Opinion Poll by Norfakta for Klassekampen and Nationen, 5–7 September 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 28.7% | 26.9–30.6% | 26.4–31.1% | 26.0–31.6% | 25.1–32.5% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 19.2% | 17.7–20.9% | 17.3–21.4% | 16.9–21.8% | 16.2–22.6% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 14.1% | 12.7–15.6% | 12.4–16.0% | 12.0–16.4% | 11.4–17.1% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.1–10.5% | 7.8–10.8% | 7.5–11.1% | 7.0–11.8% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 6.5% | 5.6–7.6% | 5.3–7.9% | 5.1–8.2% | 4.7–8.7% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.6% | 4.3–8.2% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.8–5.5% | 3.6–5.8% | 3.4–6.1% | 3.1–6.6% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.6–5.9% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.0–4.6% | 2.8–4.8% | 2.7–5.0% | 2.4–5.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 50 | 47–54 | 46–56 | 46–56 | 44–58 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 36 | 34–40 | 33–41 | 33–42 | 32–44 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 25 | 22–28 | 22–30 | 21–30 | 19–33 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 15 | 13–18 | 12–18 | 11–19 | 10–21 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 12 | 9–13 | 8–14 | 7–14 | 7–16 |
| Rødt | 8 | 10 | 8–12 | 7–12 | 7–13 | 6–14 |
| Venstre | 8 | 8 | 3–9 | 2–9 | 2–10 | 2–11 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 6 | 2–8 | 2–8 | 1–9 | 1–10 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 3 | 2–7 | 2–8 | 2–8 | 1–9 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 45 | 1.4% | 99.0% | |
| 46 | 3% | 98% | |
| 47 | 9% | 95% | |
| 48 | 7% | 86% | |
| 49 | 18% | 79% | |
| 50 | 27% | 61% | Median |
| 51 | 8% | 34% | |
| 52 | 5% | 26% | |
| 53 | 9% | 21% | |
| 54 | 3% | 12% | |
| 55 | 3% | 9% | |
| 56 | 5% | 6% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 1.4% | 99.7% | |
| 33 | 5% | 98% | |
| 34 | 12% | 93% | |
| 35 | 17% | 81% | |
| 36 | 18% | 64% | Median |
| 37 | 18% | 46% | |
| 38 | 10% | 28% | |
| 39 | 6% | 18% | |
| 40 | 7% | 12% | |
| 41 | 3% | 6% | |
| 42 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 44 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 20 | 1.2% | 99.0% | |
| 21 | 2% | 98% | Last Result |
| 22 | 10% | 95% | |
| 23 | 13% | 86% | |
| 24 | 16% | 73% | |
| 25 | 30% | 57% | Median |
| 26 | 7% | 27% | |
| 27 | 4% | 20% | |
| 28 | 7% | 16% | |
| 29 | 4% | 9% | |
| 30 | 3% | 5% | |
| 31 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 33 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 12 | 6% | 97% | |
| 13 | 8% | 90% | Last Result |
| 14 | 28% | 83% | |
| 15 | 13% | 54% | Median |
| 16 | 18% | 42% | |
| 17 | 13% | 24% | |
| 18 | 7% | 11% | |
| 19 | 3% | 4% | |
| 20 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 21 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 7 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 8 | 4% | 97% | |
| 9 | 9% | 93% | |
| 10 | 13% | 84% | |
| 11 | 17% | 70% | |
| 12 | 23% | 53% | Median |
| 13 | 21% | 31% | |
| 14 | 8% | 9% | |
| 15 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 16 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 5% | 99.5% | |
| 8 | 9% | 94% | Last Result |
| 9 | 33% | 85% | |
| 10 | 18% | 52% | Median |
| 11 | 19% | 34% | |
| 12 | 10% | 14% | |
| 13 | 3% | 5% | |
| 14 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 6% | 100% | |
| 3 | 9% | 94% | |
| 4 | 0% | 86% | |
| 5 | 0% | 86% | |
| 6 | 11% | 86% | |
| 7 | 19% | 75% | |
| 8 | 34% | 56% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 18% | 22% | |
| 10 | 3% | 4% | |
| 11 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4% | 100% | |
| 2 | 27% | 96% | |
| 3 | 13% | 69% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 55% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 55% | |
| 6 | 18% | 55% | Median |
| 7 | 22% | 37% | |
| 8 | 12% | 16% | |
| 9 | 3% | 4% | |
| 10 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 2 | 39% | 99.5% | |
| 3 | 30% | 60% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0% | 30% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 30% | |
| 6 | 9% | 30% | |
| 7 | 15% | 21% | |
| 8 | 5% | 6% | |
| 9 | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 97 | 100% | 92–102 | 91–104 | 91–105 | 88–108 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 71 | 91 | 95% | 86–96 | 85–97 | 83–98 | 81–102 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 86 | 66% | 81–91 | 80–92 | 79–94 | 77–96 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 82 | 27% | 78–87 | 77–89 | 75–90 | 72–93 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 77 | 8% | 72–83 | 71–86 | 70–87 | 68–88 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 75 | 0.5% | 71–79 | 70–81 | 69–82 | 68–84 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt | 97 | 72 | 0.1% | 69–78 | 67–79 | 66–80 | 63–82 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 95 | 71 | 0.1% | 67–77 | 65–78 | 65–79 | 63–82 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 68 | 0% | 63–73 | 62–75 | 61–76 | 59–77 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 66 | 0% | 61–71 | 61–73 | 60–75 | 57–77 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 62 | 0% | 60–68 | 59–68 | 57–69 | 55–72 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 60 | 0% | 57–66 | 56–67 | 55–68 | 52–70 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 82 | 56 | 0% | 51–62 | 51–63 | 50–65 | 48–67 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 51 | 0% | 48–56 | 47–58 | 46–59 | 44–61 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 51 | 0% | 48–55 | 48–56 | 47–57 | 45–60 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 47 | 0% | 45–51 | 44–52 | 43–53 | 41–55 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 22 | 0% | 18–27 | 16–28 | 15–29 | 14–30 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0.1% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 88 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 89 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 90 | 1.1% | 98.6% | |
| 91 | 4% | 98% | |
| 92 | 7% | 94% | |
| 93 | 4% | 87% | |
| 94 | 5% | 83% | |
| 95 | 7% | 78% | |
| 96 | 6% | 71% | Last Result |
| 97 | 21% | 64% | |
| 98 | 5% | 43% | Median |
| 99 | 7% | 38% | |
| 100 | 8% | 31% | |
| 101 | 6% | 23% | |
| 102 | 8% | 16% | |
| 103 | 3% | 9% | |
| 104 | 3% | 6% | |
| 105 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 106 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 107 | 0.5% | 1.5% | |
| 108 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 82 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 83 | 1.2% | 98.7% | |
| 84 | 2% | 97% | |
| 85 | 1.4% | 95% | Majority |
| 86 | 4% | 94% | |
| 87 | 3% | 90% | |
| 88 | 11% | 86% | |
| 89 | 7% | 75% | |
| 90 | 11% | 68% | |
| 91 | 18% | 57% | |
| 92 | 9% | 39% | Median |
| 93 | 6% | 30% | |
| 94 | 7% | 24% | |
| 95 | 5% | 16% | |
| 96 | 5% | 11% | |
| 97 | 3% | 6% | |
| 98 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 99 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 100 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 101 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 102 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 77 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 78 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 79 | 1.4% | 98.6% | |
| 80 | 3% | 97% | |
| 81 | 9% | 95% | |
| 82 | 5% | 86% | |
| 83 | 7% | 81% | |
| 84 | 8% | 74% | |
| 85 | 15% | 66% | Majority |
| 86 | 10% | 51% | Median |
| 87 | 7% | 41% | |
| 88 | 5% | 34% | |
| 89 | 7% | 29% | |
| 90 | 9% | 22% | |
| 91 | 4% | 13% | |
| 92 | 4% | 9% | |
| 93 | 2% | 5% | |
| 94 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 95 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 96 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 74 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 75 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 76 | 2% | 97% | |
| 77 | 5% | 95% | |
| 78 | 9% | 90% | |
| 79 | 5% | 81% | |
| 80 | 13% | 76% | |
| 81 | 6% | 63% | |
| 82 | 7% | 57% | |
| 83 | 16% | 49% | Median |
| 84 | 7% | 34% | |
| 85 | 6% | 27% | Majority |
| 86 | 4% | 21% | |
| 87 | 8% | 17% | |
| 88 | 3% | 9% | |
| 89 | 0.8% | 6% | |
| 90 | 3% | 5% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 93 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 70 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 71 | 5% | 97% | |
| 72 | 2% | 92% | |
| 73 | 4% | 90% | |
| 74 | 7% | 86% | |
| 75 | 4% | 79% | |
| 76 | 17% | 75% | |
| 77 | 9% | 58% | |
| 78 | 7% | 49% | |
| 79 | 11% | 41% | Median |
| 80 | 9% | 31% | |
| 81 | 5% | 21% | |
| 82 | 6% | 16% | |
| 83 | 1.1% | 10% | |
| 84 | 1.4% | 9% | |
| 85 | 2% | 8% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 87 | 3% | 4% | |
| 88 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 69 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 70 | 3% | 96% | |
| 71 | 9% | 93% | |
| 72 | 9% | 84% | |
| 73 | 7% | 75% | |
| 74 | 9% | 68% | |
| 75 | 20% | 59% | Median |
| 76 | 6% | 39% | |
| 77 | 7% | 34% | |
| 78 | 8% | 27% | |
| 79 | 9% | 18% | |
| 80 | 2% | 10% | |
| 81 | 4% | 7% | |
| 82 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 84 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 0.5% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 65 | 1.0% | 98.9% | |
| 66 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 67 | 2% | 97% | |
| 68 | 3% | 94% | |
| 69 | 7% | 91% | |
| 70 | 15% | 84% | |
| 71 | 8% | 69% | |
| 72 | 10% | 60% | |
| 73 | 10% | 50% | Median |
| 74 | 10% | 40% | |
| 75 | 6% | 30% | |
| 76 | 4% | 24% | |
| 77 | 8% | 20% | |
| 78 | 4% | 12% | |
| 79 | 4% | 8% | |
| 80 | 2% | 3% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 82 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 64 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 65 | 4% | 98% | |
| 66 | 2% | 94% | |
| 67 | 6% | 92% | |
| 68 | 3% | 85% | |
| 69 | 18% | 82% | |
| 70 | 8% | 64% | |
| 71 | 8% | 56% | |
| 72 | 10% | 49% | Median |
| 73 | 7% | 39% | |
| 74 | 9% | 31% | |
| 75 | 5% | 23% | |
| 76 | 2% | 18% | |
| 77 | 6% | 16% | |
| 78 | 5% | 10% | |
| 79 | 3% | 5% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 61 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 62 | 5% | 97% | |
| 63 | 5% | 91% | |
| 64 | 6% | 87% | |
| 65 | 7% | 81% | |
| 66 | 6% | 74% | |
| 67 | 17% | 68% | |
| 68 | 9% | 50% | |
| 69 | 7% | 41% | Median |
| 70 | 14% | 34% | |
| 71 | 7% | 20% | |
| 72 | 3% | 13% | |
| 73 | 2% | 10% | |
| 74 | 2% | 8% | |
| 75 | 2% | 7% | |
| 76 | 4% | 4% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 59 | 0.9% | 98.6% | |
| 60 | 2% | 98% | |
| 61 | 7% | 96% | |
| 62 | 3% | 88% | |
| 63 | 6% | 85% | |
| 64 | 17% | 78% | |
| 65 | 4% | 61% | |
| 66 | 11% | 57% | |
| 67 | 10% | 45% | Median |
| 68 | 8% | 35% | |
| 69 | 8% | 27% | |
| 70 | 4% | 20% | |
| 71 | 6% | 16% | |
| 72 | 3% | 10% | Last Result |
| 73 | 3% | 7% | |
| 74 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 75 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 76 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 77 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 56 | 1.1% | 99.2% | |
| 57 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 58 | 2% | 97% | |
| 59 | 4% | 95% | |
| 60 | 8% | 91% | |
| 61 | 22% | 83% | |
| 62 | 12% | 61% | |
| 63 | 6% | 48% | Median |
| 64 | 15% | 42% | |
| 65 | 6% | 27% | |
| 66 | 6% | 22% | |
| 67 | 6% | 16% | |
| 68 | 8% | 10% | |
| 69 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 70 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 54 | 1.1% | 98.6% | |
| 55 | 2% | 98% | |
| 56 | 5% | 95% | |
| 57 | 5% | 91% | |
| 58 | 5% | 86% | |
| 59 | 10% | 81% | |
| 60 | 23% | 71% | |
| 61 | 5% | 47% | Median |
| 62 | 9% | 42% | |
| 63 | 7% | 34% | |
| 64 | 8% | 27% | |
| 65 | 8% | 19% | |
| 66 | 3% | 11% | |
| 67 | 5% | 8% | |
| 68 | 2% | 4% | |
| 69 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 48 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 49 | 1.3% | 98.9% | |
| 50 | 2% | 98% | |
| 51 | 8% | 96% | |
| 52 | 4% | 88% | |
| 53 | 5% | 83% | |
| 54 | 8% | 78% | |
| 55 | 17% | 70% | |
| 56 | 7% | 53% | |
| 57 | 6% | 46% | Median |
| 58 | 9% | 40% | |
| 59 | 6% | 31% | |
| 60 | 5% | 24% | |
| 61 | 6% | 20% | |
| 62 | 6% | 14% | |
| 63 | 2% | 7% | |
| 64 | 2% | 5% | |
| 65 | 2% | 3% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 46 | 1.3% | 98.6% | |
| 47 | 5% | 97% | |
| 48 | 6% | 93% | |
| 49 | 19% | 87% | |
| 50 | 7% | 68% | |
| 51 | 13% | 60% | Median |
| 52 | 10% | 47% | |
| 53 | 9% | 38% | |
| 54 | 10% | 29% | |
| 55 | 6% | 18% | |
| 56 | 4% | 12% | |
| 57 | 4% | 9% | |
| 58 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 59 | 3% | 4% | |
| 60 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 46 | 1.2% | 99.1% | |
| 47 | 3% | 98% | |
| 48 | 7% | 95% | |
| 49 | 16% | 88% | |
| 50 | 12% | 72% | |
| 51 | 12% | 60% | Median |
| 52 | 13% | 48% | |
| 53 | 9% | 35% | |
| 54 | 8% | 27% | |
| 55 | 9% | 19% | |
| 56 | 5% | 9% | |
| 57 | 3% | 4% | |
| 58 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 1.2% | 99.3% | |
| 43 | 2% | 98% | |
| 44 | 3% | 96% | |
| 45 | 6% | 93% | |
| 46 | 12% | 87% | |
| 47 | 26% | 75% | |
| 48 | 14% | 49% | Median |
| 49 | 8% | 35% | |
| 50 | 12% | 27% | |
| 51 | 6% | 15% | |
| 52 | 5% | 8% | |
| 53 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 54 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 15 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 16 | 3% | 97% | |
| 17 | 4% | 94% | |
| 18 | 2% | 90% | |
| 19 | 4% | 88% | |
| 20 | 8% | 84% | |
| 21 | 11% | 75% | |
| 22 | 23% | 65% | |
| 23 | 9% | 41% | Median |
| 24 | 9% | 33% | |
| 25 | 10% | 24% | |
| 26 | 4% | 14% | |
| 27 | 4% | 10% | |
| 28 | 4% | 6% | |
| 29 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 30 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 31 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norfakta
- Commissioner(s): Klassekampen and Nationen
- Fieldwork period: 5–7 September 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1003
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.65%