Opinion Poll by Norfakta for Klassekampen and Nationen, 6–7 December 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 32.8% | 30.9–34.7% | 30.4–35.3% | 29.9–35.7% | 29.1–36.7% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 16.3% | 14.9–17.9% | 14.5–18.3% | 14.1–18.7% | 13.5–19.5% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 11.6% | 10.4–13.0% | 10.1–13.4% | 9.8–13.7% | 9.2–14.4% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.4–10.8% | 8.1–11.2% | 7.9–11.5% | 7.4–12.2% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.3–8.4% | 6.0–8.7% | 5.8–9.0% | 5.4–9.6% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 7.1% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.9–8.5% | 5.6–8.8% | 5.2–9.4% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.7–5.4% | 3.5–5.7% | 3.4–5.9% | 3.0–6.4% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.9–4.5% | 2.7–4.7% | 2.6–4.9% | 2.3–5.4% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.7–4.1% | 2.5–4.4% | 2.3–4.6% | 2.1–5.0% |
| Norgesdemokratene | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9–1.8% | 0.8–1.9% | 0.7–2.1% | 0.5–2.4% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.7% | 0.5–1.8% | 0.4–2.1% |
| Konservativt | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5–1.2% | 0.4–1.3% | 0.3–1.4% | 0.2–1.7% |
| Liberalistene | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4–1.1% | 0.3–1.2% | 0.3–1.3% | 0.2–1.6% |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3–0.9% | 0.3–1.1% | 0.2–1.2% | 0.2–1.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 58 | 58–61 | 56–61 | 56–61 | 56–63 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 34 | 33–34 | 31–34 | 31–36 | 30–36 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 21 | 20–21 | 19–21 | 18–21 | 17–23 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 18 | 18 | 17–19 | 17–19 | 14–20 |
| Rødt | 8 | 13 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 12–15 | 11–18 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 12 | 12–16 | 10–16 | 9–16 | 9–16 |
| Venstre | 8 | 9 | 2–9 | 2–9 | 2–9 | 2–11 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 2 | 1–7 | 1–7 | 1–7 | 1–8 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–7 |
| Norgesdemokratene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Konservativt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Liberalistene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 56 | 6% | 99.5% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 93% | |
| 58 | 69% | 93% | Median |
| 59 | 0% | 24% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 24% | |
| 61 | 23% | 24% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 31 | 7% | 99.4% | |
| 32 | 1.3% | 93% | |
| 33 | 23% | 91% | |
| 34 | 64% | 68% | Median |
| 35 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 36 | 3% | 3% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 18 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 19 | 2% | 95% | |
| 20 | 29% | 94% | |
| 21 | 64% | 65% | Last Result, Median |
| 22 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 14 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 0.8% | 98.7% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 17 | 4% | 98% | |
| 18 | 88% | 94% | Median |
| 19 | 5% | 6% | |
| 20 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 21 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 12 | 4% | 99.5% | |
| 13 | 71% | 96% | Median |
| 14 | 0.4% | 25% | |
| 15 | 23% | 25% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 18 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 3% | 100% | |
| 10 | 5% | 97% | |
| 11 | 1.2% | 92% | |
| 12 | 64% | 90% | Median |
| 13 | 1.0% | 26% | |
| 14 | 0.5% | 25% | |
| 15 | 1.3% | 24% | |
| 16 | 23% | 23% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 24% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 76% | |
| 4 | 0% | 76% | |
| 5 | 0% | 76% | |
| 6 | 0% | 76% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 76% | |
| 8 | 4% | 76% | Last Result |
| 9 | 71% | 72% | Median |
| 10 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 11 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24% | 100% | |
| 2 | 65% | 76% | Median |
| 3 | 0.2% | 10% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 10% | |
| 5 | 0% | 10% | |
| 6 | 0% | 10% | |
| 7 | 10% | 10% | |
| 8 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 9 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 64% | 99.9% | Median |
| 2 | 27% | 36% | |
| 3 | 9% | 9% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 7 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Liberalistene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalistene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 101 | 100% | 99–101 | 98–101 | 96–103 | 96–107 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 71 | 91 | 100% | 86–94 | 86–95 | 86–95 | 86–97 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 89 | 99.2% | 85–89 | 85–89 | 85–89 | 82–94 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 88 | 72% | 83–88 | 83–88 | 83–88 | 80–91 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 79 | 0.8% | 79–83 | 79–83 | 79–83 | 74–86 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet | 97 | 77 | 0% | 74–82 | 73–82 | 73–82 | 71–82 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 79 | 0.3% | 76–81 | 76–81 | 76–81 | 75–83 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 95 | 67 | 0% | 67–70 | 67–70 | 67–72 | 61–75 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 67 | 0% | 67–69 | 67–70 | 65–72 | 61–72 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 66 | 0% | 66–68 | 66–68 | 65–69 | 59–73 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 68 | 0% | 65–68 | 65–69 | 65–69 | 62–74 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 64 | 0% | 62–67 | 60–67 | 60–67 | 57–67 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 82 | 49 | 0% | 49–52 | 49–54 | 49–55 | 46–55 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 52 | 0% | 51–52 | 50–52 | 48–53 | 45–53 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 47 | 0% | 47–51 | 44–51 | 44–51 | 44–51 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 46 | 0% | 45–49 | 41–49 | 41–49 | 41–49 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 22 | 0% | 20–22 | 20–22 | 20–24 | 17–28 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 93 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 95 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 96 | 3% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 97 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 98 | 5% | 96% | |
| 99 | 1.1% | 91% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 90% | |
| 101 | 87% | 90% | Median |
| 102 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 103 | 2% | 3% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 106 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 107 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 109 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 23% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0.9% | 77% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 76% | |
| 89 | 0.6% | 76% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 75% | |
| 91 | 64% | 75% | Median |
| 92 | 0.1% | 11% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 11% | |
| 94 | 4% | 11% | |
| 95 | 6% | 7% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 100 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 84 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 85 | 23% | 99.2% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.0% | 76% | |
| 87 | 3% | 75% | |
| 88 | 6% | 72% | |
| 89 | 64% | 66% | Median |
| 90 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 1.5% | |
| 92 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 81 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 82 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 83 | 23% | 99.2% | |
| 84 | 4% | 76% | |
| 85 | 5% | 72% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.2% | 67% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 66% | |
| 88 | 64% | 65% | Median |
| 89 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 90 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 98.5% | |
| 79 | 64% | 98% | Median |
| 80 | 6% | 34% | |
| 81 | 3% | 28% | |
| 82 | 1.0% | 25% | |
| 83 | 23% | 24% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.8% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 73 | 6% | 99.3% | |
| 74 | 4% | 93% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 89% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 89% | |
| 77 | 64% | 89% | Median |
| 78 | 0.2% | 25% | |
| 79 | 0.6% | 25% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 24% | |
| 81 | 0.9% | 24% | |
| 82 | 23% | 23% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 76 | 8% | 98% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 89% | |
| 78 | 0.8% | 89% | |
| 79 | 64% | 88% | Median |
| 80 | 0% | 24% | |
| 81 | 24% | 24% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.3% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 66 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 67 | 64% | 98% | Median |
| 68 | 0.1% | 34% | |
| 69 | 2% | 34% | |
| 70 | 28% | 32% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 72 | 3% | 4% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 65 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 67 | 87% | 97% | Median |
| 68 | 0.1% | 10% | |
| 69 | 1.1% | 10% | |
| 70 | 5% | 9% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 72 | 3% | 4% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 64 | 1.0% | 98.5% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 66 | 64% | 97% | Median |
| 67 | 6% | 33% | |
| 68 | 23% | 27% | |
| 69 | 3% | 4% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 65 | 23% | 99.0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 76% | |
| 67 | 0.9% | 76% | |
| 68 | 69% | 75% | Median |
| 69 | 3% | 6% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 71 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 73 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 60 | 6% | 99.0% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 93% | |
| 62 | 4% | 93% | |
| 63 | 0.9% | 89% | |
| 64 | 64% | 88% | Median |
| 65 | 0.4% | 24% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 23% | |
| 67 | 23% | 23% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 48 | 1.0% | 99.1% | |
| 49 | 64% | 98% | Median |
| 50 | 0.2% | 34% | |
| 51 | 5% | 34% | |
| 52 | 23% | 29% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 5% | |
| 55 | 4% | 5% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 46 | 0.5% | 98.8% | |
| 47 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 50 | 6% | 97% | |
| 51 | 23% | 91% | |
| 52 | 64% | 68% | Median |
| 53 | 3% | 4% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 6% | 99.7% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 47 | 66% | 94% | Median |
| 48 | 5% | 28% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 24% | |
| 50 | 0% | 23% | |
| 51 | 23% | 23% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 5% | 99.8% | |
| 42 | 0.7% | 95% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 44 | 0.5% | 94% | |
| 45 | 5% | 93% | |
| 46 | 65% | 89% | Median |
| 47 | 0.3% | 23% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 23% | |
| 49 | 23% | 23% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 20 | 26% | 99.2% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 73% | |
| 22 | 70% | 73% | Median |
| 23 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 24 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 25 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 26 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 27 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 28 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norfakta
- Commissioner(s): Klassekampen and Nationen
- Fieldwork period: 6–7 December 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1007
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.80%