Opinion Poll by Norstat for Aftenposten and NRK, 27 September–2 October 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 29.2% | 27.3–31.1% | 26.8–31.7% | 26.4–32.1% | 25.5–33.1% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 19.9% | 18.3–21.6% | 17.9–22.1% | 17.5–22.5% | 16.8–23.4% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 14.4% | 13.0–15.9% | 12.6–16.4% | 12.3–16.8% | 11.7–17.5% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.0–10.4% | 7.7–10.7% | 7.4–11.1% | 6.9–11.7% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.0–8.2% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.5–8.8% | 5.1–9.4% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 6.2% | 5.3–7.4% | 5.1–7.7% | 4.9–8.0% | 4.5–8.5% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.6% | 2.5–4.8% | 2.2–5.3% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.6% | 2.5–4.8% | 2.2–5.3% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.5–4.0% | 2.3–4.2% | 2.2–4.4% | 1.9–4.9% |
| Norgesdemokratene | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2–2.3% | 1.1–2.5% | 1.0–2.7% | 0.9–3.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 53 | 49–57 | 48–59 | 47–59 | 47–61 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 38 | 35–40 | 34–42 | 33–44 | 32–45 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 28 | 24–29 | 23–30 | 22–31 | 21–34 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 17 | 14–19 | 14–20 | 13–21 | 12–21 |
| Rødt | 8 | 12 | 11–15 | 10–16 | 10–16 | 9–17 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 12 | 10–13 | 9–14 | 9–15 | 8–16 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 2 | 2–7 | 2–8 | 2–8 | 0–10 |
| Venstre | 8 | 2 | 2–8 | 2–8 | 2–9 | 1–9 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 2 | 1–3 | 1–7 | 1–8 | 1–9 |
| Norgesdemokratene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 48 | 4% | 97% | |
| 49 | 4% | 93% | |
| 50 | 7% | 90% | |
| 51 | 9% | 83% | |
| 52 | 6% | 74% | |
| 53 | 35% | 68% | Median |
| 54 | 7% | 32% | |
| 55 | 5% | 25% | |
| 56 | 8% | 20% | |
| 57 | 4% | 12% | |
| 58 | 3% | 8% | |
| 59 | 3% | 5% | |
| 60 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 33 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 34 | 3% | 97% | |
| 35 | 6% | 94% | |
| 36 | 11% | 88% | |
| 37 | 16% | 77% | |
| 38 | 38% | 61% | Median |
| 39 | 8% | 23% | |
| 40 | 6% | 15% | |
| 41 | 2% | 9% | |
| 42 | 3% | 7% | |
| 43 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 44 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 45 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 21 | 1.0% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 22 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 23 | 4% | 96% | |
| 24 | 7% | 92% | |
| 25 | 16% | 86% | |
| 26 | 11% | 70% | |
| 27 | 9% | 59% | |
| 28 | 7% | 51% | Median |
| 29 | 35% | 43% | |
| 30 | 5% | 9% | |
| 31 | 2% | 4% | |
| 32 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 34 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 13 | 2% | 99.5% | Last Result |
| 14 | 7% | 97% | |
| 15 | 13% | 90% | |
| 16 | 9% | 77% | |
| 17 | 42% | 68% | Median |
| 18 | 12% | 26% | |
| 19 | 9% | 14% | |
| 20 | 2% | 5% | |
| 21 | 3% | 3% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 5% | 99.1% | |
| 11 | 9% | 94% | |
| 12 | 41% | 85% | Median |
| 13 | 18% | 44% | |
| 14 | 13% | 25% | |
| 15 | 7% | 12% | |
| 16 | 5% | 5% | |
| 17 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 1.2% | 99.8% | |
| 9 | 4% | 98.6% | |
| 10 | 11% | 95% | |
| 11 | 20% | 84% | |
| 12 | 36% | 64% | Median |
| 13 | 20% | 27% | |
| 14 | 5% | 8% | |
| 15 | 2% | 3% | |
| 16 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 2 | 55% | 98% | Median |
| 3 | 31% | 43% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 12% | |
| 5 | 0% | 12% | |
| 6 | 0% | 12% | |
| 7 | 3% | 12% | |
| 8 | 7% | 9% | |
| 9 | 2% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 62% | 98% | Median |
| 3 | 18% | 36% | |
| 4 | 0% | 18% | |
| 5 | 0% | 18% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 18% | |
| 7 | 4% | 18% | |
| 8 | 9% | 14% | Last Result |
| 9 | 4% | 4% | |
| 10 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 32% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 28% | 68% | Median |
| 3 | 33% | 40% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 7% | |
| 6 | 0% | 7% | |
| 7 | 3% | 7% | |
| 8 | 3% | 4% | |
| 9 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 96 | 98 | 100% | 94–102 | 93–104 | 92–105 | 90–106 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 89 | 89% | 84–94 | 83–94 | 82–95 | 81–97 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 68 | 86 | 79% | 82–91 | 81–92 | 80–93 | 79–95 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 84 | 26% | 79–87 | 78–89 | 77–90 | 74–92 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 82 | 17% | 77–86 | 76–87 | 75–87 | 73–89 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 81 | 8% | 76–84 | 74–86 | 73–87 | 71–89 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet | 97 | 79 | 6% | 74–84 | 74–85 | 73–86 | 71–87 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 72 | 0% | 68–75 | 67–77 | 65–79 | 64–81 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 70 | 0% | 66–74 | 64–75 | 63–76 | 62–78 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 70 | 0% | 65–72 | 63–73 | 63–75 | 61–77 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 67 | 0% | 63–70 | 62–71 | 61–72 | 59–74 |
| Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 47 | 58 | 0% | 56–65 | 55–65 | 54–67 | 53–68 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 55 | 0% | 51–59 | 50–61 | 49–62 | 47–65 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 55 | 0% | 51–58 | 50–59 | 49–60 | 48–62 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 52 | 0% | 49–56 | 48–58 | 48–59 | 46–62 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 50 | 0% | 46–53 | 45–54 | 45–55 | 43–56 |
| Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 39 | 17 | 0% | 15–23 | 14–24 | 14–24 | 13–27 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 87 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 90 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 91 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 92 | 2% | 98% | |
| 93 | 3% | 97% | |
| 94 | 6% | 94% | |
| 95 | 7% | 88% | |
| 96 | 2% | 81% | Last Result |
| 97 | 7% | 79% | Median |
| 98 | 35% | 72% | |
| 99 | 5% | 37% | |
| 100 | 12% | 32% | |
| 101 | 6% | 20% | |
| 102 | 6% | 15% | |
| 103 | 3% | 8% | |
| 104 | 2% | 5% | |
| 105 | 3% | 3% | |
| 106 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 107 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 82 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 83 | 3% | 97% | |
| 84 | 4% | 94% | |
| 85 | 3% | 89% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 87% | |
| 87 | 5% | 83% | Median |
| 88 | 13% | 78% | |
| 89 | 36% | 65% | |
| 90 | 5% | 29% | |
| 91 | 6% | 24% | |
| 92 | 6% | 18% | |
| 93 | 2% | 12% | |
| 94 | 8% | 10% | |
| 95 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 96 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 97 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 80 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 81 | 4% | 97% | |
| 82 | 5% | 94% | |
| 83 | 6% | 89% | |
| 84 | 4% | 83% | |
| 85 | 3% | 79% | Median, Majority |
| 86 | 34% | 76% | |
| 87 | 14% | 41% | |
| 88 | 5% | 27% | |
| 89 | 6% | 23% | |
| 90 | 5% | 17% | |
| 91 | 2% | 11% | |
| 92 | 6% | 9% | |
| 93 | 2% | 3% | |
| 94 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 95 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 96 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 75 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 76 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 77 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 78 | 5% | 97% | |
| 79 | 2% | 91% | |
| 80 | 8% | 89% | |
| 81 | 6% | 81% | |
| 82 | 3% | 75% | |
| 83 | 7% | 72% | Median |
| 84 | 38% | 64% | |
| 85 | 7% | 26% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 19% | |
| 87 | 7% | 16% | |
| 88 | 2% | 9% | |
| 89 | 4% | 7% | |
| 90 | 2% | 4% | |
| 91 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 92 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 74 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 75 | 2% | 98% | |
| 76 | 6% | 97% | |
| 77 | 2% | 91% | |
| 78 | 5% | 89% | |
| 79 | 6% | 83% | |
| 80 | 5% | 77% | |
| 81 | 14% | 72% | Median |
| 82 | 34% | 58% | |
| 83 | 3% | 24% | |
| 84 | 4% | 20% | |
| 85 | 6% | 17% | Majority |
| 86 | 5% | 11% | |
| 87 | 4% | 6% | |
| 88 | 2% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 72 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 73 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 74 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 75 | 3% | 95% | |
| 76 | 8% | 92% | |
| 77 | 7% | 83% | |
| 78 | 9% | 77% | |
| 79 | 4% | 68% | |
| 80 | 6% | 64% | |
| 81 | 10% | 58% | Median |
| 82 | 31% | 48% | |
| 83 | 7% | 17% | |
| 84 | 2% | 10% | |
| 85 | 3% | 8% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 5% | |
| 87 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 88 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 90 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 72 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 73 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 74 | 8% | 97% | |
| 75 | 2% | 90% | |
| 76 | 6% | 87% | |
| 77 | 6% | 81% | |
| 78 | 5% | 75% | |
| 79 | 36% | 70% | Median |
| 80 | 13% | 35% | |
| 81 | 5% | 22% | |
| 82 | 3% | 16% | |
| 83 | 2% | 13% | |
| 84 | 4% | 10% | |
| 85 | 3% | 6% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 3% | |
| 87 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 65 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 66 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 67 | 4% | 95% | |
| 68 | 5% | 92% | |
| 69 | 10% | 87% | |
| 70 | 4% | 77% | |
| 71 | 11% | 73% | Median |
| 72 | 31% | 62% | |
| 73 | 6% | 31% | |
| 74 | 4% | 25% | |
| 75 | 11% | 21% | |
| 76 | 3% | 10% | |
| 77 | 2% | 7% | |
| 78 | 2% | 4% | |
| 79 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 63 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 64 | 2% | 96% | |
| 65 | 3% | 95% | |
| 66 | 6% | 91% | |
| 67 | 6% | 85% | |
| 68 | 12% | 79% | |
| 69 | 5% | 67% | Median |
| 70 | 35% | 63% | |
| 71 | 7% | 28% | |
| 72 | 2% | 21% | Last Result |
| 73 | 7% | 19% | |
| 74 | 6% | 12% | |
| 75 | 3% | 6% | |
| 76 | 2% | 3% | |
| 77 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 62 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 63 | 3% | 98% | |
| 64 | 3% | 95% | |
| 65 | 4% | 92% | |
| 66 | 12% | 88% | |
| 67 | 6% | 76% | |
| 68 | 12% | 70% | |
| 69 | 5% | 58% | Median |
| 70 | 34% | 53% | |
| 71 | 4% | 19% | |
| 72 | 7% | 15% | |
| 73 | 4% | 9% | |
| 74 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 75 | 2% | 3% | |
| 76 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 60 | 1.5% | 99.3% | |
| 61 | 3% | 98% | |
| 62 | 3% | 95% | |
| 63 | 5% | 92% | |
| 64 | 13% | 88% | |
| 65 | 8% | 74% | |
| 66 | 5% | 66% | |
| 67 | 38% | 61% | Median |
| 68 | 6% | 22% | |
| 69 | 5% | 16% | |
| 70 | 2% | 11% | |
| 71 | 5% | 9% | |
| 72 | 2% | 4% | |
| 73 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 74 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 54 | 4% | 99.2% | |
| 55 | 3% | 95% | |
| 56 | 3% | 92% | |
| 57 | 34% | 89% | Median |
| 58 | 10% | 55% | |
| 59 | 3% | 45% | |
| 60 | 4% | 42% | |
| 61 | 9% | 38% | |
| 62 | 9% | 29% | |
| 63 | 5% | 20% | |
| 64 | 4% | 15% | |
| 65 | 7% | 11% | |
| 66 | 2% | 4% | |
| 67 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 68 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 49 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 50 | 4% | 97% | |
| 51 | 3% | 93% | |
| 52 | 8% | 90% | |
| 53 | 7% | 82% | |
| 54 | 13% | 75% | Median |
| 55 | 32% | 62% | |
| 56 | 7% | 30% | |
| 57 | 7% | 23% | |
| 58 | 5% | 17% | |
| 59 | 3% | 12% | |
| 60 | 4% | 9% | |
| 61 | 3% | 5% | |
| 62 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 63 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 49 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 50 | 3% | 97% | |
| 51 | 7% | 94% | |
| 52 | 3% | 88% | |
| 53 | 13% | 84% | |
| 54 | 15% | 71% | |
| 55 | 33% | 56% | Median |
| 56 | 5% | 23% | |
| 57 | 4% | 18% | |
| 58 | 6% | 14% | |
| 59 | 5% | 8% | |
| 60 | 2% | 3% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 1.1% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 47 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 48 | 4% | 98% | |
| 49 | 5% | 94% | |
| 50 | 5% | 89% | |
| 51 | 10% | 84% | |
| 52 | 35% | 73% | Median |
| 53 | 14% | 38% | |
| 54 | 4% | 24% | |
| 55 | 6% | 21% | |
| 56 | 5% | 15% | |
| 57 | 4% | 10% | |
| 58 | 3% | 6% | |
| 59 | 2% | 4% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 44 | 1.0% | 99.4% | |
| 45 | 3% | 98% | |
| 46 | 6% | 95% | |
| 47 | 7% | 89% | |
| 48 | 10% | 82% | |
| 49 | 10% | 72% | |
| 50 | 39% | 61% | Median |
| 51 | 7% | 23% | |
| 52 | 6% | 16% | |
| 53 | 4% | 10% | |
| 54 | 3% | 6% | |
| 55 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 56 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 14 | 4% | 98.6% | |
| 15 | 8% | 95% | |
| 16 | 36% | 87% | Median |
| 17 | 6% | 51% | |
| 18 | 6% | 45% | |
| 19 | 11% | 39% | |
| 20 | 6% | 28% | |
| 21 | 4% | 22% | |
| 22 | 6% | 18% | |
| 23 | 5% | 12% | |
| 24 | 6% | 8% | |
| 25 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 26 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 27 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norstat
- Commissioner(s): Aftenposten and NRK
- Fieldwork period: 27 September–2 October 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 960
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.15%