Opinion Poll by Kantar TNS for TV2, 26–30 September 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 26.1% | 24.4–28.0% | 23.9–28.5% | 23.5–29.0% | 22.6–29.9% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 19.4% | 17.9–21.1% | 17.4–21.6% | 17.1–22.0% | 16.3–22.8% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 14.2% | 12.9–15.7% | 12.5–16.2% | 12.2–16.6% | 11.6–17.3% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 8.1% | 7.1–9.4% | 6.8–9.7% | 6.6–10.0% | 6.1–10.6% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2–8.4% | 6.0–8.7% | 5.8–9.0% | 5.3–9.6% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 6.7% | 5.8–7.8% | 5.5–8.2% | 5.3–8.5% | 4.9–9.0% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.6–5.3% | 3.4–5.6% | 3.3–5.8% | 2.9–6.3% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.4–5.1% | 3.2–5.4% | 3.1–5.6% | 2.8–6.1% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.6% | 2.5–4.8% | 2.2–5.2% |
| Norgesdemokratene | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.7–3.0% | 1.6–3.2% | 1.5–3.4% | 1.3–3.7% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 1.9% | 1.5–2.6% | 1.3–2.8% | 1.2–3.0% | 1.1–3.4% |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5–1.2% | 0.4–1.3% | 0.4–1.5% | 0.3–1.7% |
| Konservativt | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.1–1.1% |
| Helsepartiet | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.0–0.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 49 | 45–50 | 44–52 | 42–54 | 40–56 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 34 | 34–43 | 34–44 | 34–46 | 32–46 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 29 | 22–29 | 21–29 | 21–29 | 20–32 |
| Rødt | 8 | 15 | 12–15 | 12–17 | 11–19 | 11–19 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 13 | 11–14 | 11–16 | 10–16 | 9–17 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 15 | 11–15 | 9–15 | 9–16 | 9–16 |
| Venstre | 8 | 2 | 2–10 | 2–10 | 2–10 | 2–11 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 9 | 7–9 | 3–9 | 2–10 | 2–11 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–6 | 2–7 | 0–8 |
| Norgesdemokratene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Konservativt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Helsepartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 42 | 4% | 98.9% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 44 | 1.2% | 95% | |
| 45 | 10% | 94% | |
| 46 | 6% | 84% | |
| 47 | 4% | 78% | |
| 48 | 0.6% | 74% | |
| 49 | 60% | 73% | Median |
| 50 | 6% | 13% | |
| 51 | 0.5% | 7% | |
| 52 | 3% | 7% | |
| 53 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 56 | 2% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 32 | 1.4% | 99.6% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 34 | 58% | 98% | Median |
| 35 | 3% | 39% | |
| 36 | 7% | 36% | |
| 37 | 1.3% | 30% | |
| 38 | 8% | 28% | |
| 39 | 2% | 21% | |
| 40 | 2% | 19% | |
| 41 | 1.3% | 17% | |
| 42 | 0.6% | 15% | |
| 43 | 9% | 15% | |
| 44 | 2% | 6% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 46 | 4% | 4% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 20 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 21 | 7% | 98% | Last Result |
| 22 | 13% | 91% | |
| 23 | 3% | 78% | |
| 24 | 5% | 75% | |
| 25 | 6% | 71% | |
| 26 | 4% | 65% | |
| 27 | 0.8% | 61% | |
| 28 | 0.6% | 60% | |
| 29 | 58% | 59% | Median |
| 30 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 11 | 4% | 99.6% | |
| 12 | 12% | 96% | |
| 13 | 8% | 83% | |
| 14 | 8% | 76% | |
| 15 | 60% | 68% | Median |
| 16 | 3% | 8% | |
| 17 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 18 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 19 | 3% | 3% | |
| 20 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 9 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 11 | 10% | 97% | |
| 12 | 15% | 87% | |
| 13 | 62% | 73% | Last Result, Median |
| 14 | 2% | 11% | |
| 15 | 1.4% | 10% | |
| 16 | 7% | 8% | |
| 17 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 18 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 9 | 5% | 99.7% | |
| 10 | 2% | 95% | |
| 11 | 6% | 92% | |
| 12 | 6% | 87% | |
| 13 | 5% | 81% | |
| 14 | 12% | 76% | |
| 15 | 59% | 64% | Median |
| 16 | 5% | 5% | |
| 17 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 60% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 3% | 40% | |
| 4 | 0% | 37% | |
| 5 | 0% | 37% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 37% | |
| 7 | 4% | 37% | |
| 8 | 9% | 32% | Last Result |
| 9 | 10% | 24% | |
| 10 | 12% | 14% | |
| 11 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 2 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 3 | 6% | 96% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 90% | |
| 5 | 0% | 90% | |
| 6 | 0% | 90% | |
| 7 | 15% | 90% | |
| 8 | 4% | 75% | |
| 9 | 67% | 71% | Median |
| 10 | 3% | 4% | |
| 11 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 2 | 67% | 99.0% | Median |
| 3 | 24% | 32% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 8% | |
| 6 | 4% | 8% | |
| 7 | 3% | 5% | |
| 8 | 2% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98.8% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 7 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 91% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 2% | 9% | |
| 2 | 6% | 7% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 7 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Helsepartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Helsepartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 97 | 100% | 93–97 | 89–99 | 89–102 | 88–107 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 71 | 91 | 98% | 87–92 | 86–96 | 85–97 | 82–99 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 86 | 87% | 82–88 | 79–90 | 78–91 | 73–93 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 82 | 12% | 80–86 | 78–87 | 77–90 | 74–95 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 80 | 3% | 75–83 | 74–84 | 74–86 | 71–92 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 97 | 77 | 1.2% | 76–81 | 72–81 | 71–83 | 69–85 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 78 | 0% | 67–78 | 67–78 | 66–82 | 64–82 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 95 | 73 | 0.5% | 72–79 | 68–79 | 66–80 | 60–85 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 71 | 0% | 70–74 | 68–77 | 65–77 | 61–79 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 71 | 0% | 67–76 | 65–76 | 63–77 | 57–77 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 62 | 0% | 62–69 | 58–69 | 58–69 | 55–71 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 82 | 60 | 0% | 59–67 | 55–67 | 55–68 | 49–69 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 53 | 0% | 53–61 | 53–63 | 52–65 | 50–66 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 51 | 0% | 51–60 | 50–61 | 48–61 | 47–63 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 47 | 0% | 47–55 | 47–57 | 47–57 | 43–57 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 49 | 0% | 49–57 | 47–57 | 45–57 | 44–58 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 19 | 0% | 19–27 | 19–27 | 16–28 | 16–34 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 87 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 88 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 89 | 4% | 98% | |
| 90 | 0% | 95% | |
| 91 | 2% | 95% | |
| 92 | 0.4% | 92% | |
| 93 | 3% | 92% | |
| 94 | 12% | 89% | |
| 95 | 8% | 77% | |
| 96 | 1.2% | 69% | Last Result |
| 97 | 59% | 68% | Median |
| 98 | 3% | 9% | |
| 99 | 2% | 7% | |
| 100 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 101 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 102 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 104 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 105 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 107 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 81 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 82 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 83 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 84 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 85 | 2% | 98% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 87 | 16% | 95% | |
| 88 | 3% | 78% | |
| 89 | 4% | 75% | |
| 90 | 1.3% | 71% | |
| 91 | 57% | 70% | Median |
| 92 | 6% | 13% | |
| 93 | 0.7% | 7% | |
| 94 | 0.8% | 6% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 96 | 2% | 5% | |
| 97 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 99 | 2% | 2% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 77 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 78 | 2% | 98% | |
| 79 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 95% | |
| 81 | 3% | 95% | |
| 82 | 3% | 91% | |
| 83 | 0.8% | 88% | |
| 84 | 0.8% | 87% | |
| 85 | 5% | 87% | Majority |
| 86 | 63% | 82% | Median |
| 87 | 1.1% | 18% | |
| 88 | 11% | 17% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 90 | 3% | 6% | |
| 91 | 2% | 3% | |
| 92 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 93 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 77 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 78 | 3% | 96% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 93% | |
| 80 | 14% | 93% | |
| 81 | 2% | 78% | |
| 82 | 60% | 76% | Median |
| 83 | 4% | 16% | |
| 84 | 0.9% | 13% | |
| 85 | 0.8% | 12% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 11% | |
| 87 | 3% | 8% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 89 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 90 | 2% | 4% | |
| 91 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 92 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 94 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 95 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 74 | 5% | 98% | |
| 75 | 4% | 94% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 89% | |
| 77 | 9% | 89% | |
| 78 | 4% | 80% | |
| 79 | 5% | 76% | |
| 80 | 57% | 71% | Median |
| 81 | 4% | 14% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 10% | |
| 83 | 4% | 10% | |
| 84 | 3% | 6% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 3% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 87 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 90 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 92 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 69 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 71 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 72 | 2% | 97% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 95% | |
| 74 | 0.9% | 94% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 93% | |
| 76 | 7% | 93% | |
| 77 | 57% | 87% | Median |
| 78 | 2% | 29% | |
| 79 | 9% | 27% | |
| 80 | 1.4% | 18% | |
| 81 | 12% | 17% | |
| 82 | 0.5% | 5% | |
| 83 | 2% | 4% | |
| 84 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.8% | 1.2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 66 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 67 | 13% | 97% | |
| 68 | 2% | 84% | |
| 69 | 2% | 82% | |
| 70 | 2% | 80% | |
| 71 | 4% | 78% | |
| 72 | 6% | 74% | |
| 73 | 0.8% | 68% | |
| 74 | 2% | 67% | |
| 75 | 3% | 65% | |
| 76 | 0.6% | 62% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 61% | |
| 78 | 57% | 61% | Median |
| 79 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 81 | 0% | 3% | |
| 82 | 3% | 3% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 66 | 3% | 98% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 68 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 69 | 0.8% | 94% | |
| 70 | 3% | 94% | |
| 71 | 1.1% | 91% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 90% | |
| 73 | 61% | 90% | Median |
| 74 | 3% | 29% | |
| 75 | 2% | 26% | |
| 76 | 1.1% | 24% | |
| 77 | 4% | 23% | |
| 78 | 2% | 19% | |
| 79 | 13% | 17% | |
| 80 | 3% | 3% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 0.5% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 98.8% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 65 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 66 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 68 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 69 | 3% | 95% | |
| 70 | 2% | 92% | |
| 71 | 59% | 90% | Median |
| 72 | 1.0% | 31% | Last Result |
| 73 | 8% | 30% | |
| 74 | 12% | 22% | |
| 75 | 4% | 10% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 77 | 4% | 5% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 98.6% | |
| 63 | 3% | 98.5% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 65 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 66 | 1.4% | 95% | |
| 67 | 5% | 93% | |
| 68 | 0.8% | 89% | |
| 69 | 1.1% | 88% | |
| 70 | 1.3% | 87% | |
| 71 | 60% | 85% | Median |
| 72 | 2% | 26% | |
| 73 | 5% | 24% | |
| 74 | 4% | 19% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 15% | |
| 76 | 11% | 15% | |
| 77 | 3% | 4% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 98.5% | |
| 58 | 4% | 98% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 60 | 3% | 94% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 92% | |
| 62 | 61% | 91% | Median |
| 63 | 3% | 30% | |
| 64 | 5% | 27% | |
| 65 | 0.5% | 23% | |
| 66 | 5% | 22% | |
| 67 | 2% | 18% | |
| 68 | 4% | 15% | |
| 69 | 10% | 11% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 55 | 3% | 98% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 95% | |
| 57 | 3% | 94% | |
| 58 | 1.1% | 91% | |
| 59 | 0.9% | 90% | |
| 60 | 58% | 89% | Median |
| 61 | 7% | 32% | |
| 62 | 4% | 25% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 21% | |
| 64 | 4% | 21% | |
| 65 | 2% | 16% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 14% | |
| 67 | 9% | 14% | |
| 68 | 4% | 5% | |
| 69 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 50 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 52 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 53 | 57% | 96% | Median |
| 54 | 4% | 39% | |
| 55 | 0.7% | 35% | |
| 56 | 0.8% | 34% | |
| 57 | 1.4% | 33% | |
| 58 | 10% | 32% | |
| 59 | 4% | 22% | |
| 60 | 1.2% | 18% | |
| 61 | 9% | 17% | |
| 62 | 0.7% | 8% | |
| 63 | 3% | 7% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 65 | 2% | 4% | |
| 66 | 2% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 48 | 2% | 98% | |
| 49 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 50 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 51 | 60% | 95% | Median |
| 52 | 6% | 35% | |
| 53 | 2% | 29% | |
| 54 | 3% | 27% | |
| 55 | 3% | 24% | |
| 56 | 2% | 20% | |
| 57 | 2% | 18% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 16% | |
| 59 | 1.0% | 16% | |
| 60 | 9% | 15% | |
| 61 | 4% | 5% | |
| 62 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 43 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 98.6% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 46 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 47 | 58% | 98% | Median |
| 48 | 2% | 39% | |
| 49 | 6% | 38% | |
| 50 | 3% | 31% | |
| 51 | 5% | 28% | |
| 52 | 5% | 23% | |
| 53 | 1.3% | 18% | |
| 54 | 0.8% | 17% | |
| 55 | 10% | 16% | |
| 56 | 0.7% | 6% | |
| 57 | 5% | 6% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 44 | 1.5% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 2% | 98% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 47 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 48 | 3% | 95% | |
| 49 | 61% | 92% | Median |
| 50 | 4% | 31% | |
| 51 | 3% | 27% | |
| 52 | 6% | 23% | |
| 53 | 1.0% | 18% | |
| 54 | 2% | 17% | |
| 55 | 4% | 15% | |
| 56 | 0.5% | 11% | |
| 57 | 9% | 10% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 14 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 15 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 16 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 17 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 18 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 19 | 56% | 96% | Median |
| 20 | 0.7% | 40% | |
| 21 | 3% | 39% | |
| 22 | 8% | 36% | |
| 23 | 4% | 29% | |
| 24 | 4% | 25% | |
| 25 | 4% | 21% | |
| 26 | 2% | 17% | |
| 27 | 11% | 15% | |
| 28 | 3% | 4% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 34 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Kantar TNS
- Commissioner(s): TV2
- Fieldwork period: 26–30 September 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 984
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 4.12%