Opinion Poll by Norstat for Vårt Land, 23–29 August 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 29.3% | 27.4–31.2% | 26.9–31.8% | 26.4–32.3% | 25.6–33.2% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 21.5% | 19.8–23.3% | 19.4–23.8% | 19.0–24.2% | 18.2–25.1% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 13.5% | 12.2–15.0% | 11.8–15.5% | 11.5–15.9% | 10.9–16.6% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 8.5% | 7.4–9.8% | 7.1–10.2% | 6.9–10.5% | 6.4–11.1% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.4–8.6% | 6.1–8.9% | 5.8–9.2% | 5.4–9.8% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 5.7% | 4.9–6.8% | 4.6–7.1% | 4.4–7.4% | 4.0–8.0% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.4–5.1% | 3.2–5.4% | 3.0–5.6% | 2.7–6.1% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.4–4.8% | 2.1–5.2% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.2% | 2.1–4.4% | 1.9–4.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 51 | 48–56 | 47–57 | 46–58 | 45–61 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 42 | 37–47 | 36–48 | 36–49 | 34–50 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 24 | 21–28 | 19–30 | 19–30 | 18–31 |
| Rødt | 8 | 15 | 12–17 | 12–18 | 11–19 | 10–20 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 13 | 10–16 | 10–16 | 9–17 | 9–18 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 10 | 8–12 | 7–13 | 7–14 | 1–14 |
| Venstre | 8 | 7 | 2–9 | 2–9 | 2–10 | 2–10 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 3 | 2–7 | 2–8 | 1–8 | 0–9 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 2 | 1–7 | 1–7 | 1–7 | 1–8 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 46 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 47 | 4% | 96% | |
| 48 | 9% | 93% | |
| 49 | 7% | 84% | |
| 50 | 14% | 76% | |
| 51 | 15% | 63% | Median |
| 52 | 9% | 48% | |
| 53 | 9% | 38% | |
| 54 | 7% | 29% | |
| 55 | 8% | 22% | |
| 56 | 4% | 14% | |
| 57 | 6% | 9% | |
| 58 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 59 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 1.5% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 35 | 1.2% | 99.2% | |
| 36 | 4% | 98% | |
| 37 | 9% | 94% | |
| 38 | 7% | 85% | |
| 39 | 10% | 78% | |
| 40 | 9% | 68% | |
| 41 | 7% | 59% | |
| 42 | 13% | 52% | Median |
| 43 | 8% | 39% | |
| 44 | 8% | 31% | |
| 45 | 8% | 23% | |
| 46 | 3% | 15% | |
| 47 | 5% | 12% | |
| 48 | 4% | 7% | Last Result |
| 49 | 2% | 3% | |
| 50 | 2% | 2% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 2% | 100% | |
| 19 | 4% | 98% | |
| 20 | 3% | 95% | |
| 21 | 8% | 92% | Last Result |
| 22 | 10% | 83% | |
| 23 | 14% | 73% | |
| 24 | 14% | 60% | Median |
| 25 | 15% | 46% | |
| 26 | 10% | 31% | |
| 27 | 4% | 21% | |
| 28 | 8% | 18% | |
| 29 | 4% | 9% | |
| 30 | 4% | 5% | |
| 31 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 11 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 12 | 10% | 95% | |
| 13 | 18% | 85% | |
| 14 | 16% | 67% | |
| 15 | 17% | 51% | Median |
| 16 | 14% | 34% | |
| 17 | 13% | 20% | |
| 18 | 4% | 6% | |
| 19 | 2% | 3% | |
| 20 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 9 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 10 | 10% | 96% | |
| 11 | 16% | 86% | |
| 12 | 19% | 70% | |
| 13 | 19% | 51% | Last Result, Median |
| 14 | 13% | 31% | |
| 15 | 6% | 18% | |
| 16 | 8% | 11% | |
| 17 | 3% | 3% | |
| 18 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 6 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 7 | 4% | 98% | |
| 8 | 14% | 94% | |
| 9 | 20% | 80% | |
| 10 | 18% | 59% | Median |
| 11 | 25% | 42% | |
| 12 | 9% | 17% | |
| 13 | 5% | 8% | |
| 14 | 3% | 3% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 22% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 18% | 78% | |
| 4 | 0% | 60% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 60% | |
| 6 | 3% | 60% | |
| 7 | 23% | 56% | Median |
| 8 | 20% | 34% | Last Result |
| 9 | 11% | 14% | |
| 10 | 2% | 3% | |
| 11 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 2 | 39% | 97% | |
| 3 | 37% | 58% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0% | 21% | |
| 5 | 0% | 21% | |
| 6 | 5% | 21% | |
| 7 | 9% | 16% | |
| 8 | 6% | 7% | |
| 9 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 40% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 42% | 60% | Median |
| 3 | 7% | 18% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 12% | |
| 5 | 0% | 12% | |
| 6 | 1.5% | 12% | |
| 7 | 8% | 10% | |
| 8 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 95 | 98.9% | 90–101 | 89–103 | 87–103 | 83–105 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 87 | 79% | 82–93 | 81–94 | 79–96 | 77–98 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 85 | 53% | 81–91 | 79–92 | 76–94 | 74–96 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 82 | 24% | 76–87 | 75–89 | 74–90 | 71–92 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 82 | 23% | 75–87 | 74–88 | 72–89 | 70–92 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 97 | 79 | 9% | 73–84 | 71–86 | 70–86 | 67–88 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 76 | 2% | 71–82 | 70–82 | 69–84 | 67–86 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 71 | 0% | 65–77 | 65–78 | 64–79 | 61–81 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 70 | 0% | 65–75 | 63–76 | 62–78 | 60–81 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 67 | 0% | 61–72 | 60–73 | 59–74 | 57–76 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 64 | 0% | 59–69 | 58–71 | 57–72 | 55–72 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 61 | 0% | 56–66 | 54–67 | 54–68 | 52–71 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 57 | 0% | 52–63 | 51–64 | 50–66 | 48–69 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 54 | 0% | 51–60 | 49–62 | 48–63 | 46–66 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 54 | 0% | 50–60 | 48–61 | 48–62 | 46–63 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 51 | 0% | 47–56 | 47–58 | 46–58 | 43–59 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 19 | 0% | 14–24 | 13–25 | 13–26 | 11–28 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 98.9% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.7% | 98.5% | |
| 87 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 88 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 89 | 3% | 95% | |
| 90 | 5% | 92% | |
| 91 | 7% | 87% | |
| 92 | 8% | 80% | |
| 93 | 9% | 72% | |
| 94 | 5% | 63% | |
| 95 | 12% | 57% | Median |
| 96 | 10% | 45% | Last Result |
| 97 | 7% | 35% | |
| 98 | 4% | 28% | |
| 99 | 8% | 24% | |
| 100 | 3% | 16% | |
| 101 | 4% | 13% | |
| 102 | 3% | 9% | |
| 103 | 4% | 6% | |
| 104 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 105 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 78 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 79 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 80 | 2% | 97% | |
| 81 | 2% | 95% | |
| 82 | 4% | 93% | |
| 83 | 5% | 90% | |
| 84 | 5% | 84% | |
| 85 | 11% | 79% | Majority |
| 86 | 11% | 69% | |
| 87 | 12% | 57% | Median |
| 88 | 5% | 45% | |
| 89 | 10% | 40% | |
| 90 | 6% | 29% | |
| 91 | 6% | 24% | |
| 92 | 7% | 17% | |
| 93 | 2% | 10% | |
| 94 | 3% | 8% | |
| 95 | 2% | 5% | |
| 96 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 97 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 98 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 75 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 76 | 1.2% | 98.6% | |
| 77 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 78 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 79 | 3% | 95% | |
| 80 | 2% | 93% | |
| 81 | 8% | 91% | |
| 82 | 7% | 83% | |
| 83 | 9% | 76% | |
| 84 | 14% | 67% | |
| 85 | 10% | 53% | Median, Majority |
| 86 | 8% | 43% | |
| 87 | 7% | 35% | |
| 88 | 9% | 28% | |
| 89 | 3% | 19% | |
| 90 | 6% | 17% | |
| 91 | 4% | 11% | |
| 92 | 3% | 8% | |
| 93 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 94 | 2% | 3% | |
| 95 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 96 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 72 | 1.0% | 99.4% | |
| 73 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 74 | 2% | 98% | |
| 75 | 3% | 96% | |
| 76 | 3% | 93% | |
| 77 | 3% | 90% | |
| 78 | 5% | 87% | |
| 79 | 9% | 82% | |
| 80 | 11% | 73% | |
| 81 | 9% | 62% | |
| 82 | 10% | 52% | Median |
| 83 | 11% | 43% | |
| 84 | 8% | 32% | |
| 85 | 9% | 24% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 15% | |
| 87 | 4% | 13% | |
| 88 | 3% | 9% | |
| 89 | 3% | 6% | |
| 90 | 2% | 3% | |
| 91 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 71 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 72 | 2% | 98% | |
| 73 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 74 | 3% | 96% | |
| 75 | 3% | 93% | |
| 76 | 6% | 90% | |
| 77 | 6% | 84% | |
| 78 | 7% | 77% | |
| 79 | 4% | 70% | |
| 80 | 9% | 67% | |
| 81 | 7% | 57% | |
| 82 | 8% | 51% | Median |
| 83 | 8% | 43% | |
| 84 | 12% | 35% | |
| 85 | 7% | 23% | Majority |
| 86 | 5% | 15% | |
| 87 | 5% | 10% | |
| 88 | 3% | 5% | |
| 89 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 90 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 91 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 93 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 69 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 70 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 71 | 2% | 97% | |
| 72 | 2% | 95% | |
| 73 | 3% | 92% | |
| 74 | 6% | 89% | |
| 75 | 5% | 83% | |
| 76 | 9% | 78% | |
| 77 | 7% | 69% | |
| 78 | 5% | 62% | |
| 79 | 12% | 58% | |
| 80 | 5% | 46% | Median |
| 81 | 11% | 41% | |
| 82 | 10% | 31% | |
| 83 | 9% | 21% | |
| 84 | 3% | 12% | |
| 85 | 2% | 9% | Majority |
| 86 | 4% | 6% | |
| 87 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 88 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 68 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 69 | 2% | 98% | |
| 70 | 3% | 96% | |
| 71 | 8% | 93% | |
| 72 | 8% | 85% | |
| 73 | 8% | 77% | |
| 74 | 8% | 70% | |
| 75 | 7% | 62% | Median |
| 76 | 6% | 55% | |
| 77 | 11% | 49% | |
| 78 | 9% | 38% | |
| 79 | 6% | 28% | |
| 80 | 5% | 23% | |
| 81 | 6% | 18% | |
| 82 | 8% | 12% | |
| 83 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 84 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 85 | 0.7% | 2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 62 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 63 | 0.9% | 98.7% | |
| 64 | 2% | 98% | |
| 65 | 5% | 95% | |
| 66 | 6% | 90% | |
| 67 | 6% | 84% | |
| 68 | 7% | 78% | |
| 69 | 9% | 72% | |
| 70 | 6% | 63% | |
| 71 | 9% | 57% | |
| 72 | 9% | 49% | Last Result, Median |
| 73 | 12% | 40% | |
| 74 | 4% | 28% | |
| 75 | 7% | 24% | |
| 76 | 7% | 17% | |
| 77 | 4% | 11% | |
| 78 | 4% | 7% | |
| 79 | 2% | 3% | |
| 80 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 62 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 63 | 3% | 97% | |
| 64 | 3% | 94% | |
| 65 | 5% | 91% | |
| 66 | 11% | 86% | |
| 67 | 6% | 75% | |
| 68 | 7% | 69% | |
| 69 | 9% | 62% | |
| 70 | 5% | 53% | Median |
| 71 | 10% | 48% | |
| 72 | 6% | 38% | |
| 73 | 10% | 32% | |
| 74 | 7% | 21% | |
| 75 | 7% | 14% | |
| 76 | 2% | 7% | |
| 77 | 2% | 5% | |
| 78 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 79 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 58 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 59 | 2% | 98% | |
| 60 | 3% | 97% | |
| 61 | 4% | 93% | |
| 62 | 5% | 90% | |
| 63 | 11% | 84% | |
| 64 | 5% | 73% | |
| 65 | 11% | 68% | |
| 66 | 7% | 57% | |
| 67 | 9% | 50% | Median |
| 68 | 8% | 42% | |
| 69 | 6% | 33% | |
| 70 | 7% | 27% | |
| 71 | 10% | 20% | |
| 72 | 3% | 10% | |
| 73 | 4% | 7% | |
| 74 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 75 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 56 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 57 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 58 | 2% | 97% | |
| 59 | 6% | 95% | |
| 60 | 4% | 88% | |
| 61 | 8% | 84% | |
| 62 | 10% | 76% | |
| 63 | 7% | 66% | |
| 64 | 13% | 59% | |
| 65 | 9% | 46% | Median |
| 66 | 11% | 38% | |
| 67 | 5% | 27% | |
| 68 | 5% | 22% | |
| 69 | 8% | 17% | |
| 70 | 3% | 8% | |
| 71 | 3% | 5% | |
| 72 | 2% | 3% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 53 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 54 | 4% | 98% | |
| 55 | 3% | 94% | |
| 56 | 5% | 91% | |
| 57 | 6% | 87% | |
| 58 | 4% | 81% | |
| 59 | 12% | 77% | |
| 60 | 14% | 65% | |
| 61 | 10% | 51% | Median |
| 62 | 8% | 41% | |
| 63 | 11% | 33% | |
| 64 | 5% | 22% | |
| 65 | 6% | 18% | |
| 66 | 4% | 11% | |
| 67 | 3% | 7% | |
| 68 | 2% | 5% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 71 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 49 | 1.1% | 99.2% | |
| 50 | 3% | 98% | |
| 51 | 2% | 96% | |
| 52 | 8% | 94% | |
| 53 | 4% | 85% | |
| 54 | 7% | 82% | |
| 55 | 15% | 75% | |
| 56 | 8% | 59% | |
| 57 | 5% | 52% | Median |
| 58 | 4% | 46% | |
| 59 | 10% | 43% | |
| 60 | 7% | 33% | |
| 61 | 9% | 26% | |
| 62 | 7% | 17% | |
| 63 | 4% | 10% | |
| 64 | 2% | 6% | |
| 65 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 66 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 47 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 48 | 2% | 98% | |
| 49 | 4% | 97% | |
| 50 | 3% | 93% | |
| 51 | 9% | 90% | |
| 52 | 7% | 81% | |
| 53 | 15% | 74% | |
| 54 | 11% | 60% | |
| 55 | 9% | 49% | Median |
| 56 | 3% | 40% | |
| 57 | 9% | 37% | |
| 58 | 7% | 28% | |
| 59 | 7% | 21% | |
| 60 | 5% | 14% | |
| 61 | 3% | 9% | |
| 62 | 4% | 6% | |
| 63 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 64 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 46 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 47 | 0.9% | 99.0% | |
| 48 | 4% | 98% | |
| 49 | 3% | 94% | |
| 50 | 8% | 90% | |
| 51 | 8% | 83% | |
| 52 | 6% | 75% | |
| 53 | 9% | 69% | |
| 54 | 11% | 60% | |
| 55 | 15% | 49% | Median |
| 56 | 9% | 34% | |
| 57 | 5% | 25% | |
| 58 | 5% | 20% | |
| 59 | 3% | 15% | |
| 60 | 5% | 11% | |
| 61 | 4% | 6% | Last Result |
| 62 | 2% | 3% | |
| 63 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 44 | 1.0% | 99.4% | |
| 45 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 46 | 2% | 98% | |
| 47 | 7% | 96% | |
| 48 | 8% | 89% | |
| 49 | 9% | 80% | |
| 50 | 15% | 71% | |
| 51 | 9% | 56% | |
| 52 | 10% | 47% | Median |
| 53 | 8% | 38% | |
| 54 | 5% | 30% | |
| 55 | 5% | 24% | |
| 56 | 11% | 19% | |
| 57 | 2% | 8% | |
| 58 | 4% | 6% | |
| 59 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
| 12 | 1.0% | 98.6% | |
| 13 | 4% | 98% | |
| 14 | 7% | 94% | |
| 15 | 6% | 87% | |
| 16 | 9% | 81% | |
| 17 | 8% | 73% | |
| 18 | 11% | 64% | |
| 19 | 6% | 54% | |
| 20 | 12% | 48% | Median |
| 21 | 8% | 36% | |
| 22 | 13% | 28% | |
| 23 | 4% | 16% | |
| 24 | 3% | 12% | |
| 25 | 4% | 9% | |
| 26 | 3% | 4% | |
| 27 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norstat
- Commissioner(s): Vårt Land
- Fieldwork period: 23–29 August 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 940
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.43%