Opinion Poll by Kantar TNS for TV2, 28 November–2 December 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 30.9% | 29.0–32.9% | 28.5–33.4% | 28.1–33.9% | 27.2–34.9% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 19.8% | 18.2–21.5% | 17.7–22.0% | 17.4–22.4% | 16.6–23.3% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.4–12.0% | 9.1–12.4% | 8.8–12.7% | 8.3–13.4% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.8–10.2% | 7.5–10.6% | 7.3–10.9% | 6.8–11.6% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.4–8.6% | 6.1–8.9% | 5.9–9.2% | 5.4–9.8% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.7–6.6% | 4.5–7.0% | 4.3–7.2% | 3.9–7.8% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 5.0% | 4.2–6.1% | 4.0–6.4% | 3.8–6.6% | 3.5–7.2% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.4–5.1% | 3.2–5.3% | 3.0–5.6% | 2.7–6.1% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.0–4.2% | 1.8–4.7% |
| Norgesdemokratene | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8–1.8% | 0.7–1.9% | 0.6–2.1% | 0.5–2.4% |
| Konservativt | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.8–1.8% | 0.7–1.9% | 0.6–2.1% | 0.5–2.4% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.7–1.6% | 0.6–1.8% | 0.6–1.9% | 0.4–2.2% |
| Liberalistene | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5–1.2% | 0.4–1.4% | 0.4–1.5% | 0.3–1.8% |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2–0.8% | 0.2–1.0% | 0.2–1.1% | 0.1–1.3% |
| Helsepartiet | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% | 0.0–0.6% | 0.0–0.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 55 | 55 | 55 | 55–62 | 51–62 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 42 | 42 | 42 | 40–42 | 38–42 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 16–19 | 16–22 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 13–18 | 13–18 |
| Rødt | 8 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11–12 | 11–13 |
| Venstre | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 7–9 | 7–12 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 8–10 | 7–10 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2–7 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2–8 | 2–8 |
| Norgesdemokratene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Konservativt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Liberalistene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Helsepartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 54 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 55 | 95% | 99.1% | Median |
| 56 | 0% | 4% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 58 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 59 | 0% | 3% | |
| 60 | 0% | 3% | |
| 61 | 0% | 3% | |
| 62 | 3% | 3% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 39 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 40 | 3% | 98% | |
| 41 | 0% | 95% | |
| 42 | 95% | 95% | Median |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 3% | 100% | |
| 17 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 18 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 19 | 95% | 96% | Median |
| 20 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 3% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 18 | 95% | 95% | Median |
| 19 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 11 | 95% | 99.6% | Median |
| 12 | 3% | 5% | |
| 13 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 3% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 97% | Last Result |
| 9 | 95% | 97% | Median |
| 10 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 12 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 7 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 8 | 4% | 99.5% | |
| 9 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 10 | 95% | 95% | Median |
| 11 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 98% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 0.1% | 2% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 2% | |
| 7 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 2 | 96% | 99.7% | Median |
| 3 | 0.5% | 3% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 3% | |
| 7 | 0% | 3% | |
| 8 | 3% | 3% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Liberalistene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalistene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Helsepartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Helsepartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 95 | 99.9% | 95 | 95 | 95–101 | 92–101 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 71 | 87 | 99.9% | 87 | 87 | 87–95 | 87–95 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 85 | 99.3% | 85 | 85 | 85–93 | 83–93 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 83 | 4% | 83 | 83 | 83–85 | 80–86 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 83 | 0.5% | 83 | 83 | 75–83 | 75–85 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet | 97 | 81 | 0.1% | 81 | 81 | 73–81 | 73–81 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 74 | 0% | 74 | 74 | 74–78 | 70–78 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 66 | 0% | 66 | 66 | 66–77 | 64–77 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 95 | 74 | 0% | 74 | 74 | 71–74 | 69–76 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 73 | 0.1% | 73 | 73 | 67–73 | 67–76 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 72 | 0% | 72 | 72 | 63–72 | 63–74 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 70 | 0% | 70 | 69–70 | 61–70 | 61–70 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 60 | 0% | 60 | 60 | 53–60 | 53–60 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 82 | 56 | 0% | 56 | 56 | 56–58 | 52–59 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 54 | 0% | 54 | 54 | 54–56 | 46–56 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 52 | 0% | 52 | 52 | 48–52 | 44–52 |
| Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 21 | 0% | 21 | 21 | 21–23 | 18–23 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 82 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 87 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 88 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 89 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 90 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 92 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 93 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 94 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 95 | 96% | 98.9% | Median |
| 96 | 0.1% | 3% | Last Result |
| 97 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 98 | 0% | 3% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 100 | 0% | 3% | |
| 101 | 3% | 3% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 87 | 95% | 99.8% | Median |
| 88 | 0% | 5% | |
| 89 | 0% | 5% | |
| 90 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 91 | 0% | 5% | |
| 92 | 0% | 4% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 94 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 95 | 3% | 3% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 78 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 79 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 80 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 82 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 85 | 95% | 99.3% | Median, Majority |
| 86 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 87 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 89 | 0% | 3% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 91 | 0% | 3% | |
| 92 | 0% | 3% | |
| 93 | 3% | 3% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 76 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 77 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 78 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 81 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 83 | 95% | 99.1% | Median |
| 84 | 0% | 4% | |
| 85 | 4% | 4% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0% | 97% | |
| 77 | 0% | 97% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 79 | 0% | 97% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 81 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 83 | 95% | 96% | Median |
| 84 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 0.5% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 73 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 74 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 76 | 0% | 96% | |
| 77 | 0% | 96% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 95% | |
| 79 | 0% | 95% | |
| 80 | 0% | 95% | |
| 81 | 95% | 95% | Median |
| 82 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 72 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 74 | 95% | 99.1% | Median |
| 75 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 76 | 0% | 3% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 78 | 3% | 3% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 66 | 95% | 99.4% | Median |
| 67 | 0% | 4% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 69 | 0% | 4% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 72 | 0% | 3% | |
| 73 | 0% | 3% | |
| 74 | 0% | 3% | |
| 75 | 0% | 3% | |
| 76 | 0% | 3% | |
| 77 | 3% | 3% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 66 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 67 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 68 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 71 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 73 | 0% | 96% | |
| 74 | 95% | 96% | Median |
| 75 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0% | 97% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 70 | 0% | 97% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 97% | Last Result |
| 73 | 96% | 97% | Median |
| 74 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 63 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 64 | 0% | 97% | |
| 65 | 0% | 97% | |
| 66 | 0% | 97% | |
| 67 | 0% | 97% | |
| 68 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 72 | 95% | 95% | Median |
| 73 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 60 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 61 | 4% | 99.6% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 64 | 0% | 96% | |
| 65 | 0% | 96% | |
| 66 | 0% | 96% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 95% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 70 | 95% | 95% | Median |
| 71 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 56 | 0% | 96% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 59 | 0% | 95% | |
| 60 | 95% | 95% | Median |
| 61 | 0% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 46 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 47 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 48 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 49 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 50 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 51 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 53 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 56 | 96% | 99.1% | Median |
| 57 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 58 | 3% | 3% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 44 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 45 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 48 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 49 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 51 | 0% | 98% | |
| 52 | 0% | 98% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 54 | 95% | 98% | Median |
| 55 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 56 | 3% | 3% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 42 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 43 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 45 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 46 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 47 | 1.2% | 99.4% | |
| 48 | 3% | 98% | |
| 49 | 0% | 95% | |
| 50 | 0% | 95% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 95% | |
| 52 | 95% | 95% | Median |
| 53 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 16 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 18 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 19 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 20 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 21 | 95% | 98% | Median |
| 22 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 23 | 3% | 3% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Kantar TNS
- Commissioner(s): TV2
- Fieldwork period: 28 November–2 December 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 951
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.29%