Opinion Poll by InFact for Fiskeribladet, 21 October 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 28.7% | 26.9–30.6% | 26.4–31.1% | 26.0–31.6% | 25.1–32.5% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 19.7% | 18.2–21.4% | 17.7–21.9% | 17.4–22.3% | 16.7–23.1% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 15.0% | 13.7–16.6% | 13.3–17.0% | 13.0–17.4% | 12.3–18.2% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.1–9.3% | 6.8–9.6% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.1–10.5% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.6% | 4.3–8.2% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 5.5% | 4.6–6.5% | 4.4–6.8% | 4.2–7.1% | 3.9–7.6% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.4–7.0% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.1–4.7% | 2.9–4.9% | 2.8–5.2% | 2.5–5.6% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.0–4.6% | 2.8–4.8% | 2.7–5.0% | 2.4–5.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 49 | 48–53 | 47–54 | 46–56 | 44–57 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 39 | 35–42 | 34–43 | 34–43 | 32–45 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 29 | 26–32 | 24–33 | 23–33 | 21–35 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 12 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 9–15 | 8–17 |
| Rødt | 8 | 9 | 7–10 | 7–11 | 7–12 | 6–13 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 8 | 7–10 | 6–11 | 6–12 | 1–13 |
| Venstre | 8 | 7 | 6–9 | 3–9 | 3–10 | 2–11 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 3 | 2–7 | 1–7 | 1–7 | 1–8 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 3 | 2–7 | 2–7 | 2–7 | 1–8 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 46 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 47 | 6% | 96% | |
| 48 | 9% | 90% | |
| 49 | 34% | 81% | Median |
| 50 | 18% | 47% | |
| 51 | 9% | 29% | |
| 52 | 6% | 20% | |
| 53 | 6% | 14% | |
| 54 | 4% | 9% | |
| 55 | 2% | 5% | |
| 56 | 2% | 3% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 34 | 4% | 98% | |
| 35 | 7% | 94% | |
| 36 | 5% | 86% | |
| 37 | 12% | 81% | |
| 38 | 11% | 69% | |
| 39 | 16% | 58% | Median |
| 40 | 11% | 42% | |
| 41 | 12% | 30% | |
| 42 | 9% | 18% | |
| 43 | 7% | 9% | |
| 44 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 21 | 1.0% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 22 | 1.0% | 98.9% | |
| 23 | 2% | 98% | |
| 24 | 2% | 96% | |
| 25 | 3% | 95% | |
| 26 | 7% | 92% | |
| 27 | 5% | 86% | |
| 28 | 10% | 81% | |
| 29 | 29% | 71% | Median |
| 30 | 18% | 42% | |
| 31 | 9% | 23% | |
| 32 | 8% | 14% | |
| 33 | 4% | 7% | |
| 34 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 35 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 9 | 4% | 99.2% | |
| 10 | 16% | 96% | |
| 11 | 18% | 80% | |
| 12 | 16% | 62% | Median |
| 13 | 14% | 46% | Last Result |
| 14 | 23% | 32% | |
| 15 | 7% | 9% | |
| 16 | 2% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 15% | 98% | |
| 8 | 32% | 82% | Last Result |
| 9 | 27% | 51% | Median |
| 10 | 16% | 24% | |
| 11 | 5% | 8% | |
| 12 | 2% | 3% | |
| 13 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 6 | 7% | 98.9% | |
| 7 | 28% | 92% | |
| 8 | 29% | 63% | Median |
| 9 | 18% | 34% | |
| 10 | 7% | 16% | |
| 11 | 5% | 9% | |
| 12 | 2% | 4% | |
| 13 | 2% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 3 | 4% | 98.6% | |
| 4 | 0% | 94% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 94% | |
| 6 | 16% | 94% | |
| 7 | 34% | 78% | Median |
| 8 | 31% | 44% | Last Result |
| 9 | 10% | 13% | |
| 10 | 2% | 3% | |
| 11 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6% | 100% | |
| 2 | 34% | 94% | |
| 3 | 20% | 60% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0% | 40% | |
| 5 | 2% | 40% | |
| 6 | 25% | 38% | |
| 7 | 11% | 13% | |
| 8 | 2% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 31% | 99.5% | |
| 3 | 34% | 69% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0% | 35% | |
| 5 | 2% | 35% | |
| 6 | 20% | 33% | |
| 7 | 11% | 13% | |
| 8 | 2% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 98 | 100% | 94–103 | 92–104 | 91–105 | 89–108 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 71 | 95 | 99.3% | 89–99 | 87–100 | 86–101 | 83–104 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 90 | 93% | 85–95 | 84–96 | 82–97 | 79–100 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 86 | 75% | 82–90 | 80–92 | 79–93 | 76–95 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 79 | 4% | 75–83 | 74–84 | 73–85 | 70–87 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 72 | 0.1% | 67–77 | 66–79 | 65–80 | 63–82 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet | 97 | 68 | 0% | 63–73 | 62–75 | 62–76 | 59–78 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 95 | 67 | 0% | 63–71 | 62–74 | 60–74 | 58–77 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 63 | 0% | 60–68 | 58–70 | 57–71 | 55–73 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 63 | 0% | 59–67 | 57–69 | 56–71 | 54–72 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 61 | 0% | 58–64 | 56–66 | 55–67 | 54–69 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 59 | 0% | 55–63 | 54–65 | 54–65 | 50–68 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 82 | 54 | 0% | 49–59 | 48–61 | 48–62 | 45–65 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 51 | 0% | 47–56 | 45–57 | 44–58 | 42–60 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 52 | 0% | 48–55 | 47–56 | 46–57 | 43–58 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 48 | 0% | 43–51 | 42–52 | 41–53 | 39–55 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 19 | 0% | 16–22 | 15–23 | 14–24 | 13–27 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 87 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 89 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 90 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 91 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 92 | 3% | 97% | |
| 93 | 3% | 95% | |
| 94 | 6% | 92% | |
| 95 | 4% | 86% | |
| 96 | 12% | 82% | Last Result, Median |
| 97 | 12% | 70% | |
| 98 | 11% | 58% | |
| 99 | 12% | 47% | |
| 100 | 9% | 35% | |
| 101 | 12% | 26% | |
| 102 | 4% | 14% | |
| 103 | 3% | 10% | |
| 104 | 4% | 7% | |
| 105 | 2% | 3% | |
| 106 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 107 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 108 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 109 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 110 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 99.3% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 87 | 2% | 97% | |
| 88 | 2% | 95% | |
| 89 | 5% | 93% | |
| 90 | 5% | 89% | |
| 91 | 10% | 83% | Median |
| 92 | 7% | 73% | |
| 93 | 9% | 65% | |
| 94 | 6% | 56% | |
| 95 | 17% | 50% | |
| 96 | 10% | 33% | |
| 97 | 8% | 23% | |
| 98 | 4% | 15% | |
| 99 | 4% | 11% | |
| 100 | 3% | 7% | |
| 101 | 2% | 4% | |
| 102 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 103 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 104 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 105 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 81 | 1.2% | 99.2% | |
| 82 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 83 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 84 | 3% | 96% | |
| 85 | 6% | 93% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 88% | |
| 87 | 6% | 85% | |
| 88 | 9% | 79% | Median |
| 89 | 12% | 70% | |
| 90 | 12% | 58% | |
| 91 | 12% | 45% | |
| 92 | 10% | 33% | |
| 93 | 6% | 23% | |
| 94 | 6% | 17% | |
| 95 | 4% | 11% | |
| 96 | 3% | 6% | |
| 97 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 98 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 99 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 100 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 102 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 77 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 78 | 1.2% | 99.0% | |
| 79 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 80 | 3% | 97% | |
| 81 | 3% | 94% | |
| 82 | 5% | 91% | |
| 83 | 6% | 86% | |
| 84 | 5% | 81% | |
| 85 | 11% | 75% | Median, Majority |
| 86 | 20% | 65% | |
| 87 | 9% | 45% | |
| 88 | 12% | 35% | |
| 89 | 10% | 23% | |
| 90 | 5% | 13% | |
| 91 | 3% | 9% | |
| 92 | 2% | 5% | |
| 93 | 2% | 3% | |
| 94 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 95 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 1.1% | 99.5% | |
| 72 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 73 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 74 | 4% | 97% | |
| 75 | 3% | 92% | |
| 76 | 7% | 89% | |
| 77 | 10% | 82% | |
| 78 | 14% | 72% | Median |
| 79 | 16% | 57% | |
| 80 | 13% | 42% | |
| 81 | 9% | 29% | |
| 82 | 9% | 20% | |
| 83 | 3% | 11% | |
| 84 | 4% | 8% | |
| 85 | 2% | 4% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 87 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 88 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 65 | 3% | 98% | |
| 66 | 2% | 95% | |
| 67 | 6% | 93% | |
| 68 | 4% | 88% | |
| 69 | 8% | 83% | |
| 70 | 9% | 75% | |
| 71 | 14% | 66% | Median |
| 72 | 13% | 51% | |
| 73 | 9% | 39% | |
| 74 | 7% | 30% | |
| 75 | 5% | 22% | |
| 76 | 6% | 17% | |
| 77 | 3% | 11% | |
| 78 | 3% | 8% | |
| 79 | 2% | 5% | |
| 80 | 2% | 3% | |
| 81 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 61 | 1.1% | 98.7% | |
| 62 | 3% | 98% | |
| 63 | 6% | 95% | |
| 64 | 4% | 89% | |
| 65 | 9% | 85% | |
| 66 | 14% | 76% | |
| 67 | 10% | 62% | |
| 68 | 10% | 52% | Median |
| 69 | 9% | 42% | |
| 70 | 9% | 33% | |
| 71 | 8% | 23% | |
| 72 | 4% | 15% | |
| 73 | 2% | 11% | |
| 74 | 3% | 9% | |
| 75 | 2% | 6% | |
| 76 | 2% | 3% | |
| 77 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 59 | 1.1% | 99.3% | |
| 60 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 61 | 2% | 97% | |
| 62 | 4% | 96% | |
| 63 | 7% | 92% | |
| 64 | 9% | 85% | |
| 65 | 8% | 76% | Median |
| 66 | 14% | 68% | |
| 67 | 7% | 55% | |
| 68 | 16% | 47% | |
| 69 | 10% | 31% | |
| 70 | 5% | 21% | |
| 71 | 6% | 16% | |
| 72 | 3% | 10% | |
| 73 | 2% | 7% | |
| 74 | 3% | 5% | |
| 75 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 56 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 57 | 3% | 98% | |
| 58 | 3% | 96% | |
| 59 | 2% | 93% | |
| 60 | 9% | 91% | |
| 61 | 10% | 82% | |
| 62 | 7% | 73% | |
| 63 | 17% | 66% | Median |
| 64 | 7% | 49% | |
| 65 | 15% | 42% | |
| 66 | 7% | 27% | |
| 67 | 6% | 20% | |
| 68 | 5% | 14% | |
| 69 | 3% | 9% | |
| 70 | 3% | 6% | |
| 71 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 72 | 1.4% | 2% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 55 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 56 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 57 | 2% | 96% | |
| 58 | 2% | 95% | |
| 59 | 6% | 93% | |
| 60 | 8% | 86% | |
| 61 | 6% | 78% | |
| 62 | 11% | 72% | Median |
| 63 | 18% | 61% | |
| 64 | 4% | 42% | |
| 65 | 15% | 38% | |
| 66 | 6% | 23% | |
| 67 | 8% | 17% | |
| 68 | 3% | 9% | |
| 69 | 2% | 6% | |
| 70 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 71 | 2% | 3% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 55 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 56 | 2% | 97% | |
| 57 | 4% | 95% | |
| 58 | 7% | 91% | |
| 59 | 17% | 84% | Median |
| 60 | 12% | 68% | |
| 61 | 14% | 55% | |
| 62 | 11% | 41% | |
| 63 | 14% | 31% | |
| 64 | 7% | 17% | |
| 65 | 3% | 10% | |
| 66 | 3% | 6% | |
| 67 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 68 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 53 | 1.0% | 98.7% | |
| 54 | 4% | 98% | |
| 55 | 4% | 94% | |
| 56 | 6% | 89% | |
| 57 | 13% | 83% | |
| 58 | 9% | 70% | |
| 59 | 15% | 62% | Median |
| 60 | 13% | 47% | |
| 61 | 10% | 34% | |
| 62 | 6% | 23% | |
| 63 | 8% | 17% | |
| 64 | 3% | 9% | |
| 65 | 3% | 6% | |
| 66 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 46 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 47 | 1.0% | 98.6% | |
| 48 | 3% | 98% | |
| 49 | 5% | 95% | |
| 50 | 5% | 90% | |
| 51 | 4% | 85% | |
| 52 | 8% | 81% | |
| 53 | 11% | 73% | Median |
| 54 | 13% | 62% | |
| 55 | 6% | 49% | |
| 56 | 4% | 43% | |
| 57 | 12% | 39% | |
| 58 | 9% | 27% | |
| 59 | 9% | 18% | |
| 60 | 2% | 9% | |
| 61 | 3% | 7% | |
| 62 | 2% | 4% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 43 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 44 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 45 | 3% | 97% | |
| 46 | 2% | 94% | |
| 47 | 11% | 92% | |
| 48 | 8% | 81% | |
| 49 | 4% | 73% | |
| 50 | 13% | 69% | Median |
| 51 | 16% | 56% | |
| 52 | 10% | 40% | |
| 53 | 9% | 31% | |
| 54 | 5% | 22% | |
| 55 | 6% | 16% | |
| 56 | 5% | 11% | |
| 57 | 2% | 6% | |
| 58 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 59 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 44 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 45 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 46 | 3% | 98% | |
| 47 | 4% | 95% | |
| 48 | 6% | 91% | |
| 49 | 14% | 85% | |
| 50 | 9% | 70% | |
| 51 | 11% | 62% | Median |
| 52 | 21% | 50% | |
| 53 | 12% | 29% | |
| 54 | 8% | 18% | |
| 55 | 5% | 10% | |
| 56 | 3% | 5% | |
| 57 | 2% | 3% | |
| 58 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 39 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 40 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 41 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 42 | 6% | 97% | |
| 43 | 3% | 91% | |
| 44 | 10% | 88% | |
| 45 | 8% | 78% | |
| 46 | 9% | 70% | |
| 47 | 11% | 61% | Median |
| 48 | 18% | 50% | |
| 49 | 15% | 33% | |
| 50 | 7% | 18% | |
| 51 | 4% | 11% | |
| 52 | 3% | 6% | |
| 53 | 2% | 3% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 13 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 14 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 15 | 2% | 97% | |
| 16 | 6% | 95% | |
| 17 | 11% | 89% | |
| 18 | 21% | 78% | Median |
| 19 | 12% | 57% | |
| 20 | 17% | 45% | |
| 21 | 10% | 28% | |
| 22 | 9% | 18% | |
| 23 | 4% | 9% | |
| 24 | 3% | 4% | |
| 25 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 26 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 28 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: InFact
- Commissioner(s): Fiskeribladet
- Fieldwork period: 21 October 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1004
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.10%