Opinion Poll by Sentio for Nettavisen, 13–19 September 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 26.6% | 24.8–28.4% | 24.3–28.9% | 23.9–29.4% | 23.1–30.3% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 19.1% | 17.6–20.8% | 17.1–21.2% | 16.8–21.6% | 16.0–22.5% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 16.7% | 15.2–18.3% | 14.8–18.7% | 14.5–19.1% | 13.8–19.9% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 7.5% | 6.5–8.7% | 6.2–9.0% | 6.0–9.3% | 5.6–9.9% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.4–8.6% | 6.2–8.9% | 5.9–9.2% | 5.5–9.8% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 5.4% | 4.6–6.4% | 4.3–6.7% | 4.2–7.0% | 3.8–7.5% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.5–7.0% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.6–5.2% | 3.4–5.5% | 3.2–5.7% | 2.9–6.2% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.6–5.9% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 2.1% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.4–3.2% | 1.2–3.6% |
| Norgesdemokratene | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5–1.3% | 0.5–1.4% | 0.4–1.6% | 0.3–1.8% |
| Konservativt | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2–0.8% | 0.2–0.9% | 0.2–1.0% | 0.1–1.3% |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2–0.8% | 0.2–0.9% | 0.2–1.0% | 0.1–1.3% |
| Folkets parti | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.0–0.9% |
| Helsepartiet | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.0–0.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 46 | 43–50 | 43–50 | 41–50 | 41–54 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 34 | 31–39 | 31–42 | 31–42 | 31–44 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 33 | 27–36 | 24–36 | 24–36 | 24–37 |
| Rødt | 8 | 13 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 8–17 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 12 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 10–15 | 8–17 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 9 | 8–14 | 8–14 | 7–14 | 1–16 |
| Venstre | 8 | 9 | 7–11 | 3–11 | 3–12 | 2–12 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 7 | 3–8 | 3–9 | 2–9 | 2–10 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 7 | 2–10 | 1–10 | 1–10 | 1–10 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| Norgesdemokratene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Konservativt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Folkets parti | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Helsepartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 41 | 4% | 99.7% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 43 | 19% | 96% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 77% | |
| 45 | 18% | 76% | |
| 46 | 27% | 59% | Median |
| 47 | 0.5% | 31% | |
| 48 | 9% | 31% | |
| 49 | 8% | 22% | |
| 50 | 12% | 14% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 52 | 0% | 2% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 54 | 1.3% | 1.4% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 31 | 42% | 99.8% | |
| 32 | 0.6% | 58% | |
| 33 | 2% | 58% | |
| 34 | 11% | 56% | Median |
| 35 | 20% | 44% | |
| 36 | 1.0% | 24% | |
| 37 | 8% | 23% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 15% | |
| 39 | 8% | 14% | |
| 40 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 42 | 4% | 5% | |
| 43 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 44 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 24 | 7% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 0% | 93% | |
| 26 | 0.3% | 93% | |
| 27 | 27% | 93% | |
| 28 | 0.8% | 65% | |
| 29 | 2% | 64% | |
| 30 | 2% | 62% | |
| 31 | 4% | 60% | |
| 32 | 1.1% | 56% | |
| 33 | 17% | 55% | Median |
| 34 | 7% | 38% | |
| 35 | 4% | 31% | |
| 36 | 26% | 27% | |
| 37 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.6% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 10 | 14% | 99.1% | |
| 11 | 19% | 85% | |
| 12 | 8% | 65% | |
| 13 | 38% | 57% | Median |
| 14 | 17% | 19% | |
| 15 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 17 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 10 | 2% | 98% | |
| 11 | 16% | 96% | |
| 12 | 35% | 80% | Median |
| 13 | 24% | 45% | Last Result |
| 14 | 2% | 20% | |
| 15 | 17% | 19% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 17 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 7 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 8 | 21% | 97% | |
| 9 | 36% | 76% | Median |
| 10 | 13% | 40% | |
| 11 | 7% | 27% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 20% | |
| 13 | 2% | 20% | |
| 14 | 17% | 18% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 16 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 3 | 9% | 99.2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 90% | |
| 5 | 0% | 90% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 90% | |
| 7 | 1.2% | 90% | |
| 8 | 6% | 89% | Last Result |
| 9 | 42% | 83% | Median |
| 10 | 20% | 41% | |
| 11 | 17% | 21% | |
| 12 | 4% | 4% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 3% | 100% | |
| 3 | 46% | 97% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 51% | |
| 5 | 0% | 51% | |
| 6 | 0.8% | 51% | |
| 7 | 18% | 50% | Median |
| 8 | 23% | 32% | |
| 9 | 8% | 9% | |
| 10 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9% | 100% | |
| 2 | 5% | 91% | |
| 3 | 14% | 87% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 72% | |
| 5 | 0% | 72% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 72% | |
| 7 | 49% | 72% | Median |
| 8 | 3% | 23% | |
| 9 | 4% | 20% | |
| 10 | 17% | 17% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 48% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 15% | 52% | Median |
| 2 | 37% | 38% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Folkets parti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Folkets parti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Helsepartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Helsepartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 103 | 99.8% | 94–106 | 94–106 | 94–106 | 93–111 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 98 | 100% | 96–101 | 94–101 | 90–103 | 85–106 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 92 | 98.6% | 86–95 | 86–95 | 85–98 | 82–102 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 86 | 68% | 82–91 | 82–91 | 81–92 | 77–96 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 77 | 0.8% | 72–82 | 72–83 | 72–84 | 72–86 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 76 | 0.3% | 71–82 | 71–82 | 70–83 | 66–84 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 97 | 69 | 0% | 65–72 | 65–74 | 64–78 | 60–81 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 71 | 0% | 62–73 | 62–75 | 62–75 | 61–78 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 63 | 0.2% | 61–74 | 61–74 | 61–74 | 57–74 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 64 | 0% | 58–68 | 58–68 | 58–68 | 55–71 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 59 | 0% | 58–68 | 57–68 | 55–68 | 51–68 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 58 | 0% | 52–61 | 52–62 | 52–65 | 49–68 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 56 | 0% | 50–61 | 50–63 | 50–63 | 49–65 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 52 | 0% | 43–56 | 43–57 | 43–57 | 42–61 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 45 | 0% | 43–52 | 43–53 | 43–54 | 41–56 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 44 | 0% | 40–48 | 40–50 | 40–52 | 39–53 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 22 | 0% | 21–30 | 21–30 | 20–30 | 15–30 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 83 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 85 | 0% | 99.8% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 87 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 88 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 89 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 90 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 94 | 16% | 99.4% | |
| 95 | 0.5% | 83% | |
| 96 | 0.6% | 83% | Last Result |
| 97 | 0.7% | 82% | |
| 98 | 0.9% | 81% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 80% | |
| 100 | 3% | 80% | |
| 101 | 13% | 77% | |
| 102 | 2% | 64% | |
| 103 | 24% | 62% | |
| 104 | 7% | 38% | Median |
| 105 | 13% | 31% | |
| 106 | 17% | 18% | |
| 107 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 108 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 111 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 112 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0.6% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 87 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 88 | 1.2% | 99.4% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 90 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 91 | 0% | 97% | |
| 92 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 93 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 94 | 4% | 96% | |
| 95 | 1.0% | 92% | |
| 96 | 24% | 91% | |
| 97 | 7% | 67% | |
| 98 | 11% | 60% | |
| 99 | 17% | 49% | |
| 100 | 2% | 32% | |
| 101 | 28% | 31% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 3% | Median |
| 103 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 104 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 105 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 106 | 2% | 2% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 84 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 85 | 1.2% | 98.6% | Majority |
| 86 | 17% | 97% | |
| 87 | 0.4% | 81% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 80% | |
| 89 | 0.7% | 80% | |
| 90 | 7% | 80% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 72% | |
| 92 | 25% | 72% | |
| 93 | 1.2% | 47% | |
| 94 | 24% | 46% | |
| 95 | 18% | 21% | Median |
| 96 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 98 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 99 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 100 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 101 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 102 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 80 | 1.5% | 99.1% | |
| 81 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 82 | 8% | 97% | |
| 83 | 17% | 89% | |
| 84 | 4% | 73% | |
| 85 | 17% | 68% | Majority |
| 86 | 7% | 51% | |
| 87 | 12% | 44% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 32% | Median |
| 89 | 4% | 32% | |
| 90 | 0.8% | 28% | |
| 91 | 24% | 27% | |
| 92 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 95 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 96 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 24% | 99.6% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 76% | |
| 74 | 0.8% | 76% | |
| 75 | 1.1% | 75% | |
| 76 | 20% | 74% | |
| 77 | 16% | 53% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 38% | |
| 79 | 2% | 37% | Median |
| 80 | 0.7% | 36% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 35% | |
| 82 | 25% | 35% | |
| 83 | 7% | 10% | |
| 84 | 2% | 3% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 0.8% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 88 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 67 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 68 | 0% | 98.5% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 70 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 71 | 11% | 97% | |
| 72 | 31% | 86% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 55% | |
| 74 | 0.7% | 54% | |
| 75 | 1.2% | 54% | Median |
| 76 | 25% | 52% | |
| 77 | 7% | 28% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 21% | |
| 79 | 0.8% | 20% | |
| 80 | 0% | 19% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 19% | |
| 82 | 17% | 19% | |
| 83 | 2% | 3% | |
| 84 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.3% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 62 | 1.3% | 99.3% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 65 | 24% | 97% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 73% | |
| 67 | 4% | 73% | |
| 68 | 13% | 69% | Median |
| 69 | 17% | 57% | |
| 70 | 7% | 40% | |
| 71 | 7% | 33% | |
| 72 | 17% | 25% | |
| 73 | 1.5% | 9% | |
| 74 | 4% | 7% | |
| 75 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 78 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 80 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 62 | 24% | 98% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 73% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 73% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 73% | |
| 66 | 12% | 72% | |
| 67 | 3% | 60% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 57% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 57% | Median |
| 70 | 0.4% | 56% | |
| 71 | 24% | 56% | |
| 72 | 20% | 31% | |
| 73 | 2% | 11% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 9% | |
| 75 | 7% | 9% | |
| 76 | 0.7% | 1.5% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 78 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 98.6% | |
| 61 | 11% | 98.6% | |
| 62 | 17% | 87% | |
| 63 | 32% | 70% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 38% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 38% | |
| 66 | 9% | 37% | Median |
| 67 | 6% | 28% | |
| 68 | 3% | 23% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 20% | |
| 70 | 2% | 19% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 18% | |
| 72 | 0% | 17% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.5% | 17% | |
| 74 | 16% | 17% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 54 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 55 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 56 | 0.5% | 98.9% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 58 | 11% | 98% | |
| 59 | 26% | 87% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 61% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 61% | |
| 62 | 7% | 60% | Median |
| 63 | 1.5% | 53% | |
| 64 | 6% | 52% | |
| 65 | 17% | 45% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 28% | |
| 67 | 8% | 28% | |
| 68 | 17% | 19% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 70 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 71 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 53 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 54 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 55 | 1.3% | 98.5% | |
| 56 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 57 | 4% | 96% | |
| 58 | 24% | 92% | |
| 59 | 33% | 68% | |
| 60 | 1.4% | 34% | |
| 61 | 10% | 33% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 23% | Median |
| 63 | 0.8% | 22% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 21% | |
| 65 | 0.6% | 21% | |
| 66 | 7% | 20% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 13% | |
| 68 | 12% | 13% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 51 | 1.3% | 99.0% | |
| 52 | 24% | 98% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 74% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 73% | |
| 55 | 15% | 73% | Median |
| 56 | 0.4% | 58% | |
| 57 | 1.1% | 58% | |
| 58 | 34% | 57% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 23% | |
| 60 | 8% | 23% | |
| 61 | 8% | 14% | |
| 62 | 4% | 7% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 65 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 66 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 46 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 49 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 50 | 26% | 99.2% | |
| 51 | 0.5% | 74% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 73% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 73% | |
| 54 | 2% | 73% | |
| 55 | 14% | 71% | |
| 56 | 17% | 57% | |
| 57 | 1.1% | 40% | Median |
| 58 | 7% | 39% | |
| 59 | 19% | 32% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 13% | |
| 61 | 4% | 13% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 9% | |
| 63 | 7% | 9% | |
| 64 | 0.7% | 1.5% | |
| 65 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 24% | 98.7% | |
| 44 | 0% | 75% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 75% | |
| 46 | 17% | 75% | |
| 47 | 1.1% | 58% | |
| 48 | 0.6% | 57% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 56% | |
| 50 | 0.6% | 56% | Median |
| 51 | 0.9% | 55% | |
| 52 | 32% | 54% | |
| 53 | 4% | 23% | |
| 54 | 0.9% | 19% | |
| 55 | 0.9% | 18% | |
| 56 | 8% | 17% | |
| 57 | 7% | 9% | |
| 58 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 43 | 25% | 99.2% | |
| 44 | 18% | 74% | |
| 45 | 11% | 56% | |
| 46 | 4% | 45% | Median |
| 47 | 0.9% | 42% | |
| 48 | 0.8% | 41% | |
| 49 | 8% | 40% | |
| 50 | 17% | 33% | |
| 51 | 2% | 15% | |
| 52 | 8% | 14% | |
| 53 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 54 | 4% | 5% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 56 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 40 | 26% | 99.3% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 73% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 73% | |
| 43 | 17% | 73% | Median |
| 44 | 15% | 56% | |
| 45 | 17% | 41% | |
| 46 | 0.5% | 23% | |
| 47 | 0.4% | 23% | |
| 48 | 14% | 22% | |
| 49 | 0.9% | 8% | |
| 50 | 3% | 7% | |
| 51 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 52 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 53 | 1.3% | 1.5% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 14 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 16 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 18 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 19 | 0.7% | 98.9% | |
| 20 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 21 | 32% | 97% | |
| 22 | 18% | 65% | |
| 23 | 4% | 47% | |
| 24 | 1.1% | 43% | |
| 25 | 5% | 42% | Median |
| 26 | 0.7% | 37% | |
| 27 | 0.8% | 36% | |
| 28 | 11% | 35% | |
| 29 | 7% | 24% | |
| 30 | 17% | 17% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Sentio
- Commissioner(s): Nettavisen
- Fieldwork period: 13–19 September 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1001
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.88%