Opinion Poll by Norfakta for Klassekampen and Nationen, 1–4 November 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 29.4% | 27.6–31.3% | 27.1–31.8% | 26.6–32.3% | 25.8–33.2% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 20.5% | 18.9–22.2% | 18.5–22.7% | 18.1–23.1% | 17.4–23.9% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 13.1% | 11.8–14.5% | 11.4–14.9% | 11.1–15.3% | 10.5–16.0% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.4–8.5% | 6.1–8.8% | 5.9–9.1% | 5.4–9.7% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.0–8.1% | 5.7–8.4% | 5.5–8.7% | 5.1–9.2% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 6.0% | 5.2–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.3–8.2% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.5–6.4% | 4.3–6.7% | 4.1–6.9% | 3.7–7.4% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.6–5.8% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.7–4.1% | 2.5–4.3% | 2.3–4.6% | 2.1–5.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 51 | 48–56 | 47–58 | 47–58 | 46–61 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 40 | 36–45 | 35–45 | 34–46 | 34–48 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 22 | 19–27 | 19–28 | 18–29 | 18–30 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 12 | 9–14 | 9–15 | 8–15 | 8–17 |
| Rødt | 8 | 11 | 9–13 | 8–13 | 8–14 | 7–15 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 10 | 8–13 | 7–13 | 7–14 | 6–15 |
| Venstre | 8 | 9 | 7–11 | 6–11 | 6–11 | 3–12 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 3 | 2–8 | 1–8 | 1–8 | 1–9 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 2 | 2–6 | 2–6 | 1–7 | 0–8 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 1.2% | 99.5% | |
| 47 | 4% | 98% | |
| 48 | 12% | 94% | |
| 49 | 12% | 82% | |
| 50 | 9% | 70% | |
| 51 | 15% | 61% | Median |
| 52 | 13% | 46% | |
| 53 | 10% | 33% | |
| 54 | 8% | 23% | |
| 55 | 5% | 15% | |
| 56 | 4% | 11% | |
| 57 | 2% | 7% | |
| 58 | 3% | 5% | |
| 59 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 60 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 34 | 4% | 99.6% | |
| 35 | 3% | 96% | |
| 36 | 6% | 93% | |
| 37 | 8% | 86% | |
| 38 | 9% | 78% | |
| 39 | 10% | 70% | |
| 40 | 12% | 60% | Median |
| 41 | 12% | 47% | |
| 42 | 6% | 36% | |
| 43 | 9% | 30% | |
| 44 | 10% | 21% | |
| 45 | 6% | 10% | |
| 46 | 2% | 4% | |
| 47 | 2% | 2% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 0.7% | Last Result |
| 49 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 18 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 19 | 6% | 96% | |
| 20 | 10% | 89% | |
| 21 | 11% | 79% | Last Result |
| 22 | 22% | 68% | Median |
| 23 | 11% | 47% | |
| 24 | 9% | 36% | |
| 25 | 9% | 27% | |
| 26 | 7% | 17% | |
| 27 | 5% | 11% | |
| 28 | 2% | 6% | |
| 29 | 2% | 4% | |
| 30 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 8 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 9 | 12% | 97% | |
| 10 | 15% | 85% | |
| 11 | 16% | 70% | |
| 12 | 18% | 54% | Median |
| 13 | 18% | 36% | Last Result |
| 14 | 11% | 18% | |
| 15 | 5% | 8% | |
| 16 | 2% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 7 | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 6% | 98.9% | Last Result |
| 9 | 9% | 93% | |
| 10 | 25% | 83% | |
| 11 | 18% | 58% | Median |
| 12 | 22% | 41% | |
| 13 | 15% | 19% | |
| 14 | 2% | 4% | |
| 15 | 2% | 2% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 7% | 98% | |
| 8 | 12% | 91% | |
| 9 | 16% | 79% | |
| 10 | 17% | 63% | Median |
| 11 | 17% | 46% | |
| 12 | 13% | 30% | |
| 13 | 14% | 16% | |
| 14 | 2% | 3% | |
| 15 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 6 | 5% | 98.6% | |
| 7 | 14% | 94% | |
| 8 | 27% | 80% | Last Result |
| 9 | 24% | 53% | Median |
| 10 | 16% | 30% | |
| 11 | 11% | 13% | |
| 12 | 2% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6% | 100% | |
| 2 | 26% | 94% | |
| 3 | 20% | 68% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0% | 48% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 48% | |
| 6 | 18% | 47% | |
| 7 | 16% | 29% | |
| 8 | 10% | 13% | |
| 9 | 2% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 1 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 2 | 59% | 96% | Median |
| 3 | 23% | 37% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 13% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 13% | |
| 6 | 8% | 13% | |
| 7 | 3% | 5% | |
| 8 | 2% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 96 | 100% | 92–101 | 90–103 | 89–104 | 87–106 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 71 | 90 | 89% | 84–96 | 83–97 | 83–98 | 80–101 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 86 | 60% | 80–91 | 80–92 | 79–93 | 77–95 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 83 | 40% | 78–88 | 77–89 | 76–91 | 75–92 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 78 | 8% | 71–84 | 70–86 | 69–88 | 66–88 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 74 | 0.5% | 69–80 | 68–81 | 68–82 | 67–85 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet | 97 | 74 | 0.1% | 67–79 | 65–80 | 64–81 | 62–83 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 95 | 70 | 0% | 64–76 | 62–78 | 61–78 | 59–80 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 68 | 0% | 62–73 | 61–76 | 60–76 | 57–77 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 67 | 0% | 61–72 | 59–74 | 59–76 | 56–77 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 62 | 0% | 59–67 | 58–69 | 57–70 | 55–73 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 63 | 0% | 57–67 | 56–68 | 54–69 | 52–70 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 82 | 57 | 0% | 53–64 | 51–65 | 50–66 | 48–69 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 53 | 0% | 48–58 | 47–60 | 46–61 | 45–64 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 52 | 0% | 47–56 | 46–57 | 45–58 | 43–60 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 50 | 0% | 46–55 | 45–56 | 44–58 | 42–58 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 22 | 0% | 18–25 | 17–26 | 16–28 | 14–30 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0.1% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 88 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 89 | 3% | 98% | |
| 90 | 1.5% | 96% | |
| 91 | 3% | 95% | |
| 92 | 9% | 91% | |
| 93 | 13% | 82% | |
| 94 | 8% | 69% | Median |
| 95 | 10% | 61% | |
| 96 | 8% | 52% | Last Result |
| 97 | 8% | 43% | |
| 98 | 9% | 36% | |
| 99 | 6% | 27% | |
| 100 | 8% | 20% | |
| 101 | 5% | 12% | |
| 102 | 2% | 7% | |
| 103 | 3% | 6% | |
| 104 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 105 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 106 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 107 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 81 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 82 | 0.9% | 98.5% | |
| 83 | 3% | 98% | |
| 84 | 6% | 95% | |
| 85 | 3% | 89% | Majority |
| 86 | 7% | 86% | |
| 87 | 6% | 78% | Median |
| 88 | 7% | 72% | |
| 89 | 8% | 65% | |
| 90 | 10% | 58% | |
| 91 | 9% | 48% | |
| 92 | 6% | 40% | |
| 93 | 12% | 33% | |
| 94 | 5% | 21% | |
| 95 | 5% | 16% | |
| 96 | 4% | 12% | |
| 97 | 4% | 8% | |
| 98 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 99 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 100 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 101 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 78 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 79 | 3% | 98% | |
| 80 | 7% | 96% | |
| 81 | 4% | 88% | |
| 82 | 8% | 85% | |
| 83 | 8% | 76% | |
| 84 | 9% | 69% | Median |
| 85 | 9% | 60% | Majority |
| 86 | 6% | 51% | |
| 87 | 15% | 45% | |
| 88 | 5% | 31% | |
| 89 | 6% | 26% | |
| 90 | 5% | 20% | |
| 91 | 8% | 15% | |
| 92 | 3% | 7% | |
| 93 | 2% | 4% | |
| 94 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 95 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 96 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 76 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 77 | 4% | 96% | |
| 78 | 7% | 92% | |
| 79 | 7% | 85% | |
| 80 | 9% | 78% | |
| 81 | 7% | 69% | |
| 82 | 10% | 62% | Median |
| 83 | 6% | 52% | |
| 84 | 6% | 46% | |
| 85 | 14% | 40% | Majority |
| 86 | 6% | 26% | |
| 87 | 4% | 20% | |
| 88 | 8% | 16% | |
| 89 | 3% | 8% | |
| 90 | 2% | 5% | |
| 91 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 92 | 1.0% | 1.5% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 69 | 1.4% | 98.5% | |
| 70 | 3% | 97% | |
| 71 | 6% | 94% | |
| 72 | 3% | 88% | |
| 73 | 3% | 85% | |
| 74 | 10% | 82% | |
| 75 | 3% | 72% | |
| 76 | 6% | 69% | Median |
| 77 | 7% | 63% | |
| 78 | 11% | 55% | |
| 79 | 9% | 44% | |
| 80 | 4% | 35% | |
| 81 | 10% | 31% | |
| 82 | 5% | 20% | |
| 83 | 5% | 15% | |
| 84 | 2% | 11% | |
| 85 | 2% | 8% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 7% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 88 | 3% | 4% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 68 | 6% | 98.7% | |
| 69 | 3% | 92% | |
| 70 | 9% | 89% | |
| 71 | 9% | 80% | |
| 72 | 9% | 71% | |
| 73 | 7% | 61% | Median |
| 74 | 8% | 54% | |
| 75 | 7% | 46% | |
| 76 | 7% | 39% | |
| 77 | 6% | 32% | |
| 78 | 9% | 26% | |
| 79 | 5% | 17% | |
| 80 | 6% | 12% | |
| 81 | 3% | 6% | |
| 82 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 83 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 0.5% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 64 | 1.1% | 98.6% | |
| 65 | 4% | 97% | |
| 66 | 3% | 94% | |
| 67 | 3% | 91% | |
| 68 | 8% | 88% | |
| 69 | 5% | 80% | |
| 70 | 3% | 75% | |
| 71 | 5% | 72% | |
| 72 | 8% | 67% | |
| 73 | 5% | 59% | Median |
| 74 | 7% | 54% | |
| 75 | 11% | 47% | |
| 76 | 6% | 36% | |
| 77 | 10% | 29% | |
| 78 | 8% | 20% | |
| 79 | 3% | 12% | |
| 80 | 6% | 8% | |
| 81 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 82 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 61 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 62 | 4% | 97% | |
| 63 | 1.3% | 93% | |
| 64 | 4% | 92% | |
| 65 | 3% | 88% | |
| 66 | 14% | 85% | |
| 67 | 8% | 71% | Median |
| 68 | 6% | 63% | |
| 69 | 5% | 57% | |
| 70 | 6% | 52% | |
| 71 | 13% | 46% | |
| 72 | 9% | 33% | |
| 73 | 7% | 25% | |
| 74 | 3% | 18% | |
| 75 | 4% | 14% | |
| 76 | 4% | 11% | |
| 77 | 0.9% | 6% | |
| 78 | 4% | 5% | |
| 79 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 59 | 1.0% | 98.7% | |
| 60 | 2% | 98% | |
| 61 | 3% | 96% | |
| 62 | 7% | 93% | |
| 63 | 4% | 86% | |
| 64 | 6% | 82% | |
| 65 | 6% | 76% | |
| 66 | 8% | 70% | Median |
| 67 | 11% | 62% | |
| 68 | 15% | 51% | |
| 69 | 7% | 36% | |
| 70 | 5% | 29% | |
| 71 | 5% | 24% | |
| 72 | 7% | 19% | Last Result |
| 73 | 3% | 11% | |
| 74 | 1.3% | 8% | |
| 75 | 1.0% | 7% | |
| 76 | 5% | 6% | |
| 77 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 58 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 59 | 3% | 98% | |
| 60 | 3% | 95% | |
| 61 | 3% | 92% | |
| 62 | 4% | 89% | |
| 63 | 7% | 85% | |
| 64 | 12% | 78% | |
| 65 | 8% | 66% | Median |
| 66 | 6% | 58% | |
| 67 | 5% | 52% | |
| 68 | 10% | 47% | |
| 69 | 7% | 37% | |
| 70 | 10% | 29% | |
| 71 | 7% | 20% | |
| 72 | 3% | 12% | |
| 73 | 2% | 9% | |
| 74 | 4% | 8% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 76 | 3% | 3% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 56 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 57 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 58 | 5% | 97% | |
| 59 | 5% | 92% | |
| 60 | 8% | 87% | |
| 61 | 17% | 79% | |
| 62 | 13% | 62% | Median |
| 63 | 10% | 49% | |
| 64 | 9% | 39% | |
| 65 | 8% | 31% | |
| 66 | 8% | 22% | |
| 67 | 5% | 15% | |
| 68 | 3% | 10% | |
| 69 | 4% | 6% | |
| 70 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 71 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 54 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 55 | 2% | 97% | |
| 56 | 4% | 96% | |
| 57 | 8% | 91% | |
| 58 | 9% | 84% | |
| 59 | 2% | 74% | |
| 60 | 4% | 72% | |
| 61 | 5% | 68% | |
| 62 | 8% | 63% | Median |
| 63 | 10% | 55% | |
| 64 | 9% | 45% | |
| 65 | 11% | 35% | |
| 66 | 7% | 24% | |
| 67 | 7% | 17% | |
| 68 | 6% | 9% | |
| 69 | 2% | 3% | |
| 70 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 49 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 50 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 51 | 3% | 97% | |
| 52 | 4% | 94% | |
| 53 | 5% | 90% | |
| 54 | 8% | 85% | |
| 55 | 8% | 77% | Median |
| 56 | 7% | 70% | |
| 57 | 13% | 62% | |
| 58 | 7% | 49% | |
| 59 | 8% | 43% | |
| 60 | 9% | 35% | |
| 61 | 6% | 27% | |
| 62 | 5% | 20% | |
| 63 | 4% | 15% | |
| 64 | 4% | 11% | |
| 65 | 4% | 7% | |
| 66 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 67 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 46 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 47 | 3% | 97% | |
| 48 | 5% | 95% | |
| 49 | 5% | 90% | |
| 50 | 9% | 85% | |
| 51 | 10% | 77% | |
| 52 | 10% | 67% | Median |
| 53 | 10% | 57% | |
| 54 | 10% | 47% | |
| 55 | 9% | 37% | |
| 56 | 7% | 28% | |
| 57 | 9% | 22% | |
| 58 | 3% | 13% | |
| 59 | 3% | 9% | |
| 60 | 3% | 7% | |
| 61 | 2% | 4% | |
| 62 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 44 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 45 | 2% | 98% | |
| 46 | 3% | 96% | |
| 47 | 5% | 93% | |
| 48 | 5% | 88% | |
| 49 | 8% | 84% | |
| 50 | 12% | 76% | |
| 51 | 6% | 64% | |
| 52 | 10% | 58% | Median |
| 53 | 10% | 48% | |
| 54 | 9% | 38% | |
| 55 | 9% | 29% | |
| 56 | 12% | 20% | |
| 57 | 3% | 8% | |
| 58 | 3% | 5% | |
| 59 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 60 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 1.1% | 99.0% | |
| 44 | 2% | 98% | |
| 45 | 3% | 96% | |
| 46 | 6% | 93% | |
| 47 | 5% | 87% | |
| 48 | 13% | 82% | |
| 49 | 9% | 69% | |
| 50 | 11% | 60% | Median |
| 51 | 11% | 50% | |
| 52 | 6% | 39% | |
| 53 | 8% | 32% | |
| 54 | 8% | 25% | |
| 55 | 10% | 17% | |
| 56 | 2% | 7% | |
| 57 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 58 | 3% | 3% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 15 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 16 | 2% | 98% | |
| 17 | 5% | 97% | |
| 18 | 7% | 91% | |
| 19 | 9% | 84% | |
| 20 | 7% | 75% | |
| 21 | 11% | 68% | Median |
| 22 | 16% | 56% | |
| 23 | 10% | 40% | |
| 24 | 13% | 30% | |
| 25 | 10% | 17% | |
| 26 | 2% | 7% | |
| 27 | 2% | 5% | |
| 28 | 2% | 3% | |
| 29 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 30 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norfakta
- Commissioner(s): Klassekampen and Nationen
- Fieldwork period: 1–4 November 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1011
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.36%