Opinion Poll by Respons Analyse for VG, 7–12 December 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 32.8% | 30.9–34.7% | 30.4–35.3% | 29.9–35.7% | 29.1–36.7% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 18.2% | 16.7–19.8% | 16.3–20.3% | 15.9–20.7% | 15.2–21.5% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 13.4% | 12.1–14.9% | 11.7–15.3% | 11.4–15.7% | 10.8–16.4% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.2–10.6% | 7.9–10.9% | 7.6–11.3% | 7.1–11.9% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.2–8.4% | 6.0–8.7% | 5.7–9.0% | 5.3–9.6% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 4.5% | 3.7–5.5% | 3.6–5.7% | 3.4–6.0% | 3.0–6.5% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.0–4.6% | 2.9–4.8% | 2.7–5.1% | 2.4–5.5% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.9–4.5% | 2.8–4.7% | 2.6–5.0% | 2.3–5.4% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.1–3.4% | 1.9–3.6% | 1.8–3.8% | 1.5–4.2% |
| Norgesdemokratene | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.1–3.4% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.9–1.9% | 0.8–2.1% | 0.8–2.2% | 0.6–2.5% |
| Konservativt | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.0–0.9% |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.0–0.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 58 | 55–68 | 55–68 | 55–68 | 54–68 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 33 | 31–37 | 31–38 | 31–38 | 31–41 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 26 | 20–29 | 20–29 | 20–30 | 19–31 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 17 | 14–18 | 14–20 | 13–20 | 13–24 |
| Rødt | 8 | 13 | 11–16 | 11–16 | 11–16 | 10–17 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 8 | 1–10 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–12 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 3 | 2–8 | 1–9 | 1–9 | 1–9 |
| Venstre | 8 | 3 | 2–8 | 2–8 | 2–8 | 2–9 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–7 |
| Norgesdemokratene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Konservativt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 55 | 18% | 98.8% | |
| 56 | 5% | 81% | |
| 57 | 1.2% | 76% | |
| 58 | 27% | 75% | Median |
| 59 | 4% | 48% | |
| 60 | 2% | 45% | |
| 61 | 18% | 42% | |
| 62 | 3% | 24% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 21% | |
| 64 | 0.9% | 20% | |
| 65 | 3% | 19% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 16% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 16% | |
| 68 | 16% | 16% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 31 | 10% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 1.5% | 90% | |
| 33 | 40% | 88% | Median |
| 34 | 2% | 49% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 47% | |
| 36 | 3% | 47% | |
| 37 | 36% | 44% | |
| 38 | 6% | 7% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 10% | 99.5% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 90% | Last Result |
| 22 | 1.3% | 89% | |
| 23 | 16% | 88% | |
| 24 | 11% | 72% | |
| 25 | 2% | 61% | |
| 26 | 16% | 59% | Median |
| 27 | 17% | 43% | |
| 28 | 1.1% | 26% | |
| 29 | 20% | 25% | |
| 30 | 3% | 5% | |
| 31 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 4% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 14 | 9% | 96% | |
| 15 | 2% | 88% | |
| 16 | 11% | 86% | |
| 17 | 26% | 75% | Median |
| 18 | 39% | 49% | |
| 19 | 3% | 9% | |
| 20 | 4% | 6% | |
| 21 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 22 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 24 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 10 | 1.4% | 99.6% | |
| 11 | 21% | 98% | |
| 12 | 27% | 77% | |
| 13 | 14% | 51% | Median |
| 14 | 11% | 37% | |
| 15 | 6% | 26% | |
| 16 | 18% | 20% | |
| 17 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 19 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9% | 100% | |
| 1 | 3% | 91% | |
| 2 | 0% | 89% | |
| 3 | 0% | 89% | |
| 4 | 0% | 89% | |
| 5 | 0% | 89% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 89% | |
| 7 | 4% | 88% | |
| 8 | 40% | 84% | Median |
| 9 | 33% | 44% | |
| 10 | 9% | 11% | |
| 11 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7% | 100% | |
| 2 | 4% | 93% | |
| 3 | 48% | 89% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0% | 42% | |
| 5 | 0% | 42% | |
| 6 | 0% | 42% | |
| 7 | 12% | 42% | |
| 8 | 24% | 30% | |
| 9 | 6% | 6% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 47% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 28% | 52% | Median |
| 4 | 0% | 24% | |
| 5 | 0% | 24% | |
| 6 | 0% | 24% | |
| 7 | 2% | 24% | |
| 8 | 21% | 22% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 10 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 1 | 85% | 99.6% | Median |
| 2 | 13% | 15% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 1.2% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 7 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 8 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.6% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 6 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.8% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 96 | 103 | 100% | 96–106 | 96–106 | 96–107 | 92–112 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 71 | 97 | 100% | 88–99 | 88–100 | 88–101 | 88–107 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 68 | 96 | 99.9% | 87–98 | 87–99 | 87–100 | 87–105 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 90 | 79% | 84–95 | 84–96 | 82–96 | 82–97 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 87 | 68% | 80–91 | 78–91 | 78–94 | 78–94 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 72 | 0% | 70–81 | 69–81 | 68–81 | 63–81 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet | 97 | 71 | 0% | 69–80 | 68–80 | 67–80 | 61–80 |
| Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 47 | 69 | 0% | 60–73 | 60–74 | 60–78 | 60–80 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 95 | 67 | 0% | 60–68 | 59–69 | 58–73 | 57–74 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 65 | 0% | 62–72 | 62–72 | 61–72 | 56–76 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 60 | 0% | 57–65 | 55–65 | 53–65 | 53–66 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 59 | 0% | 56–64 | 53–64 | 52–64 | 51–65 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 51 | 0% | 47–55 | 47–56 | 45–56 | 44–58 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 82 | 50 | 0% | 44–53 | 41–54 | 41–55 | 37–56 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 49 | 0% | 42–51 | 40–53 | 39–53 | 36–54 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 41 | 0% | 37–46 | 37–46 | 35–47 | 33–49 |
| Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 39 | 15 | 0% | 12–22 | 5–23 | 5–23 | 4–25 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 91 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 92 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 93 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 96 | 20% | 98.9% | Last Result |
| 97 | 1.5% | 79% | |
| 98 | 2% | 77% | Median |
| 99 | 5% | 76% | |
| 100 | 12% | 70% | |
| 101 | 7% | 58% | |
| 102 | 1.1% | 51% | |
| 103 | 2% | 50% | |
| 104 | 13% | 48% | |
| 105 | 5% | 35% | |
| 106 | 26% | 30% | |
| 107 | 2% | 4% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 109 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 110 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 112 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 87 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 17% | 99.8% | |
| 89 | 0.4% | 83% | |
| 90 | 1.2% | 82% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 81% | Median |
| 92 | 9% | 81% | |
| 93 | 4% | 72% | |
| 94 | 7% | 68% | |
| 95 | 1.0% | 61% | |
| 96 | 3% | 60% | |
| 97 | 18% | 57% | |
| 98 | 9% | 39% | |
| 99 | 23% | 30% | |
| 100 | 4% | 8% | |
| 101 | 2% | 4% | |
| 102 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 105 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 106 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 107 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 87 | 17% | 99.8% | |
| 88 | 0.7% | 83% | |
| 89 | 0.7% | 82% | |
| 90 | 1.0% | 81% | Median |
| 91 | 12% | 80% | |
| 92 | 1.2% | 68% | |
| 93 | 7% | 67% | |
| 94 | 1.0% | 60% | |
| 95 | 3% | 59% | |
| 96 | 25% | 56% | |
| 97 | 3% | 31% | |
| 98 | 21% | 29% | |
| 99 | 4% | 7% | |
| 100 | 2% | 4% | |
| 101 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 104 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 105 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 83 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 84 | 17% | 96% | |
| 85 | 0.6% | 79% | Majority |
| 86 | 7% | 78% | |
| 87 | 4% | 71% | Median |
| 88 | 11% | 68% | |
| 89 | 3% | 57% | |
| 90 | 21% | 54% | |
| 91 | 1.0% | 33% | |
| 92 | 0.7% | 32% | |
| 93 | 17% | 31% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 14% | |
| 95 | 9% | 14% | |
| 96 | 4% | 5% | |
| 97 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 78 | 6% | 99.6% | |
| 79 | 0.5% | 93% | |
| 80 | 5% | 93% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 88% | |
| 82 | 18% | 87% | |
| 83 | 0.9% | 70% | |
| 84 | 1.1% | 69% | Median |
| 85 | 15% | 68% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 53% | |
| 87 | 31% | 51% | |
| 88 | 0.9% | 20% | |
| 89 | 0.9% | 19% | |
| 90 | 2% | 18% | |
| 91 | 12% | 17% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 93 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 94 | 4% | 4% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 68 | 2% | 98% | |
| 69 | 4% | 96% | |
| 70 | 21% | 92% | |
| 71 | 2% | 71% | |
| 72 | 25% | 69% | Median |
| 73 | 3% | 44% | |
| 74 | 1.0% | 40% | |
| 75 | 7% | 40% | |
| 76 | 1.1% | 33% | |
| 77 | 12% | 32% | |
| 78 | 1.0% | 20% | |
| 79 | 0.7% | 19% | |
| 80 | 0.7% | 18% | |
| 81 | 17% | 17% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 63 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 67 | 2% | 98% | |
| 68 | 4% | 96% | |
| 69 | 23% | 92% | |
| 70 | 9% | 70% | |
| 71 | 18% | 61% | Median |
| 72 | 3% | 43% | |
| 73 | 1.0% | 40% | |
| 74 | 7% | 39% | |
| 75 | 4% | 32% | |
| 76 | 9% | 28% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 19% | |
| 78 | 1.2% | 19% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 18% | |
| 80 | 17% | 17% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 60 | 17% | 99.7% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 82% | |
| 62 | 0.6% | 82% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 82% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 81% | Median |
| 65 | 3% | 81% | |
| 66 | 1.2% | 78% | |
| 67 | 12% | 77% | |
| 68 | 1.4% | 65% | |
| 69 | 21% | 64% | |
| 70 | 11% | 43% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 33% | |
| 72 | 2% | 32% | |
| 73 | 25% | 31% | |
| 74 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 75 | 2% | 5% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 80 | 2% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 3% | 98% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 60 | 12% | 95% | |
| 61 | 3% | 83% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 80% | Median |
| 63 | 12% | 80% | |
| 64 | 2% | 67% | |
| 65 | 2% | 66% | |
| 66 | 2% | 64% | |
| 67 | 20% | 62% | |
| 68 | 33% | 42% | |
| 69 | 4% | 9% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 72 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 73 | 3% | 3% | |
| 74 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 61 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 62 | 26% | 96% | |
| 63 | 5% | 70% | |
| 64 | 13% | 65% | Median |
| 65 | 2% | 51% | |
| 66 | 1.0% | 49% | |
| 67 | 7% | 48% | |
| 68 | 12% | 41% | |
| 69 | 5% | 29% | |
| 70 | 1.2% | 24% | |
| 71 | 1.5% | 23% | |
| 72 | 20% | 21% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 53 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 54 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 55 | 4% | 95% | |
| 56 | 0.8% | 92% | |
| 57 | 4% | 91% | |
| 58 | 2% | 87% | |
| 59 | 27% | 85% | Median |
| 60 | 15% | 58% | |
| 61 | 8% | 43% | |
| 62 | 2% | 34% | |
| 63 | 1.0% | 32% | |
| 64 | 5% | 31% | |
| 65 | 25% | 26% | |
| 66 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 51 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 52 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 53 | 2% | 96% | |
| 54 | 3% | 95% | |
| 55 | 1.3% | 92% | |
| 56 | 3% | 90% | |
| 57 | 10% | 87% | |
| 58 | 20% | 77% | Median |
| 59 | 16% | 58% | |
| 60 | 8% | 42% | |
| 61 | 3% | 33% | |
| 62 | 4% | 31% | |
| 63 | 2% | 27% | |
| 64 | 24% | 26% | |
| 65 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 45 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 47 | 8% | 97% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 89% | |
| 49 | 0.8% | 89% | |
| 50 | 25% | 88% | Median |
| 51 | 14% | 63% | |
| 52 | 7% | 49% | |
| 53 | 7% | 42% | |
| 54 | 5% | 35% | |
| 55 | 25% | 31% | |
| 56 | 5% | 6% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 2% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 98% | |
| 39 | 0% | 98% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 41 | 6% | 98% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 91% | |
| 43 | 0.5% | 91% | |
| 44 | 7% | 91% | |
| 45 | 12% | 83% | Median |
| 46 | 3% | 71% | |
| 47 | 1.2% | 68% | |
| 48 | 3% | 67% | |
| 49 | 1.0% | 64% | |
| 50 | 45% | 63% | |
| 51 | 0.5% | 18% | |
| 52 | 4% | 17% | |
| 53 | 4% | 13% | |
| 54 | 6% | 9% | |
| 55 | 2% | 3% | |
| 56 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 2% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 39 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 40 | 6% | 97% | |
| 41 | 0.8% | 91% | |
| 42 | 7% | 90% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 83% | |
| 44 | 12% | 83% | Median |
| 45 | 3% | 71% | |
| 46 | 2% | 67% | |
| 47 | 3% | 66% | |
| 48 | 1.0% | 63% | |
| 49 | 45% | 62% | |
| 50 | 0.5% | 17% | |
| 51 | 7% | 17% | |
| 52 | 1.2% | 10% | |
| 53 | 7% | 9% | |
| 54 | 2% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 2% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 37 | 8% | 97% | |
| 38 | 3% | 90% | |
| 39 | 0.8% | 86% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 86% | |
| 41 | 39% | 85% | Median |
| 42 | 6% | 47% | |
| 43 | 1.4% | 40% | |
| 44 | 1.4% | 39% | |
| 45 | 4% | 38% | |
| 46 | 31% | 34% | |
| 47 | 2% | 3% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 5 | 4% | 99.3% | |
| 6 | 0.7% | 95% | |
| 7 | 0% | 94% | |
| 8 | 0% | 94% | |
| 9 | 0% | 94% | |
| 10 | 0.9% | 94% | |
| 11 | 3% | 93% | |
| 12 | 2% | 91% | |
| 13 | 14% | 89% | |
| 14 | 18% | 75% | Median |
| 15 | 8% | 57% | |
| 16 | 1.3% | 50% | |
| 17 | 3% | 48% | |
| 18 | 0.6% | 46% | |
| 19 | 27% | 45% | |
| 20 | 6% | 18% | |
| 21 | 0.6% | 12% | |
| 22 | 3% | 11% | |
| 23 | 6% | 9% | |
| 24 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 25 | 2% | 2% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Respons Analyse
- Commissioner(s): VG
- Fieldwork period: 7–12 December 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1001
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.87%