 12% | |
| 9 | 2% | 3% | |
| 10 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13% | 100% | |
| 2 | 42% | 87% | Median |
| 3 | 18% | 45% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 27% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 27% | |
| 6 | 10% | 26% | |
| 7 | 12% | 16% | |
| 8 | 3% | 5% | |
| 9 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 97 | 99.5% | 91–101 | 88–103 | 87–106 | 84–107 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 90 | 89% | 84–95 | 82–97 | 80–98 | 78–101 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 87 | 67% | 80–92 | 78–94 | 77–96 | 75–97 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 82 | 33% | 76–87 | 74–89 | 73–90 | 71–92 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 79 | 14% | 72–85 | 71–86 | 70–88 | 67–91 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 97 | 75 | 2% | 69–81 | 68–82 | 66–84 | 64–86 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 77 | 1.1% | 71–81 | 70–83 | 68–83 | 66–87 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 71 | 0.2% | 65–76 | 63–78 | 63–80 | 60–82 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 69 | 0% | 64–75 | 62–76 | 61–77 | 59–81 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 67 | 0% | 61–71 | 60–73 | 59–75 | 56–78 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 63 | 0% | 58–68 | 57–70 | 56–70 | 53–73 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 59 | 0% | 54–65 | 52–66 | 51–67 | 48–70 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 59 | 0% | 54–64 | 52–64 | 51–66 | 48–68 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 56 | 0% | 51–60 | 49–62 | 48–64 | 46–65 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 54 | 0% | 49–58 | 48–59 | 47–60 | 45–62 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 51 | 0% | 47–56 | 45–57 | 44–57 | 42–59 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 20 | 0% | 15–25 | 14–26 | 13–27 | 11–29 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 99.5% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 87 | 2% | 98% | |
| 88 | 2% | 96% | |
| 89 | 1.4% | 94% | |
| 90 | 2% | 93% | |
| 91 | 7% | 91% | |
| 92 | 7% | 84% | |
| 93 | 5% | 76% | |
| 94 | 7% | 71% | |
| 95 | 5% | 64% | |
| 96 | 7% | 60% | Last Result |
| 97 | 16% | 53% | Median |
| 98 | 11% | 37% | |
| 99 | 6% | 26% | |
| 100 | 6% | 20% | |
| 101 | 7% | 14% | |
| 102 | 2% | 8% | |
| 103 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 104 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 105 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 106 | 2% | 3% | |
| 107 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 79 | 0.9% | 98.8% | |
| 80 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 81 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 82 | 2% | 96% | |
| 83 | 2% | 95% | |
| 84 | 3% | 92% | |
| 85 | 4% | 89% | Majority |
| 86 | 6% | 85% | |
| 87 | 6% | 79% | |
| 88 | 7% | 73% | |
| 89 | 11% | 66% | Median |
| 90 | 17% | 55% | |
| 91 | 4% | 38% | |
| 92 | 8% | 34% | |
| 93 | 9% | 26% | |
| 94 | 4% | 17% | |
| 95 | 3% | 13% | |
| 96 | 4% | 10% | |
| 97 | 1.5% | 6% | |
| 98 | 3% | 5% | |
| 99 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 100 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 101 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 76 | 1.2% | 99.1% | |
| 77 | 2% | 98% | |
| 78 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 79 | 2% | 95% | |
| 80 | 4% | 93% | |
| 81 | 3% | 89% | |
| 82 | 4% | 87% | |
| 83 | 9% | 82% | |
| 84 | 6% | 73% | |
| 85 | 8% | 67% | Majority |
| 86 | 4% | 59% | |
| 87 | 13% | 54% | Median |
| 88 | 9% | 42% | |
| 89 | 7% | 32% | |
| 90 | 9% | 25% | |
| 91 | 5% | 16% | |
| 92 | 3% | 12% | |
| 93 | 3% | 9% | |
| 94 | 2% | 6% | |
| 95 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 96 | 2% | 3% | |
| 97 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 98 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 72 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 73 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 74 | 4% | 97% | |
| 75 | 2% | 93% | |
| 76 | 3% | 90% | |
| 77 | 3% | 87% | |
| 78 | 4% | 84% | |
| 79 | 5% | 80% | |
| 80 | 15% | 75% | |
| 81 | 7% | 60% | |
| 82 | 7% | 53% | |
| 83 | 5% | 46% | |
| 84 | 8% | 41% | Median |
| 85 | 7% | 33% | Majority |
| 86 | 5% | 26% | |
| 87 | 10% | 20% | |
| 88 | 4% | 10% | |
| 89 | 3% | 6% | |
| 90 | 2% | 3% | |
| 91 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 68 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 69 | 1.0% | 98.5% | |
| 70 | 2% | 98% | |
| 71 | 3% | 95% | |
| 72 | 3% | 92% | |
| 73 | 5% | 89% | |
| 74 | 5% | 84% | |
| 75 | 5% | 79% | |
| 76 | 6% | 74% | |
| 77 | 6% | 68% | |
| 78 | 10% | 62% | Median |
| 79 | 10% | 52% | |
| 80 | 8% | 42% | |
| 81 | 10% | 34% | |
| 82 | 4% | 24% | |
| 83 | 2% | 20% | |
| 84 | 3% | 17% | |
| 85 | 7% | 14% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 7% | |
| 87 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 88 | 2% | 4% | |
| 89 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 90 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 65 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 66 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 67 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 68 | 3% | 96% | |
| 69 | 4% | 93% | |
| 70 | 5% | 89% | |
| 71 | 5% | 84% | |
| 72 | 7% | 79% | |
| 73 | 7% | 73% | |
| 74 | 7% | 65% | |
| 75 | 9% | 59% | |
| 76 | 6% | 49% | Median |
| 77 | 7% | 43% | |
| 78 | 13% | 36% | |
| 79 | 9% | 23% | |
| 80 | 4% | 14% | |
| 81 | 3% | 10% | |
| 82 | 3% | 7% | |
| 83 | 2% | 4% | |
| 84 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 85 | 0.9% | 2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 68 | 2% | 98% | |
| 69 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 70 | 4% | 95% | |
| 71 | 4% | 91% | |
| 72 | 10% | 87% | |
| 73 | 7% | 77% | |
| 74 | 6% | 70% | |
| 75 | 4% | 64% | |
| 76 | 9% | 60% | |
| 77 | 11% | 51% | Median |
| 78 | 5% | 40% | |
| 79 | 14% | 35% | |
| 80 | 6% | 21% | |
| 81 | 7% | 15% | |
| 82 | 3% | 8% | |
| 83 | 3% | 5% | |
| 84 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 1.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 63 | 3% | 98% | |
| 64 | 2% | 95% | |
| 65 | 4% | 93% | |
| 66 | 3% | 89% | |
| 67 | 6% | 86% | |
| 68 | 9% | 80% | |
| 69 | 13% | 71% | Median |
| 70 | 6% | 58% | |
| 71 | 7% | 52% | |
| 72 | 5% | 46% | |
| 73 | 10% | 41% | |
| 74 | 9% | 31% | |
| 75 | 10% | 23% | |
| 76 | 4% | 13% | |
| 77 | 2% | 9% | |
| 78 | 2% | 7% | |
| 79 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 80 | 2% | 4% | |
| 81 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 60 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 61 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 62 | 4% | 97% | |
| 63 | 3% | 93% | |
| 64 | 9% | 90% | |
| 65 | 5% | 81% | |
| 66 | 4% | 76% | |
| 67 | 9% | 72% | |
| 68 | 7% | 63% | Median |
| 69 | 7% | 55% | |
| 70 | 11% | 48% | |
| 71 | 12% | 37% | |
| 72 | 4% | 25% | Last Result |
| 73 | 4% | 20% | |
| 74 | 2% | 16% | |
| 75 | 4% | 14% | |
| 76 | 6% | 10% | |
| 77 | 2% | 4% | |
| 78 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 57 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 58 | 1.0% | 98.5% | |
| 59 | 2% | 98% | |
| 60 | 4% | 96% | |
| 61 | 5% | 92% | |
| 62 | 5% | 87% | |
| 63 | 5% | 81% | |
| 64 | 4% | 77% | |
| 65 | 7% | 73% | |
| 66 | 14% | 66% | Median |
| 67 | 10% | 52% | |
| 68 | 14% | 43% | |
| 69 | 5% | 29% | |
| 70 | 5% | 24% | |
| 71 | 10% | 19% | |
| 72 | 2% | 10% | |
| 73 | 3% | 8% | |
| 74 | 2% | 5% | |
| 75 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 76 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 78 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 55 | 1.3% | 98.8% | |
| 56 | 2% | 98% | |
| 57 | 2% | 96% | |
| 58 | 4% | 94% | |
| 59 | 7% | 89% | |
| 60 | 7% | 82% | |
| 61 | 8% | 76% | |
| 62 | 4% | 67% | |
| 63 | 15% | 63% | |
| 64 | 10% | 48% | Median |
| 65 | 5% | 38% | |
| 66 | 16% | 33% | |
| 67 | 5% | 17% | |
| 68 | 4% | 13% | |
| 69 | 4% | 9% | |
| 70 | 3% | 5% | |
| 71 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 49 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 50 | 0.6% | 98.6% | |
| 51 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 52 | 3% | 97% | |
| 53 | 3% | 94% | |
| 54 | 4% | 91% | |
| 55 | 5% | 86% | |
| 56 | 10% | 82% | |
| 57 | 12% | 72% | Median |
| 58 | 9% | 60% | |
| 59 | 9% | 51% | |
| 60 | 5% | 42% | |
| 61 | 9% | 37% | |
| 62 | 9% | 28% | |
| 63 | 4% | 19% | |
| 64 | 5% | 15% | |
| 65 | 4% | 10% | |
| 66 | 2% | 6% | |
| 67 | 2% | 4% | |
| 68 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 49 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 50 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 51 | 3% | 98% | |
| 52 | 2% | 95% | |
| 53 | 2% | 93% | |
| 54 | 9% | 90% | |
| 55 | 6% | 82% | |
| 56 | 5% | 75% | |
| 57 | 10% | 71% | |
| 58 | 9% | 61% | Median |
| 59 | 8% | 52% | |
| 60 | 11% | 45% | |
| 61 | 12% | 34% | |
| 62 | 3% | 22% | |
| 63 | 3% | 19% | |
| 64 | 11% | 16% | |
| 65 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 66 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 67 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 46 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 47 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 48 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 49 | 2% | 97% | |
| 50 | 4% | 95% | |
| 51 | 4% | 90% | |
| 52 | 6% | 86% | |
| 53 | 9% | 80% | |
| 54 | 14% | 71% | |
| 55 | 7% | 57% | Median |
| 56 | 11% | 50% | |
| 57 | 8% | 39% | |
| 58 | 6% | 30% | |
| 59 | 5% | 25% | |
| 60 | 11% | 20% | |
| 61 | 3% | 9% | |
| 62 | 2% | 6% | |
| 63 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 64 | 2% | 3% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 46 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 47 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 48 | 3% | 97% | |
| 49 | 4% | 94% | |
| 50 | 8% | 90% | |
| 51 | 10% | 82% | |
| 52 | 8% | 72% | |
| 53 | 10% | 64% | |
| 54 | 6% | 53% | Median |
| 55 | 17% | 47% | |
| 56 | 13% | 30% | |
| 57 | 4% | 17% | |
| 58 | 4% | 13% | |
| 59 | 5% | 9% | |
| 60 | 3% | 5% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 2% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 43 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 44 | 1.4% | 98.6% | |
| 45 | 3% | 97% | |
| 46 | 2% | 94% | |
| 47 | 5% | 91% | |
| 48 | 7% | 86% | |
| 49 | 8% | 79% | |
| 50 | 6% | 71% | |
| 51 | 21% | 65% | |
| 52 | 6% | 44% | Median |
| 53 | 15% | 38% | |
| 54 | 8% | 23% | |
| 55 | 4% | 15% | |
| 56 | 4% | 11% | |
| 57 | 4% | 7% | |
| 58 | 2% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 11 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 12 | 1.4% | 99.2% | |
| 13 | 2% | 98% | |
| 14 | 3% | 95% | |
| 15 | 9% | 93% | |
| 16 | 4% | 83% | |
| 17 | 6% | 79% | |
| 18 | 10% | 73% | |
| 19 | 11% | 63% | |
| 20 | 9% | 52% | Median |
| 21 | 9% | 44% | |
| 22 | 11% | 34% | |
| 23 | 4% | 24% | |
| 24 | 4% | 19% | |
| 25 | 10% | 15% | |
| 26 | 3% | 5% | |
| 27 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 28 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 29 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): Dagbladet
- Fieldwork period: 26 August 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 732
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.21%