Opinion Poll by Sentio for Amedia and Nettavisen, 8–14 November 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 31.6% | 29.8–33.5% | 29.2–34.1% | 28.8–34.6% | 27.9–35.5% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 16.7% | 15.3–18.3% | 14.9–18.7% | 14.5–19.1% | 13.9–19.9% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 13.4% | 12.1–14.9% | 11.7–15.3% | 11.4–15.7% | 10.8–16.4% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 10.0% | 8.9–11.3% | 8.6–11.7% | 8.3–12.0% | 7.8–12.7% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.0–5.8% | 3.8–6.1% | 3.6–6.3% | 3.3–6.8% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.9–5.7% | 3.7–6.0% | 3.6–6.2% | 3.2–6.7% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.9–5.6% | 3.6–5.9% | 3.5–6.1% | 3.1–6.6% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 4.5% | 3.8–5.5% | 3.6–5.7% | 3.4–6.0% | 3.0–6.5% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.7–5.3% | 3.5–5.6% | 3.3–5.9% | 3.0–6.4% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 1.7% | 1.3–2.4% | 1.2–2.5% | 1.1–2.7% | 0.9–3.1% |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.1–2.1% | 1.0–2.3% | 0.9–2.5% | 0.7–2.8% |
| Norgesdemokratene | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.7% | 0.5–1.8% | 0.4–2.1% |
| Folkets parti | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2–0.8% | 0.2–0.9% | 0.2–1.0% | 0.1–1.3% |
| Konservativt | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.0–0.9% |
| Helsepartiet | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.0–0.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 60 | 56–62 | 53–63 | 52–64 | 50–65 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 39 | 31–39 | 31–39 | 31–39 | 29–39 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 21 | 17–26 | 17–29 | 17–32 | 17–34 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 13 | 13–20 | 13–20 | 13–21 | 13–23 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 7 | 7–10 | 7–11 | 2–11 | 2–12 |
| Rødt | 8 | 8 | 8–9 | 1–10 | 1–11 | 1–11 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 6 | 3–8 | 2–8 | 2–9 | 2–10 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 6 | 6–9 | 6–10 | 1–10 | 0–11 |
| Venstre | 8 | 8 | 2–8 | 2–9 | 2–10 | 2–10 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Norgesdemokratene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Folkets parti | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Konservativt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Helsepartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 50 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 51 | 0.5% | 98.6% | |
| 52 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 53 | 4% | 97% | |
| 54 | 2% | 93% | |
| 55 | 1.1% | 91% | |
| 56 | 8% | 90% | |
| 57 | 5% | 82% | |
| 58 | 0.6% | 77% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 77% | |
| 60 | 59% | 77% | Median |
| 61 | 0.5% | 18% | |
| 62 | 10% | 17% | |
| 63 | 3% | 7% | |
| 64 | 3% | 4% | |
| 65 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 29 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 1.0% | 98.7% | |
| 31 | 8% | 98% | |
| 32 | 2% | 89% | |
| 33 | 7% | 87% | |
| 34 | 10% | 80% | |
| 35 | 10% | 71% | |
| 36 | 1.0% | 60% | |
| 37 | 0.5% | 59% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 59% | |
| 39 | 59% | 59% | Median |
| 40 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 10% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 90% | |
| 19 | 3% | 90% | |
| 20 | 0.4% | 86% | |
| 21 | 59% | 86% | Last Result, Median |
| 22 | 0.9% | 27% | |
| 23 | 4% | 26% | |
| 24 | 6% | 23% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 16% | |
| 26 | 8% | 16% | |
| 27 | 0.9% | 8% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 7% | |
| 29 | 2% | 7% | |
| 30 | 0.5% | 5% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 32 | 3% | 4% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 34 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 13 | 59% | 99.8% | Last Result, Median |
| 14 | 2% | 41% | |
| 15 | 17% | 39% | |
| 16 | 5% | 22% | |
| 17 | 5% | 17% | |
| 18 | 0.6% | 12% | |
| 19 | 1.5% | 12% | |
| 20 | 7% | 10% | |
| 21 | 2% | 3% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 23 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 4% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 96% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 95% | |
| 5 | 0% | 95% | |
| 6 | 0% | 95% | |
| 7 | 70% | 95% | Median |
| 8 | 7% | 25% | |
| 9 | 5% | 19% | |
| 10 | 7% | 14% | |
| 11 | 6% | 7% | |
| 12 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 95% | |
| 3 | 0% | 95% | |
| 4 | 0% | 95% | |
| 5 | 0% | 95% | |
| 6 | 0% | 95% | |
| 7 | 1.4% | 95% | |
| 8 | 68% | 93% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 16% | 26% | |
| 10 | 5% | 10% | |
| 11 | 4% | 5% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 8% | 100% | |
| 3 | 2% | 92% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 90% | |
| 5 | 0% | 90% | |
| 6 | 59% | 90% | Median |
| 7 | 5% | 31% | |
| 8 | 22% | 26% | |
| 9 | 2% | 4% | |
| 10 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 1 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 2 | 0% | 97% | |
| 3 | 0% | 97% | |
| 4 | 0% | 97% | |
| 5 | 0% | 97% | |
| 6 | 59% | 97% | Median |
| 7 | 8% | 38% | |
| 8 | 16% | 31% | |
| 9 | 6% | 14% | |
| 10 | 8% | 9% | |
| 11 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 12 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 12% | 100% | |
| 3 | 5% | 88% | |
| 4 | 0% | 83% | |
| 5 | 0% | 83% | |
| 6 | 0% | 83% | |
| 7 | 16% | 83% | |
| 8 | 62% | 67% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 2% | 5% | |
| 10 | 3% | 4% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 97% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 2% | 3% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 96% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 4% | 4% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Folkets parti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Folkets parti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Helsepartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Helsepartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 71 | 102 | 100% | 101–103 | 96–106 | 96–112 | 96–112 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Senterpartiet – Venstre | 96 | 101 | 100% | 98–104 | 96–107 | 96–111 | 94–111 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 68 | 95 | 99.9% | 92–97 | 86–100 | 86–104 | 86–104 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 89 | 88% | 84–89 | 84–94 | 84–96 | 82–96 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 81 | 9% | 79–84 | 79–86 | 78–86 | 75–87 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt – Senterpartiet | 100 | 73 | 0.1% | 70–76 | 68–82 | 63–82 | 63–82 |
| Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 47 | 74 | 0% | 66–77 | 60–77 | 60–81 | 60–81 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Senterpartiet | 95 | 71 | 0% | 71–74 | 68–76 | 67–76 | 66–79 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet | 92 | 65 | 0% | 64–69 | 60–74 | 59–74 | 58–74 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt | 72 | 67 | 0% | 64–69 | 60–72 | 56–72 | 56–73 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet | 97 | 66 | 0% | 65–67 | 60–72 | 55–72 | 55–72 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 58 | 0% | 54–60 | 54–64 | 53–64 | 51–65 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Senterpartiet | 82 | 58 | 0% | 54–58 | 52–58 | 50–58 | 49–62 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 52 | 0% | 48–53 | 46–54 | 46–54 | 43–57 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Senterpartiet | 79 | 51 | 0% | 46–51 | 45–51 | 43–51 | 41–54 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 45 | 0% | 39–45 | 38–45 | 37–45 | 34–46 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti – Senterpartiet – Venstre | 39 | 20 | 0% | 17–23 | 14–25 | 14–25 | 11–28 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 93 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 94 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 96 | 7% | 99.8% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 98 | 1.2% | 93% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 91% | |
| 100 | 0.8% | 91% | |
| 101 | 14% | 90% | |
| 102 | 64% | 77% | Median |
| 103 | 5% | 13% | |
| 104 | 0.8% | 8% | |
| 105 | 1.4% | 8% | |
| 106 | 2% | 6% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 108 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 110 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 111 | 0% | 3% | |
| 112 | 3% | 3% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Senterpartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 92 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 94 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 95 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 96 | 8% | 98% | Last Result |
| 97 | 0.2% | 91% | |
| 98 | 0.8% | 90% | |
| 99 | 0.8% | 90% | |
| 100 | 5% | 89% | |
| 101 | 63% | 84% | Median |
| 102 | 11% | 21% | |
| 103 | 0.4% | 11% | |
| 104 | 0.6% | 10% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 10% | |
| 106 | 1.0% | 10% | |
| 107 | 4% | 9% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 109 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 110 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 111 | 3% | 3% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 86 | 7% | 99.9% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 88 | 0% | 93% | |
| 89 | 0.5% | 93% | |
| 90 | 1.0% | 92% | |
| 91 | 0.9% | 91% | |
| 92 | 7% | 90% | |
| 93 | 1.0% | 83% | |
| 94 | 12% | 82% | |
| 95 | 59% | 70% | Median |
| 96 | 0.5% | 11% | |
| 97 | 0.7% | 11% | |
| 98 | 2% | 10% | |
| 99 | 1.0% | 8% | |
| 100 | 3% | 7% | |
| 101 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 104 | 3% | 3% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 84 | 11% | 98.9% | |
| 85 | 4% | 88% | Majority |
| 86 | 12% | 83% | |
| 87 | 0.8% | 71% | |
| 88 | 1.0% | 70% | |
| 89 | 60% | 69% | Median |
| 90 | 0.2% | 9% | |
| 91 | 0.4% | 9% | |
| 92 | 3% | 9% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 94 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 95 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 96 | 3% | 3% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 77 | 0.9% | 99.0% | |
| 78 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 79 | 11% | 97% | |
| 80 | 0.7% | 86% | |
| 81 | 64% | 85% | Median |
| 82 | 7% | 21% | |
| 83 | 3% | 14% | |
| 84 | 1.2% | 10% | |
| 85 | 4% | 9% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 6% | |
| 87 | 2% | 2% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 65 | 0% | 97% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 67 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 68 | 3% | 95% | |
| 69 | 1.4% | 92% | |
| 70 | 1.5% | 91% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 89% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 89% | |
| 73 | 59% | 89% | Median |
| 74 | 13% | 29% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 17% | |
| 76 | 7% | 17% | |
| 77 | 0.9% | 9% | |
| 78 | 0.9% | 8% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 7% | |
| 80 | 0% | 7% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 7% | |
| 82 | 7% | 7% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 7% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 93% | |
| 62 | 0% | 92% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 92% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 92% | |
| 65 | 0.8% | 91% | |
| 66 | 1.0% | 90% | |
| 67 | 1.5% | 89% | |
| 68 | 8% | 88% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 80% | |
| 70 | 2% | 80% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 78% | |
| 72 | 0.6% | 78% | |
| 73 | 3% | 77% | |
| 74 | 59% | 74% | Median |
| 75 | 0.1% | 15% | |
| 76 | 1.4% | 15% | |
| 77 | 10% | 14% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 79 | 0% | 3% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 81 | 3% | 3% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 66 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 4% | 98.7% | |
| 68 | 0.8% | 95% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 70 | 3% | 94% | |
| 71 | 60% | 91% | Median |
| 72 | 1.5% | 31% | |
| 73 | 18% | 29% | |
| 74 | 2% | 11% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 9% | |
| 76 | 8% | 9% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 59 | 4% | 99.2% | |
| 60 | 0.8% | 95% | |
| 61 | 0% | 95% | |
| 62 | 3% | 95% | |
| 63 | 0.8% | 91% | |
| 64 | 1.2% | 91% | |
| 65 | 75% | 89% | Median |
| 66 | 3% | 15% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 12% | |
| 68 | 1.2% | 11% | |
| 69 | 2% | 10% | |
| 70 | 1.1% | 8% | |
| 71 | 0% | 7% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 7% | |
| 73 | 0% | 7% | |
| 74 | 7% | 7% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 3% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 97% | |
| 58 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 61 | 3% | 95% | |
| 62 | 1.0% | 91% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 90% | |
| 64 | 0.6% | 90% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 90% | |
| 66 | 10% | 89% | |
| 67 | 63% | 79% | Median |
| 68 | 5% | 16% | |
| 69 | 0.8% | 10% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 10% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 9% | |
| 72 | 8% | 9% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 60 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 62 | 2% | 94% | |
| 63 | 1.4% | 93% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 92% | |
| 65 | 5% | 91% | |
| 66 | 63% | 86% | Median |
| 67 | 13% | 23% | |
| 68 | 0.9% | 10% | |
| 69 | 0.6% | 9% | |
| 70 | 0.9% | 8% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 7% | |
| 72 | 7% | 7% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 52 | 1.4% | 99.0% | |
| 53 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 54 | 7% | 97% | |
| 55 | 0.6% | 89% | |
| 56 | 0.8% | 89% | |
| 57 | 8% | 88% | |
| 58 | 70% | 80% | Median |
| 59 | 0.6% | 11% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 10% | |
| 61 | 0.9% | 10% | |
| 62 | 1.0% | 9% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 8% | |
| 64 | 7% | 8% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 49 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 50 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 51 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 52 | 2% | 95% | |
| 53 | 0.8% | 93% | |
| 54 | 4% | 92% | |
| 55 | 2% | 88% | |
| 56 | 8% | 86% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 78% | |
| 58 | 76% | 78% | Median |
| 59 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 46 | 5% | 99.0% | |
| 47 | 4% | 94% | |
| 48 | 3% | 91% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 87% | |
| 50 | 16% | 87% | |
| 51 | 1.4% | 71% | |
| 52 | 59% | 70% | Median |
| 53 | 2% | 10% | |
| 54 | 7% | 8% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 41 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 42 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 43 | 1.4% | 98.7% | |
| 44 | 2% | 97% | |
| 45 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 46 | 10% | 94% | |
| 47 | 5% | 84% | |
| 48 | 3% | 78% | |
| 49 | 4% | 75% | |
| 50 | 0.9% | 71% | |
| 51 | 69% | 71% | Median |
| 52 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 54 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 35 | 1.3% | 99.5% | |
| 36 | 0% | 98% | |
| 37 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 38 | 6% | 97% | |
| 39 | 4% | 91% | |
| 40 | 3% | 87% | |
| 41 | 3% | 84% | |
| 42 | 4% | 81% | |
| 43 | 11% | 78% | |
| 44 | 8% | 67% | |
| 45 | 59% | 59% | Median |
| 46 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kristelig Folkeparti – Senterpartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 14 | 8% | 98.7% | |
| 15 | 0% | 91% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 91% | |
| 17 | 2% | 91% | |
| 18 | 3% | 89% | |
| 19 | 5% | 86% | |
| 20 | 59% | 81% | Median |
| 21 | 0.3% | 21% | |
| 22 | 3% | 21% | |
| 23 | 12% | 18% | |
| 24 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 25 | 3% | 5% | |
| 26 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 1.5% | |
| 28 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Sentio
- Commissioner(s): Amedia and Nettavisen
- Fieldwork period: 8–14 November 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.87%