Opinion Poll by Opinion Perduco for Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse, 6–12 September 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 28.3% | 26.5–30.2% | 26.0–30.8% | 25.5–31.2% | 24.7–32.2% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 21.5% | 19.9–23.3% | 19.4–23.8% | 19.0–24.2% | 18.3–25.1% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 11.0% | 9.8–12.3% | 9.4–12.7% | 9.1–13.1% | 8.6–13.8% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.4–10.8% | 8.1–11.2% | 7.8–11.5% | 7.3–12.2% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 8.6% | 7.5–9.8% | 7.2–10.2% | 7.0–10.5% | 6.5–11.2% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 6.3% | 5.4–7.4% | 5.2–7.7% | 4.9–8.0% | 4.5–8.6% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.8–5.5% | 3.6–5.8% | 3.4–6.1% | 3.1–6.6% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.1% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.8–4.7% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.1–3.5% | 2.0–3.7% | 1.8–3.9% | 1.6–4.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 49 | 46–53 | 45–54 | 45–55 | 42–56 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 42 | 37–46 | 36–46 | 36–47 | 34–49 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 18 | 17–21 | 17–22 | 17–22 | 14–23 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 16 | 14–18 | 13–19 | 13–20 | 11–21 |
| Rødt | 8 | 14 | 12–17 | 12–17 | 11–18 | 10–20 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 11 | 9–13 | 8–14 | 8–14 | 7–15 |
| Venstre | 8 | 8 | 3–9 | 2–9 | 2–10 | 2–11 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–6 | 1–7 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 2 | 0–2 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–6 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 44 | 1.2% | 98.8% | |
| 45 | 4% | 98% | |
| 46 | 7% | 94% | |
| 47 | 16% | 87% | |
| 48 | 12% | 71% | |
| 49 | 15% | 59% | Median |
| 50 | 7% | 44% | |
| 51 | 13% | 37% | |
| 52 | 8% | 24% | |
| 53 | 11% | 16% | |
| 54 | 3% | 5% | |
| 55 | 2% | 3% | |
| 56 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 35 | 1.3% | 99.3% | |
| 36 | 3% | 98% | |
| 37 | 7% | 95% | |
| 38 | 7% | 88% | |
| 39 | 12% | 81% | |
| 40 | 7% | 69% | |
| 41 | 11% | 62% | |
| 42 | 7% | 51% | Median |
| 43 | 12% | 44% | |
| 44 | 8% | 32% | |
| 45 | 13% | 24% | |
| 46 | 7% | 11% | |
| 47 | 3% | 4% | |
| 48 | 0.7% | 1.4% | Last Result |
| 49 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 16 | 0.5% | 98.5% | |
| 17 | 42% | 98% | |
| 18 | 21% | 56% | Median |
| 19 | 6% | 35% | |
| 20 | 15% | 28% | |
| 21 | 7% | 14% | Last Result |
| 22 | 5% | 7% | |
| 23 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 24 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 13 | 4% | 98% | Last Result |
| 14 | 10% | 94% | |
| 15 | 15% | 83% | |
| 16 | 33% | 68% | Median |
| 17 | 19% | 35% | |
| 18 | 6% | 15% | |
| 19 | 6% | 9% | |
| 20 | 2% | 3% | |
| 21 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 12 | 9% | 97% | |
| 13 | 27% | 88% | |
| 14 | 28% | 61% | Median |
| 15 | 15% | 33% | |
| 16 | 7% | 19% | |
| 17 | 7% | 11% | |
| 18 | 3% | 5% | |
| 19 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 20 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 7 | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 6% | 98.8% | |
| 9 | 12% | 92% | |
| 10 | 26% | 80% | |
| 11 | 27% | 54% | Median |
| 12 | 16% | 27% | |
| 13 | 6% | 11% | |
| 14 | 3% | 5% | |
| 15 | 2% | 2% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 9% | 100% | |
| 3 | 5% | 91% | |
| 4 | 0% | 86% | |
| 5 | 0% | 86% | |
| 6 | 9% | 86% | |
| 7 | 27% | 77% | |
| 8 | 35% | 50% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 12% | 15% | |
| 10 | 3% | 4% | |
| 11 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 29% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 66% | 71% | Median |
| 3 | 2% | 5% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 3% | |
| 6 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 7 | 1.3% | 1.5% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14% | 100% | |
| 1 | 4% | 86% | |
| 2 | 74% | 82% | Median |
| 3 | 7% | 8% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 6 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 7 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 88 | 79% | 83–91 | 83–92 | 81–93 | 79–96 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 85 | 52% | 80–88 | 79–90 | 79–91 | 77–94 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet | 97 | 83 | 23% | 78–87 | 77–88 | 76–90 | 74–92 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 71 | 78 | 4% | 74–82 | 73–84 | 72–86 | 70–88 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 76 | 0.5% | 73–81 | 72–81 | 70–83 | 68–84 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 74 | 0.1% | 71–79 | 70–80 | 69–81 | 67–83 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 74 | 0% | 70–78 | 68–79 | 68–79 | 66–82 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 95 | 72 | 0% | 68–76 | 67–76 | 66–77 | 64–80 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 70 | 0% | 67–74 | 66–75 | 65–76 | 63–78 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 69 | 0% | 65–72 | 64–73 | 63–74 | 60–76 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 68 | 0% | 64–71 | 63–72 | 63–74 | 62–75 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 58 | 0% | 55–62 | 53–63 | 51–64 | 49–65 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 58 | 0% | 54–62 | 53–63 | 52–63 | 50–65 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 82 | 57 | 0% | 52–59 | 51–61 | 50–62 | 48–63 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 55 | 0% | 50–58 | 49–58 | 49–59 | 47–61 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 53 | 0% | 49–56 | 48–56 | 47–58 | 45–60 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 20 | 0% | 16–22 | 15–24 | 14–24 | 12–26 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 80 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 81 | 1.4% | 98.5% | |
| 82 | 2% | 97% | |
| 83 | 7% | 95% | |
| 84 | 10% | 89% | |
| 85 | 16% | 79% | Majority |
| 86 | 6% | 62% | |
| 87 | 6% | 56% | |
| 88 | 15% | 50% | Median |
| 89 | 10% | 35% | |
| 90 | 11% | 26% | |
| 91 | 5% | 14% | |
| 92 | 5% | 10% | |
| 93 | 2% | 5% | |
| 94 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 95 | 0.5% | 1.5% | |
| 96 | 0.6% | 1.0% | Last Result |
| 97 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 77 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 78 | 1.4% | 98.9% | |
| 79 | 3% | 98% | |
| 80 | 5% | 95% | |
| 81 | 6% | 89% | |
| 82 | 14% | 83% | |
| 83 | 10% | 69% | |
| 84 | 7% | 59% | |
| 85 | 13% | 52% | Median, Majority |
| 86 | 17% | 39% | |
| 87 | 6% | 22% | |
| 88 | 8% | 16% | |
| 89 | 3% | 8% | |
| 90 | 2% | 5% | |
| 91 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 92 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 94 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 75 | 1.3% | 99.4% | |
| 76 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 77 | 3% | 97% | |
| 78 | 5% | 94% | |
| 79 | 6% | 89% | |
| 80 | 14% | 83% | |
| 81 | 10% | 69% | |
| 82 | 7% | 59% | |
| 83 | 12% | 52% | Median |
| 84 | 17% | 41% | |
| 85 | 5% | 23% | Majority |
| 86 | 5% | 19% | |
| 87 | 7% | 13% | |
| 88 | 2% | 7% | |
| 89 | 2% | 5% | |
| 90 | 2% | 3% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 93 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 71 | 0.7% | 98.9% | Last Result |
| 72 | 2% | 98% | |
| 73 | 2% | 96% | |
| 74 | 7% | 94% | |
| 75 | 5% | 87% | |
| 76 | 17% | 82% | |
| 77 | 9% | 65% | |
| 78 | 8% | 56% | |
| 79 | 10% | 48% | Median |
| 80 | 7% | 38% | |
| 81 | 11% | 30% | |
| 82 | 9% | 19% | |
| 83 | 3% | 10% | |
| 84 | 3% | 6% | |
| 85 | 1.3% | 4% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 87 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 88 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 70 | 1.4% | 98.8% | |
| 71 | 2% | 97% | |
| 72 | 3% | 96% | |
| 73 | 8% | 92% | |
| 74 | 16% | 85% | |
| 75 | 11% | 68% | |
| 76 | 8% | 57% | |
| 77 | 10% | 49% | Median |
| 78 | 9% | 39% | |
| 79 | 13% | 31% | |
| 80 | 7% | 18% | |
| 81 | 6% | 11% | |
| 82 | 2% | 5% | |
| 83 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 84 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 0.5% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 68 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 69 | 2% | 98% | |
| 70 | 3% | 96% | |
| 71 | 8% | 93% | |
| 72 | 17% | 85% | |
| 73 | 11% | 69% | |
| 74 | 10% | 58% | |
| 75 | 5% | 49% | Median |
| 76 | 8% | 43% | |
| 77 | 14% | 35% | |
| 78 | 9% | 21% | |
| 79 | 6% | 13% | |
| 80 | 2% | 6% | |
| 81 | 2% | 4% | |
| 82 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 67 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 68 | 3% | 98% | |
| 69 | 4% | 95% | |
| 70 | 5% | 91% | |
| 71 | 14% | 86% | |
| 72 | 7% | 72% | Last Result |
| 73 | 11% | 65% | |
| 74 | 7% | 54% | Median |
| 75 | 19% | 46% | |
| 76 | 11% | 27% | |
| 77 | 5% | 16% | |
| 78 | 6% | 11% | |
| 79 | 3% | 6% | |
| 80 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 65 | 1.1% | 99.5% | |
| 66 | 2% | 98% | |
| 67 | 3% | 97% | |
| 68 | 6% | 94% | |
| 69 | 12% | 88% | |
| 70 | 11% | 77% | |
| 71 | 8% | 66% | |
| 72 | 11% | 58% | |
| 73 | 8% | 47% | Median |
| 74 | 19% | 39% | |
| 75 | 9% | 20% | |
| 76 | 7% | 11% | |
| 77 | 2% | 5% | |
| 78 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 64 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 65 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 66 | 6% | 97% | |
| 67 | 12% | 91% | |
| 68 | 10% | 79% | |
| 69 | 8% | 69% | |
| 70 | 12% | 61% | |
| 71 | 10% | 48% | Median |
| 72 | 17% | 39% | |
| 73 | 9% | 21% | |
| 74 | 7% | 13% | |
| 75 | 3% | 5% | |
| 76 | 2% | 3% | |
| 77 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 62 | 1.2% | 99.0% | |
| 63 | 2% | 98% | |
| 64 | 5% | 96% | |
| 65 | 11% | 91% | |
| 66 | 10% | 80% | |
| 67 | 9% | 70% | |
| 68 | 10% | 61% | |
| 69 | 12% | 51% | Median |
| 70 | 16% | 39% | |
| 71 | 9% | 23% | |
| 72 | 5% | 14% | |
| 73 | 6% | 9% | |
| 74 | 2% | 4% | |
| 75 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 63 | 4% | 98.7% | |
| 64 | 11% | 95% | |
| 65 | 11% | 84% | |
| 66 | 11% | 72% | |
| 67 | 10% | 61% | Median |
| 68 | 7% | 52% | |
| 69 | 11% | 44% | |
| 70 | 14% | 33% | |
| 71 | 9% | 18% | |
| 72 | 5% | 10% | |
| 73 | 2% | 5% | |
| 74 | 2% | 3% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 50 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 51 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 52 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 53 | 3% | 96% | |
| 54 | 3% | 93% | |
| 55 | 6% | 90% | |
| 56 | 11% | 84% | |
| 57 | 21% | 73% | |
| 58 | 12% | 53% | |
| 59 | 6% | 41% | Median |
| 60 | 10% | 35% | |
| 61 | 7% | 25% | |
| 62 | 9% | 17% | |
| 63 | 5% | 8% | |
| 64 | 2% | 3% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 50 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 51 | 1.4% | 99.0% | |
| 52 | 3% | 98% | |
| 53 | 3% | 95% | |
| 54 | 9% | 92% | |
| 55 | 8% | 83% | |
| 56 | 11% | 75% | |
| 57 | 8% | 63% | |
| 58 | 15% | 55% | Median |
| 59 | 13% | 41% | |
| 60 | 9% | 28% | |
| 61 | 9% | 19% | Last Result |
| 62 | 4% | 10% | |
| 63 | 5% | 6% | |
| 64 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 49 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 50 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 51 | 5% | 97% | |
| 52 | 7% | 92% | |
| 53 | 19% | 85% | |
| 54 | 4% | 66% | |
| 55 | 4% | 62% | |
| 56 | 7% | 58% | |
| 57 | 7% | 51% | Median |
| 58 | 18% | 43% | |
| 59 | 17% | 26% | |
| 60 | 4% | 9% | |
| 61 | 2% | 5% | |
| 62 | 2% | 3% | |
| 63 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 47 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 48 | 1.4% | 99.0% | |
| 49 | 4% | 98% | |
| 50 | 6% | 94% | |
| 51 | 17% | 87% | |
| 52 | 8% | 71% | |
| 53 | 5% | 63% | |
| 54 | 5% | 58% | |
| 55 | 9% | 52% | Median |
| 56 | 15% | 43% | |
| 57 | 17% | 28% | |
| 58 | 7% | 11% | |
| 59 | 2% | 4% | |
| 60 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 46 | 1.3% | 99.3% | |
| 47 | 3% | 98% | |
| 48 | 5% | 95% | |
| 49 | 17% | 90% | |
| 50 | 9% | 74% | |
| 51 | 6% | 64% | |
| 52 | 4% | 59% | |
| 53 | 11% | 55% | Median |
| 54 | 14% | 44% | |
| 55 | 18% | 31% | |
| 56 | 8% | 13% | |
| 57 | 2% | 5% | |
| 58 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 59 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 13 | 1.1% | 98.9% | |
| 14 | 3% | 98% | |
| 15 | 5% | 95% | |
| 16 | 4% | 91% | |
| 17 | 6% | 87% | |
| 18 | 13% | 80% | |
| 19 | 13% | 67% | |
| 20 | 14% | 54% | |
| 21 | 23% | 40% | Median |
| 22 | 7% | 17% | |
| 23 | 3% | 9% | |
| 24 | 4% | 6% | |
| 25 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 26 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinion Perduco
- Commissioner(s): Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse
- Fieldwork period: 6–12 September 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 968
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.88%