Opinion Poll by Respons Analyse for VG, 5–10 November 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 32.0% | 30.1–33.9% | 29.6–34.5% | 29.2–35.0% | 28.3–35.9% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 18.5% | 17.0–20.1% | 16.6–20.6% | 16.2–21.0% | 15.5–21.8% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 11.9% | 10.7–13.3% | 10.3–13.7% | 10.0–14.1% | 9.5–14.8% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.5–9.7% | 7.2–10.1% | 6.9–10.4% | 6.4–11.0% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 6.6% | 5.7–7.7% | 5.4–8.0% | 5.2–8.3% | 4.8–8.9% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.2–7.2% | 5.0–7.5% | 4.8–7.8% | 4.4–8.3% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.5–7.1% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.0–5.1% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.6–5.8% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.7–4.1% | 2.5–4.4% | 2.4–4.6% | 2.1–5.0% |
| Norgesdemokratene | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2–2.2% | 1.1–2.4% | 1.0–2.6% | 0.8–2.9% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.7% | 0.5–1.8% | 0.4–2.1% |
| Liberalistene | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.1–1.1% |
| Folkets parti | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.0–0.9% |
| Konservativt | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.0–0.9% |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.0–0.9% |
| Helsepartiet | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.0–0.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 58 | 52–59 | 52–61 | 52–63 | 49–69 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 35 | 34–36 | 33–39 | 30–43 | 28–44 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 23 | 19–24 | 19–24 | 17–25 | 15–28 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 14 | 13–17 | 13–18 | 11–18 | 11–18 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 11 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 9–16 | 8–16 |
| Rødt | 8 | 11 | 8–12 | 8–13 | 8–13 | 8–14 |
| Venstre | 8 | 8 | 8–10 | 3–10 | 2–11 | 2–12 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 8 | 2–9 | 2–9 | 2–9 | 1–9 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–8 | 0–8 |
| Norgesdemokratene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Liberalistene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Folkets parti | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Konservativt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Helsepartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 2% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 52 | 31% | 98% | |
| 53 | 3% | 67% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 64% | |
| 55 | 2% | 64% | |
| 56 | 4% | 62% | |
| 57 | 2% | 59% | |
| 58 | 44% | 57% | Median |
| 59 | 4% | 13% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 9% | |
| 61 | 5% | 9% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 63 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 65 | 0% | 2% | |
| 66 | 0% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0% | 2% | |
| 69 | 1.5% | 1.5% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 1.5% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 98.5% | |
| 30 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 31 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 32 | 2% | 97% | |
| 33 | 3% | 95% | |
| 34 | 38% | 92% | |
| 35 | 36% | 53% | Median |
| 36 | 10% | 17% | |
| 37 | 0.5% | 7% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 7% | |
| 39 | 3% | 6% | |
| 40 | 0% | 4% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 43 | 2% | 3% | |
| 44 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 17 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 18 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 19 | 6% | 96% | |
| 20 | 3% | 89% | |
| 21 | 1.3% | 86% | Last Result |
| 22 | 8% | 85% | |
| 23 | 39% | 76% | Median |
| 24 | 34% | 38% | |
| 25 | 2% | 3% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 29 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 3% | 100% | |
| 12 | 2% | 97% | |
| 13 | 36% | 95% | Last Result |
| 14 | 11% | 59% | Median |
| 15 | 2% | 49% | |
| 16 | 4% | 47% | |
| 17 | 33% | 43% | |
| 18 | 10% | 10% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 8 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 9 | 3% | 98% | |
| 10 | 36% | 95% | |
| 11 | 32% | 59% | Median |
| 12 | 6% | 27% | |
| 13 | 6% | 21% | |
| 14 | 11% | 15% | |
| 15 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 16 | 3% | 4% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 34% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 2% | 66% | |
| 10 | 9% | 64% | |
| 11 | 10% | 56% | Median |
| 12 | 39% | 46% | |
| 13 | 6% | 7% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 3% | 100% | |
| 3 | 4% | 97% | |
| 4 | 0% | 93% | |
| 5 | 0% | 93% | |
| 6 | 0% | 93% | |
| 7 | 1.4% | 93% | |
| 8 | 46% | 92% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 8% | 46% | |
| 10 | 35% | 38% | |
| 11 | 2% | 3% | |
| 12 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 14% | 98% | |
| 3 | 10% | 85% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 75% | |
| 5 | 0% | 75% | |
| 6 | 0% | 75% | |
| 7 | 6% | 75% | |
| 8 | 33% | 69% | Median |
| 9 | 36% | 36% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 1 | 1.2% | 99.1% | |
| 2 | 86% | 98% | Median |
| 3 | 8% | 12% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 4% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 7 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 8 | 3% | 3% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalistene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalistene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Folkets parti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Folkets parti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Helsepartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Helsepartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 103 | 100% | 97–104 | 97–106 | 94–107 | 93–109 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 71 | 94 | 98.7% | 91–102 | 87–102 | 86–102 | 84–103 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 90 | 95% | 86–93 | 84–93 | 83–95 | 82–101 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 88 | 60% | 84–91 | 81–91 | 81–91 | 80–98 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 80 | 3% | 76–81 | 76–82 | 72–86 | 71–89 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 78 | 3% | 75–82 | 75–84 | 73–85 | 67–86 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt | 97 | 74 | 0% | 66–77 | 66–81 | 66–82 | 65–84 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 95 | 69 | 0% | 69–72 | 65–75 | 65–76 | 59–77 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 65 | 0% | 64–71 | 62–71 | 61–74 | 58–75 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 67 | 0% | 65–70 | 63–72 | 61–74 | 56–75 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 68 | 0% | 62–70 | 62–72 | 61–72 | 60–81 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 62 | 0% | 58–65 | 58–68 | 58–70 | 54–72 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 82 | 55 | 0% | 53–56 | 50–60 | 47–62 | 46–62 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 50 | 0% | 48–52 | 46–53 | 45–60 | 45–61 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 47 | 0% | 47–52 | 45–55 | 44–55 | 43–58 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 45 | 0% | 45–50 | 43–51 | 41–52 | 41–56 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 22 | 0% | 21–24 | 20–27 | 15–29 | 14–29 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 89 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 91 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 92 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 93 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 94 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 95 | 0% | 97% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 97% | Last Result |
| 97 | 32% | 96% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 64% | |
| 99 | 1.4% | 64% | |
| 100 | 0.3% | 63% | |
| 101 | 8% | 62% | |
| 102 | 3% | 54% | Median |
| 103 | 34% | 51% | |
| 104 | 8% | 17% | |
| 105 | 1.2% | 9% | |
| 106 | 4% | 8% | |
| 107 | 2% | 4% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 109 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 110 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 98.7% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 87 | 3% | 97% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 90 | 0.6% | 93% | |
| 91 | 3% | 92% | |
| 92 | 2% | 90% | |
| 93 | 8% | 87% | |
| 94 | 31% | 80% | |
| 95 | 3% | 48% | |
| 96 | 2% | 45% | |
| 97 | 3% | 43% | |
| 98 | 0.6% | 40% | |
| 99 | 0.6% | 39% | Median |
| 100 | 3% | 39% | |
| 101 | 0.4% | 36% | |
| 102 | 34% | 36% | |
| 103 | 2% | 2% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 107 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 1.4% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 2% | 98% | |
| 84 | 2% | 97% | |
| 85 | 3% | 95% | Majority |
| 86 | 31% | 91% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 60% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 60% | |
| 89 | 6% | 60% | |
| 90 | 10% | 54% | |
| 91 | 0.6% | 44% | Median |
| 92 | 1.0% | 44% | |
| 93 | 40% | 43% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 95 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 98 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 99 | 0% | 2% | |
| 100 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 101 | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 80 | 1.4% | 99.8% | |
| 81 | 4% | 98% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 83 | 3% | 94% | |
| 84 | 31% | 91% | |
| 85 | 3% | 60% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 57% | |
| 87 | 3% | 55% | |
| 88 | 10% | 52% | |
| 89 | 1.4% | 42% | Median |
| 90 | 2% | 40% | |
| 91 | 36% | 39% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 94 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 95 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 96 | 0% | 1.5% | |
| 97 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 98 | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 71 | 1.3% | 99.8% | |
| 72 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 73 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 76 | 31% | 96% | |
| 77 | 3% | 65% | |
| 78 | 6% | 62% | |
| 79 | 2% | 56% | |
| 80 | 13% | 54% | |
| 81 | 35% | 41% | Median |
| 82 | 2% | 6% | |
| 83 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 84 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 85 | 0% | 3% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 87 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 89 | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 98.6% | |
| 69 | 0% | 98% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 75 | 40% | 97% | |
| 76 | 1.0% | 57% | |
| 77 | 0.6% | 56% | |
| 78 | 10% | 56% | |
| 79 | 6% | 46% | Median |
| 80 | 0.1% | 40% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 40% | |
| 82 | 31% | 40% | |
| 83 | 3% | 9% | |
| 84 | 2% | 5% | |
| 85 | 2% | 3% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 66 | 34% | 98% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 64% | |
| 68 | 3% | 64% | |
| 69 | 0.6% | 61% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 61% | |
| 71 | 3% | 60% | Median |
| 72 | 2% | 57% | |
| 73 | 3% | 55% | |
| 74 | 31% | 52% | |
| 75 | 8% | 20% | |
| 76 | 2% | 13% | |
| 77 | 3% | 10% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 8% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 7% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 7% | |
| 81 | 3% | 7% | |
| 82 | 2% | 3% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 84 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 98.5% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 64 | 0% | 98% | |
| 65 | 3% | 98% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 67 | 3% | 94% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 91% | |
| 69 | 44% | 91% | |
| 70 | 1.4% | 47% | Median |
| 71 | 2% | 46% | |
| 72 | 36% | 44% | |
| 73 | 3% | 9% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 75 | 2% | 5% | |
| 76 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 77 | 2% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 59 | 1.5% | 99.5% | |
| 60 | 0% | 98% | |
| 61 | 2% | 98% | |
| 62 | 4% | 96% | |
| 63 | 1.2% | 92% | |
| 64 | 8% | 91% | |
| 65 | 34% | 83% | |
| 66 | 3% | 49% | |
| 67 | 8% | 46% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 38% | Median |
| 69 | 1.4% | 37% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 36% | |
| 71 | 32% | 36% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 4% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0% | 3% | |
| 74 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 75 | 2% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 58 | 0% | 98.5% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 98.5% | |
| 60 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 62 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 63 | 2% | 96% | |
| 64 | 0.6% | 94% | |
| 65 | 5% | 94% | |
| 66 | 1.2% | 89% | |
| 67 | 44% | 88% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 43% | Median |
| 69 | 3% | 43% | |
| 70 | 34% | 40% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 72 | 2% | 5% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 74 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 75 | 2% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 3% | 98% | |
| 62 | 31% | 96% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 65% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 65% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 65% | |
| 66 | 3% | 64% | |
| 67 | 1.3% | 61% | |
| 68 | 11% | 60% | Median |
| 69 | 4% | 48% | |
| 70 | 39% | 44% | |
| 71 | 0.6% | 6% | |
| 72 | 3% | 5% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0% | 2% | |
| 77 | 0% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0% | 2% | |
| 81 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 54 | 1.4% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 56 | 0% | 98% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 58 | 37% | 98% | |
| 59 | 3% | 60% | |
| 60 | 0.8% | 58% | Median |
| 61 | 3% | 57% | |
| 62 | 32% | 53% | |
| 63 | 1.2% | 21% | |
| 64 | 8% | 20% | |
| 65 | 3% | 12% | |
| 66 | 2% | 9% | |
| 67 | 0% | 7% | |
| 68 | 4% | 7% | |
| 69 | 0% | 3% | |
| 70 | 2% | 3% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 72 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 2% | 100% | |
| 47 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 50 | 2% | 97% | |
| 51 | 0.7% | 95% | |
| 52 | 1.1% | 94% | |
| 53 | 3% | 93% | |
| 54 | 6% | 90% | |
| 55 | 41% | 84% | |
| 56 | 34% | 43% | Median |
| 57 | 2% | 9% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 7% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 7% | |
| 60 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 61 | 2% | 5% | |
| 62 | 3% | 3% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 46 | 3% | 97% | |
| 47 | 2% | 93% | |
| 48 | 36% | 92% | |
| 49 | 2% | 56% | Median |
| 50 | 8% | 54% | |
| 51 | 33% | 46% | |
| 52 | 5% | 13% | |
| 53 | 4% | 8% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 57 | 0% | 3% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 60 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 61 | 2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 45 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 46 | 3% | 95% | |
| 47 | 65% | 92% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 27% | Median |
| 49 | 0.5% | 26% | |
| 50 | 1.3% | 26% | |
| 51 | 2% | 24% | |
| 52 | 13% | 23% | |
| 53 | 3% | 10% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 7% | |
| 55 | 5% | 7% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 58 | 1.2% | 1.5% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 40 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 41 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 42 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 43 | 2% | 95% | |
| 44 | 2% | 94% | |
| 45 | 65% | 91% | |
| 46 | 0.8% | 26% | Median |
| 47 | 3% | 26% | |
| 48 | 1.4% | 23% | |
| 49 | 2% | 21% | |
| 50 | 13% | 19% | |
| 51 | 3% | 6% | |
| 52 | 2% | 4% | |
| 53 | 0% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0% | 1.5% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 1.5% | |
| 56 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 14 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 16 | 0% | 97% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 19 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 20 | 3% | 96% | |
| 21 | 35% | 93% | Median |
| 22 | 35% | 58% | |
| 23 | 4% | 24% | |
| 24 | 11% | 19% | |
| 25 | 2% | 8% | |
| 26 | 1.1% | 6% | |
| 27 | 1.5% | 5% | |
| 28 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 29 | 3% | 3% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Respons Analyse
- Commissioner(s): VG
- Fieldwork period: 5–10 November 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.76%