Opinion Poll by Norstat for Aftenposten and NRK, 22–27 November 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 30.1% | 28.2–32.0% | 27.7–32.6% | 27.3–33.1% | 26.4–34.0% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 17.1% | 15.6–18.7% | 15.2–19.2% | 14.8–19.6% | 14.1–20.4% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 12.8% | 11.5–14.3% | 11.1–14.7% | 10.8–15.1% | 10.2–15.8% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.5–9.9% | 7.2–10.2% | 7.0–10.5% | 6.5–11.2% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.4–8.5% | 6.1–8.9% | 5.8–9.2% | 5.4–9.8% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 5.9% | 5.0–7.0% | 4.8–7.3% | 4.5–7.6% | 4.2–8.1% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.8–5.6% | 3.6–5.9% | 3.4–6.1% | 3.1–6.7% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.0–5.1% | 2.8–5.3% | 2.5–5.8% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.7–4.2% | 2.5–4.5% | 2.4–4.7% | 2.1–5.2% |
| Norgesdemokratene | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2–2.3% | 1.1–2.5% | 1.0–2.7% | 0.9–3.1% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 1.7% | 1.2–2.3% | 1.1–2.5% | 1.0–2.7% | 0.9–3.1% |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.0–2.0% | 0.9–2.2% | 0.8–2.3% | 0.6–2.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 52 | 51–57 | 50–59 | 49–62 | 47–64 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 33 | 31–35 | 30–36 | 30–37 | 28–42 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 26 | 21–28 | 19–28 | 19–30 | 18–33 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 14 | 14–18 | 13–18 | 12–20 | 11–20 |
| Rødt | 8 | 14 | 12–15 | 11–16 | 11–17 | 10–18 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 11 | 9–12 | 8–13 | 8–14 | 7–15 |
| Venstre | 8 | 8 | 8–9 | 3–11 | 2–11 | 2–12 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 7 | 2–9 | 2–9 | 2–9 | 1–10 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 3 | 2–7 | 2–8 | 2–9 | 1–9 |
| Norgesdemokratene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 49 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 50 | 5% | 96% | |
| 51 | 31% | 91% | |
| 52 | 20% | 60% | Median |
| 53 | 6% | 40% | |
| 54 | 2% | 34% | |
| 55 | 18% | 32% | |
| 56 | 3% | 14% | |
| 57 | 1.5% | 11% | |
| 58 | 3% | 10% | |
| 59 | 3% | 7% | |
| 60 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 62 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 64 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 28 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 29 | 1.3% | 99.2% | |
| 30 | 3% | 98% | |
| 31 | 5% | 95% | |
| 32 | 5% | 90% | |
| 33 | 43% | 85% | Median |
| 34 | 30% | 42% | |
| 35 | 5% | 12% | |
| 36 | 4% | 7% | |
| 37 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 38 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 18 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 19 | 4% | 98.7% | |
| 20 | 1.4% | 95% | |
| 21 | 10% | 94% | Last Result |
| 22 | 14% | 84% | |
| 23 | 4% | 70% | |
| 24 | 3% | 66% | |
| 25 | 9% | 63% | |
| 26 | 31% | 54% | Median |
| 27 | 2% | 23% | |
| 28 | 18% | 22% | |
| 29 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 30 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 31 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 33 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 34 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 13 | 5% | 96% | Last Result |
| 14 | 48% | 92% | Median |
| 15 | 10% | 43% | |
| 16 | 10% | 33% | |
| 17 | 12% | 23% | |
| 18 | 7% | 12% | |
| 19 | 2% | 5% | |
| 20 | 3% | 3% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 10 | 1.3% | 99.6% | |
| 11 | 5% | 98% | |
| 12 | 14% | 94% | |
| 13 | 12% | 80% | |
| 14 | 49% | 67% | Median |
| 15 | 12% | 18% | |
| 16 | 2% | 6% | |
| 17 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 18 | 2% | 2% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 8 | 9% | 99.3% | |
| 9 | 21% | 90% | |
| 10 | 14% | 69% | |
| 11 | 33% | 55% | Median |
| 12 | 14% | 22% | |
| 13 | 3% | 7% | |
| 14 | 3% | 4% | |
| 15 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 4% | 100% | |
| 3 | 5% | 96% | |
| 4 | 0% | 92% | |
| 5 | 0% | 92% | |
| 6 | 0% | 92% | |
| 7 | 2% | 92% | |
| 8 | 61% | 90% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 20% | 29% | |
| 10 | 3% | 9% | |
| 11 | 3% | 5% | |
| 12 | 2% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 37% | 98% | |
| 3 | 5% | 61% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 56% | |
| 5 | 0% | 56% | |
| 6 | 0% | 56% | |
| 7 | 9% | 56% | Median |
| 8 | 13% | 47% | |
| 9 | 33% | 34% | |
| 10 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 1 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 2 | 40% | 98% | |
| 3 | 29% | 58% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0% | 29% | |
| 5 | 0% | 29% | |
| 6 | 0% | 29% | |
| 7 | 21% | 29% | |
| 8 | 5% | 7% | |
| 9 | 2% | 3% | |
| 10 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 93% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 5% | 7% | |
| 2 | 2% | 2% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 2% | 2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 100 | 100% | 97–104 | 95–105 | 95–107 | 91–110 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 71 | 96 | 99.8% | 91–97 | 91–99 | 89–101 | 86–105 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 89 | 96% | 87–95 | 85–95 | 83–96 | 80–99 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 85 | 77% | 82–89 | 81–91 | 79–93 | 77–95 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 77 | 4% | 75–81 | 72–84 | 71–85 | 70–87 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 79 | 2% | 73–81 | 73–83 | 72–84 | 69–87 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet | 97 | 72 | 0% | 71–77 | 69–77 | 67–79 | 63–82 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 95 | 69 | 0% | 65–72 | 63–74 | 62–75 | 60–78 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 68 | 0% | 64–70 | 63–73 | 61–73 | 58–76 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 66 | 0% | 61–69 | 61–71 | 60–72 | 58–76 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 65 | 0% | 59–68 | 59–69 | 59–72 | 57–75 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 58 | 0% | 57–62 | 56–64 | 54–65 | 52–68 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 82 | 54 | 0% | 49–57 | 48–59 | 45–60 | 44–63 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 48 | 0% | 46–51 | 46–52 | 45–54 | 41–56 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 47 | 0% | 45–51 | 43–53 | 42–54 | 40–57 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 44 | 0% | 41–46 | 40–47 | 39–48 | 37–52 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 21 | 0% | 19–26 | 17–27 | 16–30 | 13–32 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 89 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 91 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 93 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 94 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 95 | 3% | 98% | |
| 96 | 3% | 95% | Last Result |
| 97 | 5% | 92% | |
| 98 | 34% | 87% | |
| 99 | 3% | 53% | |
| 100 | 6% | 51% | Median |
| 101 | 12% | 44% | |
| 102 | 6% | 32% | |
| 103 | 2% | 25% | |
| 104 | 18% | 24% | |
| 105 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 106 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 107 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 108 | 2% | 2% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 110 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 99.8% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 87 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 88 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 89 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 90 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 91 | 9% | 96% | |
| 92 | 6% | 86% | |
| 93 | 4% | 81% | |
| 94 | 4% | 77% | |
| 95 | 6% | 73% | |
| 96 | 32% | 67% | Median |
| 97 | 27% | 35% | |
| 98 | 1.5% | 8% | |
| 99 | 3% | 6% | |
| 100 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 101 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 102 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 105 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 109 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 83 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 84 | 2% | 97% | |
| 85 | 2% | 96% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.8% | 94% | |
| 87 | 35% | 93% | |
| 88 | 4% | 58% | |
| 89 | 11% | 54% | Median |
| 90 | 9% | 42% | |
| 91 | 5% | 33% | |
| 92 | 3% | 28% | |
| 93 | 1.4% | 25% | |
| 94 | 3% | 24% | |
| 95 | 17% | 21% | |
| 96 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 97 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 98 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 78 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 79 | 1.4% | 98.9% | |
| 80 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 81 | 3% | 96% | |
| 82 | 4% | 94% | |
| 83 | 4% | 90% | |
| 84 | 9% | 86% | |
| 85 | 30% | 77% | Majority |
| 86 | 11% | 46% | Median |
| 87 | 6% | 36% | |
| 88 | 19% | 30% | |
| 89 | 2% | 10% | |
| 90 | 2% | 8% | |
| 91 | 2% | 7% | |
| 92 | 2% | 5% | |
| 93 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 94 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 95 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 72 | 3% | 97% | |
| 73 | 1.3% | 94% | |
| 74 | 3% | 93% | |
| 75 | 2% | 90% | |
| 76 | 10% | 88% | |
| 77 | 38% | 77% | |
| 78 | 6% | 40% | Median |
| 79 | 3% | 34% | |
| 80 | 19% | 31% | |
| 81 | 3% | 12% | |
| 82 | 1.0% | 10% | |
| 83 | 2% | 9% | |
| 84 | 3% | 6% | |
| 85 | 2% | 4% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 87 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 68 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 71 | 1.0% | 99.1% | |
| 72 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 73 | 18% | 97% | |
| 74 | 3% | 79% | |
| 75 | 2% | 76% | |
| 76 | 4% | 75% | |
| 77 | 5% | 71% | |
| 78 | 9% | 66% | |
| 79 | 11% | 57% | Median |
| 80 | 9% | 46% | |
| 81 | 30% | 37% | |
| 82 | 0.9% | 7% | |
| 83 | 2% | 6% | |
| 84 | 2% | 4% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 87 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 67 | 1.4% | 98.7% | |
| 68 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 69 | 3% | 96% | |
| 70 | 2% | 94% | |
| 71 | 27% | 92% | |
| 72 | 37% | 65% | Median |
| 73 | 2% | 28% | |
| 74 | 5% | 27% | |
| 75 | 3% | 22% | |
| 76 | 6% | 19% | |
| 77 | 9% | 13% | |
| 78 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 79 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 80 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 62 | 2% | 98% | |
| 63 | 4% | 97% | |
| 64 | 2% | 93% | |
| 65 | 1.2% | 91% | |
| 66 | 20% | 90% | |
| 67 | 9% | 69% | |
| 68 | 4% | 60% | Median |
| 69 | 31% | 56% | |
| 70 | 3% | 25% | |
| 71 | 9% | 22% | |
| 72 | 6% | 13% | |
| 73 | 1.1% | 7% | |
| 74 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 75 | 2% | 4% | |
| 76 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 77 | 0.8% | 1.5% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 60 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 61 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 62 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 63 | 1.4% | 95% | |
| 64 | 18% | 94% | |
| 65 | 2% | 76% | |
| 66 | 6% | 74% | |
| 67 | 13% | 68% | |
| 68 | 6% | 54% | Median |
| 69 | 2% | 49% | |
| 70 | 39% | 47% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 8% | |
| 72 | 2% | 7% | Last Result |
| 73 | 3% | 5% | |
| 74 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 77 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 58 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 59 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 60 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 61 | 30% | 97% | |
| 62 | 3% | 67% | |
| 63 | 4% | 65% | Median |
| 64 | 6% | 61% | |
| 65 | 5% | 55% | |
| 66 | 8% | 51% | |
| 67 | 27% | 43% | |
| 68 | 5% | 16% | |
| 69 | 3% | 12% | |
| 70 | 2% | 8% | |
| 71 | 3% | 6% | |
| 72 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 76 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 58 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 59 | 18% | 98% | |
| 60 | 3% | 80% | |
| 61 | 3% | 77% | |
| 62 | 2% | 73% | |
| 63 | 3% | 71% | |
| 64 | 11% | 68% | |
| 65 | 7% | 56% | Median |
| 66 | 3% | 49% | |
| 67 | 30% | 46% | |
| 68 | 10% | 16% | |
| 69 | 2% | 6% | |
| 70 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 72 | 2% | 3% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 52 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 54 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 55 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 56 | 2% | 96% | |
| 57 | 19% | 94% | |
| 58 | 37% | 75% | Median |
| 59 | 8% | 38% | |
| 60 | 8% | 30% | |
| 61 | 4% | 23% | |
| 62 | 11% | 19% | |
| 63 | 3% | 8% | |
| 64 | 2% | 5% | |
| 65 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 66 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 45 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 46 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 47 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 48 | 3% | 96% | |
| 49 | 3% | 93% | |
| 50 | 10% | 90% | |
| 51 | 3% | 80% | |
| 52 | 19% | 76% | |
| 53 | 7% | 57% | |
| 54 | 2% | 50% | Median |
| 55 | 35% | 48% | |
| 56 | 3% | 13% | |
| 57 | 3% | 10% | |
| 58 | 1.5% | 7% | |
| 59 | 2% | 5% | |
| 60 | 2% | 4% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 44 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 45 | 2% | 98% | |
| 46 | 6% | 96% | |
| 47 | 31% | 90% | Median |
| 48 | 21% | 58% | |
| 49 | 3% | 37% | |
| 50 | 21% | 34% | |
| 51 | 6% | 13% | |
| 52 | 3% | 7% | |
| 53 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 55 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 56 | 1.3% | 1.5% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 41 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 42 | 2% | 98% | |
| 43 | 3% | 96% | |
| 44 | 2% | 93% | |
| 45 | 2% | 91% | |
| 46 | 35% | 89% | |
| 47 | 7% | 54% | Median |
| 48 | 12% | 47% | |
| 49 | 5% | 34% | |
| 50 | 18% | 30% | |
| 51 | 4% | 11% | |
| 52 | 2% | 8% | |
| 53 | 3% | 6% | |
| 54 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 55 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 57 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 39 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 40 | 3% | 96% | |
| 41 | 3% | 93% | |
| 42 | 2% | 90% | |
| 43 | 24% | 88% | |
| 44 | 38% | 63% | Median |
| 45 | 12% | 26% | |
| 46 | 8% | 14% | |
| 47 | 3% | 6% | |
| 48 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 49 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 50 | 0.5% | 1.5% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 15 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 16 | 3% | 98% | |
| 17 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 18 | 1.4% | 95% | |
| 19 | 4% | 93% | |
| 20 | 7% | 90% | |
| 21 | 36% | 83% | |
| 22 | 4% | 46% | Median |
| 23 | 2% | 42% | |
| 24 | 26% | 40% | |
| 25 | 2% | 14% | |
| 26 | 6% | 12% | |
| 27 | 2% | 7% | |
| 28 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 29 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 30 | 2% | 3% | |
| 31 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norstat
- Commissioner(s): Aftenposten and NRK
- Fieldwork period: 22–27 November 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 954
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.00%