Opinion Poll by Norstat for Vårt Land, 13–17 December 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 20.4% | 35.6% | 33.6–37.6% | 33.1–38.2% | 32.6–38.7% | 31.7–39.7% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 14.6% | 13.2–16.1% | 12.8–16.6% | 12.5–17.0% | 11.8–17.7% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 14.1% | 12.8–15.7% | 12.4–16.1% | 12.1–16.5% | 11.4–17.3% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.7–10.1% | 7.4–10.4% | 7.1–10.7% | 6.6–11.4% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 7.7% | 6.7–8.9% | 6.4–9.3% | 6.2–9.6% | 5.7–10.2% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.5–5.2% | 3.3–5.5% | 3.1–5.7% | 2.8–6.2% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.4–5.1% | 3.2–5.3% | 3.0–5.6% | 2.7–6.1% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 3.8% | 3.1–4.7% | 2.9–5.0% | 2.8–5.2% | 2.5–5.7% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.2% | 2.1–4.4% | 1.9–4.8% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 1.9% | 1.4–2.6% | 1.3–2.8% | 1.2–3.0% | 1.0–3.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 36 | 65 | 61–71 | 59–72 | 58–73 | 54–74 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 29 | 26–32 | 24–32 | 23–33 | 21–34 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 27 | 23–30 | 22–31 | 21–32 | 20–34 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 16 | 13–18 | 12–19 | 12–20 | 11–21 |
| Rødt | 8 | 14 | 11–16 | 11–17 | 11–18 | 9–19 |
| Venstre | 8 | 7 | 2–9 | 2–10 | 2–10 | 2–11 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 7 | 2–9 | 2–9 | 1–10 | 1–11 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 1 | 0–9 | 0–9 | 0–9 | 0–10 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 2 | 0–3 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–8 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–3 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 98.8% | |
| 58 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 59 | 2% | 97% | |
| 60 | 2% | 95% | |
| 61 | 5% | 93% | |
| 62 | 4% | 87% | |
| 63 | 3% | 84% | |
| 64 | 15% | 81% | |
| 65 | 23% | 66% | Median |
| 66 | 10% | 43% | |
| 67 | 5% | 32% | |
| 68 | 3% | 28% | |
| 69 | 8% | 25% | |
| 70 | 5% | 17% | |
| 71 | 5% | 13% | |
| 72 | 3% | 7% | |
| 73 | 3% | 4% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 1.1% | 99.1% | |
| 23 | 2% | 98% | |
| 24 | 3% | 96% | |
| 25 | 3% | 94% | |
| 26 | 4% | 90% | |
| 27 | 8% | 86% | |
| 28 | 21% | 79% | |
| 29 | 15% | 58% | Median |
| 30 | 11% | 42% | |
| 31 | 14% | 32% | |
| 32 | 14% | 18% | |
| 33 | 3% | 4% | |
| 34 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 21 | 3% | 98.6% | Last Result |
| 22 | 3% | 96% | |
| 23 | 5% | 93% | |
| 24 | 15% | 88% | |
| 25 | 9% | 73% | |
| 26 | 11% | 63% | |
| 27 | 10% | 53% | Median |
| 28 | 23% | 42% | |
| 29 | 7% | 20% | |
| 30 | 4% | 12% | |
| 31 | 4% | 8% | |
| 32 | 2% | 3% | |
| 33 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 34 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 11 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 12 | 4% | 98% | |
| 13 | 5% | 94% | Last Result |
| 14 | 24% | 89% | |
| 15 | 11% | 65% | |
| 16 | 15% | 54% | Median |
| 17 | 22% | 40% | |
| 18 | 8% | 17% | |
| 19 | 6% | 9% | |
| 20 | 3% | 4% | |
| 21 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 22 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 10 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 11 | 8% | 98% | |
| 12 | 7% | 90% | |
| 13 | 22% | 82% | |
| 14 | 24% | 60% | Median |
| 15 | 23% | 37% | |
| 16 | 6% | 14% | |
| 17 | 3% | 7% | |
| 18 | 4% | 4% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 20 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 20% | 100% | |
| 3 | 8% | 80% | |
| 4 | 0% | 72% | |
| 5 | 0% | 72% | |
| 6 | 2% | 72% | |
| 7 | 25% | 70% | Median |
| 8 | 28% | 44% | Last Result |
| 9 | 10% | 16% | |
| 10 | 5% | 6% | |
| 11 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4% | 100% | |
| 2 | 35% | 96% | |
| 3 | 4% | 61% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 58% | |
| 5 | 0% | 58% | |
| 6 | 1.2% | 58% | |
| 7 | 10% | 56% | Median |
| 8 | 33% | 46% | |
| 9 | 9% | 13% | |
| 10 | 3% | 4% | |
| 11 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 39% | 100% | |
| 1 | 24% | 61% | Median |
| 2 | 0.8% | 37% | |
| 3 | 0% | 36% | |
| 4 | 0% | 36% | |
| 5 | 0% | 36% | |
| 6 | 2% | 36% | |
| 7 | 9% | 34% | |
| 8 | 13% | 26% | |
| 9 | 11% | 13% | |
| 10 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13% | 100% | |
| 1 | 23% | 87% | |
| 2 | 41% | 65% | Median |
| 3 | 16% | 24% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 8% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 8% | |
| 7 | 6% | 7% | |
| 8 | 2% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 91% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 5% | 9% | |
| 2 | 3% | 4% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 71 | 107 | 100% | 99–110 | 99–112 | 98–115 | 96–116 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 103 | 100% | 99–109 | 97–111 | 96–113 | 93–115 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 101 | 100% | 96–106 | 94–108 | 92–108 | 90–111 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 99 | 100% | 94–103 | 92–105 | 90–106 | 87–108 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 93 | 98% | 88–97 | 86–99 | 85–101 | 82–102 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 74 | 1.0% | 69–79 | 67–81 | 65–82 | 63–87 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet | 100 | 67 | 0% | 62–72 | 60–74 | 60–76 | 57–78 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 65 | 0% | 59–69 | 57–71 | 56–72 | 53–74 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet | 97 | 61 | 0% | 58–69 | 56–69 | 54–69 | 52–71 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 95 | 55 | 0% | 50–60 | 48–62 | 47–65 | 46–67 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet | 92 | 53 | 0% | 48–59 | 46–60 | 45–63 | 44–65 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet | 89 | 47 | 0% | 43–55 | 42–55 | 42–56 | 40–58 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 45 | 0% | 41–49 | 39–50 | 38–51 | 36–52 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 82 | 40 | 0% | 33–45 | 31–47 | 30–49 | 28–52 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 33 | 0% | 29–40 | 28–42 | 28–42 | 26–45 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 31 | 0% | 27–39 | 26–40 | 25–40 | 23–41 |
| Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 11 | 0% | 5–18 | 4–19 | 3–20 | 2–22 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 97 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 98 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 99 | 13% | 97% | |
| 100 | 2% | 84% | |
| 101 | 2% | 82% | |
| 102 | 4% | 79% | |
| 103 | 4% | 76% | |
| 104 | 5% | 72% | |
| 105 | 6% | 67% | |
| 106 | 6% | 62% | |
| 107 | 7% | 56% | |
| 108 | 13% | 49% | Median |
| 109 | 7% | 36% | |
| 110 | 21% | 29% | |
| 111 | 3% | 8% | |
| 112 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 113 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 114 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 115 | 2% | 3% | |
| 116 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 117 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 93 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 94 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 95 | 1.0% | 98.6% | |
| 96 | 1.2% | 98% | Last Result |
| 97 | 2% | 96% | |
| 98 | 2% | 94% | |
| 99 | 7% | 92% | |
| 100 | 8% | 85% | |
| 101 | 5% | 77% | |
| 102 | 6% | 72% | Median |
| 103 | 20% | 66% | |
| 104 | 4% | 46% | |
| 105 | 8% | 42% | |
| 106 | 14% | 34% | |
| 107 | 3% | 20% | |
| 108 | 6% | 17% | |
| 109 | 2% | 12% | |
| 110 | 2% | 9% | |
| 111 | 4% | 7% | |
| 112 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 113 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 114 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 115 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 117 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 89 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 91 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 92 | 1.3% | 98.5% | |
| 93 | 2% | 97% | |
| 94 | 2% | 96% | |
| 95 | 3% | 93% | |
| 96 | 3% | 91% | |
| 97 | 15% | 87% | |
| 98 | 2% | 72% | |
| 99 | 7% | 70% | |
| 100 | 10% | 63% | |
| 101 | 5% | 53% | Median |
| 102 | 24% | 48% | |
| 103 | 3% | 24% | |
| 104 | 6% | 21% | |
| 105 | 2% | 15% | |
| 106 | 5% | 13% | |
| 107 | 2% | 8% | |
| 108 | 4% | 6% | |
| 109 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 110 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 111 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 88 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 89 | 0.8% | 98.8% | |
| 90 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 91 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 92 | 2% | 95% | |
| 93 | 3% | 93% | |
| 94 | 3% | 91% | |
| 95 | 6% | 88% | |
| 96 | 18% | 82% | |
| 97 | 4% | 64% | |
| 98 | 6% | 60% | |
| 99 | 7% | 54% | Median |
| 100 | 24% | 47% | |
| 101 | 4% | 23% | |
| 102 | 5% | 20% | |
| 103 | 5% | 15% | |
| 104 | 4% | 10% | |
| 105 | 1.5% | 6% | |
| 106 | 2% | 4% | |
| 107 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 108 | 2% | 2% | |
| 109 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 83 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 84 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 85 | 1.4% | 98% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 96% | |
| 87 | 3% | 93% | |
| 88 | 11% | 90% | |
| 89 | 6% | 79% | |
| 90 | 6% | 73% | |
| 91 | 4% | 67% | |
| 92 | 10% | 63% | Median |
| 93 | 23% | 53% | |
| 94 | 8% | 31% | |
| 95 | 3% | 22% | |
| 96 | 6% | 19% | |
| 97 | 4% | 13% | |
| 98 | 1.4% | 9% | |
| 99 | 3% | 7% | |
| 100 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 101 | 2% | 3% | |
| 102 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 64 | 1.4% | 99.3% | |
| 65 | 2% | 98% | |
| 66 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 67 | 0.7% | 95% | |
| 68 | 3% | 95% | |
| 69 | 3% | 92% | |
| 70 | 2% | 89% | |
| 71 | 5% | 87% | |
| 72 | 5% | 82% | |
| 73 | 21% | 76% | |
| 74 | 21% | 56% | Median |
| 75 | 4% | 35% | |
| 76 | 10% | 31% | |
| 77 | 5% | 21% | |
| 78 | 3% | 16% | |
| 79 | 4% | 13% | |
| 80 | 1.0% | 9% | |
| 81 | 5% | 8% | |
| 82 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 83 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 1.0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 87 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 58 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 98.6% | |
| 60 | 4% | 98% | |
| 61 | 2% | 94% | |
| 62 | 6% | 92% | |
| 63 | 2% | 86% | |
| 64 | 5% | 84% | |
| 65 | 3% | 78% | |
| 66 | 23% | 75% | |
| 67 | 6% | 52% | Median |
| 68 | 11% | 46% | |
| 69 | 6% | 35% | |
| 70 | 3% | 29% | |
| 71 | 14% | 26% | |
| 72 | 4% | 12% | |
| 73 | 2% | 8% | |
| 74 | 2% | 6% | |
| 75 | 2% | 4% | |
| 76 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 77 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 55 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 56 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 57 | 4% | 97% | |
| 58 | 2% | 93% | |
| 59 | 3% | 90% | |
| 60 | 6% | 88% | |
| 61 | 3% | 82% | |
| 62 | 16% | 79% | |
| 63 | 8% | 64% | |
| 64 | 3% | 56% | |
| 65 | 20% | 53% | |
| 66 | 6% | 34% | Median |
| 67 | 6% | 28% | |
| 68 | 10% | 22% | |
| 69 | 5% | 12% | |
| 70 | 1.5% | 7% | |
| 71 | 2% | 5% | |
| 72 | 1.1% | 3% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 53 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 54 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 55 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 56 | 2% | 96% | |
| 57 | 2% | 94% | |
| 58 | 21% | 92% | |
| 59 | 10% | 71% | |
| 60 | 10% | 61% | Median |
| 61 | 7% | 51% | |
| 62 | 6% | 43% | |
| 63 | 5% | 37% | |
| 64 | 5% | 32% | |
| 65 | 4% | 27% | |
| 66 | 3% | 23% | |
| 67 | 2% | 20% | |
| 68 | 3% | 18% | |
| 69 | 13% | 15% | |
| 70 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 48 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 49 | 2% | 95% | |
| 50 | 4% | 92% | |
| 51 | 3% | 88% | |
| 52 | 4% | 85% | |
| 53 | 18% | 81% | |
| 54 | 5% | 63% | |
| 55 | 10% | 58% | Median |
| 56 | 7% | 48% | |
| 57 | 6% | 42% | |
| 58 | 17% | 35% | |
| 59 | 5% | 18% | |
| 60 | 4% | 13% | |
| 61 | 3% | 9% | |
| 62 | 2% | 6% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 64 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 65 | 2% | 3% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 67 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 44 | 1.1% | 99.6% | |
| 45 | 2% | 98% | |
| 46 | 3% | 96% | |
| 47 | 2% | 93% | |
| 48 | 4% | 91% | |
| 49 | 3% | 87% | |
| 50 | 4% | 84% | |
| 51 | 17% | 80% | |
| 52 | 6% | 62% | |
| 53 | 10% | 56% | Median |
| 54 | 3% | 46% | |
| 55 | 12% | 43% | |
| 56 | 5% | 31% | |
| 57 | 13% | 27% | |
| 58 | 4% | 14% | |
| 59 | 4% | 10% | |
| 60 | 2% | 6% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 62 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 63 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 41 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 42 | 6% | 98% | |
| 43 | 18% | 93% | |
| 44 | 3% | 75% | |
| 45 | 9% | 71% | |
| 46 | 10% | 62% | Median |
| 47 | 8% | 52% | |
| 48 | 5% | 44% | |
| 49 | 4% | 38% | |
| 50 | 4% | 35% | |
| 51 | 7% | 31% | |
| 52 | 2% | 23% | |
| 53 | 3% | 22% | |
| 54 | 2% | 19% | |
| 55 | 12% | 17% | |
| 56 | 2% | 5% | |
| 57 | 2% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 37 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 38 | 2% | 98% | |
| 39 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 40 | 3% | 95% | |
| 41 | 3% | 92% | |
| 42 | 21% | 89% | |
| 43 | 4% | 68% | |
| 44 | 9% | 64% | |
| 45 | 9% | 55% | Median |
| 46 | 19% | 46% | |
| 47 | 12% | 27% | |
| 48 | 5% | 15% | |
| 49 | 3% | 11% | |
| 50 | 4% | 8% | |
| 51 | 4% | 4% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 30 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 31 | 3% | 96% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 93% | |
| 33 | 3% | 92% | |
| 34 | 2% | 90% | |
| 35 | 3% | 88% | |
| 36 | 3% | 84% | |
| 37 | 5% | 81% | |
| 38 | 3% | 76% | |
| 39 | 23% | 73% | Median |
| 40 | 3% | 50% | |
| 41 | 19% | 47% | |
| 42 | 7% | 28% | |
| 43 | 6% | 21% | |
| 44 | 4% | 15% | |
| 45 | 2% | 11% | |
| 46 | 2% | 9% | |
| 47 | 3% | 7% | |
| 48 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 49 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 50 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 51 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 27 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 28 | 6% | 98% | |
| 29 | 4% | 93% | |
| 30 | 5% | 89% | |
| 31 | 24% | 84% | |
| 32 | 6% | 60% | Median |
| 33 | 5% | 54% | |
| 34 | 7% | 48% | |
| 35 | 7% | 42% | |
| 36 | 3% | 35% | |
| 37 | 1.1% | 32% | |
| 38 | 3% | 31% | |
| 39 | 16% | 28% | |
| 40 | 3% | 12% | |
| 41 | 3% | 9% | |
| 42 | 4% | 6% | |
| 43 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 44 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 25 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 26 | 3% | 97% | |
| 27 | 6% | 94% | |
| 28 | 5% | 88% | |
| 29 | 22% | 83% | |
| 30 | 2% | 60% | Median |
| 31 | 12% | 58% | |
| 32 | 9% | 46% | |
| 33 | 5% | 36% | |
| 34 | 2% | 31% | |
| 35 | 2% | 29% | |
| 36 | 1.0% | 27% | |
| 37 | 4% | 26% | |
| 38 | 12% | 23% | |
| 39 | 5% | 11% | |
| 40 | 4% | 6% | |
| 41 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 4 | 3% | 96% | |
| 5 | 5% | 93% | |
| 6 | 3% | 88% | |
| 7 | 0.8% | 84% | |
| 8 | 5% | 84% | |
| 9 | 5% | 79% | |
| 10 | 24% | 74% | Median |
| 11 | 9% | 50% | |
| 12 | 9% | 41% | |
| 13 | 3% | 33% | |
| 14 | 3% | 30% | |
| 15 | 2% | 27% | |
| 16 | 3% | 25% | |
| 17 | 5% | 22% | |
| 18 | 10% | 17% | |
| 19 | 3% | 7% | |
| 20 | 2% | 4% | |
| 21 | 2% | 2% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 24 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norstat
- Commissioner(s): Vårt Land
- Fieldwork period: 13–17 December 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 947
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.27%