Opinion Poll by Respons Analyse for VG, 7–12 September 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 30.2% | 28.4–32.1% | 27.9–32.6% | 27.4–33.1% | 26.6–34.0% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 19.8% | 18.2–21.5% | 17.8–22.0% | 17.4–22.4% | 16.7–23.2% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 12.7% | 11.4–14.1% | 11.1–14.6% | 10.8–14.9% | 10.2–15.6% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.8–10.2% | 7.5–10.5% | 7.3–10.8% | 6.8–11.5% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.6–7.6% | 5.3–7.9% | 5.1–8.2% | 4.7–8.8% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 6.0% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.3–8.2% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.1–5.9% | 3.9–6.2% | 3.7–6.4% | 3.4–6.9% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.9–4.4% | 2.7–4.6% | 2.5–4.8% | 2.2–5.3% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.7–4.1% | 2.5–4.4% | 2.4–4.6% | 2.1–5.0% |
| Norgesdemokratene | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3–2.4% | 1.2–2.5% | 1.1–2.7% | 0.9–3.1% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 1.7% | 1.3–2.4% | 1.2–2.5% | 1.1–2.7% | 0.9–3.1% |
| Konservativt | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2–0.8% | 0.2–0.9% | 0.2–1.0% | 0.1–1.3% |
| Kystpartiet | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.0–0.9% |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.0–0.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 56 | 51–56 | 50–57 | 50–59 | 48–60 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 42 | 34–42 | 34–44 | 33–44 | 32–47 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 20 | 19–24 | 19–27 | 18–29 | 18–30 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 16 | 13–19 | 13–20 | 12–20 | 10–20 |
| Rødt | 8 | 11 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 9–13 | 1–15 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 10 | 9–14 | 8–15 | 6–15 | 2–16 |
| Venstre | 8 | 10 | 9–10 | 8–10 | 2–11 | 2–11 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–7 | 1–7 | 1–9 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 2 | 2–8 | 2–8 | 2–8 | 0–9 |
| Norgesdemokratene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| Konservativt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kystpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 48 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 49 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 50 | 3% | 98% | |
| 51 | 6% | 95% | |
| 52 | 2% | 88% | |
| 53 | 14% | 86% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 72% | |
| 55 | 2% | 72% | |
| 56 | 64% | 70% | Median |
| 57 | 2% | 6% | |
| 58 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 59 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 60 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 2% | 100% | |
| 33 | 2% | 98% | |
| 34 | 9% | 96% | |
| 35 | 2% | 87% | |
| 36 | 5% | 85% | |
| 37 | 9% | 80% | |
| 38 | 2% | 71% | |
| 39 | 0.5% | 69% | |
| 40 | 2% | 69% | |
| 41 | 1.0% | 67% | |
| 42 | 60% | 66% | Median |
| 43 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 44 | 3% | 6% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 46 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 47 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 18 | 4% | 99.6% | |
| 19 | 8% | 96% | |
| 20 | 59% | 88% | Median |
| 21 | 2% | 29% | Last Result |
| 22 | 11% | 26% | |
| 23 | 2% | 16% | |
| 24 | 5% | 14% | |
| 25 | 0.8% | 9% | |
| 26 | 2% | 8% | |
| 27 | 3% | 6% | |
| 28 | 0% | 4% | |
| 29 | 3% | 4% | |
| 30 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 12 | 1.3% | 98.7% | |
| 13 | 8% | 97% | Last Result |
| 14 | 2% | 89% | |
| 15 | 5% | 87% | |
| 16 | 66% | 83% | Median |
| 17 | 5% | 17% | |
| 18 | 0.7% | 11% | |
| 19 | 2% | 11% | |
| 20 | 8% | 8% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 99.2% | Last Result |
| 9 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 10 | 8% | 96% | |
| 11 | 68% | 89% | Median |
| 12 | 17% | 21% | |
| 13 | 2% | 4% | |
| 14 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 15 | 1.3% | 1.5% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 6 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 7 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 8 | 2% | 97% | |
| 9 | 5% | 95% | |
| 10 | 60% | 90% | Median |
| 11 | 5% | 30% | |
| 12 | 3% | 25% | |
| 13 | 8% | 22% | |
| 14 | 4% | 14% | |
| 15 | 8% | 10% | |
| 16 | 2% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 3% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 4 | 0% | 97% | |
| 5 | 0% | 97% | |
| 6 | 0% | 97% | |
| 7 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 8 | 4% | 97% | Last Result |
| 9 | 20% | 92% | |
| 10 | 70% | 73% | Median |
| 11 | 3% | 3% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 80% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 10% | 20% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 10% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 9% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 9% | |
| 7 | 7% | 9% | |
| 8 | 2% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 1 | 1.1% | 99.4% | |
| 2 | 78% | 98% | Median |
| 3 | 6% | 21% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 15% | |
| 5 | 0% | 15% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 15% | |
| 7 | 3% | 15% | |
| 8 | 10% | 12% | |
| 9 | 2% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 97% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 2% | 3% | |
| 2 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Kystpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kystpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98.7% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 98 | 100% | 98–104 | 95–109 | 94–109 | 91–109 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 71 | 89 | 92% | 88–97 | 84–97 | 84–100 | 84–100 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 88 | 89% | 83–93 | 83–96 | 83–96 | 81–96 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 86 | 82% | 81–88 | 80–88 | 78–90 | 76–92 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 80 | 10% | 75–83 | 72–85 | 72–85 | 72–86 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet | 97 | 79 | 0.2% | 71–80 | 71–84 | 68–84 | 68–84 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 76 | 0.2% | 72–78 | 72–80 | 69–82 | 69–83 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 95 | 71 | 0% | 69–75 | 69–77 | 66–80 | 63–80 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 68 | 0% | 64–69 | 61–74 | 60–74 | 58–74 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 69 | 0% | 63–73 | 61–73 | 61–73 | 61–75 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 70 | 0% | 64–70 | 59–73 | 59–73 | 59–77 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 68 | 0% | 61–70 | 60–72 | 58–72 | 56–73 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 82 | 55 | 0% | 53–57 | 52–62 | 51–65 | 47–65 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 54 | 0% | 50–55 | 48–58 | 46–63 | 45–63 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 58 | 0% | 50–58 | 47–58 | 47–59 | 47–64 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 52 | 0% | 47–52 | 44–55 | 42–55 | 42–56 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 22 | 0% | 22–28 | 18–31 | 16–31 | 14–34 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 86 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 89 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 93 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 94 | 2% | 98% | |
| 95 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 95% | Last Result |
| 97 | 4% | 95% | |
| 98 | 68% | 91% | Median |
| 99 | 2% | 23% | |
| 100 | 2% | 22% | |
| 101 | 5% | 19% | |
| 102 | 0.5% | 14% | |
| 103 | 3% | 14% | |
| 104 | 1.2% | 10% | |
| 105 | 2% | 9% | |
| 106 | 0% | 7% | |
| 107 | 0.8% | 7% | |
| 108 | 0% | 6% | |
| 109 | 6% | 6% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 82 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 84 | 8% | 99.8% | |
| 85 | 0.7% | 92% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.5% | 91% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 91% | |
| 88 | 3% | 91% | |
| 89 | 58% | 87% | Median |
| 90 | 5% | 29% | |
| 91 | 3% | 24% | |
| 92 | 3% | 21% | |
| 93 | 2% | 18% | |
| 94 | 1.1% | 16% | |
| 95 | 3% | 15% | |
| 96 | 0.5% | 11% | |
| 97 | 8% | 11% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 100 | 2% | 3% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 80 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 83 | 9% | 98.7% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 90% | |
| 85 | 0.9% | 89% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 89% | |
| 87 | 0.7% | 85% | |
| 88 | 61% | 84% | Median |
| 89 | 7% | 24% | |
| 90 | 2% | 17% | |
| 91 | 3% | 15% | |
| 92 | 1.2% | 12% | |
| 93 | 2% | 10% | |
| 94 | 0.5% | 8% | |
| 95 | 0.4% | 8% | |
| 96 | 7% | 7% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 77 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 78 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 79 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 80 | 0.7% | 95% | |
| 81 | 9% | 95% | |
| 82 | 1.4% | 86% | |
| 83 | 1.4% | 84% | |
| 84 | 1.3% | 83% | |
| 85 | 0.8% | 82% | Majority |
| 86 | 63% | 81% | Median |
| 87 | 6% | 18% | |
| 88 | 9% | 12% | |
| 89 | 0% | 3% | |
| 90 | 2% | 3% | |
| 91 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 92 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 93 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 72 | 7% | 99.6% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 74 | 0.6% | 92% | |
| 75 | 3% | 92% | |
| 76 | 0.9% | 89% | |
| 77 | 3% | 88% | |
| 78 | 2% | 85% | |
| 79 | 9% | 83% | |
| 80 | 59% | 74% | Median |
| 81 | 0.6% | 15% | |
| 82 | 4% | 15% | |
| 83 | 1.2% | 11% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 10% | |
| 85 | 9% | 10% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 71 | 8% | 97% | |
| 72 | 2% | 89% | |
| 73 | 2% | 87% | |
| 74 | 1.4% | 85% | |
| 75 | 2% | 84% | |
| 76 | 3% | 82% | |
| 77 | 4% | 79% | |
| 78 | 5% | 75% | |
| 79 | 58% | 70% | Median |
| 80 | 3% | 12% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 9% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 9% | |
| 83 | 0.7% | 9% | |
| 84 | 8% | 8% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 69 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 70 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 72 | 8% | 95% | |
| 73 | 2% | 87% | |
| 74 | 0.6% | 85% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 85% | |
| 76 | 58% | 84% | Median |
| 77 | 9% | 26% | |
| 78 | 10% | 17% | |
| 79 | 2% | 7% | |
| 80 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 81 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 82 | 2% | 3% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 66 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 68 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 69 | 11% | 95% | |
| 70 | 5% | 84% | |
| 71 | 59% | 79% | Median |
| 72 | 1.5% | 20% | |
| 73 | 1.2% | 19% | |
| 74 | 0.9% | 17% | |
| 75 | 9% | 16% | |
| 76 | 2% | 8% | |
| 77 | 2% | 6% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 80 | 3% | 3% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 59 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 60 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 61 | 3% | 96% | |
| 62 | 0.8% | 94% | |
| 63 | 0.9% | 93% | |
| 64 | 9% | 92% | |
| 65 | 4% | 83% | |
| 66 | 1.4% | 79% | |
| 67 | 3% | 77% | |
| 68 | 63% | 74% | Median |
| 69 | 2% | 11% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 9% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 9% | |
| 72 | 1.2% | 9% | |
| 73 | 0.9% | 8% | |
| 74 | 6% | 7% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 7% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 2% | 93% | |
| 63 | 2% | 91% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 90% | |
| 65 | 2% | 90% | |
| 66 | 0.8% | 87% | |
| 67 | 6% | 87% | |
| 68 | 5% | 80% | |
| 69 | 60% | 75% | Median |
| 70 | 0.1% | 15% | |
| 71 | 0.8% | 15% | |
| 72 | 4% | 14% | |
| 73 | 9% | 10% | |
| 74 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 75 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 6% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 94% | |
| 62 | 0% | 93% | |
| 63 | 2% | 93% | |
| 64 | 1.4% | 91% | |
| 65 | 3% | 89% | |
| 66 | 0.7% | 86% | |
| 67 | 5% | 85% | |
| 68 | 2% | 80% | |
| 69 | 1.4% | 78% | |
| 70 | 67% | 77% | Median |
| 71 | 4% | 9% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 5% | Last Result |
| 73 | 3% | 5% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 58 | 1.4% | 98.8% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 60 | 6% | 97% | |
| 61 | 6% | 91% | |
| 62 | 1.1% | 85% | |
| 63 | 1.1% | 84% | |
| 64 | 3% | 83% | |
| 65 | 2% | 80% | |
| 66 | 5% | 79% | |
| 67 | 4% | 74% | |
| 68 | 57% | 70% | Median |
| 69 | 0.6% | 13% | |
| 70 | 3% | 12% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 9% | |
| 72 | 8% | 9% | |
| 73 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 49 | 1.1% | 99.4% | |
| 50 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 52 | 3% | 97% | |
| 53 | 6% | 94% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 88% | |
| 55 | 67% | 88% | Median |
| 56 | 8% | 20% | |
| 57 | 3% | 13% | |
| 58 | 1.5% | 10% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 8% | |
| 60 | 2% | 8% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 62 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 64 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 65 | 3% | 3% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 1.3% | 99.8% | |
| 46 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 48 | 2% | 97% | |
| 49 | 3% | 95% | |
| 50 | 2% | 92% | |
| 51 | 3% | 90% | |
| 52 | 4% | 87% | |
| 53 | 2% | 82% | |
| 54 | 65% | 80% | Median |
| 55 | 6% | 15% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 9% | |
| 57 | 2% | 9% | |
| 58 | 2% | 6% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 60 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 62 | 0% | 3% | |
| 63 | 3% | 3% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 6% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 49 | 2% | 93% | |
| 50 | 4% | 91% | |
| 51 | 2% | 87% | |
| 52 | 5% | 85% | |
| 53 | 1.3% | 79% | |
| 54 | 1.3% | 78% | |
| 55 | 2% | 77% | |
| 56 | 2% | 75% | |
| 57 | 9% | 73% | |
| 58 | 59% | 64% | Median |
| 59 | 4% | 5% | |
| 60 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 1.4% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 64 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 44 | 2% | 97% | |
| 45 | 2% | 95% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 93% | |
| 47 | 7% | 92% | |
| 48 | 5% | 86% | |
| 49 | 3% | 81% | |
| 50 | 5% | 78% | |
| 51 | 2% | 73% | |
| 52 | 65% | 71% | Median |
| 53 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 55 | 4% | 5% | |
| 56 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 15 | 1.4% | 99.4% | |
| 16 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 17 | 2% | 97% | |
| 18 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 19 | 1.0% | 94% | |
| 20 | 2% | 93% | |
| 21 | 0.9% | 91% | |
| 22 | 59% | 90% | Median |
| 23 | 4% | 31% | |
| 24 | 1.3% | 28% | |
| 25 | 1.5% | 26% | |
| 26 | 11% | 25% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 14% | |
| 28 | 6% | 14% | |
| 29 | 0% | 7% | |
| 30 | 0% | 7% | |
| 31 | 7% | 7% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 34 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Respons Analyse
- Commissioner(s): VG
- Fieldwork period: 7–12 September 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.54%