Opinion Poll by Respons Analyse for VG, 5–10 October 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 30.0% | 28.2–31.9% | 27.7–32.4% | 27.2–32.9% | 26.4–33.9% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 20.0% | 18.4–21.7% | 18.0–22.2% | 17.6–22.6% | 16.9–23.4% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 13.1% | 11.8–14.6% | 11.4–15.0% | 11.1–15.3% | 10.6–16.1% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.7–11.1% | 8.4–11.5% | 8.1–11.8% | 7.6–12.5% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.8% | 5.2–9.3% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 5.5% | 4.7–6.5% | 4.4–6.8% | 4.3–7.1% | 3.9–7.6% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.2–5.3% | 3.0–5.5% | 2.7–6.0% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.0–4.6% | 2.9–4.8% | 2.7–5.1% | 2.4–5.5% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.2–3.9% | 2.0–4.1% | 1.8–4.6% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 1.6% | 1.2–2.2% | 1.1–2.4% | 1.0–2.6% | 0.8–2.9% |
| Norgesdemokratene | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1–2.1% | 1.0–2.3% | 0.9–2.5% | 0.7–2.8% |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2–0.8% | 0.2–0.9% | 0.2–1.0% | 0.1–1.3% |
| Folkets parti | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.0–0.9% |
| Konservativt | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.0–0.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 55 | 51–61 | 50–62 | 49–62 | 45–62 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 38 | 33–42 | 33–42 | 32–44 | 32–48 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 25 | 20–27 | 20–27 | 20–33 | 18–34 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 15 | 12–19 | 12–21 | 12–22 | 12–24 |
| Rødt | 8 | 12 | 10–15 | 10–15 | 10–16 | 10–17 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 10 | 8–12 | 8–14 | 8–14 | 7–16 |
| Venstre | 8 | 3 | 2–9 | 2–9 | 2–10 | 2–10 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 8 | 2–9 | 1–9 | 1–9 | 1–9 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 | 0–8 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| Norgesdemokratene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Folkets parti | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Konservativt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 49 | 2% | 98% | |
| 50 | 3% | 97% | |
| 51 | 13% | 93% | |
| 52 | 11% | 81% | |
| 53 | 12% | 70% | |
| 54 | 8% | 59% | |
| 55 | 13% | 51% | Median |
| 56 | 8% | 38% | |
| 57 | 0.9% | 30% | |
| 58 | 5% | 29% | |
| 59 | 11% | 24% | |
| 60 | 2% | 12% | |
| 61 | 1.1% | 11% | |
| 62 | 9% | 9% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 13% | 97% | |
| 34 | 0.8% | 84% | |
| 35 | 6% | 83% | |
| 36 | 2% | 78% | |
| 37 | 16% | 76% | |
| 38 | 12% | 60% | Median |
| 39 | 3% | 48% | |
| 40 | 21% | 45% | |
| 41 | 10% | 24% | |
| 42 | 9% | 14% | |
| 43 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 44 | 2% | 4% | |
| 45 | 0% | 2% | |
| 46 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 48 | 0.8% | 0.8% | Last Result |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 18 | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 98.8% | |
| 20 | 14% | 98.6% | |
| 21 | 0.7% | 85% | Last Result |
| 22 | 16% | 84% | |
| 23 | 7% | 68% | |
| 24 | 1.3% | 61% | |
| 25 | 29% | 60% | Median |
| 26 | 14% | 31% | |
| 27 | 13% | 17% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 29 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 30 | 0% | 4% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 32 | 0% | 3% | |
| 33 | 2% | 3% | |
| 34 | 2% | 2% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 11% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 89% | Last Result |
| 14 | 28% | 89% | |
| 15 | 13% | 61% | Median |
| 16 | 11% | 47% | |
| 17 | 15% | 36% | |
| 18 | 2% | 21% | |
| 19 | 10% | 19% | |
| 20 | 1.4% | 9% | |
| 21 | 4% | 7% | |
| 22 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 23 | 2% | 2% | |
| 24 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 10 | 10% | 99.7% | |
| 11 | 25% | 90% | |
| 12 | 19% | 65% | Median |
| 13 | 18% | 47% | |
| 14 | 5% | 29% | |
| 15 | 21% | 24% | |
| 16 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 17 | 2% | 2% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 8 | 10% | 99.5% | |
| 9 | 18% | 89% | |
| 10 | 26% | 71% | Median |
| 11 | 18% | 45% | |
| 12 | 21% | 27% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 14 | 5% | 6% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 16 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 48% | 100% | |
| 3 | 8% | 52% | Median |
| 4 | 0% | 44% | |
| 5 | 0% | 44% | |
| 6 | 0% | 44% | |
| 7 | 12% | 44% | |
| 8 | 2% | 32% | Last Result |
| 9 | 25% | 30% | |
| 10 | 4% | 5% | |
| 11 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8% | 100% | |
| 2 | 32% | 92% | |
| 3 | 5% | 60% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 55% | |
| 5 | 0% | 55% | |
| 6 | 0% | 55% | |
| 7 | 4% | 55% | |
| 8 | 23% | 51% | Median |
| 9 | 28% | 28% | |
| 10 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 44% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.6% | 56% | |
| 2 | 52% | 56% | Median |
| 3 | 2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 7 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 8 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 97% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 2 | 3% | 3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Folkets parti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Folkets parti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 96 | 99.6% | 89–102 | 89–105 | 89–105 | 87–105 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 71 | 92 | 92% | 86–95 | 84–95 | 82–95 | 81–95 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 84 | 49% | 79–93 | 79–93 | 79–93 | 75–93 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 84 | 43% | 78–91 | 77–91 | 76–91 | 73–91 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 83 | 39% | 75–89 | 75–89 | 75–89 | 75–92 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 81 | 4% | 74–82 | 73–84 | 71–85 | 68–87 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet | 97 | 76 | 2% | 73–82 | 73–84 | 73–84 | 73–87 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 72 | 0.1% | 66–79 | 63–79 | 63–79 | 63–81 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 95 | 72 | 0.1% | 66–75 | 66–77 | 65–78 | 65–82 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 71 | 0% | 64–74 | 64–75 | 63–76 | 62–78 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 60 | 0% | 55–70 | 54–73 | 54–73 | 54–73 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 64 | 0% | 62–68 | 61–71 | 61–72 | 56–73 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 54 | 0% | 50–58 | 50–61 | 50–61 | 47–65 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 82 | 57 | 0% | 49–61 | 49–61 | 49–61 | 47–66 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 50 | 0% | 47–52 | 46–54 | 43–58 | 43–59 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 49 | 0% | 45–50 | 44–52 | 43–56 | 41–56 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 15 | 0% | 12–23 | 10–23 | 10–23 | 10–26 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 83 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0% | 99.6% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 87 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 88 | 1.0% | 98.6% | |
| 89 | 10% | 98% | |
| 90 | 9% | 87% | |
| 91 | 1.3% | 78% | |
| 92 | 10% | 77% | |
| 93 | 6% | 67% | |
| 94 | 10% | 61% | |
| 95 | 0.4% | 51% | Median |
| 96 | 3% | 51% | Last Result |
| 97 | 4% | 48% | |
| 98 | 13% | 44% | |
| 99 | 0.5% | 31% | |
| 100 | 6% | 30% | |
| 101 | 13% | 25% | |
| 102 | 3% | 12% | |
| 103 | 0% | 9% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 9% | |
| 105 | 9% | 9% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 80 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 81 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 82 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 83 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 84 | 4% | 97% | |
| 85 | 2% | 92% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 91% | |
| 87 | 10% | 89% | |
| 88 | 3% | 78% | |
| 89 | 14% | 75% | |
| 90 | 2% | 62% | |
| 91 | 5% | 60% | |
| 92 | 10% | 56% | |
| 93 | 12% | 46% | Median |
| 94 | 20% | 33% | |
| 95 | 13% | 14% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 77 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 78 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 79 | 11% | 98% | |
| 80 | 10% | 87% | |
| 81 | 0.8% | 77% | |
| 82 | 3% | 77% | |
| 83 | 12% | 74% | |
| 84 | 12% | 61% | |
| 85 | 3% | 49% | Median, Majority |
| 86 | 13% | 46% | |
| 87 | 2% | 32% | |
| 88 | 3% | 30% | |
| 89 | 2% | 27% | |
| 90 | 3% | 25% | |
| 91 | 0.5% | 23% | |
| 92 | 10% | 22% | |
| 93 | 12% | 12% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 73 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 74 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 75 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 76 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 77 | 3% | 97% | |
| 78 | 9% | 94% | |
| 79 | 8% | 85% | |
| 80 | 1.5% | 77% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 75% | |
| 82 | 5% | 75% | |
| 83 | 15% | 70% | Median |
| 84 | 12% | 55% | |
| 85 | 2% | 43% | Majority |
| 86 | 13% | 40% | |
| 87 | 0.6% | 28% | |
| 88 | 2% | 27% | |
| 89 | 3% | 25% | |
| 90 | 10% | 22% | |
| 91 | 12% | 12% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 75 | 12% | 99.8% | |
| 76 | 10% | 88% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 78% | |
| 78 | 2% | 77% | |
| 79 | 3% | 75% | |
| 80 | 3% | 72% | |
| 81 | 2% | 70% | |
| 82 | 14% | 67% | |
| 83 | 3% | 53% | Median |
| 84 | 11% | 50% | |
| 85 | 12% | 39% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 26% | |
| 87 | 2% | 23% | |
| 88 | 9% | 22% | |
| 89 | 10% | 12% | |
| 90 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 70 | 1.1% | 99.0% | |
| 71 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 72 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 73 | 3% | 95% | |
| 74 | 4% | 92% | |
| 75 | 2% | 88% | |
| 76 | 9% | 86% | |
| 77 | 10% | 77% | |
| 78 | 0.8% | 67% | |
| 79 | 10% | 66% | |
| 80 | 0.7% | 56% | Median |
| 81 | 29% | 56% | |
| 82 | 18% | 27% | |
| 83 | 2% | 8% | |
| 84 | 3% | 7% | |
| 85 | 1.5% | 4% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 2% | |
| 87 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 72 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 73 | 13% | 99.6% | |
| 74 | 20% | 86% | |
| 75 | 12% | 66% | Median |
| 76 | 9% | 54% | |
| 77 | 5% | 44% | |
| 78 | 1.3% | 39% | |
| 79 | 14% | 38% | |
| 80 | 4% | 24% | |
| 81 | 10% | 21% | |
| 82 | 1.4% | 10% | |
| 83 | 2% | 9% | |
| 84 | 5% | 7% | |
| 85 | 0.6% | 2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 87 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 9% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 91% | |
| 65 | 0% | 91% | |
| 66 | 3% | 91% | |
| 67 | 13% | 88% | |
| 68 | 6% | 75% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 69% | |
| 70 | 13% | 69% | |
| 71 | 3% | 56% | |
| 72 | 4% | 52% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.4% | 48% | Median |
| 74 | 9% | 48% | |
| 75 | 6% | 39% | |
| 76 | 10% | 33% | |
| 77 | 1.2% | 23% | |
| 78 | 10% | 22% | |
| 79 | 11% | 12% | |
| 80 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 81 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 65 | 4% | 99.6% | |
| 66 | 20% | 95% | |
| 67 | 2% | 75% | |
| 68 | 5% | 73% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 68% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 67% | |
| 71 | 10% | 67% | |
| 72 | 15% | 58% | |
| 73 | 8% | 42% | Median |
| 74 | 18% | 34% | |
| 75 | 9% | 16% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 7% | |
| 77 | 3% | 6% | |
| 78 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 79 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 82 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 63 | 4% | 99.5% | |
| 64 | 20% | 95% | |
| 65 | 2% | 76% | |
| 66 | 4% | 74% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 70% | |
| 68 | 2% | 69% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 67% | |
| 70 | 3% | 67% | |
| 71 | 16% | 64% | Median |
| 72 | 13% | 48% | |
| 73 | 11% | 35% | |
| 74 | 19% | 24% | |
| 75 | 2% | 5% | |
| 76 | 2% | 3% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 8% | 99.6% | |
| 55 | 14% | 91% | |
| 56 | 4% | 77% | |
| 57 | 11% | 73% | |
| 58 | 9% | 62% | |
| 59 | 2% | 53% | |
| 60 | 16% | 51% | Median |
| 61 | 2% | 35% | |
| 62 | 2% | 33% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 31% | |
| 64 | 0% | 30% | |
| 65 | 5% | 30% | |
| 66 | 1.1% | 25% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 23% | |
| 68 | 1.0% | 23% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 22% | |
| 70 | 13% | 22% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 10% | |
| 72 | 0% | 10% | |
| 73 | 9% | 10% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 2% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 61 | 3% | 98% | |
| 62 | 20% | 95% | |
| 63 | 23% | 75% | Median |
| 64 | 12% | 53% | |
| 65 | 12% | 41% | |
| 66 | 12% | 29% | |
| 67 | 2% | 17% | |
| 68 | 6% | 15% | |
| 69 | 1.4% | 10% | |
| 70 | 1.0% | 8% | |
| 71 | 4% | 7% | |
| 72 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 73 | 2% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 2% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 50 | 9% | 98% | |
| 51 | 11% | 89% | |
| 52 | 14% | 78% | |
| 53 | 12% | 65% | Median |
| 54 | 19% | 52% | |
| 55 | 4% | 33% | |
| 56 | 9% | 30% | |
| 57 | 10% | 21% | |
| 58 | 3% | 11% | |
| 59 | 0.7% | 8% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 8% | |
| 61 | 5% | 7% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 64 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 65 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 48 | 1.0% | 99.4% | |
| 49 | 12% | 98% | |
| 50 | 7% | 87% | |
| 51 | 6% | 80% | |
| 52 | 2% | 74% | |
| 53 | 2% | 72% | |
| 54 | 17% | 70% | |
| 55 | 1.4% | 53% | |
| 56 | 1.1% | 52% | |
| 57 | 10% | 51% | |
| 58 | 16% | 41% | Median |
| 59 | 11% | 25% | |
| 60 | 2% | 13% | |
| 61 | 9% | 11% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 64 | 0% | 2% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 66 | 2% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 46 | 4% | 96% | |
| 47 | 11% | 92% | |
| 48 | 4% | 81% | |
| 49 | 19% | 77% | |
| 50 | 25% | 58% | Median |
| 51 | 8% | 34% | |
| 52 | 19% | 26% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 7% | |
| 54 | 2% | 6% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 56 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 57 | 0% | 3% | |
| 58 | 2% | 3% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 43 | 2% | 98% | |
| 44 | 4% | 96% | |
| 45 | 11% | 92% | |
| 46 | 3% | 81% | |
| 47 | 2% | 78% | |
| 48 | 3% | 76% | Median |
| 49 | 25% | 73% | |
| 50 | 42% | 48% | |
| 51 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 52 | 2% | 6% | |
| 53 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 54 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 55 | 0% | 3% | |
| 56 | 3% | 3% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 91% | |
| 12 | 12% | 91% | |
| 13 | 11% | 78% | |
| 14 | 11% | 67% | |
| 15 | 6% | 56% | Median |
| 16 | 0.9% | 50% | |
| 17 | 2% | 49% | |
| 18 | 0.8% | 47% | |
| 19 | 13% | 46% | |
| 20 | 14% | 33% | |
| 21 | 5% | 19% | |
| 22 | 4% | 15% | |
| 23 | 9% | 11% | |
| 24 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 25 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 26 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Respons Analyse
- Commissioner(s): VG
- Fieldwork period: 5–10 October 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.73%