Opinion Poll by Sentio for Nettavisen, 11–17 October 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 29.2% | 27.4–31.1% | 26.9–31.6% | 26.5–32.1% | 25.6–33.0% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 18.1% | 16.6–19.7% | 16.2–20.2% | 15.8–20.6% | 15.2–21.4% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 13.7% | 12.4–15.2% | 12.0–15.6% | 11.7–16.0% | 11.1–16.7% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.2–10.6% | 7.9–10.9% | 7.7–11.3% | 7.2–11.9% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.2–8.3% | 5.9–8.6% | 5.7–8.9% | 5.2–9.4% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 5.2% | 4.4–6.2% | 4.2–6.5% | 4.0–6.8% | 3.6–7.3% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.1–4.7% | 2.9–5.0% | 2.8–5.2% | 2.5–5.6% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.0–4.6% | 2.9–4.8% | 2.7–5.1% | 2.4–5.5% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 2.8% | 2.2–3.6% | 2.1–3.8% | 1.9–4.0% | 1.7–4.4% |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9–1.8% | 0.8–1.9% | 0.7–2.1% | 0.5–2.4% |
| Norgesdemokratene | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.7% | 0.5–1.8% | 0.4–2.1% |
| Liberalistene | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.0–0.9% |
| Konservativt | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.0–0.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 52 | 48–57 | 48–58 | 47–61 | 47–61 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 38 | 33–39 | 30–39 | 30–40 | 30–41 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 24 | 23–30 | 22–30 | 21–30 | 20–32 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 17 | 13–19 | 13–19 | 13–22 | 12–22 |
| Rødt | 8 | 14 | 12–15 | 11–15 | 10–17 | 10–17 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 9 | 7–11 | 7–13 | 1–13 | 1–13 |
| Venstre | 8 | 8 | 2–8 | 2–9 | 2–9 | 2–10 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 2 | 1–8 | 1–9 | 1–10 | 1–10 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 2 | 2–8 | 2–9 | 2–9 | 1–11 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 1 | 0–2 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–7 |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| Norgesdemokratene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Liberalistene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Konservativt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 47 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 48 | 11% | 96% | |
| 49 | 1.2% | 85% | |
| 50 | 3% | 84% | |
| 51 | 7% | 81% | |
| 52 | 48% | 74% | Median |
| 53 | 3% | 25% | |
| 54 | 1.4% | 22% | |
| 55 | 4% | 21% | |
| 56 | 4% | 17% | |
| 57 | 3% | 13% | |
| 58 | 6% | 10% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 61 | 3% | 3% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 5% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 0.3% | 95% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 94% | |
| 33 | 8% | 94% | |
| 34 | 4% | 86% | |
| 35 | 10% | 82% | |
| 36 | 2% | 72% | |
| 37 | 16% | 70% | |
| 38 | 6% | 55% | Median |
| 39 | 45% | 48% | |
| 40 | 2% | 4% | |
| 41 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 19 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 21 | 4% | 99.3% | Last Result |
| 22 | 2% | 95% | |
| 23 | 5% | 93% | |
| 24 | 52% | 89% | Median |
| 25 | 10% | 37% | |
| 26 | 4% | 27% | |
| 27 | 4% | 23% | |
| 28 | 2% | 19% | |
| 29 | 5% | 17% | |
| 30 | 11% | 12% | |
| 31 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 11% | 98.7% | Last Result |
| 14 | 2% | 87% | |
| 15 | 23% | 85% | |
| 16 | 2% | 63% | |
| 17 | 49% | 61% | Median |
| 18 | 0.7% | 12% | |
| 19 | 8% | 11% | |
| 20 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 21 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 22 | 3% | 3% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 11 | 4% | 97% | |
| 12 | 28% | 94% | |
| 13 | 10% | 66% | |
| 14 | 7% | 56% | Median |
| 15 | 46% | 49% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 17 | 3% | 3% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 95% | |
| 3 | 0% | 95% | |
| 4 | 0% | 95% | |
| 5 | 0% | 95% | |
| 6 | 0% | 95% | |
| 7 | 11% | 95% | |
| 8 | 2% | 84% | |
| 9 | 60% | 82% | Median |
| 10 | 10% | 21% | |
| 11 | 3% | 11% | |
| 12 | 2% | 8% | |
| 13 | 6% | 6% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 20% | 100% | |
| 3 | 11% | 80% | |
| 4 | 0% | 69% | |
| 5 | 0% | 69% | |
| 6 | 10% | 69% | |
| 7 | 1.4% | 58% | |
| 8 | 49% | 57% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 7% | 8% | |
| 10 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46% | 100% | |
| 2 | 20% | 54% | Median |
| 3 | 0.8% | 33% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 33% | |
| 5 | 0% | 33% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 33% | |
| 7 | 14% | 33% | |
| 8 | 11% | 19% | |
| 9 | 3% | 7% | |
| 10 | 4% | 4% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 2 | 60% | 99.2% | Median |
| 3 | 8% | 39% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 30% | |
| 5 | 0% | 30% | |
| 6 | 10% | 30% | |
| 7 | 9% | 20% | |
| 8 | 5% | 11% | |
| 9 | 5% | 6% | |
| 10 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 45% | 86% | Median |
| 2 | 31% | 41% | |
| 3 | 9% | 10% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 7 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.2% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Liberalistene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalistene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 95 | 100% | 94–101 | 90–103 | 90–104 | 90–105 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 71 | 89 | 99.6% | 87–97 | 87–98 | 87–99 | 86–101 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 86 | 95% | 85–90 | 84–94 | 81–95 | 79–95 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 84 | 21% | 79–86 | 78–88 | 75–90 | 74–91 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 81 | 3% | 76–81 | 73–82 | 71–86 | 71–87 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 76 | 5% | 75–83 | 74–84 | 72–85 | 71–86 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet | 97 | 78 | 0.2% | 69–80 | 69–80 | 66–80 | 66–82 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 95 | 68 | 0% | 68–74 | 65–75 | 64–79 | 61–79 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 72 | 0% | 66–72 | 64–75 | 62–75 | 61–78 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 66 | 0% | 63–68 | 61–69 | 59–72 | 57–74 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 62 | 0% | 60–65 | 59–69 | 58–72 | 55–72 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 65 | 0% | 57–65 | 56–66 | 53–66 | 53–67 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 82 | 51 | 0% | 50–57 | 49–57 | 48–63 | 46–64 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 55 | 0% | 49–56 | 49–56 | 48–57 | 45–58 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 50 | 0% | 46–54 | 45–54 | 40–56 | 40–61 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 48 | 0% | 40–48 | 39–51 | 38–51 | 37–53 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 19 | 0% | 18–21 | 13–23 | 5–24 | 5–28 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0.1% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 90 | 5% | 99.6% | |
| 91 | 1.2% | 94% | |
| 92 | 0.8% | 93% | |
| 93 | 1.1% | 92% | |
| 94 | 3% | 91% | |
| 95 | 52% | 88% | Median |
| 96 | 0.9% | 35% | Last Result |
| 97 | 14% | 34% | |
| 98 | 1.4% | 21% | |
| 99 | 4% | 19% | |
| 100 | 2% | 15% | |
| 101 | 7% | 14% | |
| 102 | 1.3% | 7% | |
| 103 | 2% | 6% | |
| 104 | 4% | 4% | |
| 105 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 83 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 85 | 0% | 99.6% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 87 | 45% | 99.2% | |
| 88 | 3% | 54% | Median |
| 89 | 3% | 51% | |
| 90 | 7% | 47% | |
| 91 | 4% | 41% | |
| 92 | 1.0% | 37% | |
| 93 | 7% | 36% | |
| 94 | 3% | 29% | |
| 95 | 3% | 26% | |
| 96 | 2% | 23% | |
| 97 | 15% | 21% | |
| 98 | 2% | 7% | |
| 99 | 4% | 5% | |
| 100 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 81 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 82 | 2% | 97% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 85 | 9% | 95% | Majority |
| 86 | 48% | 86% | Median |
| 87 | 0.9% | 38% | |
| 88 | 6% | 37% | |
| 89 | 10% | 32% | |
| 90 | 13% | 22% | |
| 91 | 0.7% | 9% | |
| 92 | 1.0% | 8% | |
| 93 | 2% | 7% | |
| 94 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 95 | 4% | 4% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 74 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 77 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 78 | 5% | 96% | |
| 79 | 1.4% | 91% | |
| 80 | 0.7% | 89% | |
| 81 | 3% | 88% | |
| 82 | 3% | 86% | |
| 83 | 4% | 83% | |
| 84 | 58% | 78% | Median |
| 85 | 7% | 21% | Majority |
| 86 | 5% | 14% | |
| 87 | 4% | 9% | |
| 88 | 2% | 5% | |
| 89 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 90 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 91 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 4% | 99.7% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 73 | 2% | 95% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 93% | |
| 75 | 2% | 93% | |
| 76 | 18% | 91% | |
| 77 | 2% | 73% | |
| 78 | 2% | 72% | |
| 79 | 2% | 70% | |
| 80 | 9% | 67% | Median |
| 81 | 53% | 58% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 84 | 2% | 5% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 3% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 87 | 2% | 2% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 72 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 74 | 6% | 96% | |
| 75 | 2% | 90% | |
| 76 | 50% | 88% | Median |
| 77 | 1.4% | 37% | |
| 78 | 13% | 36% | |
| 79 | 3% | 23% | |
| 80 | 0.5% | 21% | |
| 81 | 0.9% | 20% | |
| 82 | 9% | 19% | |
| 83 | 2% | 10% | |
| 84 | 4% | 8% | |
| 85 | 4% | 5% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 66 | 4% | 99.5% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 69 | 17% | 95% | |
| 70 | 3% | 79% | |
| 71 | 1.2% | 76% | |
| 72 | 4% | 75% | |
| 73 | 7% | 71% | |
| 74 | 1.4% | 64% | |
| 75 | 1.4% | 62% | |
| 76 | 2% | 61% | |
| 77 | 3% | 59% | |
| 78 | 9% | 56% | Median |
| 79 | 3% | 48% | |
| 80 | 44% | 45% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 63 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 64 | 1.5% | 98.5% | |
| 65 | 4% | 97% | |
| 66 | 2% | 93% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 91% | |
| 68 | 48% | 91% | Median |
| 69 | 3% | 44% | |
| 70 | 19% | 41% | |
| 71 | 8% | 22% | |
| 72 | 1.2% | 14% | |
| 73 | 0.7% | 13% | |
| 74 | 7% | 12% | |
| 75 | 2% | 5% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 79 | 2% | 3% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 63 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 64 | 1.2% | 95% | |
| 65 | 2% | 94% | |
| 66 | 2% | 92% | |
| 67 | 6% | 90% | |
| 68 | 2% | 84% | |
| 69 | 16% | 81% | |
| 70 | 1.2% | 66% | |
| 71 | 9% | 64% | Median |
| 72 | 47% | 56% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.9% | 9% | |
| 74 | 0.5% | 8% | |
| 75 | 5% | 7% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 78 | 2% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 59 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 61 | 1.2% | 95% | |
| 62 | 3% | 94% | |
| 63 | 5% | 91% | |
| 64 | 14% | 85% | |
| 65 | 1.3% | 71% | |
| 66 | 45% | 70% | Median |
| 67 | 8% | 25% | |
| 68 | 12% | 17% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 71 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 72 | 2% | 3% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 74 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 98.6% | |
| 58 | 3% | 98% | |
| 59 | 3% | 95% | |
| 60 | 19% | 92% | |
| 61 | 5% | 73% | |
| 62 | 45% | 68% | Median |
| 63 | 5% | 23% | |
| 64 | 7% | 18% | |
| 65 | 2% | 11% | |
| 66 | 2% | 9% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 7% | |
| 68 | 2% | 7% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 71 | 0% | 4% | |
| 72 | 4% | 4% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 53 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 55 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 56 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 57 | 15% | 94% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 79% | |
| 59 | 11% | 79% | |
| 60 | 4% | 68% | |
| 61 | 2% | 63% | |
| 62 | 2% | 62% | |
| 63 | 3% | 60% | |
| 64 | 2% | 57% | Median |
| 65 | 46% | 55% | |
| 66 | 9% | 9% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 45 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 47 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 48 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 49 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 50 | 6% | 94% | |
| 51 | 45% | 89% | Median |
| 52 | 0.4% | 44% | |
| 53 | 5% | 44% | |
| 54 | 3% | 38% | |
| 55 | 10% | 35% | |
| 56 | 8% | 25% | |
| 57 | 12% | 17% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 60 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 63 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 64 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 48 | 4% | 99.0% | |
| 49 | 7% | 95% | |
| 50 | 18% | 88% | |
| 51 | 5% | 70% | |
| 52 | 6% | 65% | |
| 53 | 7% | 59% | |
| 54 | 1.0% | 52% | |
| 55 | 3% | 51% | Median |
| 56 | 45% | 48% | |
| 57 | 3% | 3% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 46 | 9% | 95% | |
| 47 | 7% | 86% | |
| 48 | 2% | 79% | |
| 49 | 3% | 77% | Median |
| 50 | 56% | 74% | |
| 51 | 5% | 19% | |
| 52 | 2% | 13% | |
| 53 | 1.3% | 12% | |
| 54 | 6% | 10% | |
| 55 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 56 | 2% | 3% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 61 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 4% | 99.2% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 40 | 5% | 95% | |
| 41 | 0.8% | 90% | |
| 42 | 5% | 89% | |
| 43 | 3% | 84% | |
| 44 | 21% | 81% | |
| 45 | 2% | 59% | |
| 46 | 1.4% | 57% | |
| 47 | 1.1% | 56% | Median |
| 48 | 45% | 54% | |
| 49 | 2% | 9% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 7% | |
| 51 | 6% | 7% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 53 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 96% | |
| 7 | 0% | 96% | |
| 8 | 0% | 96% | |
| 9 | 0% | 96% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 11 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 12 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 13 | 3% | 95% | |
| 14 | 0.8% | 93% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 92% | |
| 16 | 0.8% | 92% | |
| 17 | 0.7% | 91% | |
| 18 | 2% | 90% | |
| 19 | 68% | 88% | Median |
| 20 | 9% | 20% | |
| 21 | 5% | 11% | |
| 22 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 23 | 3% | 5% | |
| 24 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 26 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 28 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Sentio
- Commissioner(s): Nettavisen
- Fieldwork period: 11–17 October 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.47%