Opinion Poll by Norstat for Aftenposten and NRK, 25–30 October 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 32.4% | 30.5–34.4% | 29.9–34.9% | 29.5–35.4% | 28.6–36.4% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 18.2% | 16.7–19.9% | 16.2–20.4% | 15.9–20.8% | 15.2–21.6% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 14.7% | 13.3–16.3% | 12.9–16.7% | 12.6–17.1% | 11.9–17.9% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.3–9.6% | 7.0–10.0% | 6.8–10.3% | 6.3–10.9% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.0–7.0% | 4.8–7.3% | 4.6–7.6% | 4.2–8.2% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 4.3% | 3.6–5.3% | 3.4–5.6% | 3.2–5.8% | 2.9–6.3% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.0–4.6% | 2.8–4.9% | 2.7–5.1% | 2.4–5.6% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.9–4.5% | 2.7–4.8% | 2.6–5.0% | 2.3–5.5% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.7–4.3% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.4–4.8% | 2.1–5.2% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.1–3.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 59 | 54–64 | 53–67 | 53–68 | 51–69 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 36 | 32–38 | 31–40 | 31–41 | 30–43 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 29 | 24–32 | 23–33 | 23–33 | 20–35 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 15 | 12–18 | 11–18 | 11–19 | 9–20 |
| Rødt | 8 | 10 | 8–13 | 8–13 | 7–14 | 1–15 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 7 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–11 | 0–12 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 3 | 1–8 | 1–8 | 1–9 | 1–10 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 3 | 2–8 | 2–8 | 1–9 | 1–9 |
| Venstre | 8 | 2 | 2–8 | 2–8 | 2–9 | 1–9 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 52 | 1.1% | 98.9% | |
| 53 | 3% | 98% | |
| 54 | 9% | 95% | |
| 55 | 8% | 85% | |
| 56 | 8% | 78% | |
| 57 | 8% | 69% | |
| 58 | 10% | 61% | |
| 59 | 8% | 51% | Median |
| 60 | 11% | 43% | |
| 61 | 8% | 32% | |
| 62 | 9% | 24% | |
| 63 | 5% | 15% | |
| 64 | 1.2% | 10% | |
| 65 | 2% | 9% | |
| 66 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 67 | 2% | 6% | |
| 68 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 69 | 2% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 1.2% | 99.7% | |
| 31 | 4% | 98% | |
| 32 | 5% | 94% | |
| 33 | 9% | 89% | |
| 34 | 6% | 80% | |
| 35 | 21% | 74% | |
| 36 | 9% | 53% | Median |
| 37 | 28% | 44% | |
| 38 | 7% | 16% | |
| 39 | 2% | 9% | |
| 40 | 4% | 7% | |
| 41 | 2% | 4% | |
| 42 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 43 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 21 | 0.4% | 99.4% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0.9% | 99.0% | |
| 23 | 6% | 98% | |
| 24 | 10% | 92% | |
| 25 | 4% | 82% | |
| 26 | 4% | 78% | |
| 27 | 13% | 74% | |
| 28 | 10% | 61% | |
| 29 | 12% | 51% | Median |
| 30 | 15% | 39% | |
| 31 | 12% | 24% | |
| 32 | 7% | 13% | |
| 33 | 3% | 5% | |
| 34 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 35 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 10 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 11 | 4% | 98% | |
| 12 | 7% | 94% | |
| 13 | 10% | 87% | Last Result |
| 14 | 13% | 76% | |
| 15 | 25% | 64% | Median |
| 16 | 19% | 39% | |
| 17 | 9% | 20% | |
| 18 | 6% | 11% | |
| 19 | 3% | 5% | |
| 20 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 21 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 7 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 8 | 8% | 97% | Last Result |
| 9 | 16% | 90% | |
| 10 | 26% | 74% | Median |
| 11 | 18% | 48% | |
| 12 | 16% | 30% | |
| 13 | 9% | 14% | |
| 14 | 3% | 4% | |
| 15 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10% | 100% | |
| 1 | 15% | 90% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 75% | |
| 3 | 0% | 74% | |
| 4 | 0% | 74% | |
| 5 | 0% | 74% | |
| 6 | 3% | 74% | |
| 7 | 22% | 71% | Median |
| 8 | 24% | 49% | |
| 9 | 15% | 25% | |
| 10 | 6% | 10% | |
| 11 | 4% | 4% | |
| 12 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15% | 100% | |
| 2 | 23% | 85% | |
| 3 | 18% | 62% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0% | 44% | |
| 5 | 0% | 44% | |
| 6 | 2% | 44% | |
| 7 | 8% | 41% | |
| 8 | 29% | 33% | |
| 9 | 3% | 4% | |
| 10 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 1 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 2 | 37% | 96% | |
| 3 | 31% | 59% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0% | 28% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 28% | |
| 6 | 4% | 28% | |
| 7 | 8% | 25% | |
| 8 | 14% | 17% | |
| 9 | 2% | 3% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 64% | 98% | Median |
| 3 | 13% | 34% | |
| 4 | 0% | 21% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 21% | |
| 6 | 3% | 21% | |
| 7 | 7% | 18% | |
| 8 | 8% | 11% | Last Result |
| 9 | 3% | 3% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 85% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 3% | 15% | |
| 2 | 11% | 12% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 1.4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 96 | 99 | 100% | 95–108 | 93–108 | 92–109 | 90–111 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 71 | 99 | 100% | 92–105 | 91–107 | 90–109 | 88–111 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 68 | 95 | 99.0% | 88–100 | 87–103 | 86–105 | 84–107 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 89 | 91% | 85–97 | 84–99 | 83–100 | 80–102 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 86 | 69% | 82–93 | 81–95 | 80–96 | 77–98 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 72 | 0.1% | 65–79 | 63–81 | 62–81 | 59–84 |
| Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 47 | 66 | 0% | 59–73 | 58–73 | 58–76 | 57–80 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet | 97 | 68 | 0% | 61–73 | 60–74 | 57–76 | 55–79 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 65 | 0% | 60–72 | 59–72 | 57–74 | 55–75 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 95 | 66 | 0% | 58–72 | 56–72 | 55–73 | 53–75 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 61 | 0% | 55–69 | 53–69 | 52–70 | 48–72 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 58 | 0% | 51–61 | 50–62 | 48–64 | 46–67 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 82 | 51 | 0% | 42–56 | 41–57 | 40–58 | 37–61 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 51 | 0% | 46–54 | 45–55 | 44–57 | 43–59 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 46 | 0% | 39–51 | 38–53 | 37–54 | 34–56 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 43 | 0% | 36–46 | 35–48 | 33–49 | 31–51 |
| Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 39 | 13 | 0% | 5–19 | 4–21 | 4–22 | 4–24 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 91 | 0.6% | 98.6% | |
| 92 | 2% | 98% | |
| 93 | 1.5% | 96% | |
| 94 | 3% | 94% | |
| 95 | 4% | 91% | |
| 96 | 16% | 87% | Last Result |
| 97 | 10% | 71% | |
| 98 | 6% | 61% | |
| 99 | 6% | 55% | |
| 100 | 6% | 48% | Median |
| 101 | 2% | 42% | |
| 102 | 2% | 40% | |
| 103 | 3% | 38% | |
| 104 | 4% | 36% | |
| 105 | 8% | 32% | |
| 106 | 8% | 24% | |
| 107 | 6% | 16% | |
| 108 | 6% | 10% | |
| 109 | 3% | 4% | |
| 110 | 0.3% | 1.5% | |
| 111 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 112 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 89 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 90 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 91 | 2% | 97% | |
| 92 | 6% | 95% | |
| 93 | 4% | 89% | |
| 94 | 4% | 85% | |
| 95 | 6% | 82% | |
| 96 | 2% | 76% | Median |
| 97 | 14% | 74% | |
| 98 | 9% | 59% | |
| 99 | 7% | 50% | |
| 100 | 11% | 43% | |
| 101 | 7% | 32% | |
| 102 | 5% | 25% | |
| 103 | 5% | 20% | |
| 104 | 2% | 16% | |
| 105 | 4% | 14% | |
| 106 | 3% | 9% | |
| 107 | 3% | 7% | |
| 108 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 109 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 110 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 111 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 84 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 85 | 1.3% | 99.0% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 98% | |
| 87 | 4% | 95% | |
| 88 | 2% | 91% | |
| 89 | 15% | 89% | |
| 90 | 5% | 74% | |
| 91 | 6% | 68% | |
| 92 | 3% | 62% | |
| 93 | 6% | 59% | Median |
| 94 | 2% | 53% | |
| 95 | 7% | 51% | |
| 96 | 6% | 45% | |
| 97 | 8% | 39% | |
| 98 | 7% | 31% | |
| 99 | 9% | 24% | |
| 100 | 6% | 15% | |
| 101 | 2% | 8% | |
| 102 | 2% | 7% | |
| 103 | 2% | 5% | |
| 104 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 105 | 2% | 3% | |
| 106 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 107 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 108 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 82 | 0.7% | 98.7% | |
| 83 | 2% | 98% | |
| 84 | 6% | 96% | |
| 85 | 3% | 91% | Majority |
| 86 | 12% | 87% | |
| 87 | 12% | 75% | |
| 88 | 6% | 63% | |
| 89 | 11% | 57% | |
| 90 | 3% | 47% | Median |
| 91 | 6% | 44% | |
| 92 | 3% | 38% | |
| 93 | 4% | 35% | |
| 94 | 7% | 31% | |
| 95 | 4% | 24% | |
| 96 | 8% | 20% | |
| 97 | 4% | 12% | |
| 98 | 3% | 8% | |
| 99 | 2% | 5% | |
| 100 | 2% | 3% | |
| 101 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 79 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 80 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 81 | 3% | 97% | |
| 82 | 6% | 95% | |
| 83 | 4% | 88% | |
| 84 | 15% | 84% | |
| 85 | 12% | 69% | Majority |
| 86 | 8% | 58% | |
| 87 | 9% | 50% | |
| 88 | 7% | 40% | Median |
| 89 | 6% | 33% | |
| 90 | 5% | 27% | |
| 91 | 5% | 22% | |
| 92 | 5% | 16% | |
| 93 | 3% | 11% | |
| 94 | 3% | 8% | |
| 95 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 96 | 2% | 4% | |
| 97 | 2% | 2% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 100 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 98.8% | |
| 62 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 63 | 2% | 97% | |
| 64 | 2% | 95% | |
| 65 | 3% | 93% | |
| 66 | 3% | 90% | |
| 67 | 2% | 87% | |
| 68 | 8% | 86% | |
| 69 | 11% | 78% | |
| 70 | 8% | 66% | |
| 71 | 8% | 59% | Median |
| 72 | 10% | 50% | |
| 73 | 8% | 40% | |
| 74 | 3% | 32% | |
| 75 | 3% | 30% | |
| 76 | 2% | 26% | |
| 77 | 4% | 24% | |
| 78 | 3% | 21% | |
| 79 | 11% | 17% | |
| 80 | 0.5% | 7% | |
| 81 | 4% | 6% | |
| 82 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 83 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 58 | 4% | 98% | |
| 59 | 5% | 94% | |
| 60 | 2% | 90% | |
| 61 | 5% | 88% | |
| 62 | 7% | 83% | |
| 63 | 2% | 75% | |
| 64 | 7% | 73% | Median |
| 65 | 13% | 66% | |
| 66 | 11% | 53% | |
| 67 | 9% | 42% | |
| 68 | 8% | 33% | |
| 69 | 5% | 25% | |
| 70 | 2% | 20% | |
| 71 | 4% | 18% | |
| 72 | 4% | 15% | |
| 73 | 5% | 10% | |
| 74 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 75 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 76 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 77 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 79 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 57 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 58 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 59 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 60 | 2% | 96% | |
| 61 | 4% | 94% | |
| 62 | 5% | 89% | |
| 63 | 5% | 85% | |
| 64 | 3% | 80% | |
| 65 | 6% | 77% | |
| 66 | 9% | 71% | |
| 67 | 7% | 62% | |
| 68 | 9% | 55% | Median |
| 69 | 11% | 45% | |
| 70 | 7% | 35% | |
| 71 | 15% | 27% | |
| 72 | 2% | 13% | |
| 73 | 5% | 10% | |
| 74 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 75 | 2% | 5% | |
| 76 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 79 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 56 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 57 | 2% | 98% | |
| 58 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 59 | 3% | 95% | |
| 60 | 6% | 92% | |
| 61 | 6% | 86% | |
| 62 | 9% | 80% | |
| 63 | 8% | 71% | |
| 64 | 7% | 63% | Median |
| 65 | 7% | 57% | |
| 66 | 6% | 50% | |
| 67 | 3% | 44% | |
| 68 | 6% | 41% | |
| 69 | 6% | 35% | |
| 70 | 6% | 29% | |
| 71 | 9% | 23% | |
| 72 | 9% | 13% | Last Result |
| 73 | 2% | 4% | |
| 74 | 2% | 3% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 54 | 1.1% | 99.5% | |
| 55 | 2% | 98% | |
| 56 | 2% | 97% | |
| 57 | 3% | 95% | |
| 58 | 2% | 91% | |
| 59 | 5% | 90% | |
| 60 | 3% | 85% | |
| 61 | 5% | 82% | |
| 62 | 5% | 77% | |
| 63 | 11% | 72% | |
| 64 | 6% | 61% | Median |
| 65 | 5% | 55% | |
| 66 | 7% | 50% | |
| 67 | 6% | 43% | |
| 68 | 4% | 37% | |
| 69 | 7% | 33% | |
| 70 | 7% | 26% | |
| 71 | 2% | 19% | |
| 72 | 14% | 16% | |
| 73 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 74 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 51 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 52 | 2% | 98% | |
| 53 | 2% | 97% | |
| 54 | 3% | 95% | |
| 55 | 3% | 91% | |
| 56 | 7% | 88% | |
| 57 | 2% | 81% | |
| 58 | 5% | 79% | |
| 59 | 9% | 73% | |
| 60 | 7% | 64% | |
| 61 | 11% | 57% | Median |
| 62 | 9% | 46% | |
| 63 | 5% | 37% | |
| 64 | 3% | 32% | |
| 65 | 5% | 29% | |
| 66 | 1.2% | 24% | |
| 67 | 6% | 23% | |
| 68 | 4% | 17% | |
| 69 | 10% | 13% | |
| 70 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 71 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 1.2% | 99.2% | |
| 48 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 49 | 2% | 97% | |
| 50 | 3% | 96% | |
| 51 | 4% | 92% | |
| 52 | 4% | 88% | |
| 53 | 7% | 84% | |
| 54 | 7% | 77% | |
| 55 | 8% | 70% | |
| 56 | 4% | 62% | |
| 57 | 3% | 58% | |
| 58 | 12% | 55% | Median |
| 59 | 15% | 43% | |
| 60 | 7% | 27% | |
| 61 | 11% | 20% | |
| 62 | 4% | 9% | |
| 63 | 2% | 5% | |
| 64 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 66 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 39 | 0.9% | 98.6% | |
| 40 | 2% | 98% | |
| 41 | 4% | 96% | |
| 42 | 4% | 92% | |
| 43 | 3% | 87% | |
| 44 | 2% | 85% | |
| 45 | 2% | 83% | |
| 46 | 2% | 81% | |
| 47 | 4% | 79% | |
| 48 | 6% | 74% | |
| 49 | 10% | 68% | Median |
| 50 | 5% | 58% | |
| 51 | 6% | 53% | |
| 52 | 5% | 47% | |
| 53 | 7% | 42% | |
| 54 | 7% | 36% | |
| 55 | 9% | 29% | |
| 56 | 15% | 20% | |
| 57 | 2% | 5% | |
| 58 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 59 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 60 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 44 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 45 | 4% | 97% | |
| 46 | 7% | 94% | |
| 47 | 4% | 87% | |
| 48 | 4% | 83% | |
| 49 | 10% | 79% | |
| 50 | 9% | 69% | |
| 51 | 15% | 59% | Median |
| 52 | 18% | 44% | |
| 53 | 13% | 26% | |
| 54 | 4% | 13% | |
| 55 | 5% | 9% | |
| 56 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 57 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 58 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 36 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 37 | 2% | 98% | |
| 38 | 3% | 96% | |
| 39 | 7% | 93% | |
| 40 | 4% | 86% | |
| 41 | 1.1% | 82% | |
| 42 | 4% | 81% | |
| 43 | 3% | 77% | |
| 44 | 4% | 74% | |
| 45 | 3% | 69% | |
| 46 | 17% | 66% | Median |
| 47 | 12% | 49% | |
| 48 | 14% | 37% | |
| 49 | 6% | 24% | |
| 50 | 5% | 18% | |
| 51 | 4% | 13% | |
| 52 | 3% | 9% | |
| 53 | 2% | 6% | |
| 54 | 2% | 4% | |
| 55 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 32 | 1.2% | 99.4% | |
| 33 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 34 | 2% | 97% | |
| 35 | 4% | 96% | |
| 36 | 7% | 92% | |
| 37 | 3% | 85% | |
| 38 | 5% | 82% | |
| 39 | 5% | 77% | |
| 40 | 4% | 71% | |
| 41 | 5% | 67% | |
| 42 | 9% | 62% | |
| 43 | 5% | 54% | Median |
| 44 | 21% | 49% | |
| 45 | 12% | 29% | |
| 46 | 8% | 16% | |
| 47 | 2% | 8% | |
| 48 | 4% | 6% | |
| 49 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 50 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 51 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 4 | 5% | 99.7% | |
| 5 | 5% | 95% | |
| 6 | 5% | 90% | |
| 7 | 0.6% | 85% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 85% | |
| 9 | 0.4% | 84% | |
| 10 | 3% | 84% | |
| 11 | 11% | 81% | |
| 12 | 13% | 70% | Median |
| 13 | 11% | 57% | |
| 14 | 7% | 46% | |
| 15 | 6% | 39% | |
| 16 | 7% | 34% | |
| 17 | 7% | 27% | |
| 18 | 3% | 21% | |
| 19 | 9% | 17% | |
| 20 | 2% | 8% | |
| 21 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 22 | 3% | 4% | |
| 23 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 25 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norstat
- Commissioner(s): Aftenposten and NRK
- Fieldwork period: 25–30 October 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 945
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.76%