Opinion Poll by Opinion Perduco for Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse, 29 November–5 December 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 32.7% | 30.8–34.7% | 30.3–35.2% | 29.8–35.7% | 28.9–36.7% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 18.1% | 16.6–19.8% | 16.2–20.2% | 15.8–20.7% | 15.1–21.5% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 12.2% | 10.9–13.7% | 10.6–14.1% | 10.3–14.4% | 9.7–15.2% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.4–10.8% | 8.1–11.2% | 7.8–11.5% | 7.3–12.2% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.8–7.9% | 5.5–8.2% | 5.3–8.5% | 4.9–9.1% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.9–6.9% | 4.7–7.2% | 4.5–7.5% | 4.1–8.0% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 5.4% | 4.5–6.4% | 4.3–6.7% | 4.1–7.0% | 3.7–7.5% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.4–4.8% | 2.2–5.2% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.6–4.1% | 2.4–4.3% | 2.3–4.5% | 2.0–5.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 58 | 53–62 | 53–64 | 52–65 | 50–68 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 34 | 32–38 | 32–39 | 32–41 | 30–42 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 21 | 19–24 | 18–25 | 18–26 | 17–29 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 17 | 14–19 | 13–20 | 13–21 | 12–22 |
| Rødt | 8 | 12 | 10–14 | 9–14 | 9–15 | 8–16 |
| Venstre | 8 | 10 | 8–12 | 8–13 | 8–13 | 7–14 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 9 | 8–11 | 7–12 | 6–12 | 0–13 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 2 | 2–7 | 1–8 | 1–8 | 0–9 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 2 | 1–7 | 1–7 | 1–8 | 1–8 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 51 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 52 | 3% | 98% | |
| 53 | 5% | 95% | |
| 54 | 5% | 90% | |
| 55 | 5% | 85% | |
| 56 | 11% | 81% | |
| 57 | 13% | 70% | |
| 58 | 11% | 56% | Median |
| 59 | 5% | 46% | |
| 60 | 13% | 41% | |
| 61 | 13% | 28% | |
| 62 | 6% | 15% | |
| 63 | 2% | 9% | |
| 64 | 3% | 7% | |
| 65 | 2% | 4% | |
| 66 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 31 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 32 | 9% | 98% | |
| 33 | 24% | 88% | |
| 34 | 24% | 65% | Median |
| 35 | 19% | 41% | |
| 36 | 8% | 22% | |
| 37 | 4% | 14% | |
| 38 | 3% | 11% | |
| 39 | 4% | 7% | |
| 40 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 41 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 42 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 7% | 98% | |
| 19 | 10% | 91% | |
| 20 | 19% | 81% | |
| 21 | 15% | 62% | Last Result, Median |
| 22 | 17% | 47% | |
| 23 | 13% | 30% | |
| 24 | 9% | 17% | |
| 25 | 5% | 8% | |
| 26 | 2% | 4% | |
| 27 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 28 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 29 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 12 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 13 | 5% | 98.6% | Last Result |
| 14 | 5% | 94% | |
| 15 | 14% | 89% | |
| 16 | 24% | 74% | |
| 17 | 22% | 50% | Median |
| 18 | 14% | 28% | |
| 19 | 9% | 14% | |
| 20 | 2% | 5% | |
| 21 | 2% | 3% | |
| 22 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.8% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 9 | 6% | 99.1% | |
| 10 | 14% | 94% | |
| 11 | 21% | 79% | |
| 12 | 29% | 58% | Median |
| 13 | 14% | 29% | |
| 14 | 12% | 15% | |
| 15 | 2% | 3% | |
| 16 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 7 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 8 | 8% | 98% | Last Result |
| 9 | 29% | 90% | |
| 10 | 29% | 61% | Median |
| 11 | 13% | 32% | |
| 12 | 13% | 19% | |
| 13 | 4% | 6% | |
| 14 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 2 | 0.9% | 98.6% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98% | |
| 6 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 7 | 6% | 97% | |
| 8 | 19% | 92% | |
| 9 | 25% | 72% | Median |
| 10 | 25% | 47% | |
| 11 | 14% | 22% | |
| 12 | 6% | 9% | |
| 13 | 2% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 1 | 6% | 98.6% | |
| 2 | 45% | 93% | Median |
| 3 | 27% | 48% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 22% | |
| 5 | 0% | 22% | |
| 6 | 0.8% | 22% | |
| 7 | 15% | 21% | |
| 8 | 5% | 6% | |
| 9 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 36% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 49% | 64% | Median |
| 3 | 2% | 15% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 13% | |
| 5 | 0% | 13% | |
| 6 | 0.6% | 13% | |
| 7 | 10% | 13% | |
| 8 | 2% | 3% | |
| 9 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 103 | 100% | 97–106 | 96–107 | 95–109 | 92–110 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 96 | 99.9% | 91–100 | 90–101 | 88–102 | 86–105 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 93 | 98.6% | 88–97 | 86–99 | 86–100 | 84–102 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 90 | 92% | 85–94 | 84–95 | 83–97 | 80–99 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 80 | 7% | 75–84 | 74–85 | 73–87 | 71–89 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 74 | 0.2% | 70–79 | 69–81 | 68–82 | 65–84 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 72 | 0% | 67–77 | 65–78 | 65–80 | 63–81 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet | 97 | 72 | 0% | 68–76 | 67–78 | 66–79 | 63–81 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 66 | 0% | 62–71 | 60–72 | 59–73 | 56–75 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 65 | 0% | 61–70 | 60–72 | 59–73 | 57–76 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 62 | 0% | 58–68 | 57–69 | 56–70 | 54–73 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 60 | 0% | 56–64 | 55–66 | 54–66 | 52–69 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 51 | 0% | 48–55 | 47–56 | 46–57 | 45–60 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 49 | 0% | 45–54 | 44–55 | 43–57 | 40–59 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 47 | 0% | 44–51 | 42–52 | 41–53 | 38–56 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 44 | 0% | 41–47 | 40–48 | 38–50 | 35–52 |
| Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 23 | 0% | 19–26 | 18–27 | 17–29 | 13–31 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 90 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 92 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 93 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 94 | 0.4% | 98.6% | |
| 95 | 2% | 98% | |
| 96 | 3% | 96% | Last Result |
| 97 | 4% | 93% | |
| 98 | 4% | 90% | |
| 99 | 6% | 86% | |
| 100 | 7% | 80% | Median |
| 101 | 6% | 74% | |
| 102 | 11% | 67% | |
| 103 | 17% | 56% | |
| 104 | 12% | 39% | |
| 105 | 11% | 27% | |
| 106 | 6% | 16% | |
| 107 | 6% | 10% | |
| 108 | 2% | 4% | |
| 109 | 2% | 3% | |
| 110 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 111 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 87 | 1.3% | 99.4% | |
| 88 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 89 | 2% | 97% | |
| 90 | 3% | 96% | |
| 91 | 4% | 92% | |
| 92 | 6% | 88% | |
| 93 | 9% | 83% | Median |
| 94 | 11% | 74% | |
| 95 | 11% | 62% | |
| 96 | 15% | 51% | |
| 97 | 11% | 36% | |
| 98 | 7% | 25% | |
| 99 | 8% | 18% | |
| 100 | 3% | 10% | |
| 101 | 3% | 7% | |
| 102 | 2% | 4% | |
| 103 | 0.5% | 1.5% | |
| 104 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 105 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 107 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 84 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 85 | 0.7% | 98.6% | Majority |
| 86 | 4% | 98% | |
| 87 | 2% | 94% | |
| 88 | 3% | 92% | |
| 89 | 4% | 88% | |
| 90 | 5% | 85% | |
| 91 | 6% | 80% | Median |
| 92 | 14% | 74% | |
| 93 | 12% | 60% | |
| 94 | 15% | 47% | |
| 95 | 10% | 33% | |
| 96 | 8% | 23% | |
| 97 | 5% | 15% | |
| 98 | 4% | 10% | |
| 99 | 2% | 6% | |
| 100 | 2% | 4% | |
| 101 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 102 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 82 | 1.5% | 99.0% | |
| 83 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 84 | 5% | 96% | |
| 85 | 5% | 92% | Majority |
| 86 | 5% | 87% | |
| 87 | 8% | 82% | |
| 88 | 8% | 74% | |
| 89 | 12% | 66% | Median |
| 90 | 9% | 54% | |
| 91 | 14% | 45% | |
| 92 | 10% | 31% | |
| 93 | 8% | 21% | |
| 94 | 5% | 13% | |
| 95 | 3% | 8% | |
| 96 | 2% | 5% | |
| 97 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 98 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 99 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 100 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 72 | 1.2% | 99.2% | |
| 73 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 74 | 5% | 97% | |
| 75 | 5% | 92% | |
| 76 | 4% | 86% | |
| 77 | 7% | 83% | |
| 78 | 10% | 76% | |
| 79 | 13% | 66% | Median |
| 80 | 14% | 53% | |
| 81 | 7% | 39% | |
| 82 | 11% | 32% | |
| 83 | 9% | 21% | |
| 84 | 6% | 13% | |
| 85 | 2% | 7% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 5% | |
| 87 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 88 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 67 | 0.8% | 98.7% | |
| 68 | 3% | 98% | |
| 69 | 2% | 95% | |
| 70 | 5% | 93% | |
| 71 | 6% | 88% | |
| 72 | 8% | 82% | |
| 73 | 10% | 74% | |
| 74 | 15% | 64% | Median |
| 75 | 13% | 49% | |
| 76 | 14% | 36% | |
| 77 | 5% | 23% | |
| 78 | 5% | 18% | |
| 79 | 3% | 13% | |
| 80 | 3% | 9% | |
| 81 | 2% | 6% | |
| 82 | 3% | 4% | |
| 83 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 1.4% | 99.0% | |
| 65 | 4% | 98% | |
| 66 | 3% | 93% | |
| 67 | 4% | 90% | |
| 68 | 7% | 86% | |
| 69 | 8% | 79% | |
| 70 | 8% | 71% | Median |
| 71 | 10% | 63% | |
| 72 | 8% | 53% | |
| 73 | 18% | 44% | |
| 74 | 4% | 26% | |
| 75 | 6% | 21% | |
| 76 | 4% | 16% | |
| 77 | 5% | 11% | |
| 78 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 79 | 2% | 5% | |
| 80 | 2% | 3% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 64 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 65 | 0.8% | 98.5% | |
| 66 | 2% | 98% | |
| 67 | 3% | 95% | |
| 68 | 4% | 92% | |
| 69 | 9% | 88% | |
| 70 | 7% | 79% | |
| 71 | 11% | 72% | |
| 72 | 15% | 61% | Median |
| 73 | 11% | 46% | |
| 74 | 12% | 34% | |
| 75 | 9% | 23% | |
| 76 | 4% | 14% | |
| 77 | 4% | 9% | |
| 78 | 3% | 6% | |
| 79 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 58 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 59 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 60 | 2% | 96% | |
| 61 | 3% | 94% | |
| 62 | 3% | 91% | |
| 63 | 8% | 88% | |
| 64 | 15% | 80% | Median |
| 65 | 14% | 65% | |
| 66 | 6% | 51% | |
| 67 | 11% | 45% | |
| 68 | 10% | 34% | |
| 69 | 8% | 24% | |
| 70 | 5% | 16% | |
| 71 | 6% | 11% | |
| 72 | 2% | 6% | |
| 73 | 2% | 4% | |
| 74 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 75 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 58 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 59 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 60 | 2% | 97% | |
| 61 | 6% | 95% | |
| 62 | 7% | 88% | |
| 63 | 12% | 82% | |
| 64 | 13% | 70% | |
| 65 | 17% | 57% | Median |
| 66 | 11% | 40% | |
| 67 | 6% | 29% | |
| 68 | 6% | 22% | |
| 69 | 5% | 16% | |
| 70 | 3% | 11% | |
| 71 | 2% | 8% | |
| 72 | 3% | 5% | Last Result |
| 73 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 76 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 55 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 56 | 1.2% | 98.7% | |
| 57 | 4% | 97% | |
| 58 | 4% | 94% | |
| 59 | 3% | 90% | |
| 60 | 6% | 87% | |
| 61 | 16% | 81% | |
| 62 | 19% | 66% | Median |
| 63 | 10% | 46% | |
| 64 | 11% | 36% | |
| 65 | 7% | 25% | |
| 66 | 4% | 18% | |
| 67 | 4% | 14% | |
| 68 | 4% | 10% | |
| 69 | 3% | 6% | |
| 70 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 71 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 73 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 54 | 1.3% | 98.7% | |
| 55 | 3% | 97% | |
| 56 | 5% | 94% | |
| 57 | 5% | 89% | |
| 58 | 6% | 85% | |
| 59 | 13% | 79% | |
| 60 | 22% | 66% | Median |
| 61 | 10% | 44% | |
| 62 | 13% | 34% | |
| 63 | 7% | 21% | |
| 64 | 6% | 15% | |
| 65 | 3% | 8% | |
| 66 | 3% | 5% | |
| 67 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 46 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 47 | 3% | 97% | |
| 48 | 10% | 94% | |
| 49 | 9% | 85% | |
| 50 | 20% | 75% | |
| 51 | 16% | 55% | Median |
| 52 | 15% | 40% | |
| 53 | 9% | 24% | |
| 54 | 4% | 15% | |
| 55 | 5% | 10% | |
| 56 | 2% | 6% | |
| 57 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 58 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 42 | 1.0% | 98.7% | |
| 43 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 44 | 2% | 97% | |
| 45 | 5% | 94% | |
| 46 | 8% | 90% | |
| 47 | 11% | 82% | Median |
| 48 | 12% | 71% | |
| 49 | 13% | 59% | |
| 50 | 11% | 47% | |
| 51 | 9% | 36% | |
| 52 | 6% | 26% | |
| 53 | 6% | 20% | |
| 54 | 5% | 14% | |
| 55 | 4% | 8% | |
| 56 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 57 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 58 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 59 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 38 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 40 | 1.1% | 98.8% | |
| 41 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 42 | 2% | 97% | |
| 43 | 5% | 95% | |
| 44 | 8% | 90% | |
| 45 | 15% | 83% | Median |
| 46 | 11% | 68% | |
| 47 | 15% | 57% | |
| 48 | 12% | 43% | |
| 49 | 8% | 31% | |
| 50 | 8% | 23% | |
| 51 | 5% | 15% | |
| 52 | 5% | 10% | |
| 53 | 2% | 5% | |
| 54 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 56 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 36 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 37 | 0.3% | 98.8% | |
| 38 | 1.1% | 98.5% | |
| 39 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 40 | 4% | 96% | |
| 41 | 6% | 92% | |
| 42 | 15% | 86% | |
| 43 | 18% | 72% | Median |
| 44 | 17% | 54% | |
| 45 | 17% | 37% | |
| 46 | 7% | 21% | |
| 47 | 5% | 14% | |
| 48 | 4% | 9% | |
| 49 | 2% | 5% | |
| 50 | 2% | 3% | |
| 51 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 52 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 14 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 15 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 17 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 18 | 3% | 97% | |
| 19 | 4% | 94% | |
| 20 | 9% | 90% | |
| 21 | 13% | 80% | Median |
| 22 | 15% | 67% | |
| 23 | 13% | 52% | |
| 24 | 12% | 39% | |
| 25 | 14% | 27% | |
| 26 | 5% | 12% | |
| 27 | 3% | 8% | |
| 28 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 29 | 2% | 3% | |
| 30 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 31 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinion Perduco
- Commissioner(s): Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse
- Fieldwork period: 29 November–5 December 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 967
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.48%